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MMA Handicapper Stats: Neil Neil

Neil Neil (nk3370)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	5 (38%)	Right	2 (25%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	3 (60%)
Wrong	8 (62%)	Wrong	6 (75%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	2 (40%)
Avg Odds	2.23	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	2.67
Units Bet	33.0	Units Bet	23.0	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	10.0
Avg Bet	2.54	Avg Bet	2.88	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	2.00
Units Profit	-11.73	Units Profit	-19.31	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	7.58
ROI %	-36%	ROI %	-84%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	76%

Neil Neil: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
22nd May '21	UFC FN	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th May '21	UFC FN	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st May '21	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	3	6.4	212%			6.4 / 3 (212%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	2	1.7	85%	1.7 / 2 (85%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	3	3.8	128%			3.8 / 3 (128%)
20th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	0.5	0.9	177%			0.9 / 0.5 (177%)

Winning Events: 4 (36%)
Losing Events: 7 (64%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.00 units
Best Event: 6.36 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: -1.07 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 6.36
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -20.00

Neil Neil: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	32	-12.1	-38%	-19.3 / 23 (-84%)		7.2 / 9 (80%)	3 / 6 (33%)	-1.35
2017	1	0.4	39%			0.4 / 1 (39%)	1 / 1 (50%)	0.19

Neil Neil: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Neil Neil: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	33	-11.7	-36%	-19.3 / 23 (-84%)		7.6 / 10 (76%)

Neil Neil: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (13%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Slight Favorites	2 (25%)	1	50 %	11.00	-9.46	-4.73	-86%
Slight Underdogs	4 (50%)	1	25 %	9.00	-6.85	-1.71	-76%
Big Underdogs	1 (13%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (63%)	0	0 %	20.00	-20.00	-4.00	-100%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Position 3-5	2 (25%)	2	100 %	2.00	1.69	0.85	85%
6+ (Undercard)	1 (13%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Neil Neil: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	1 (13%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Middleweight	3 (38%)	1	33 %	4.00	-2.46	-0.82	-61%
Lightweight	2 (25%)		0 %	6.00	-6.00	-3.00	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (13%)		0 %	10.00	-10.00	-10.00	-100%

Women's Fights	1 (13%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.15	1.15	115%
Strawweight	1 (13%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.15	1.15	115%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	8 (73%)	7	88 %
Slight Favorites	1 (9%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (18%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	11	9	82 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (100%)	1	100 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	1	1	100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (100%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	0.5 (50%)
	1	1	100 %	1.50			0.5 (50%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Neil Neil's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	0.5	0.9	177%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,008.86
8th Jul	UFC 213	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.09	$1,008.86	$1,003.82
20th Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.04	$1,003.82	$983.74
28th Mar	UFC 260	3	3.8	128%		$9.84	$983.74	$1,021.41
10th Apr	UFC FN	2	1.7	85%		$10.21	$1,021.41	$1,038.68
17th Apr	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.39	$1,038.68	$1,017.90
24th Apr	UFC 261	3	6.4	212%		$10.18	$1,017.90	$1,082.64
1st May	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.83	$1,082.64	$1,060.99
8th May	UFC FN	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.61	$1,060.99	$1,029.16
15th May	UFC 262	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.29	$1,029.16	$977.70
22nd May	UFC FN	10	-10.0	-100%		$9.78	$977.70	$879.93

ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.01% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Neil Neil: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '21	Mackenzie Dern	Nina Nunes	2.15	1	Sub, R1 (4:48)
2.	Apr '21	Julian Marquez	Sam Alvey	1.54	1	Sub, R2 (2:7)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '21	Cody Garbrandt	Rob Font	1.91	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	May '21	Michael Chandler	Charles Oliveira	2.10	5	TKO, R2 (0:19)	No
3.	May '21	Dominick Reyes	Jiri Prochazka	2.10	2	TKO, R2 (4:29)	No
4.	Apr '21	Kelvin Gastelum	Robert Whittaker	3.10	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '21	Leonardo Santos	Grant Dawson	2.60	1	TKO, R3 (4:59)	No
6.	Mar '21	Kevin Holland	Derek Brunson	1.50	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Neil Neil: Progress Chart

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