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MMA Handicapper Stats: TJ Scott

TJ Scott (TJScott)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - TJ Scott

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 89 (45%) Right 69 (49%) Right 18 (35%) Right 2 (29%)
Wrong 111 (56%) Wrong 72 (51%) Wrong 34 (65%) Wrong 5 (71%)
Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 2.15 Avg Odds 4.27
Units Bet 682.8 Units Bet 488.8 Units Bet 179.5 Units Bet 14.5
Avg Bet 3.41 Avg Bet 3.47 Avg Bet 3.45 Avg Bet 2.07
Units Profit -69.07 Units Profit -30.47 Units Profit -39.35 Units Profit 0.75
ROI % -10% ROI % -6% ROI % -22% ROI % 5%
View Handicapper's Profile

TJ Scott: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 15 -0.4 -3% -3.1 / 11 (-28%) 2.7 / 4 (67%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 11.25 -5.9 -52% -0.6 / 6 (-10%) -5.3 / 5.25 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 3.75 -3.8 -100% -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 20.5 -15.7 -77% -11.7 / 16.5 (-71%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 13.5 -3.3 -25% -1.3 / 11.5 (-12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 35.25 1.3 4% 2.7 / 26.5 (10%) -5.3 / 5.25 (-100%) 3.9 / 3.5 (110%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 7 4.1 58% 4.1 / 7 (58%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 15 10.6 71% 5.7 / 12 (48%) 4.9 / 3 (163%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 12 -0.3 -3% -0.3 / 12 (-3%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 17.75 8.1 46% 8.1 / 17.75 (46%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 11.75 -5.6 -48% -5.6 / 11.75 (-48%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 7 -7.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 9.5 0.6 7% 4.6 / 5.5 (84%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 15.5 -15.5 -100% -13.5 / 13.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 8 1.5 19% 1.5 / 8 (19%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 16 -10.3 -64% -3.3 / 9 (-37%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
17th Feb '18 Bellator 194 11 1.3 12% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 5.3 / 7 (76%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 15.5 -11.5 -74% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) -5.0 / 9 (-56%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 8.5 1.0 12% 1.0 / 8.5 (12%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 15.5 10.9 70% 10.9 / 15.5 (70%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 10.5 2.0 19% 2.0 / 10.5 (19%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 8.5 0.8 10% 0.8 / 8.5 (10%)
2nd Dec '17 TUF 26 Finale 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 11.5 -6.4 -55% -2.9 / 8 (-36%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 25 -3.4 -14% -1.8 / 17 (-11%) -1.6 / 8 (-21%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 13.5 0.9 7% 2.2 / 3.5 (63%) -1.3 / 10 (-13%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 24.25 -9.9 -41% -13.5 / 20.25 (-67%) 3.6 / 4 (90%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 34 9.7 29% 8.5 / 26 (33%) 1.2 / 8 (15%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 13.75 -6.8 -50% -3.8 / 10.75 (-36%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 11.5 -11.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 23 -0.2 -1% -2.3 / 8 (-29%) 2.1 / 15 (14%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 17.5 0.4 2% 4.4 / 13.5 (32%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 7.5 -0.3 -4% -0.3 / 7.5 (-4%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 28.5 -7.7 -27% -4.2 / 16.5 (-26%) 0.1 / 8.5 (1%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 15 3.3 22% -3.2 / 11 (-30%) 6.6 / 4 (165%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 15.5 3.4 22% 1.9 / 11.5 (17%) 1.5 / 4 (37%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 7.5 -1.1 -14% -1.1 / 7.5 (-14%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 13.5 -5.6 -42% -1.1 / 9 (-12%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 23 -3.5 -15% -6.6 / 12.5 (-53%) 3.2 / 10.5 (30%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 18 6.5 36% 3.7 / 3.5 (105%) 2.8 / 14.5 (20%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 24 -10.5 -44% 0.5 / 13 (4%) -9.5 / 9.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 25 7.4 30% 0.8 / 19 (4%) 6.6 / 6 (110%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 15.5 8.6 55% 13.6 / 10.5 (129%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 22.5 -0.3 -1% -0.3 / 22.5 (-1%)


Winning Events: 19 (42%)
Losing Events: 26 (58%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.17 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.25 units
Best Event: 10.87 units
Worst Event: -15.75 units
Average Event: -1.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 16.04
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -29.09

TJ Scott: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2018 271.25 -41.8 -15% -21.0 / 212.25 (-10%) -28.1 / 51 (-55%) 7.3 / 8 (91%) 9 / 12 (43%) -1.99
2017 411.5 -27.2 -7% -9.4 / 276.5 (-3%) -11.3 / 128.5 (-9%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) 10 / 14 (42%) -1.13

TJ Scott: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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TJ Scott: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 671.75 -70.4 -10% -26.5 / 484.75 (-5%) -44.7 / 172.5 (-26%) 0.8 / 14.5 (5%)
Bellator 11 1.3 12% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 5.3 / 7 (76%)

