MMA Handicapper Stats: Justin Purcell |
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Justin Purcell: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 3 (30%)
Losing Events: 7 (70%)
Average Staked Per Event: 15.18 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.00 units
Best Event: 27.15 units
Worst Event: -8.49 units
Average Event: -0.04 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 27.15
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -18.67 |
Justin Purcell: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2017 |
151.75 |
-0.4 |
-0% |
3.9 / 92.25 (4%) |
-9.2 / 38 (-24%) |
4.8 / 21.5 (22%) |
3 / 7 (30%) |
-0.04 |
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Justin Purcell: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Justin Purcell: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
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UFC |
148.75 |
-1.4 |
-1% |
3.0 / 89.25 (3%) |
-9.2 / 38 (-24%) |
4.8 / 21.5 (22%) |
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Bellator |
3 |
0.9 |
31% |
0.9 / 3 (31%) |
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Justin Purcell: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
16 (47%) |
10 |
63 % |
47.50 |
-5.68 |
-0.36 |
-12% |
| Slight Favorites |
9 (26%) |
4 |
44 % |
23.50 |
-2.97 |
-0.33 |
-13% |
| Slight Underdogs |
5 (15%) |
2 |
40 % |
10.50 |
0.35 |
0.07 |
3% |
| Big Underdogs |
4 (12%) |
2 |
50 % |
10.75 |
12.25 |
3.06 |
114% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
4 (12%) |
3 |
75 % |
12.00 |
1.97 |
0.49 |
16% |
| Co-Main Event |
5 (15%) |
2 |
40 % |
13.00 |
-5.12 |
-1.02 |
-39% |
| Position 3-5 |
9 (26%) |
5 |
56 % |
28.25 |
3.71 |
0.41 |
13% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
16 (47%) |
8 |
50 % |
39.00 |
3.39 |
0.21 |
9% |
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Justin Purcell: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
5 (15%) |
3 |
60 % |
11.50 |
-0.20 |
-0.04 |
-2% |
| Light Heavy |
4 (12%) |
3 |
75 % |
10.00 |
3.50 |
0.87 |
35% |
| Middleweight |
4 (12%) |
2 |
50 % |
12.75 |
-2.05 |
-0.51 |
-16% |
| Welterweight |
7 (21%) |
3 |
43 % |
17.50 |
-3.32 |
-0.47 |
-19% |
| Lightweight |
3 (9%) |
3 |
100 % |
7.00 |
14.37 |
4.79 |
205% |
| Featherweight |
3 (9%) |
2 |
67 % |
11.00 |
3.18 |
1.06 |
29% |
| Bantamweight |
5 (15%) |
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0 % |
13.50 |
-13.50 |
-2.70 |
-100% |
| Flyweight |
2 (6%) |
2 |
100 % |
8.00 |
2.96 |
1.48 |
37% |
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| Women's Fights |
1 (3%) |
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0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
| Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
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0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
6 (75%) |
4 |
67 % |
| Slight Favorites |
1 (13%) |
1 |
100 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
1 (13%) |
1 |
100 % |
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8 |
6 |
75 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
2 (9%) |
1 |
50 % |
| 50-65% |
10 (43%) |
8 |
80 % |
| 35-50% |
2 (9%) |
0 |
0 % |
| <35% chance |
9 (39%) |
0 |
0 % |
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23 |
9 |
39 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Justin Purcell's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 3rd Nov |
Bellator 186 |
3 |
0.9 |
31% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,009.23 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
19 |
-1.5 |
-8% |
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$10.09 |
$1,009.23 |
$994.06 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia |
14 |
-8.5 |
-61% |
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$9.94 |
$994.06 |
$909.64 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney |
17.25 |
27.2 |
157% |
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$9.10 |
$909.64 |
$1,156.64 |
| 25th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
25.5 |
-7.0 |
-28% |
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$11.57 |
$1,156.64 |
$1,075.48 |
| 2nd Dec |
TUF 26 Finale |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
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$10.75 |
$1,075.48 |
$1,043.22 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC 218 |
33 |
10.2 |
31% |
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$10.43 |
$1,043.22 |
$1,149.25 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 123 |
15 |
-5.4 |
-36% |
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$11.49 |
$1,149.25 |
$1,087.54 |
| 16th Dec |
UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos |
11 |
-6.3 |
-57% |
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$10.88 |
$1,087.54 |
$1,019.03 |
| 31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
11 |
-7.0 |
-64% |
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$10.19 |
$1,019.03 |
$947.70 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.23% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Justin Purcell: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
Dec '17 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
Edson Barboza |
1.33 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 2. |
Dec '17 |
Glover Teixeira |
Misha Cirkunov |
2.35 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:45) |
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| 3. |
Dec '17 |
Trevin Giles |
Antonio Braga Neto |
1.39 |
2.5 |
TKO, R3 (2:27) |
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| 4. |
Dec '17 |
Brian Ortega |
Cub Swanson |
2.05 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (3:22) |
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| 5. |
Dec '17 |
Henry Cejudo |
Sergio Pettis |
1.36 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 6. |
Nov '17 |
Li Jingliang |
Zak Ottow |
1.53 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:57) |
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| 7. |
Nov '17 |
Cyril Asker |
Hu Yaozong |
1.40 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (2:33) |
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| 8. |
Nov '17 |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
Chase Sherman |
1.71 |
3.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:24) |
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| 9. |
Nov '17 |
Rolando Dy |
Wuliji Buren |
1.61 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 10. |
Nov '17 |
Nik Lentz |
Will Brooks |
5.25 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (2:5) |
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| 11. |
Nov '17 |
Ryan Benoit |
Ashkan Mokhtarian |
1.39 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (2:38) |
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| 12. |
Nov '17 |
Belal Muhammad |
Tim Means |
2.90 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 13. |
Nov '17 |
Fabricio Werdum |
Marcin Tybura |
1.30 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 14. |
Nov '17 |
Sage Northcutt |
Michel Quinones |
1.63 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. |
Nov '17 |
Matt Brown |
Diego Sanchez |
1.29 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:44) |
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| 16. |
Nov '17 |
Ovince St Preux |
Corey Anderson |
1.63 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (1:25) |
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| 17. |
Nov '17 |
Paulo Costa |
Johny Hendricks |
1.44 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:23) |
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| 18. |
Nov '17 |
Ryan Bader |
Linton Vassell |
1.31 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:58) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Justin Purcell: Progress Chart |
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