MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2350

MMA Handicapper Stats: Howling Swede

Howling Swede (Howling Swede)

MMA MHandicapper - Howling Swede

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	93 (51%)	Right	63 (62%)	Right	21 (37%)	Right	9 (38%)
Wrong	90 (49%)	Wrong	39 (38%)	Wrong	36 (63%)	Wrong	15 (63%)
Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.78	Avg Odds	2.00	Avg Odds	2.27
Units Bet	231.2	Units Bet	167.0	Units Bet	44.4	Units Bet	19.8
Avg Bet	1.26	Avg Bet	1.64	Avg Bet	0.78	Avg Bet	0.82
Units Profit	16.73	Units Profit	12.34	Units Profit	5.55	Units Profit	-1.16
ROI %	7%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	12%	ROI %	-6%

Howling Swede: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	5.5	-0.4	-6%	-0.4 / 5.5 (-6%)
9th Sep '17	UFC 215	10.5	-1.0	-9%	1.0 / 8.5 (12%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17	UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov	5.5	-0.9	-16%	-0.9 / 5.5 (-16%)
5th Aug '17	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	2.5	3.5	140%	3.5 / 2.5 (140%)
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	19	8.1	43%	-4.4 / 16.5 (-26%)	12.5 / 2.5 (500%)
25th Jul '17	DWTNF 3	1.5	1.6	105%	1.6 / 1.5 (105%)
22nd Jul '17	UFC on Fox 25	24	-2.2	-9%	-2.2 / 24 (-9%)
18th Jul '17	Dana White's TNCS 2	2	2.2	110%	2.2 / 2 (110%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	12.5	-6.3	-50%	-8.1 / 10.5 (-78%)		1.8 / 2 (92%)
14th Jul '17	Bellator 181 Campos vs. Girtz 3	6	3.2	53%	3.2 / 6 (53%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	9	2.7	30%	2.7 / 9 (30%)
7th Jul '17	TUF Season 25 Finale	8.75	-1.0	-12%	0.6 / 6.5 (9%)	-1.3 / 2 (-67%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	11	-4.7	-43%	-3.1 / 8 (-39%)	-0.6 / 2 (-31%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jun '17	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	5	1.3	27%	2.3 / 4 (58%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	19.5	2.6	13%	3.5 / 11 (32%)	-0.5 / 6.5 (-7%)	-0.5 / 2 (-23%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	16	3.9	25%	1.8 / 11 (16%)	1.5 / 2 (74%)	0.7 / 3 (22%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	21.4	7.6	36%	4.4 / 13 (34%)	3.4 / 7.4 (45%)	-0.1 / 1 (-9%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	19.5	-1.9	-10%	5.6 / 7 (81%)	-5.5 / 10.5 (-53%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	18	-9.8	-55%	-3.4 / 9.5 (-36%)	-4.4 / 6.5 (-68%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	14.5	8.2	56%	2.4 / 5.5 (43%)	2.6 / 3.5 (75%)	3.2 / 5.5 (57%)

Winning Events: 11 (55%)
Losing Events: 9 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.58 units
Most Staked On One Event: 24.00 units
Best Event: 8.15 units
Worst Event: -9.83 units
Average Event: 0.84 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 15.47
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.72

Howling Swede: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	231.65	16.7	7%	12.3 / 167 (7%)	5.5 / 44.9 (12%)	-1.2 / 19.75 (-6%)	11 / 9 (55%)	0.84

Howling Swede: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

Howling Swede: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	217.15	8.4	4%	3.0 / 153.5 (2%)	5.5 / 44.9 (12%)	-0.2 / 18.75 (-1%)
Bellator	11	4.5	41%	5.5 / 10 (55%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Other	3.5	3.8	108%	3.8 / 3.5 (108%)

Howling Swede: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	34 (30%)	26	76 %	54.00	2.07	0.06	4%
Slight Favorites	33 (29%)	24	73 %	48.00	2.66	0.08	6%
Slight Underdogs	36 (32%)	19	53 %	48.00	19.21	0.53	40%
Big Underdogs	10 (9%)	1	10 %	17.00	-11.60	-1.16	-68%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	17 (15%)	11	65 %	35.50	3.68	0.22	10%
Co-Main Event	14 (12%)	8	57 %	20.50	-3.01	-0.21	-15%
Position 3-5	34 (30%)	21	62 %	50.50	8.47	0.25	17%
6+ (Undercard)	48 (42%)	30	63 %	60.50	3.19	0.07	5%

