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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Moose

The Moose (The Moose)

MMA MHandicapper - The Moose

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	5 (42%)	Right	4 (80%)	Right	0 (0%)	Right	1 (17%)
Wrong	7 (58%)	Wrong	1 (20%)	Wrong	1 (100%)	Wrong	5 (83%)
Avg Odds	2.06	Avg Odds	1.62	Avg Odds	4.50	Avg Odds	2.39
Units Bet	48.0	Units Bet	27.5	Units Bet	0.5	Units Bet	20.0
Avg Bet	4.00	Avg Bet	5.50	Avg Bet	0.50	Avg Bet	3.33
Units Profit	-17.27	Units Profit	0.27	Units Profit	-0.50	Units Profit	-17.04
ROI %	-36%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	-100%	ROI %	-85%

The Moose : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	17	-17.0	-100%			-17.0 / 17 (-100%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	31	-0.3	-1%	0.3 / 27.5 (1%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.0 / 3 (-1%)

Winning Events: 0 (0%)
Losing Events: 2 (100%)

Average Staked Per Event: 24.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.00 units
Best Event: 0.00 units
Worst Event: -17.00 units
Average Event: -8.63 units

Max Win Streak: Events: , Units: 0.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -17.27

The Moose : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	48	-17.3	-36%	0.3 / 27.5 (1%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-17.0 / 20 (-85%)	0 / 2 (0%)	-8.63

The Moose : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Moose : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	48	-17.3	-36%	0.3 / 27.5 (1%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-17.0 / 20 (-85%)

The Moose : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (40%)	1	50 %	16.00	-7.30	-3.65	-46%
Slight Favorites	2 (40%)	2	100 %	10.00	5.85	2.93	59%
Slight Underdogs	1 (20%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.72	1.72	115%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (20%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.72	1.72	115%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Position 3-5	2 (40%)	1	50 %	15.00	-7.25	-3.62	-48%
6+ (Undercard)	2 (40%)	2	100 %	11.00	5.80	2.90	53%

The Moose : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (20%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.72	1.72	115%
Light Heavy	1 (20%)	1	100 %	5.00	2.75	2.75	55%
Flyweight	2 (40%)	1	50 %	15.00	-6.90	-3.45	-46%

Women's Fights	1 (20%)	1	100 %	6.00	2.70	2.70	45%
Strawweight	1 (20%)	1	100 %	6.00	2.70	2.70	45%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	9 (100%)	7	78 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	9	7	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (43%)	1	33 %
50-65%	2 (29%)	2	100 %
35-50%	1 (14%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	1 (14%)	0	0 %
	7	3	43 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (57%)	3	75 %	1.59	1.83	1.40	1.0 (26%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (14%)	0	0 %	1.33	1.33	1.33	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (14%)	0	0 %	4.50	4.50	4.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (14%)	0	0 %	2.50	2.50	2.50	-1.0 (-100%)
	7	3	43 %	1.80			-2.0 (-28%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Moose 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	31	-0.3	-1%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$997.33
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	17	-17.0	-100%		$9.97	$997.33	$827.78

ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Moose : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '17	John Moraga	Ashkan Mokhtarian	1.62	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jun '17	Mark Hunt	Derrick Lewis	2.15	1.5	TKO, R4 (3:51)
3.	Jun '17	Ion Cutelaba	Luis Henrique da Silva	1.55	5	TKO, R1 (0:21)
4.	Jun '17	J.J. Aldrich	Chan-Mi Jeon	1.45	6	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '17	Tim Elliott	Ben Nguyen	1.50	10	Sub, R1 (0:49)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Moose : Progress Chart

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