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MMA Handicapper Stats: Conor TPL

Conor TPL (Conradfj)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	23 (58%)	Right	20 (65%)	Right	3 (43%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	17 (43%)	Wrong	11 (35%)	Wrong	4 (57%)	Wrong	2 (100%)
Avg Odds	1.68	Avg Odds	1.69	Avg Odds	1.71	Avg Odds	1.50
Units Bet	83.8	Units Bet	69.5	Units Bet	11.3	Units Bet	3.0
Avg Bet	2.09	Avg Bet	2.24	Avg Bet	1.61	Avg Bet	1.50
Units Profit	2.79	Units Profit	8.17	Units Profit	-2.38	Units Profit	-3.00
ROI %	3%	ROI %	12%	ROI %	-21%	ROI %	-100%

Conor TPL: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	8.5	0.4	5%	0.4 / 8.5 (5%)
22nd Sep '17	UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2	3	1.1	36%	1.1 / 3 (36%)
5th Aug '17	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	3	4.5	150%	4.5 / 3 (150%)
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	7.75	0.7	8%	1.4 / 7 (20%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
22nd Jul '17	UFC on Fox 25	1	1.4	140%	1.4 / 1 (140%)
22nd Jul '17	ACB 65: Silva vs Agnaev	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	1	0.4	44%		0.4 / 1 (44%)
7th Jul '17	TUF Season 25 Finale	7.5	-3.7	-49%	-2.7 / 6.5 (-42%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	7	-3.3	-46%	-3.3 / 7 (-46%)
24th Jun '17	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	2	2.3	115%	2.3 / 2 (115%)
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	7	1.3	18%	2.3 / 6 (38%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	4	1.3	33%	1.3 / 4 (33%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	8.5	1.5	18%	3.5 / 6.5 (54%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	3.5	-0.8	-22%		-0.8 / 3.5 (-22%)
11th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	15	0.6	4%	0.9 / 10 (9%)	-0.3 / 5 (-6%)

Winning Events: 11 (69%)
Losing Events: 5 (31%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.23 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.00 units
Best Event: 4.50 units
Worst Event: -3.70 units
Average Event: 0.17 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 8.07
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.95

Conor TPL: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	83.75	2.8	3%	8.2 / 69.5 (12%)	-2.4 / 11.25 (-21%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	11 / 5 (69%)	0.17

Conor TPL: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Conor TPL: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	79.75	2.5	3%	7.9 / 65.5 (12%)	-2.4 / 11.25 (-21%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
Bellator	2	2.3	115%	2.3 / 2 (115%)
Other	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Conor TPL: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	15 (48%)	10	67 %	46.00	-0.94	-0.06	-2%
Slight Favorites	5 (16%)	5	100 %	7.00	6.06	1.21	87%
Slight Underdogs	10 (32%)	5	50 %	16.00	3.55	0.35	22%
Big Underdogs	1 (3%)	0	0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (23%)	4	57 %	21.00	1.23	0.18	6%
Co-Main Event	5 (16%)	3	60 %	8.50	1.82	0.36	21%
Position 3-5	8 (26%)	6	75 %	18.00	3.90	0.49	22%
6+ (Undercard)	11 (35%)	7	64 %	22.00	1.22	0.11	6%

Conor TPL: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (6%)	2	100 %	4.00	2.00	1.00	50%
Light Heavy	2 (6%)	1	50 %	4.00	0.08	0.04	2%
Middleweight	5 (16%)	4	80 %	17.50	3.19	0.64	18%
Welterweight	7 (23%)	4	57 %	14.00	-0.88	-0.13	-6%
Lightweight	7 (23%)	4	57 %	16.50	-2.93	-0.42	-18%
Featherweight	3 (10%)	3	100 %	6.00	3.96	1.32	66%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	2.00	0.75	0.37	37%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	3.00	4.50	4.50	150%