Howling Swede: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (7%)	6	75 %	15.00	4.11	0.51	27%
Light Heavy	10 (9%)	6	60 %	16.50	-0.52	-0.05	-3%
Middleweight	13 (12%)	10	77 %	19.50	5.94	0.46	30%
Welterweight	22 (19%)	14	64 %	28.00	6.73	0.31	24%
Lightweight	15 (13%)	10	67 %	22.00	2.86	0.19	13%
Featherweight	17 (15%)	10	59 %	26.50	1.10	0.06	4%
Bantamweight	7 (6%)	3	43 %	13.00	-5.96	-0.85	-46%
Flyweight	7 (6%)	3	43 %	9.00	1.27	0.18	14%

Women's Fights	14 (12%)	8	57 %	17.50	-3.18	-0.23	-18%
Bantamweight	4 (4%)	3	75 %	6.00	-1.61	-0.40	-27%
Strawweight	10 (9%)	5	50 %	11.50	-1.57	-0.16	-14%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	27 (68%)	21	78 %
Slight Favorites	7 (18%)	5	71 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (10%)	3	75 %
Big Underdogs	2 (5%)	0	0 %
	40	29	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	25 (35%)	12	48 %
50-65%	18 (25%)	6	33 %
35-50%	11 (15%)	4	36 %
<35% chance	17 (24%)	5	29 %
	71	27	38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (7%)	3	60 %	1.47	1.87	1.34	-0.3 (-6%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (11%)	2	25 %	1.84	2.87	1.37	-4.8 (-60%)
Goes to Decision	5 (7%)	2	40 %	1.55	3.50	1.25	-2.2 (-45%)
Does not go to Decision	12 (17%)	5	42 %	1.41	2.30	1.12	-5.4 (-45%)
Fight Starts Round X	6 (8%)	2	33 %	1.41	1.71	1.25	-3.1 (-51%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (3%)	1	50 %	1.55	1.58	1.51	-0.5 (-24%)
X Wins by KO	8 (11%)	3	38 %	2.12	3.50	1.70	-0.2 (-2%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (3%)	1	50 %	3.74	11.00	2.25	9.0 (450%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (1%)	0	0 %	2.40	2.40	2.40	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	13 (18%)	4	31 %	2.26	4.75	1.44	-2.8 (-21%)
X Wins in Round X	7 (10%)	3	43 %	13.17	23.00	5.50	39.0 (557%)
X Doesn't Win in Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	19.00	19.00	19.00	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.86	1.86	1.86	0.9 (86%)
	71	27	38 %	1.94			27.5 (39%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Howling Swede's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	14.5	8.2	56%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,081.54
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	18	-9.8	-55%		$10.82	$1,081.54	$975.19
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	19.5	-1.9	-10%		$9.75	$975.19	$956.81
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	21.4	7.6	36%		$9.57	$956.81	$1,029.92
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	16	3.9	25%		$10.30	$1,029.92	$1,070.42
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	19.5	2.6	13%		$10.70	$1,070.42	$1,097.95
24th Jun	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	5	1.3	27%		$10.98	$1,097.95	$1,112.54
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	11	-4.7	-43%		$11.13	$1,112.54	$1,060.03
7th Jul	TUF Season 25 Finale	8.75	-1.0	-12%		$10.60	$1,060.03	$1,049.21
8th Jul	UFC 213	9	2.7	30%		$10.49	$1,049.21	$1,077.11
14th Jul	Bellator 181 Campos vs. Girtz 3	6	3.2	53%	$5	$10.77	$1,077.11	$1,106.58
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	12.5	-6.3	-50%	$5	$11.07	$1,106.58	$1,031.76
18th Jul	Dana White's TNCS 2	2	2.2	110%		$10.32	$1,031.76	$1,054.46
22nd Jul	UFC on Fox 25	24	-2.2	-9%	$5	$10.54	$1,054.46	$1,026.16
25th Jul	DWTNF 3	1.5	1.6	105%		$10.26	$1,026.16	$1,042.32
29th Jul	UFC 214	19	8.1	43%	$5	$10.42	$1,042.32	$1,122.08
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	2.5	3.5	140%	$5	$11.22	$1,122.08	$1,156.35
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov	5.5	-0.9	-16%		$11.56	$1,156.35	$1,146.23
9th Sep	UFC 215	10.5	-1.0	-9%		$11.46	$1,146.23	$1,135.32
4th Nov	UFC 217	5.5	-0.4	-6%		$11.35	$1,135.32	$1,131.26

