MMA Handicapper Stats: Matt Sheps |
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Matt Sheps: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 7 (41%) Losing Events: 10 (59%)
Average Staked Per Event: 2.26 units Most Staked On One Event: 4.75 units Best Event: 1.29 units Worst Event: -3.00 units Average Event: -0.54 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 3.40 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -10.48 |
Matt Sheps: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2019 |
10.25 |
-7.7 |
-75% |
-7.7 / 10.25 (-75%) |
|
|
/ 3 (0%) |
-2.58 |
2018 |
17.25 |
-4.1 |
-24% |
-4.1 / 17.25 (-24%) |
|
|
4 / 5 (44%) |
-0.45 |
2017 |
10.9 |
2.6 |
24% |
0.7 / 8.9 (8%) |
1.9 / 2 (94%) |
|
3 / 2 (60%) |
0.52 |
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Matt Sheps: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Matt Sheps: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
37.9 |
-8.7 |
-23% |
-10.6 / 35.9 (-29%) |
1.9 / 2 (94%) |
|
Bellator |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
|
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Matt Sheps: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Slight Favorites |
10 (26%) |
3 |
30 % |
15.00 |
-8.62 |
-0.86 |
-57% |
Slight Underdogs |
16 (42%) |
7 |
44 % |
15.35 |
-2.38 |
-0.15 |
-16% |
Big Underdogs |
12 (32%) |
3 |
25 % |
6.05 |
-0.05 |
-0.00 |
-1% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
14 (37%) |
4 |
29 % |
13.30 |
-6.92 |
-0.49 |
-52% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (13%) |
3 |
60 % |
4.00 |
2.87 |
0.57 |
72% |
Position 3-5 |
11 (29%) |
3 |
27 % |
12.35 |
-6.63 |
-0.60 |
-54% |
6+ (Undercard) |
8 (21%) |
3 |
38 % |
6.75 |
-0.38 |
-0.05 |
-6% |
|
Matt Sheps: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (8%) |
1 |
33 % |
4.00 |
-2.75 |
-0.92 |
-69% |
Light Heavy |
5 (13%) |
1 |
20 % |
5.50 |
-3.20 |
-0.64 |
-58% |
Middleweight |
3 (8%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.00 |
-0.73 |
-0.24 |
-36% |
Welterweight |
5 (13%) |
|
0 % |
4.50 |
-4.50 |
-0.90 |
-100% |
Lightweight |
10 (26%) |
4 |
40 % |
8.10 |
-0.45 |
-0.04 |
-6% |
Featherweight |
7 (18%) |
3 |
43 % |
7.30 |
-0.43 |
-0.06 |
-6% |
Bantamweight |
4 (11%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.50 |
-0.90 |
-0.23 |
-20% |
Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
1.90 |
1.90 |
380% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
35-50% |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
<35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
2 |
2 |
100 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
2 (100%) |
2 |
100 % |
1.93 |
2.10 |
1.79 |
1.9 (94%) |
|
2 |
2 |
100 % |
1.93 |
|
|
1.9 (94%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Matt Sheps's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
2nd Dec |
TUF 26 Finale |
1 |
1.1 |
110% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,011.00 |
2nd Dec |
UFC 218 |
2.8 |
1.1 |
41% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.00 |
$1,022.53 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 123 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
46% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,022.53 |
$1,034.39 |
16th Dec |
UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos |
3 |
-0.7 |
-23% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,034.39 |
$1,027.15 |
31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
1.6 |
-0.1 |
-5% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,027.15 |
$1,026.37 |
20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
1 |
0.3 |
25% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,026.37 |
$1,028.93 |
20th Jan |
Bellator 192 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,028.93 |
$1,023.79 |
10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
2 |
-0.7 |
-36% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.79 |
$1,016.36 |
3rd Mar |
UFC 222 |
3 |
1.3 |
43% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,016.36 |
$1,029.47 |
21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,029.47 |
$1,008.89 |
4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
60% |
|
$10.09 |
$1,008.89 |
$1,017.97 |
6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,017.97 |
$1,002.70 |
15th Dec |
UFC Fight Night Milwaukee |
3 |
1.0 |
33% |
|
$10.03 |
$1,002.70 |
$1,012.52 |
29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
2.75 |
-2.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.13 |
$1,012.52 |
$984.68 |
9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.85 |
$984.68 |
$960.06 |
17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.60 |
$960.06 |
$931.26 |
8th Jun |
UFC 238 |
4.75 |
-2.2 |
-47% |
|
$9.31 |
$931.26 |
$910.49 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Matt Sheps: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jun '19 |
Donald Cerrone |
Tony Ferguson |
2.43 |
1.25 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Jun '19 |
Marlon Moraes |
Henry Cejudo |
1.65 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Feb '19 |
Cain Velasquez |
Francis Ngannou |
1.54 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:26) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Feb '19 |
Sam Alvey |
Jim Crute |
2.33 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Feb '19 |
Anderson Silva |
Israel Adesanya |
4.90 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Dec '18 |
B.J. Penn |
Ryan Hall |
4.75 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (2:46) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Dec '18 |
Chad Mendes |
Alex Volkanovski |
1.74 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:14) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Dec '18 |
Alexander Gustafsson |
Jon Jones |
3.45 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (2:2) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Dec '18 |
Adam Milstead |
Mike Rodriguez |
1.78 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:59) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Oct '18 |
Anthony Pettis |
Tony Ferguson |
4.20 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '18 |
Conor McGregor |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
2.65 |
1 |
Sub, R4 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Aug '18 |
Cody Garbrandt |
T.J. Dillashaw |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '18 |
Cub Swanson |
Frankie Edgar |
3.11 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '18 |
Edson Barboza |
Kevin Lee |
2.36 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (2:18) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '18 |
Hector Lombard |
C.B. Dollaway |
1.84 |
1 |
|
No |
|
|
16. |
Feb '18 |
Jeremy Kennedy |
Alex Volkanovski |
2.75 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:57) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Feb '18 |
Li Jingliang |
Jake Matthews |
1.68 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jan '18 |
Douglas Lima |
Rory MacDonald |
2.89 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jan '18 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Daniel Cormier |
3.60 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:0) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Dec '17 |
Carlos Condit |
Neil Magny |
1.74 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Matt Sheps: Progress Chart |
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