Women's Fights	2 (6%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-1.25	-100%
Strawweight	2 (6%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-1.25	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	1 (100%)	1	100 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	1	1	100 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (60%)	3	50 %
50-65%	1 (10%)	1	100 %
35-50%	3 (30%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	10	4	40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (40%)	1	25 %	1.59	2.50	1.40	-2.6 (-64%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (20%)	0	0 %	2.20	2.30	2.10	-2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (40%)	3	75 %	1.28	1.57	1.12	0.1 (1%)
	10	4	40 %	1.52			-4.5 (-45%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Conor TPL's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	15	0.6	4%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,006.10
18th Mar	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	3.5	-0.8	-22%		$10.06	$1,006.10	$998.25
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	8.5	1.5	18%		$9.98	$998.25	$1,013.23
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	4	1.3	33%		$10.13	$1,013.23	$1,026.60
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	7	1.3	18%		$10.27	$1,026.60	$1,039.74
24th Jun	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	2	2.3	115%		$10.40	$1,039.74	$1,063.65
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	7	-3.3	-46%		$10.64	$1,063.65	$1,029.09
7th Jul	TUF Season 25 Finale	7.5	-3.7	-49%		$10.29	$1,029.09	$991.01
8th Jul	UFC 213	1	0.4	44%		$9.91	$991.01	$995.37
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.95	$995.37	$965.51
22nd Jul	ACB 65: Silva vs Agnaev	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.66	$965.51	$946.20
22nd Jul	UFC on Fox 25	1	1.4	140%		$9.46	$946.20	$959.44
29th Jul	UFC 214	7.75	0.7	8%		$9.59	$959.44	$965.68
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	3	4.5	150%		$9.66	$965.68	$1,009.14
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2	3	1.1	36%		$10.09	$1,009.14	$1,020.04
4th Nov	UFC 217	8.5	0.4	5%		$10.20	$1,020.04	$1,024.52

ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.45% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Conor TPL: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '17	Paulo Costa	Johny Hendricks	1.44	3.5	TKO, R2 (1:23)
2.	Nov '17	Randy Brown	Mickey Gall	1.95	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Sep '17	Dong Hyun Ma	Takanori Gomi	1.36	3	TKO, R1 (1:30)
4.	Aug '17	Sergio Pettis	Brandon Moreno	2.50	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Jul '17	Jon Jones	Daniel Cormier	1.36	3	TKO, R3 (3:1)
6.	Jul '17	Tyron Woodley	Demian Maia	1.44	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Jul '17	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Lyman Good	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jul '17	Brad Tavares	Elias Theodorou	1.90	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '17	Darrell Horcher	Devin Powell	1.25	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jun '17	Douglas Lima	Lorenz Larkin	2.50	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Jun '17	Matt Mitrione	Fedor Emelianenko	1.80	1	TKO, R1 (1:14)
12.	Jun '17	Jon Tuck	Takanori Gomi	1.36	3	Sub, R1 (1:12)
13.	Jun '17	Marcin Tybura	Andrei Arlovski	1.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jun '17	Alex Volkanovski	Mizuto Hirota	1.22	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jun '17	Daniel Hooker	Ross Pearson	1.66	1	TKO, R2 (3:2)
16.	Jun '17	Antonio Carlos Junior	Eric Spicely	1.40	4	Sub, R2 (3:49)
17.	Jun '17	Max Holloway	Jose Aldo	2.20	2	TKO, R3 (4:13)
18.	Mar '17	Joe Soto	Rani Yahya	2.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '17	Jeremy Kennedy	Rony Jason	1.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Mar '17	Kelvin Gastelum	Vitor Belfort	1.25	5	TKO, R1 (3:52)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Nov '17	Michael Bisping	Georges St-Pierre	2.20	3	Sub, R3 (4:23)	No
2.	Jul '17	Renan Barao	Aljamain Sterling	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '17	Brendan Loughnane	Pat Healy	1.40	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jul '17	Gunnar Nelson	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.50	3	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
5.	Jul '17	Ed Herman	C.B. Dollaway	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '17	Marc Diakiese	Drakkar Klose	1.36	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '17	Dhiego Lima	Jesse Taylor	2.50	1	Sub, R2 (0:43)	No
8.	Jun '17	Justine Kish	Felice Herrig	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jun '17	Erik Koch	Clay Guida	1.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jun '17	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Claudia Gadelha	3.60	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:3)	No
11.	Mar '17	Tim Means	Alex Oliveira	1.50	3	Sub, R2 (2:38)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Conor TPL: Progress Chart

Chart

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