MMA Handicapper Stats: By Decision |
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By Decision: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
8th Sep '18 |
UFC 228 |
36.9 |
-5.9 |
-16% |
-2.7 / 11.5 (-23%) |
-1.3 / 17.4 (-7%) |
-1.9 / 8 (-24%) |
25th Aug '18 |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
24.5 |
2.8 |
11% |
1.8 / 11 (16%) |
3.0 / 11.5 (26%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
28th Jul '18 |
UFC on Fox 30 |
29.5 |
-0.5 |
-2% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
2.4 / 21 (11%) |
-1.8 / 7.5 (-25%) |
7th Jul '18 |
UFC 226 |
27.5 |
-2.3 |
-8% |
5.5 / 6 (92%) |
-5.3 / 19 (-28%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
7th Apr '18 |
UFC 223 |
9.25 |
-5.0 |
-54% |
-5.7 / 6.75 (-85%) |
|
0.7 / 2.5 (30%) |
10th Feb '18 |
UFC 221 |
2.25 |
0.0 |
2% |
-0.5 / 1.75 (-26%) |
0.5 / 0.5 (100%) |
|
27th Jan '18 |
UFC on Fox 27 |
8 |
-1.5 |
-19% |
-1.1 / 4 (-26%) |
-0.5 / 4 (-12%) |
|
20th Jan '18 |
UFC 220 |
5.78 |
-5.8 |
-100% |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
-0.8 / 0.78 (-100%) |
14th Jan '18 |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
4 |
-0.2 |
-4% |
-1.1 / 2 (-56%) |
1.0 / 2 (48%) |
|
31st Dec '17 |
UFC 219 |
9 |
-2.2 |
-25% |
-3.2 / 4.75 (-67%) |
0.9 / 4.25 (22%) |
|
16th Dec '17 |
UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos |
10 |
-1.8 |
-18% |
-2.8 / 4.5 (-62%) |
1.0 / 5.5 (19%) |
|
9th Dec '17 |
UFC Fight Night 123 |
3.5 |
-0.1 |
-3% |
-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) |
1.2 / 2.25 (51%) |
|
2nd Dec '17 |
UFC 218 |
10.75 |
2.6 |
25% |
1.3 / 6.25 (21%) |
0.9 / 3.5 (25%) |
0.4 / 1 (44%) |
2nd Dec '17 |
TUF 26 Finale |
1.5 |
-0.2 |
-12% |
0.8 / 0.5 (165%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
25th Nov '17 |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
9.45 |
-2.6 |
-27% |
-1.7 / 5 (-34%) |
0.1 / 3.45 (4%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
18th Nov '17 |
UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney |
17.1 |
-2.8 |
-17% |
-0.6 / 8.85 (-7%) |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
2.3 / 3.75 (62%) |
11th Nov '17 |
UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia |
33.25 |
8.5 |
25% |
-2.2 / 12 (-18%) |
0.9 / 14 (6%) |
9.8 / 7.25 (135%) |
4th Nov '17 |
UFC 217 |
28.42 |
0.3 |
1% |
-0.9 / 12.9 (-7%) |
3.8 / 0.5 (760%) |
-2.6 / 15.02 (-17%) |
21st Oct '17 |
UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk |
15.08 |
-1.0 |
-6% |
-2.5 / 6.5 (-38%) |
0.4 / 6.92 (6%) |
1.1 / 1.66 (67%) |
20th Oct '17 |
Bellator 185 |
1.75 |
0.1 |
6% |
|
|
0.1 / 1.75 (6%) |
7th Oct '17 |
UFC 216 |
15.5 |
0.0 |
0% |
0.5 / 7.25 (7%) |
-0.5 / 8.25 (-5%) |
|
22nd Sep '17 |
UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 |
20 |
3.7 |
18% |
0.1 / 15 (1%) |
3.5 / 5 (71%) |
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Winning Events: 8 (36%) Losing Events: 14 (64%)
Average Staked Per Event: 14.68 units Most Staked On One Event: 36.90 units Best Event: 8.48 units Worst Event: -5.85 units Average Event: -0.62 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 8.76 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -11.57 |
By Decision: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2018 |
147.68 |
-18.2 |
-12% |
-4.8 / 44 (-11%) |
-5.2 / 80.4 (-6%) |
-8.3 / 23.28 (-36%) |
2 / 7 (22%) |
-2.03 |
2017 |
175.3 |
4.5 |
3% |
-12.4 / 84.75 (-15%) |
6.8 / 59.12 (11%) |
10.2 / 31.43 (32%) |
6 / 7 (46%) |
0.35 |
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By Decision: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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By Decision: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
321.23 |
-13.8 |
-4% |
-17.2 / 128.75 (-13%) |
1.6 / 139.52 (1%) |
1.8 / 52.96 (3%) |
Bellator |
1.75 |
0.1 |
6% |
|
|
0.1 / 1.75 (6%) |
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By Decision: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
19 (22%) |
8 |
42 % |
33.75 |
-12.35 |
-0.65 |
-37% |
Slight Favorites |
29 (33%) |
18 |
62 % |
46.25 |
4.32 |
0.15 |
9% |
Slight Underdogs |
27 (31%) |
11 |
41 % |
41.25 |
-5.30 |
-0.20 |
-13% |
Big Underdogs |
12 (14%) |
1 |
8 % |
7.50 |
-3.85 |
-0.32 |
-51% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
11 (13%) |
5 |
45 % |
18.75 |
3.32 |
0.30 |
18% |
Co-Main Event |
11 (13%) |
4 |
36 % |
16.00 |
-1.84 |
-0.17 |
-12% |
Position 3-5 |
20 (23%) |
9 |