ROI % from starting bank balance: 13.13% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Howling Swede: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '17	Ilir Latifi	Tyson Pedro	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Sep '17	Rafael dos Anjos	Neil Magny	1.53	1	Sub, R1 (3:43)
3.	Sep '17	Alex White	Mitch Clarke	1.53	2.5	TKO, R2 (4:36)
4.	Nov '17	Georges St-Pierre	Michael Bisping	1.71	3	Sub, R3 (4:23)
5.	Sep '17	Alexander Volkov	Stefan Struve	1.85	2.5	TKO, R3 (3:34)
6.	Aug '17	Sergio Pettis	Brandon Moreno	2.40	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Jul '17	Volkan Oezdemir	Jimi Manuwa	2.58	2	TKO, R1 (0:42)
8.	Jul '17	Robbie Lawler	Donald Cerrone	1.63	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '17	Tyron Woodley	Demian Maia	1.45	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Jul '17	Dan Ige	Luis Gomez	2.05	1.5	Sub, R3 (3:23)
11.	Jul '17	Alex Oliveira	Ryan LaFlare	2.60	2	TKO, R2 (1:50)
12.	Jul '17	Jimmie Rivera	Thomas Almeida	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jul '17	Shane Burgos	Godofredo Pepey	1.27	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jul '17	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Lyman Good	2.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jul '17	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Lyman Good	1.27	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jul '17	Jimmie Rivera	Thomas Almeida	1.45	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jul '17	Thanh Le	Lazar Stojadinovic	2.10	2	TKO, R2 (1:35)
18.	Jul '17	Emily Ducote	Jessica Middleton	1.45	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jul '17	John Salter	Kendall Grove	1.45	2
20.	Jul '17	Derek Campos	Brandon Girtz	1.70	2	TKO, R2 (5:0)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '17	Valentina Shevchenko	Amanda Nunes	1.79	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Nov '17	Cody Garbrandt	T.J. Dillashaw	1.69	2.5	TKO, R2 (2:41)	No
3.	Sep '17	Bojan Velickovic	Darren Till	2.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '17	Desmond Green	Rustam Khabilov	3.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jul '17	Renato Moicano	Brian Ortega	1.69	2	Sub, R3 (2:59)	No
6.	Jul '17	Renan Barao	Aljamain Sterling	2.05	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '17	Damian Grabowski	Chase Sherman	3.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '17	Dennis Bermudez	Darren Elkins	1.47	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '17	Gian Villante	Patrick Cummins	1.63	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jul '17	Lyman Good	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1.27	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jul '17	Daniel Cormier	Jon Jones	3.16	5	TKO, R3 (3:1)	No
12.	Jul '17	Kelvin Gastelum	Chris Weidman	1.69	4	Sub, R3 (3:45)	No
13.	Jul '17	Paul Craig	Khalil Rountree	2.75	1	TKO, R1 (4:56)	No
14.	Jul '17	Gunnar Nelson	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.63	2	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
15.	Jul '17	Stevie Ray	Paul Felder	1.77	2	TKO, R1 (3:57)	No
16.	Jul '17	Albert Morales	Brett Johns	4.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '17	Joanne Wood	Cynthia Calvillo	3.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jul '17	Jim Miller	Anthony Pettis	2.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Jul '17	Travis Browne	Aleksei Oleinik	1.45	1.5	Sub, R2 (3:44)	No
20.	Jul '17	Dhiego Lima	Jesse Taylor	2.50	0.5	Sub, R2 (0:43)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Howling Swede: Progress Chart

Chart

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
In Depth UFC Fight Stats
List of MMA Bookmakers
Best MMA Tipsters
Next UFC Event