TJ Scott: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 19 (13%) 15 79 % 76.75 6.59 0.35 9%
Slight Favorites 57 (40%) 30 53 % 211.25 -18.87 -0.33 -9%
Slight Underdogs 51 (36%) 21 41 % 169.50 -15.65 -0.31 -9%
Big Underdogs 14 (10%) 3 21 % 31.25 -2.55 -0.18 -8%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 16 (11%) 6 38 % 55.00 -8.82 -0.55 -16%
Co-Main Event 12 (9%) 6 50 % 42.00 -0.90 -0.08 -2%
Position 3-5 37 (26%) 19 51 % 126.75 -7.01 -0.19 -6%
6+ (Undercard) 76 (54%) 38 50 % 265.00 -13.74 -0.18 -5%

TJ Scott: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 13 (9%) 7 54 % 51.00 -6.18 -0.48 -12%
Light Heavy 10 (7%) 2 20 % 33.00 -21.30 -2.13 -65%
Middleweight 18 (13%) 10 56 % 52.50 9.82 0.55 19%
Welterweight 29 (21%) 13 45 % 99.00 -14.95 -0.52 -15%
Lightweight 14 (10%) 6 43 % 46.00 -4.59 -0.33 -10%
Featherweight 22 (16%) 12 55 % 82.25 -2.44 -0.11 -3%
Bantamweight 14 (10%) 7 50 % 51.50 4.33 0.31 8%
Flyweight 8 (6%) 6 75 % 27.75 12.51 1.56 45%
               
Women's Fights 13 (9%) 6 46 % 45.75 -7.68 -0.59 -17%
Bantamweight 3 (2%) 1 33 % 11.00 -0.50 -0.17 -5%
Flyweight 3 (2%) 1 33 % 11.75 -6.50 -2.17 -55%
Strawweight 7 (5%) 4 57 % 23.00 -0.68 -0.10 -3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 9 (45%) 7 78 %
Slight Favorites 7 (35%) 1 14 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (10%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 2 (10%) 1 50 %
20 9 45 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (2%) 1 100 %
50-65% 26 (47%) 12 46 %
35-50% 18 (33%) 5 28 %
<35% chance 10 (18%) 1 10 %
55 19 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (16%) 6 67 % 1.78 2.45Pick was incorrect 1.37Pick was correct 1.1 (12%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 34 (62%) 11 32 % 1.95 2.65Pick was correct 1.59Pick was incorrect -11.6 (-34%)
Goes to Decision 1 (2%) 0 0 % 3.50 3.50Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.67 1.67Pick was correct 1.67Pick was correct 0.7 (67%)
X Wins by KO 2 (4%) 0 0 % 4.01 4.45Pick was incorrect 3.65Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (4%) 0 0 % 4.88 7.65Pick was incorrect 3.58Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (2%) 0 0 % 5.95 5.95Pick was incorrect 5.95Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (7%) 1 25 % 3.86 11.50Pick was incorrect 2.31Pick was incorrect 0.2 (4%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (2%) 0 0 % 3.45 3.45Pick was incorrect 3.45Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
55 19 35 % 2.13     -16.7 (-30%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail TJ Scott's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 22.5 -0.3 -1% $10.00 $1,000.00 $997.07
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 15.5 8.6 55% $9.97 $997.07 $1,082.65
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 25 7.4 30% $10.83 $1,082.65 $1,162.77
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 24 -10.5 -44% $11.63 $1,162.77 $1,040.33
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 18 6.5 36% $10.40 $1,040.33 $1,108.04
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 23 -3.5 -15% $3 $11.08 $1,108.04 $1,066.54
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 13.5 -5.6 -42% $10.67 $1,066.54 $1,006.55
8th Jul UFC 213 7.5 -1.1 -14% $10.07 $1,006.55 $995.64
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 15.5 3.4 22% $9.96 $995.64 $1,029.55
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 15 3.3 22% $10.30 $1,029.55 $1,064.04
29th Jul UFC 214 28.5 -7.7 -27% $3 $10.64 $1,064.04 $979.55
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 7.5 -0.3 -4% $3 $9.80 $979.55 $973.36
9th Sep UFC 215 17.5 0.4 2% $3 $9.73 $973.36 $974.07
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 23 -0.2 -1% $3 $9.74 $974.07 $968.98
7th Oct UFC 216 11.5 -11.5 -100% $3 $9.69 $968.98 $854.54
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 13.75 -6.8 -50% $3 $8.55 $854.54 $793.06
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 34 9.7 29% $3 $7.93 $793.06 $866.92
4th Nov UFC 217 24.25 -9.9 -41% $3 $8.67 $866.92 $778.13
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 13.5 0.9 7% $3 $7.78 $778.13 $782.06
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 25 -3.4 -14% $3 $7.82 $782.06 $752.10
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 11.5 -6.4 -55% $3 $7.52 $752.10 $701.29
2nd Dec TUF 26 Finale 3 -3.0 -100% $7.01 $701.29 $680.25
2nd Dec UFC 218 8.5 0.8 10% $3 $6.80 $680.25 $682.84
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 10.5 2.0 19% $3 $6.83 $682.84 $693.45
20th Jan UFC 220 15.5 10.9 70% $3 $6.93 $693.45 $765.79
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 8.5 1.0 12% $3 $7.66 $765.79 $770.70
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 2 -2.0 -100% $3 $7.71 $770.70 $752.28
10th Feb UFC 221 15.5 -11.5 -74% $3 $7.52 $752.28 $662.55
17th Feb Bellator 194 11 1.3 12% $3 $6.63 $662.55 $668.22
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 16 -10.3 -64% $6.68 $668.22 $599.31
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 8 1.5 19% $5.99 $599.31 $608.47
3rd Mar UFC 222 15.5 -15.5 -100% $3 $6.08 $608.47 $511.16
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 9.5 0.6 7% $5.11 $511.16 $514.36
7th Apr UFC 223 7 -7.0 -100% $5.14 $514.36 $478.35
12th May UFC 224 11.75 -5.6 -48% $3 $4.78 $478.35 $448.57
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 17.75 8.1 46% $3 $4.49 $448.57 $481.99
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 12 -0.3 -3% $4.82 $481.99 $480.39
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 15 10.6 71% $4.80 $480.39 $531.52
9th Jun UFC 225 7 4.1 58% $5.32 $531.52 $553.14
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 35.25 1.3 4% $5.53 $553.14 $560.47
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 13.5 -3.3 -25% $3 $5.60 $560.47 $538.70
7th Jul UFC 226 20.5 -15.7 -77% $3 $5.39 $538.70 $450.85
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 3.75 -3.8 -100% $4.51 $450.85 $433.95
4th Aug UFC 227 11.25 -5.9 -52% $3 $4.34 $433.95 $405.53
6th Oct UFC 229 15 -0.4 -3% $4.06 $405.53 $403.97


