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MMA Handicapper Stats: Say Hello |
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Say Hello: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 13 (45%) Losing Events: 16 (55%)
Average Staked Per Event: 4.13 units Most Staked On One Event: 13.20 units Best Event: 8.12 units Worst Event: -5.00 units Average Event: -0.28 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.12 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.40 |
Say Hello: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2017 |
119.7 |
-8.1 |
-7% |
-11.2 / 82.9 (-14%) |
-1.5 / 4.5 (-33%) |
4.6 / 32.3 (14%) |
13 / 16 (45%) |
-0.28 |
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Say Hello: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
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Say Hello: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
100.7 |
-0.3 |
-0% |
-5.9 / 66.4 (-9%) |
0.0 / 3 (1%) |
5.6 / 31.3 (18%) |
Bellator |
15.1 |
-8.3 |
-55% |
-7.3 / 14.1 (-52%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
PFL |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
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-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
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Other |
2.4 |
2.0 |
83% |
2.0 / 2.4 (83%) |
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Say Hello: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
6 (10%) |
4 |
67 % |
9.10 |
-0.59 |
-0.10 |
-6% |
Slight Favorites |
25 (42%) |
12 |
48 % |
49.10 |
-0.78 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
Slight Underdogs |
22 (37%) |
6 |
27 % |
20.90 |
-7.52 |
-0.34 |
-36% |
Big Underdogs |
7 (12%) |
1 |
14 % |
3.80 |
-2.35 |
-0.34 |
-62% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
7 (12%) |
3 |
43 % |
9.50 |
0.07 |
0.01 |
1% |
Co-Main Event |
14 (23%) |
2 |
14 % |
17.50 |
-13.70 |
-0.98 |
-78% |
Position 3-5 |
21 (35%) |
11 |
52 % |
29.90 |
5.48 |
0.26 |
18% |
6+ (Undercard) |
18 (30%) |
7 |
39 % |
26.00 |
-3.08 |
-0.17 |
-12% |
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Say Hello: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (12%) |
2 |
29 % |
5.60 |
-1.28 |
-0.18 |
-23% |
Light Heavy |
5 (8%) |
2 |
40 % |
5.10 |
-1.46 |
-0.29 |
-29% |
Middleweight |
7 (12%) |
3 |
43 % |
8.30 |
-0.37 |
-0.05 |
-4% |
Welterweight |
17 (28%) |
5 |
29 % |
23.40 |
-11.09 |
-0.65 |
-47% |
Lightweight |
4 (7%) |
2 |
50 % |
5.00 |
-1.68 |
-0.42 |
-34% |
Featherweight |
11 (18%) |
4 |
36 % |
25.70 |
5.14 |
0.47 |
20% |
Bantamweight |
3 (5%) |
3 |
100 % |
2.90 |
2.95 |
0.98 |
102% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.50 |
-0.10 |
-0.05 |
-7% |
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Women's Fights |
4 (7%) |
1 |
25 % |
5.40 |
-3.34 |
-0.84 |
-62% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
|
0 % |
3.80 |
-3.80 |
-1.90 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.60 |
0.46 |
0.23 |
29% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
35 (73%) |
29 |
83 % |
Slight Favorites |
11 (23%) |
7 |
64 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
48 |
36 |
75 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
11 (61%) |
8 |
73 % |
50-65% |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
35-50% |
4 (22%) |
3 |
75 % |
<35% chance |
2 (11%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
18 |
12 |
67 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Say Hello's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
4th Mar |
UFC 209 |
3 |
-0.7 |
-23% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$993.00 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum |
2.5 |
1.4 |
54% |
|
$9.93 |
$993.00 |
$1,006.46 |
18th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson |
2.6 |
-1.4 |
-54% |
|
$10.06 |
$1,006.46 |
$992.37 |
31st Mar |
Bellator 175 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
73% |
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$9.92 |
$992.37 |
$1,010.43 |
8th Apr |
UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
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$10.10 |
$1,010.43 |
$975.07 |
15th Apr |
UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis |
4.8 |
2.5 |
52% |
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$9.75 |
$975.07 |
$999.56 |
21st Apr |
Bellator 178: Straus vs. Freire 4 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$999.56 |
$989.57 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov |
5.6 |
-0.9 |
-17% |
|
$9.90 |
$989.57 |
$980.35 |
13th May |
UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos |
5.9 |
4.3 |
73% |
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$9.80 |
$980.35 |
$1,022.50 |
28th May |
UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira |
3.5 |
0.5 |
15% |
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$10.22 |
$1,022.50 |
$1,027.97 |
3rd Jun |
UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway |
4.6 |
2.1 |
45% |
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$10.28 |
$1,027.97 |
$1,049.25 |
10th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis |
2.6 |
0.8 |
31% |
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$10.49 |
$1,049.25 |
$1,057.57 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 111 |
3.7 |
-1.1 |
-28% |
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$10.58 |
$1,057.57 |
$1,046.44 |
24th Jun |
Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva |
1.5 |
1.0 |
65% |
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$10.46 |
$1,046.44 |
$1,056.56 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 112 |
4.1 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,056.56 |
$1,056.74 |
30th Jun |
PFL 1 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,056.74 |
$1,040.89 |
7th Jul |
TUF Season 25 Finale |
4.6 |
-1.5 |
-32% |
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$10.41 |
$1,040.89 |
$1,025.60 |
8th Jul |
UFC 213 |
4.6 |
-1.3 |
-28% |
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$10.26 |
$1,025.60 |
$1,012.28 |
11th Jul |
Dana White's TNCS 1 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
83% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,012.28 |
$1,032.53 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 113 |
3.1 |
-0.6 |
-19% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,032.53 |
$1,026.48 |
22nd Jul |
UFC on Fox 25 |
4.5 |
0.3 |
7% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,026.48 |
$1,029.56 |
29th Jul |
UFC 214 |
6.4 |
-4.4 |
-69% |
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$10.30 |
$1,029.56 |
$984.26 |