45 % |
29.75 |
-1.46 |
-0.07 |
-5% |
6+ (Undercard) |
45 (52%) |
20 |
44 % |
64.25 |
-17.19 |
-0.38 |
-27% |
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By Decision: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (8%) |
4 |
57 % |
8.65 |
6.22 |
0.89 |
72% |
Light Heavy |
4 (5%) |
3 |
75 % |
5.75 |
2.94 |
0.74 |
51% |
Middleweight |
9 (10%) |
4 |
44 % |
13.25 |
-4.65 |
-0.52 |
-35% |
Welterweight |
19 (22%) |
7 |
37 % |
36.00 |
-14.44 |
-0.76 |
-40% |
Lightweight |
11 (13%) |
8 |
73 % |
14.25 |
7.02 |
0.64 |
49% |
Featherweight |
8 (9%) |
3 |
38 % |
12.00 |
0.88 |
0.11 |
7% |
Bantamweight |
5 (6%) |
|
0 % |
9.00 |
-9.00 |
-1.80 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.60 |
0.34 |
0.08 |
7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
20 (23%) |
7 |
35 % |
25.25 |
-6.49 |
-0.32 |
-26% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
3 (3%) |
|
0 % |
2.75 |
-2.75 |
-0.92 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
16 (18%) |
7 |
44 % |
22.00 |
-3.24 |
-0.20 |
-15% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
36 (59%) |
28 |
78 % |
Slight Favorites |
17 (28%) |
8 |
47 % |
Slight Underdogs |
8 (13%) |
4 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
61 |
40 |
66 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
47 (35%) |
37 |
79 % |
50-65% |
46 (35%) |
30 |
65 % |
35-50% |
21 (16%) |
9 |
43 % |
<35% chance |
19 (14%) |
4 |
21 % |
|
133 |
80 |
60 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail By Decision's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 |
20 |
3.7 |
18% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,036.60 |
7th Oct |
UFC 216 |
15.5 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,036.60 |
$1,037.10 |
20th Oct |
Bellator 185 |
1.75 |
0.1 |
6% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,037.10 |
$1,038.14 |
21st Oct |
UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk |
15.08 |
-1.0 |
-6% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.14 |
$1,028.11 |
4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
28.42 |
0.3 |
1% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,028.11 |
$1,031.04 |
11th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia |
33.25 |
8.5 |
25% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.04 |
$1,118.46 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney |
17.1 |
-2.8 |
-17% |
|
$11.18 |
$1,118.46 |
$1,086.77 |
25th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
9.45 |
-2.6 |
-27% |
|
$10.87 |
$1,086.77 |
$1,058.55 |
2nd Dec |
TUF 26 Finale |
1.5 |
-0.2 |
-12% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.55 |
$1,056.70 |
2nd Dec |
UFC 218 |
10.75 |
2.6 |
25% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,056.70 |
$1,084.60 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 123 |
3.5 |
-0.1 |
-3% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.60 |
$1,083.51 |
16th Dec |
UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos |
10 |
-1.8 |
-18% |
|
$10.84 |
$1,083.51 |
$1,064.34 |
31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
9 |
-2.2 |
-25% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,064.34 |
$1,040.68 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
4 |
-0.2 |
-4% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,040.68 |
$1,038.84 |
20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
5.78 |
-5.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,038.84 |
$978.79 |
27th Jan |
UFC on Fox 27 |
8 |
-1.5 |
-19% |
|
$9.79 |
$978.79 |
$963.93 |
10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
2.25 |
0.0 |
2% |
|
$9.64 |
$963.93 |
$964.42 |
7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
9.25 |
-5.0 |
-54% |
|
$9.64 |
$964.42 |
$916.32 |
7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
27.5 |
-2.3 |
-8% |
|
$9.16 |
$916.32 |
$895.15 |
28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
29.5 |
-0.5 |
-2% |
|
$8.95 |
$895.15 |
$890.89 |
25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
24.5 |
2.8 |
11% |
|
$8.91 |
$890.89 |
$915.89 |
8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
36.9 |
-5.9 |
-16% |
|
$9.16 |
$915.89 |
$862.30 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -13.77% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
By Decision: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
By Decision: Progress Chart |
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