ROI % from starting bank balance: -59.60% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

TJ Scott: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '18 Jussier Formiga Sergio Pettis 2.65 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '18 Paid Pick Pedro Munhoz Brett Johns 1.54 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '18 Paid Pick Paulo Costa Urijah Hall 1.36 3.5 TKO, R2 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '18 Israel Adesanya Brad Tavares 1.91 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '18 Alex Caceres Martin Bravo 1.77 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '18 Kenan Song Hector Aldana 1.33 4 TKO, R2 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '18 Yuta Sasaki Jenel Lausa 1.36 3.75 Sub, R2 (4:4) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '18 Li Jingliang Daichi Abe 1.33 4.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '18 Yadong Song Felipe Arantes 1.80 3.5 TKO, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '18 Matt Schnell Naoki Inoue 2.60 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '18 Mirsad Bektic Ricardo Lamas 1.42 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '18 Colby Covington Rafael dos Anjos 1.80 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '18 Walt Harris Daniel Spitz 1.43 4 TKO, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '18 Ben Saunders Jake Ellenberger 2.50 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:56) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '18 Julio Arce Daniel Teymur 1.65 3.5 Sub, R3 (2:55) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '18 Darren Stewart Eric Spicely 2.40 2.5 TKO, R2 (1:47) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '18 Arnold Allen Mads Burnell 1.42 4 Sub, R3 (2:41) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '18 Paid Pick Gabriel Benitez Humberto Bandenay 1.63 3.25 TKO, R1 (0:39) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '18 Paid Pick Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Moreno 1.91 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '18 Michel Prazeres Zak Cummings 2.70 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '18 Jalin Turner Vicente Luque 7.00 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:52) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '18 Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis 1.67 2.5 TKO, R3 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '18 Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson 1.87 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '18 Paid Pick Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 2.20 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '18 Kurt Holobaugh Raoni Barcelos 1.63 3.75 TKO, R3 (1:39) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '18 Michael Chiesa Anthony Pettis 1.59 3.5 Sub, R2 (0:52) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '18 Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier 1.47 4 TKO, R1 (4:33) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '18 Rob Font Raphael Assuncao 2.20 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '18 Paid Pick Gokhan Saki Khalil Rountree 1.74 3 TKO, R1 (1:36) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '18 Matt Bessette Steven Peterson 1.77 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '18 Joe Giannetti Mike Trizano 1.67 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '18 Tyson Pedro Ovince St Preux 1.67 2.5 Sub, R1 (2:54) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '18 Jessica-Rose Clark Jessica Eye 1.65 3.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '18 Donald Cerrone Leon Edwards 2.80 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '18 Johnny Eduardo Nathaniel Wood 3.20 2 Sub, R2 (2:18) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '18 Stephen Thompson Darren Till 1.69 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '18 Gina Mazany Lina Lansberg 1.87 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '18 Jared Cannonier Dominick Reyes 3.00 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:55) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '18 Thales Leites Jack Hermansson 2.15 3 TKO, R3 (2:10) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '18 Paid Pick Amanda Cooper Mackenzie Dern 3.30 2.75 Sub, R1 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

TJ Scott: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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