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MMA Handicapper Stats: BMMA Justin

BMMA Justin (Justina)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	32 (49%)	Right	23 (52%)	Right	9 (75%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	33 (51%)	Wrong	21 (48%)	Wrong	3 (25%)	Wrong	9 (100%)
Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.72	Avg Odds	2.20
Units Bet	429.5	Units Bet	326.5	Units Bet	79.0	Units Bet	24.0
Avg Bet	6.61	Avg Bet	7.42	Avg Bet	6.58	Avg Bet	2.67
Units Profit	-6.27	Units Profit	-0.51	Units Profit	18.24	Units Profit	-24.00
ROI %	-1%	ROI %	-0%	ROI %	23%	ROI %	-100%

BMMA Justin : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	30	-13.7	-46%	-3.7 / 20 (-19%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	33	-15.4	-47%	-15.4 / 33 (-47%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	11	5.5	50%		5.5 / 11 (50%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	11	8.0	72%		8.0 / 11 (72%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	33	1.7	5%	-4.1 / 22 (-19%)	5.9 / 11 (53%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	10	8.0	80%	8.0 / 10 (80%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	25	-8.9	-35%	1.1 / 15 (8%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	11	6.3	57%	6.3 / 11 (57%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	20	-2.0	-10%	8.0 / 10 (80%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	7	2.5	36%		4.5 / 5 (91%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Aug '17	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	33	11.0	33%	11.0 / 33 (33%)
22nd Jul '17	UFC on Fox 25	11	8.8	80%	8.8 / 11 (80%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	11	11.0	100%	11.0 / 11 (100%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
7th Jul '17	TUF Season 25 Finale	11	10.0	91%	10.0 / 11 (91%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	27	-0.2	-1%	-0.2 / 27 (-1%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	10	-2.1	-21%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	2.9 / 5 (57%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	11	8.8	80%		8.8 / 11 (80%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	11	5.9	53%	5.9 / 11 (53%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	32	-5.8	-18%	-4.8 / 30 (-16%)	-1.0 / 2 (-50%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	11	0.3	3%	1.3 / 7.5 (17%)	1.1 / 1.5 (72%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	18	-18.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	11.5	14.1	122%	11.4 / 9 (127%)	2.6 / 2.5 (105%)

Winning Events: 14 (54%)
Losing Events: 12 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.00 units
Best Event: 14.08 units
Worst Event: -18.00 units
Average Event: -0.24 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.80
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -49.15

BMMA Justin : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	40	-23.7	-59%	-13.7 / 30 (-46%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	/ 2 (0%)	-11.87
2019	171	-4.2	-2%	-6.1 / 111 (-5%)	3.9 / 58 (7%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	6 / 4 (60%)	-0.42
2017	219.5	21.7	10%	19.3 / 185.5 (10%)	14.4 / 22 (65%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)	8 / 6 (57%)	1.55

BMMA Justin : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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BMMA Justin : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	430.5	-6.3	-1%	-0.5 / 326.5 (-0%)	18.2 / 80 (23%)	-24.0 / 24 (-100%)

BMMA Justin : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	4 (9%)	3	75 %	38.00	2.35	0.59	6%
Slight Favorites	21 (48%)	14	67 %	181.00	34.44	1.64	19%
Slight Underdogs	16 (36%)	5	31 %	100.50	-36.50	-2.28	-36%
Big Underdogs	3 (7%)	1	33 %	7.00	-0.80	-0.27	-11%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (11%)	3	60 %	34.00	-3.05	-0.61	-9%
Co-Main Event	8 (18%)	4	50 %	64.00	-9.76	-1.22	-15%
Position 3-5	15 (34%)	7	47 %	98.00	10.10	0.67	10%
6+ (Undercard)	16 (36%)	9	56 %	130.50	2.20	0.14	2%

BMMA Justin : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (9%)	1	25 %	23.00	-15.80	-3.95	-69%
Light Heavy	4 (9%)	3	75 %	35.00	16.65	4.16	48%
Middleweight	6 (14%)	4	67 %	54.00	8.29	1.38	15%
Welterweight	9 (20%)	6	67 %	66.00	1.99	0.22	3%
Lightweight	5 (11%)	3	60 %	37.00	8.05	1.61	22%
Featherweight	5 (11%)	1	20 %	34.00	-16.12	-3.22	-47%
Bantamweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	21.00	-4.86	-2.43	-23%
Flyweight	3 (7%)	1	33 %	14.50	-10.75	-3.58	-74%

