MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6363
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2349

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMAOVERWATCH

MMAOVERWATCH (MMAOverWatch)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	11 (46%)	Right	5 (38%)	Right	0 (0%)	Right	6 (60%)
Wrong	13 (54%)	Wrong	8 (62%)	Wrong	1 (100%)	Wrong	4 (40%)
Avg Odds	2.24	Avg Odds	2.29	Avg Odds	2.70	Avg Odds	2.15
Units Bet	22.1	Units Bet	8.8	Units Bet	3.0	Units Bet	10.3
Avg Bet	0.92	Avg Bet	0.68	Avg Bet	3.00	Avg Bet	1.03
Units Profit	-6.64	Units Profit	-1.90	Units Profit	-3.00	Units Profit	-1.74
ROI %	-30%	ROI %	-22%	ROI %	-100%	ROI %	-17%

MMAOVERWATCH : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	0.5	0.6	129%			0.6 / 0.5 (129%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	0.25	0.5	208%			0.5 / 0.25 (208%)
8th Aug '20	Bellator 243	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	0.5	0.3	53%			0.3 / 0.5 (53%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	8	-8.0	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	4	1.6	41%	0.1 / 2 (7%)		1.5 / 2 (75%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Apr '18	UFC Fight Night 128	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Mar '18	UFC Fight Night 127	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	0.5	0.7	135%	0.7 / 0.5 (135%)
18th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 126	0.5	0.6	120%	0.6 / 0.5 (120%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	1	1.2	117%	0.6 / 0.5 (110%)		0.6 / 0.5 (125%)
20th Jan '18	Bellator 192	0.5	0.7	144%			0.7 / 0.5 (144%)
9th Dec '17	UFC Fight Night 123	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17	UFC 218	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17	TUF 26 Finale	0.8	-0.8	-100%	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
25th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney	0.5	0.9	185%	0.9 / 0.5 (185%)

Winning Events: 9 (47%)
Losing Events: 10 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 1.16 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.00 units
Best Event: 1.64 units
Worst Event: -8.00 units
Average Event: -0.35 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 3.17
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -8.00

MMAOVERWATCH : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	2.25	0.4	19%			0.4 / 2.25 (19%)	3 / 2 (60%)	0.09
2018	17	-5.7	-33%	-0.5 / 6 (-9%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-2.2 / 8 (-27%)	5 / 4 (56%)	-0.63
2017	2.8	-1.4	-49%	-1.4 / 2.8 (-49%)			1 / 4 (20%)	-0.28

MMAOVERWATCH : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMAOVERWATCH : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	21.05	-6.9	-33%	-1.9 / 8.8 (-22%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-2.0 / 9.25 (-21%)
Bellator	1	0.2	22%			0.2 / 1 (22%)

MMAOVERWATCH : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	2 (15%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%
Slight Underdogs	10 (77%)	5	50 %	6.00	0.90	0.09	15%
Big Underdogs	1 (8%)	0	0 %	0.80	-0.80	-0.80	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (8%)	0	0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Co-Main Event	3 (23%)	2	67 %	2.30	0.95	0.32	41%
Position 3-5	6 (46%)	2	33 %	4.50	-1.90	-0.32	-42%
6+ (Undercard)	3 (23%)	1	33 %	1.50	-0.45	-0.15	-30%

MMAOVERWATCH : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (23%)	1	33 %	2.00	-0.90	-0.30	-45%
Light Heavy	3 (23%)	2	67 %	2.00	1.32	0.44	66%
Welterweight	2 (15%)	1	50 %	1.00	0.42	0.21	42%
Lightweight	1 (8%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Featherweight	1 (8%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (8%)		0 %	0.80	-0.80	-0.80	-100%
Flyweight	1 (8%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.55	0.55	110%

Women's Fights	1 (8%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%
Strawweight	1 (8%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	13 (72%)	9	69 %
Slight Favorites	3 (17%)	3	100 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (11%)	2	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	18	14	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (67%)	1	50 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	1 (33%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	3	1	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (33%)	0	0 %	1.25	1.25	1.25	-1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (33%)	1	100 %	1.33	1.33	1.33	0.3 (33%)
X Wins by KO	1 (33%)	0	0 %	2.70	2.70	2.70	-1.0 (-100%)
	3	1	33 %	1.56			-1.7 (-56%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMAOVERWATCH 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney	0.5	0.9	185%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,009.25
25th Nov	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.09	$1,009.25	$1,004.20
2nd Dec	TUF 26 Finale	0.8	-0.8	-100%		$10.04	$1,004.20	$996.17
2nd Dec	UFC 218	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.96	$996.17	$991.19
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 123	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.91	$991.19	$986.23
20th Jan	UFC 220	1	1.2	117%		$9.86	$986.23	$997.80
20th Jan	Bellator 192	0.5	0.7	144%		$9.98	$997.80	$1,004.97
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night 126	0.5	0.6	120%		$10.05	$1,004.97	$1,011.00
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	0.5	0.7	135%		$10.11	$1,011.00	$1,017.82
17th Mar	UFC Fight Night 127	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.18	$1,017.82	$1,012.73
21st Apr	UFC Fight Night 128	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.13	$1,012.73	$1,007.67
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$10.08	$1,007.67	$992.55
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	4	1.6	41%		$9.93	$992.55	$1,008.84
6th Oct	UFC 229	8	-8.0	-100%		$10.09	$1,008.84	$928.13
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	0.5	0.3	53%		$9.28	$928.13	$930.58
8th Aug	Bellator 243	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.31	$930.58	$925.92
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	0.25	0.5	208%		$9.26	$925.92	$930.74
15th Aug	UFC 252	0.5	0.6	129%		$9.31	$930.74	$936.72
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.37	$936.72	$932.04

ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMAOVERWATCH : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '18	Jan Blachowicz	Nikita Krylov	2.15	1	Sub, R2 (2:41)
2.	Feb '18	Ilir Latifi	Ovince St Preux	2.35	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:48)
3.	Feb '18	Derrick Lewis	Marcin Tybura	2.20	0.5	TKO, R3 (2:48)
4.	Jan '18	Dustin Ortiz	Alexandre Pantoja	2.10	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Nov '17	Belal Muhammad	Tim Means	2.85	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '18	Andrei Arlovski	Shamil Abdurakhimov	2.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Aug '18	Angela Hill	Cortney Casey	1.77	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '18	Patrick Cummins	Corey Anderson	2.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '18	Peter Sobotta	Leon Edwards	2.85	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:59)	No
5.	Dec '17	Cub Swanson	Brian Ortega	1.95	0.5	Sub, R2 (3:22)	No
6.	Dec '17	Drakkar Klose	David Teymur	2.75	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '17	Terrion Ware	Sean O'Malley	3.30	0.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Nov '17	Chase Sherman	Shamil Abdurakhimov	2.20	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:24)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMAOVERWATCH : Progress Chart

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