26th Aug |
Bellator 182 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.26 |
$935.05 |
22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 |
13.2 |
8.1 |
62% |
|
$9.35 |
$935.05 |
$1,010.97 |
6th Oct |
Bellator 184 Dantas vs. Caldwell |
1.3 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
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$10.11 |
$1,010.97 |
$997.83 |
7th Oct |
UFC 216 |
1.4 |
-1.4 |
-100% |
|
$9.98 |
$997.83 |
$983.86 |
20th Oct |
Bellator 185 |
3.8 |
-3.8 |
-100% |
|
$9.84 |
$983.86 |
$946.47 |
21st Oct |
UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk |
9.2 |
1.4 |
16% |
|
$9.46 |
$946.47 |
$960.11 |
28th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo |
7.3 |
-5.0 |
-68% |
|
$9.60 |
$960.11 |
$912.11 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.79% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Say Hello: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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1. |
Oct '17 |
Vicente Luque |
Niko Price |
1.77 |
1.3 |
Sub, R2 (4:8) |
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2. |
Oct '17 |
Andre Fili |
Artem Lobov |
1.59 |
6.7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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3. |
Sep '17 |
Teruto Ishihara |
Rolando Dy |
1.63 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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4. |
Jul '17 |
Ricardo Lamas |
Jason Knight |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:34) |
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5. |
Jul '17 |
Chris Weidman |
Kelvin Gastelum |
2.40 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (3:45) |
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6. |
Jul '17 |
Danny Roberts |
Bobby Nash |
1.57 |
1.6 |
TKO, R2 (3:59) |
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7. |
Jul '17 |
Joby Sanchez |
Manny Vazquez |
1.83 |
1.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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8. |
Jul '17 |
Joby Sanchez |
Manny Vazquez |
1.83 |
1.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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9. |
Jul '17 |
Brad Tavares |
Elias Theodorou |
2.20 |
0.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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10. |
Jun '17 |
Tim Means |
Alex Garcia |
1.48 |
2.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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11. |
Jun '17 |
Chael Sonnen |
Wanderlei Silva |
1.65 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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12. |
Jun '17 |
Ben Nguyen |
Tim Elliott |
2.80 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (0:49) |
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13. |
Jun '17 |
Raphael Assuncao |
Marlon Moraes |
2.90 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
May '17 |
Peter Sobotta |
Ben Saunders |
1.91 |
1.1 |
TKO, R2 (2:29) |
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15. |
May '17 |
Frankie Edgar |
Yair Rodriguez |
1.77 |
1.1 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
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16. |
May '17 |
Gadzhimurad Antigulov |
Joachim Christensen |
1.90 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:21) |
|
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17. |
Apr '17 |
Rose Namajunas |
Michelle Waterson |
1.87 |
1.1 |
Sub, R2 (2:47) |
|
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18. |
Mar '17 |
Sergei Kharitonov |
Chase Gormley |
2.22 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:45) |
|
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19. |
Mar '17 |
Sergei Kharitonov |
Chase Gormley |
1.40 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:45) |
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20. |
Mar '17 |
Joseph Duffy |
Reza Madadi |
1.20 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Oct '17 |
Demian Maia |
Colby Covington |
2.10 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Oct '17 |
Hacran Dias |
Jared Gordon |
2.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Oct '17 |
Demian Maia |
Colby Covington |
2.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '17 |
Donald Cerrone |
Darren Till |
1.65 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:20) |
No |
|
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5. |
Oct '17 |
Ana Julaton |
Lisa Blaine |
1.71 |
1.4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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6. |
Oct '17 |
Ana Julaton |
Lisa Blaine |
1.71 |
2.4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Oct '17 |
Daniel Straus |
Emmanuel Sanchez |
1.77 |
1.3 |
Sub, R3 (1:56) |
No |
|
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8. |
Sep '17 |
Luis Henrique da Silva |
Gokhan Saki |
2.70 |
0.6 |
TKO, R1 (4:45) |
No |
|
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9. |
Aug '17 |
Brennan Ward |
Fernando Gonzalez |
1.91 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (3:2) |
No |
|
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10. |
Aug '17 |
Brennan Ward |
Fernando Gonzalez |
1.91 |
0.5 |
Sub, R3 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Aug '17 |
Brennan Ward |
Fernando Gonzalez |
1.91 |
3.5 |
Sub, R3 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jul '17 |
Renato Moicano |
Brian Ortega |
1.67 |
1.5 |
Sub, R3 (2:59) |
No |
|
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13. |
Jul '17 |
Jimi Manuwa |
Volkan Oezdemir |
1.54 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:42) |
No |
|
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14. |
Jul '17 |
Godofredo Pepey |
Shane Burgos |
6.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jul '17 |
Rafael Natal |
Eryk Anders |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:54) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jul '17 |
Joanne Wood |
Cynthia Calvillo |
2.75 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jul '17 |
Fabricio Werdum |
Alistair Overeem |
2.25 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jul '17 |
Fabricio Werdum |
Alistair Overeem |
2.20 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jul '17 |
Yoel Romero |
Robert Whittaker |
2.05 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jul '17 |
Michael Johnson |
Justin Gaethje |
1.69 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:48) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Say Hello: Progress Chart |
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