Women's Fights	6 (14%)	3	50 %	42.00	12.05	2.01	29%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	10.00	6.25	6.25	63%
Strawweight	5 (11%)	2	40 %	32.00	5.80	1.16	18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	16 (100%)	9	56 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	16	9	56 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (32%)	3	50 %
50-65%	11 (58%)	7	64 %
35-50%	1 (5%)	1	100 %
<35% chance	1 (5%)	0	0 %
	19	11	58 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (11%)	1	50 %	1.64	1.72	1.57	-0.3 (-14%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (5%)	0	0 %	2.87	2.87	2.87	0.0 (0%)
Does not go to Decision	15 (79%)	9	60 %	1.63	2.20	1.33	0.5 (4%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (5%)	1	100 %	1.83	1.83	1.83	0.8 (83%)
	19	11	58 %	1.68			1.1 (6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail BMMA Justin 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	11.5	14.1	122%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,140.76
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	18	-18.0	-100%		$11.41	$1,140.76	$935.42
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	11	0.3	3%		$9.35	$935.42	$938.57
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	32	-5.8	-18%		$9.39	$938.57	$884.14
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	11	5.9	53%		$8.84	$884.14	$935.87
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	11	8.8	80%		$9.36	$935.87	$1,018.22
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	10	-2.1	-21%		$10.18	$1,018.22	$996.40
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	27	-0.2	-1%		$9.96	$996.40	$994.41
7th Jul	TUF Season 25 Finale	11	10.0	91%		$9.94	$994.41	$1,093.85
8th Jul	UFC 213	11	-11.0	-100%		$10.94	$1,093.85	$973.53
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	11	11.0	100%		$9.74	$973.53	$1,080.61
22nd Jul	UFC on Fox 25	11	8.8	80%		$10.81	$1,080.61	$1,175.71
29th Jul	UFC 214	33	11.0	33%		$11.76	$1,175.71	$1,305.03
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	11	-11.0	-100%		$13.05	$1,305.03	$1,161.48
9th Feb	UFC 234	7	2.5	36%		$11.61	$1,161.48	$1,191.04
2nd Mar	UFC 235	20	-2.0	-10%		$11.91	$1,191.04	$1,167.22
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	11	6.3	57%		$11.67	$1,167.22	$1,240.59
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	25	-8.9	-35%		$12.41	$1,240.59	$1,130.61
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	10	8.0	80%		$11.31	$1,130.61	$1,221.06
8th Jun	UFC 238	33	1.7	5%		$12.21	$1,221.06	$1,242.14
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	11	8.0	72%		$12.42	$1,242.14	$1,341.15
6th Jul	UFC 239	11	5.5	50%		$13.41	$1,341.15	$1,414.91
27th Jul	UFC 240	10	-10.0	-100%		$14.15	$1,414.91	$1,273.42
2nd Nov	UFC 244	33	-15.4	-47%		$12.73	$1,273.42	$1,077.31
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	30	-13.7	-46%		$10.77	$1,077.31	$929.18
24th Oct	UFC 254	10	-10.0	-100%		$9.29	$929.18	$836.27

ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.37% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

BMMA Justin : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '20	Jessica Andrade	Katlyn Chookagian	1.63	10	TKO, R1 (4:55)
2.	Nov '19	Jorge Masvidal	Nate Diaz	1.60	11	TKO, R3 (5:0)
3.	Jun '19	Calvin Kattar	Ricardo Lamas	1.63	11	TKO, R1 (4:6)
4.	Mar '19	Jack Hermansson	David Branch	1.80	10	Sub, R1 (0:49)
5.	Mar '19	Marlon Vera	Frankie Saenz	1.61	10	TKO, R1 (1:25)
6.	Mar '19	Tony Martin	Sergio Moraes	1.57	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '19	Johnny Walker	Misha Cirkunov	1.80	10	TKO, R1 (0:36)
8.	Jul '17	Volkan Oezdemir	Jimi Manuwa	2.50	11	TKO, R1 (0:42)
9.	Jul '17	Tyron Woodley	Demian Maia	1.50	11	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Jul '17	Eryk Anders	Rafael Natal	1.80	11	TKO, R1 (2:54)
11.	Jul '17	Paul Felder	Stevie Ray	2.00	11	TKO, R1 (3:57)
12.	Jul '17	Brad Tavares	Elias Theodorou	1.91	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jun '17	Tim Means	Alex Garcia	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jun '17	Felice Herrig	Justine Kish	1.80	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	May '17	Joaquim Silva	Reza Madadi	1.53	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '17	Cortney Casey	Jessica Aguilar	1.80	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	May '17	Stipe Miocic	Junior dos Santos	1.80	4	TKO, R1 (2:22)
18.	Apr '17	Brandon Moreno	Dustin Ortiz	2.50	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:6)
19.	Apr '17	Mike Perry	Jake Ellenberger	1.67	3	TKO, R2 (1:5)
20.	Apr '17	Daniel Cormier	Anthony Johnson	2.05	3	Sub, R2 (3:37)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '20	Jared Cannonier	Robert Whittaker	1.91	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Oct '20	Claudio Silva	James Krause	2.30	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Nov '19	Gregor Gillespie	Kevin Lee	1.67	11	TKO, R1 (2:47)	No
4.	Nov '19	Johnny Walker	Corey Anderson	1.57	11	TKO, R1 (2:7)	No
5.	Jul '19	Marc-Andre Barriault	Krzysztof Jotko	2.50	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jun '19	Pedro Munhoz	Aljamain Sterling	2.10	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '19	Steven Peterson	Luis Pena	3.00	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '19	Jesus Pinedo	John Makdessi	3.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Aug '17	Brandon Moreno	Sergio Pettis	1.70	11	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Jul '17	Jason Knight	Ricardo Lamas	2.00	11	TKO, R1 (4:34)	No
11.	Jul '17	Fabricio Werdum	Alistair Overeem	2.10	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '17	Erik Koch	Clay Guida	1.29	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jun '17	Derrick Lewis	Mark Hunt	1.80	5	TKO, R4 (3:51)	No
14.	May '17	Chas Skelly	Jason Knight	1.91	5	TKO, R3 (0:39)	No
15.	May '17	Jorge Masvidal	Demian Maia	2.00	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	May '17	Jessica Andrade	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	2.50	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	May '17	Yair Rodriguez	Frankie Edgar	2.50	4	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
18.	Apr '17	Jessica Penne	Danielle Taylor	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Apr '17	Matt Schnell	Hector Sandoval	2.00	2	TKO, R1 (4:24)	No
20.	Apr '17	Roy Nelson	Alexander Volkov	1.83	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

BMMA Justin : Progress Chart

Chart

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