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MMA Handicapper Stats: Newsome MMA

Newsome MMA (newsomemma)


MMA MHandicapper - Newsome MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 112 (56%) Right 61 (54%) Right 30 (68%) Right 21 (49%)
Wrong 87 (44%) Wrong 51 (46%) Wrong 14 (32%) Wrong 22 (51%)
Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 1.82 Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 2.27
Units Bet 408.5 Units Bet 252.5 Units Bet 74.3 Units Bet 81.7
Avg Bet 2.05 Avg Bet 2.25 Avg Bet 1.69 Avg Bet 1.90
Units Profit 15.95 Units Profit -3.35 Units Profit 16.34 Units Profit 2.96
ROI % 4% ROI % -1% ROI % 22% ROI % 4%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 7 -2.3 -33% -2.3 / 7 (-33%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 10 2.0 20% 2.0 / 10 (20%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 10 -5.5 -55% -5.5 / 10 (-55%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 8 3.8 47% 3.8 / 8 (47%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 12 2.4 20% 4.4 / 10 (44%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 8.5 8.1 95% 4.5 / 5 (90%) 3.5 / 3.5 (101%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 9 -5.2 -58% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -2.7 / 6.5 (-41%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 8 4.9 62% 3.5 / 7 (50%) 1.5 / 1 (145%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 12.5 0.4 3% 0.4 / 12.5 (3%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 14 -5.8 -41% -7.7 / 12 (-64%) 1.9 / 2 (95%)
1st Dec '17 Bellator 189 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 8.5 -2.0 -23% -3.3 / 7 (-46%) 1.3 / 1.5 (85%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 9.5 3.7 39% 3.7 / 9.5 (39%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 9 -2.7 -30% -0.7 / 7 (-10%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 16 -0.3 -2% -3.6 / 11.5 (-31%) 1.7 / 2 (83%) 1.6 / 2.5 (63%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 9.75 3.1 32% 2.0 / 7.5 (26%) 1.1 / 2.25 (51%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 8 0.5 7% 0.5 / 8 (7%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 9 5.6 63% 3.8 / 7 (55%) 1.8 / 2 (90%)
23rd Sep '17 ACB 70 Barnatt VS. Askham 2 2.1 105% 2.1 / 2 (105%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 8 5.0 62% 2.9 / 5 (57%) 2.1 / 3 (70%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 12 -0.1 -1% -0.1 / 7.5 (-1%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 1.5 / 3 (49%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 10.5 -6.6 -63% -3.6 / 7.5 (-48%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 7.5 2.3 31% 1.3 / 2.5 (53%) -0.6 / 3 (-21%) 1.6 / 2 (80%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 10 4.2 42% 3.9 / 5 (79%) 0.2 / 5 (5%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 15.5 -2.9 -19% -2.6 / 11.5 (-23%) 1.2 / 2.5 (48%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 10.2 -4.0 -40% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.0 / 3.2 (93%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 10.5 -4.7 -44% -5.6 / 9 (-62%) 0.9 / 1.5 (62%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 9.5 7.9 83% 4.8 / 4.5 (106%) 3.2 / 5 (63%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 9 0.1 1% 1.1 / 8 (14%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 10.5 -0.5 -5% 0.4 / 6.5 (6%) 1.1 / 2 (53%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 1.5 2.4 163% 2.4 / 1.5 (163%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 20 8.3 42% 8.2 / 14 (59%) 0.1 / 6 (2%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 16.5 -2.0 -12% -0.4 / 8.5 (-5%) 0.4 / 6 (7%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 14 0.9 7% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.2 / 3 (40%) 1.7 / 9 (19%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 22 0.4 2% 0.6 / 4 (15%) 1.3 / 7 (19%) -1.5 / 11 (-14%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 18 -5.8 -32% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) 2.0 / 6 (33%) -1.3 / 5.5 (-24%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 13.5 11.1 82% 11.1 / 13.5 (82%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 14.5 -8.4 -58% -8.4 / 14.5 (-58%)


Winning Events: 21 (54%)
Losing Events: 18 (46%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 58 5.9 10% 4.3 / 52.5 (8%) 1.5 / 5.5 (28%) 4 / 3 (57%) 0.84
2017 350.45 10.1 3% -7.7 / 200 (-4%) 14.8 / 68.75 (22%) 3.0 / 81.7 (4%) 17 / 15 (53%) 0.31

Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 400.45 15.9 4% -3.4 / 244.5 (-1%) 16.3 / 74.25 (22%) 3.0 / 81.7 (4%)
Bellator 6 -2.1 -34% -2.1 / 6 (-34%)
Other 2 2.1 105% 2.1 / 2 (105%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 31 (28%) 23 74 % 101.00 6.76 0.22 7%
Slight Favorites 38 (34%) 19 50 % 85.00 -15.42 -0.41 -18%
Slight Underdogs 35 (31%) 15 43 % 57.50 0.59 0.02 1%
Big Underdogs 8 (7%) 4 50 % 9.00 4.73 0.59 53%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 26 (23%) 12 46 % 64.50 -6.62 -0.25 -10%
Co-Main Event 14 (13%) 10 71 % 32.00 11.78 0.84 37%
Position 3-5 38 (34%) 18 47 % 80.50 -11.12 -0.29 -14%
6+ (Undercard) 34 (30%) 21 62 % 75.50 2.62 0.08 3%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 16 (14%) 9 56 % 33.50 -1.56 -0.10 -5%
Light Heavy 8 (7%) 5 63 % 26.50 1.25 0.16 5%
Middleweight 15 (13%) 10 67 % 41.00 4.53 0.30 11%
Welterweight 23 (21%) 14 61 % 57.00 3.13 0.14 5%
Lightweight 25 (22%) 13 52 % 46.50 -2.43 -0.10 -5%
Featherweight 12 (11%) 5 42 % 20.50 -0.14 -0.01 -1%
Bantamweight 5 (4%) 3 60 % 7.50 1.84 0.37 25%
Flyweight 2 (2%) 0 % 3.50 -3.50 -1.75 -100%
               
Women's Fights 6 (5%) 2 33 % 16.50 -6.47 -1.08 -39%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -2.50 -100%
Strawweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 11.50 -1.47 -0.37 -13%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 50 (79%) 40 80 %
Slight Favorites 9 (14%) 5 56 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (6%) 3 75 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
63 48 76 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 14 (21%) 10 71 %
50-65% 34 (50%) 21 62 %
35-50% 16 (24%) 7 44 %
<35% chance 4 (6%) 1 25 %
68 39 57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 24 (35%) 17 71 % 1.56 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct 2.7 (11%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (13%) 7 78 % 1.69 2.05Pick was correct 1.31Pick was correct 3.0 (34%)
Does not go to Decision 9 (13%) 6 67 % 1.64 2.45Pick was correct 1.36Pick was incorrect 1.6 (18%)
X Wins by KO 12 (18%) 4 33 % 2.23 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.62Pick was incorrect -4.2 (-35%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (1%) 0 0 % 4.50 4.50Pick was incorrect 4.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.91 1.91Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 8 (12%) 4 50 % 2.06 2.50Pick was incorrect 1.62Pick was correct 0.3 (3%)
Others 4 (6%) 1 25 % 2.71 4.20Pick was correct 2.38Pick was incorrect 2.2 (55%)
68 39 57 % 1.80     3.5 (5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 14.5 -8.4 -58% $10.00 $1,000.00 $916.09
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 13.5 11.1 82% $9.16 $916.09 $1,017.94
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 18 -5.8 -32% $10.18 $1,017.94 $958.63
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 22 0.4 2% $9.59 $958.63 $961.98
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 14 0.9 7% $9.62 $961.98 $970.93
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 16.5 -2.0 -12% $9.71 $970.93 $951.87
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 20 8.3 42% $9.52 $951.87 $1,031.27
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 1.5 2.4 163% $10.31 $1,031.27 $1,056.49
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 10.5 -0.5 -5% $10.56 $1,056.49 $1,050.71
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 9 0.1 1% $10.51 $1,050.71 $1,051.98
8th Jul UFC 213 9.5 7.9 83% $10.52 $1,051.98 $1,135.15
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 10.5 -4.7 -44% $11.35 $1,135.15 $1,082.20
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 10.2 -4.0 -40% $10.82 $1,082.20 $1,038.53
29th Jul UFC 214 15.5 -2.9 -19% $10.39 $1,038.53 $1,008.31
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 10 4.2 42% $10.08 $1,008.31 $1,050.37
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 7.5 2.3 31% $10.50 $1,050.37 $1,074.71
9th Sep UFC 215 10.5 -6.6 -63% $10.75 $1,074.71 $1,003.50
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 12 -0.1 -1% $10.03 $1,003.50 $1,002.35
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 8 5.0 62% $10.02 $1,002.35 $1,052.17
23rd Sep ACB 70 Barnatt VS. Askham 2 2.1 105% $10.52 $1,052.17 $1,074.27
7th Oct UFC 216 9 5.6 63% $10.74 $1,074.27 $1,134.89
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 8 0.5 7% $11.35 $1,134.89 $1,140.89
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 9.75 3.1 32% $11.41 $1,140.89 $1,176.48
4th Nov UFC 217 16 -0.3 -2% $11.76 $1,176.48 $1,172.64
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 9 -2.7 -30% $11.73 $1,172.64 $1,140.98
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 9.5 3.7 39% $11.41 $1,140.98 $1,183.12
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 8.5 -2.0 -23% $11.83 $1,183.12 $1,159.71
1st Dec Bellator 189 2 -2.0 -100% $11.60 $1,159.71 $1,136.51
2nd Dec UFC 218 14 -5.8 -41% $11.37 $1,136.51 $1,070.93
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 12.5 0.4 3% $10.71 $1,070.93 $1,075.46
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 8 4.9 62% $10.75 $1,075.46 $1,128.48
31st Dec UFC 219 9 -5.2 -58% $11.28 $1,128.48 $1,069.98
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 8.5 8.1 95% $10.70 $1,069.98 $1,156.19
20th Jan UFC 220 12 2.4 20% $11.56 $1,156.19 $1,183.95
20th Jan Bellator 192 2.5 -2.5 -100% $11.84 $1,183.95 $1,154.35
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 8 3.8 47% $11.54 $1,154.35 $1,197.95
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 10 -5.5 -55% $11.98 $1,197.95 $1,131.71
10th Feb UFC 221 10 2.0 20% $11.32 $1,131.71 $1,153.90
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 7 -2.3 -33% $11.54 $1,153.90 $1,127.48


ROI % from starting bank balance: 12.75% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '18 Carlos Diego Ferreira Jared Gordon 3.22 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:58) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '18 Carlos Diego Ferreira Jared Gordon 3.10 1 TKO, R1 (1:58) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '18 Alan Patrick Damir Hadzovic 1.49 3 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '18 Andre Fili Dennis Bermudez 2.40 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '18 Niko Price George Sullivan 1.53 2.5 Sub, R2 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '18 Vinc Pichel Joaquim Silva 2.17 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '18 Islam Makhachev Gleison Tibau 1.53 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:57) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '18 Tai Tuivasa Cyril Asker 1.53 1 TKO, R1 (2:18) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '18 Curtis Blaydes Mark Hunt 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '18 Curtis Blaydes Mark Hunt 1.67 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '18 Tai Tuivasa Cyril Asker 1.53 3 TKO, R1 (2:18) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '18 Darren Elkins Michael Johnson 2.50 1.5 Sub, R2 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '18 Daniel Cormier Volkan Oezdemir 1.39 6.5 TKO, R2 (2:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '18 Jeremy Stephens Doo Ho Choi 2.88 2 TKO, R2 (2:36) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '17 Santiago Ponzinibbio Mike Perry 1.66 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '17 Scott Holtzman Darrell Horcher 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '17 Davi Ramos Chris Gruetzemacher 1.38 5 Sub, R3 (0:50) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '17 Scott Holtzman Darrell Horcher 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '17 Tecia Torres Michelle Waterson 1.73 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '17 Wang Guan Alex Caceres 2.50 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '18 Francisco Trinaldo James Vick 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '18 Marcin Tybura Derrick Lewis 1.90 0.5 TKO, R3 (2:48) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '18 Marcin Tybura Derrick Lewis 1.90 2 TKO, R3 (2:48) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '18 Yancy Medeiros Donald Cerrone 2.18 2 TKO, R1 (4:58) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '18 Tim Means Sergio Moraes 1.55 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '18 Eryk Anders Lyoto Machida 1.39 4 Split Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '18 Derek Brunson Ronaldo Souza 2.50 2 TKO, R1 (3:50) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '18 Quinton Jackson Chael Sonnen 1.71 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '18 Li Jingliang Jake Matthews 1.83 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '18 Paige VanZant Jessica-Rose Clark 2.29 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '17 Marc Diakiese Daniel Hooker 1.57 2.5 Sub, R3 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '17 Danny Roberts Nordine Taleb 2.30 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:59) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '17 Marcos Galvao Sam Sicilia 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '17 Alex Oliveira Yancy Medeiros 1.53 4 TKO, R3 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '17 Justin Gaethje Eddie Alvarez 1.57 2.5 TKO, R3 (3:59) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '17 Alistair Overeem Francis Ngannou 2.72 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:42) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '17 Chase Sherman Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.26 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:24) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '17 Muslim Salikhov Alex Garcia 1.61 3 Sub, R2 (3:22) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '17 Jose Aldo Max Holloway 3.16 1.5 TKO, R3 (4:51) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '17 Bojan Velickovic Jake Matthews 2.38 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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