|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Evolved MMA |
|
Evolved MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 42 (50%) Losing Events: 42 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 10.00 units Most Staked On One Event: 72.40 units Best Event: 12.51 units Worst Event: -8.00 units Average Event: 0.11 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 29.81 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -19.18 |
Evolved MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2018 |
161.7 |
-7.6 |
-5% |
-14.7 / 122.1 (-12%) |
6.0 / 37.6 (16%) |
1.1 / 2 (56%) |
11 / 12 (48%) |
-0.33 |
2017 |
678.55 |
17.2 |
3% |
10.7 / 445.4 (2%) |
3.9 / 152.55 (3%) |
2.5 / 80.6 (3%) |
31 / 30 (51%) |
0.28 |
|
Evolved MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Evolved MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
716.75 |
6.2 |
1% |
-6.7 / 469.7 (-1%) |
5.7 / 167.85 (3%) |
7.1 / 79.2 (9%) |
Bellator |
65 |
-0.8 |
-1% |
2.8 / 51.5 (5%) |
-0.5 / 10.3 (-4%) |
-3.2 / 3.2 (-100%) |
PFL |
2 |
-0.3 |
-17% |
-0.3 / 2 (-17%) |
|
|
Other |
56.5 |
4.7 |
8% |
0.3 / 44.3 (1%) |
4.6 / 12 (38%) |
-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) |
|
Evolved MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
74 (29%) |
53 |
72 % |
192.30 |
-6.68 |
-0.09 |
-3% |
Slight Favorites |
89 (35%) |
48 |
54 % |
204.00 |
-0.65 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
Slight Underdogs |
65 (25%) |
28 |
43 % |
152.80 |
-2.61 |
-0.04 |
-2% |
Big Underdogs |
29 (11%) |
7 |
24 % |
26.40 |
-1.99 |
-0.07 |
-8% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
37 (14%) |
20 |
54 % |
81.30 |
-1.33 |
-0.04 |
-2% |
Co-Main Event |
22 (9%) |
10 |
45 % |
46.30 |
-3.13 |
-0.14 |
-7% |
Position 3-5 |
87 (34%) |
44 |
51 % |
186.00 |
3.83 |
0.04 |
2% |
6+ (Undercard) |
110 (43%) |
62 |
56 % |
253.90 |
-3.29 |
-0.03 |
-1% |
|
Evolved MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
22 (9%) |
13 |
59 % |
45.80 |
3.35 |
0.15 |
7% |
Light Heavy |
20 (8%) |
10 |
50 % |
48.00 |
1.63 |
0.08 |
3% |
Middleweight |
32 (12%) |
19 |
59 % |
82.00 |
11.91 |
0.37 |
15% |
Welterweight |
27 (11%) |
14 |
52 % |
73.00 |
6.62 |
0.25 |
9% |
Lightweight |
43 (17%) |
20 |
47 % |
92.20 |
-7.50 |
-0.17 |
-8% |
Featherweight |
26 (10%) |
14 |
54 % |
59.40 |
-4.42 |
-0.17 |
-7% |
Bantamweight |
22 (9%) |
11 |
50 % |
50.10 |
-5.29 |
-0.24 |
-11% |
Flyweight |
16 (6%) |
9 |
56 % |
33.60 |
-3.40 |
-0.21 |
-10% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
48 (19%) |
26 |
54 % |
83.40 |
-6.82 |
-0.14 |
-8% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
2 |
100 % |
1.40 |
1.91 |
0.96 |
137% |
Bantamweight |
14 (5%) |
5 |
36 % |
34.00 |
-12.81 |
-0.92 |
-38% |
Flyweight |
6 (2%) |
3 |
50 % |
4.10 |
1.92 |
0.32 |
47% |
Strawweight |
26 (10%) |
16 |
62 % |
43.90 |
2.15 |
0.08 |
5% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
83 (64%) |
70 |
84 % |
Slight Favorites |
30 (23%) |
18 |
60 % |
Slight Underdogs |
10 (8%) |
2 |
20 % |
Big Underdogs |
7 (5%) |
1 |
14 % |
|
130 |
91 |
70 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
160 (60%) |
129 |
81 % |
50-65% |
58 (22%) |
36 |
62 % |
35-50% |
36 (14%) |
20 |
56 % |
<35% chance |
12 (5%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
266 |
185 |
70 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Evolved MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
4th Feb |
UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez |
13 |
2.8 |
21% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,027.59 |
11th Feb |
UFC 208 |
45.5 |
-5.8 |
-13% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,027.59 |
$967.73 |
18th Feb |
Bellator 172 |
10 |
2.1 |
21% |
|
$9.68 |
$967.73 |
$987.88 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne |
48 |
12.5 |
26% |
|
$9.88 |
$987.88 |
$1,111.47 |
4th Mar |
UFC 209 |
24 |
4.9 |
20% |
|
$11.11 |
$1,111.47 |
$1,165.37 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum |
30.5 |
3.8 |
13% |
|
$11.65 |
$1,165.37 |
$1,210.02 |
18th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson |
17.6 |
6.5 |
37% |
|
$12.10 |
$1,210.02 |
$1,289.08 |
18th Mar |
WSOF 35 Ivanov vs. Jordan |
2 |
-0.3 |
-17% |
|
$12.89 |
$1,289.08 |
$1,284.78 |
25th Mar |
Invicta FC 22 |
3 |
0.6 |
19% |
|
$12.85 |
$1,284.78 |
$1,292.19 |
31st Mar |
Bellator 175 |
5 |
-0.9 |
-18% |
|
$12.92 |
$1,292.19 |
$1,280.83 |
8th Apr |
Bellator 176 Carvalho vs. Manhoef 2 |
2.4 |
0.8 |
32% |
|
$12.81 |
$1,280.83 |
$1,290.78 |
8th Apr |
UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 |
72.4 |
4.9 |
7% |
|
$12.91 |
$1,290.78 |
$1,353.55 |
14th Apr |
Bellator 177 Dantas vs. Higo |
12 |
3.6 |
30% |
|
$13.54 |
$1,353.55 |
$1,402.87 |
15th Apr |
UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis |
26.6 |
-7.0 |
-26% |
|
$14.03 |
$1,402.87 |
$1,305.00 |
21st Apr |
Bellator 178: Straus vs. Freire 4 |
1.8 |
-1.8 |
-100% |
|
$13.05 |
$1,305.00 |
$1,281.51 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov |
17.4 |
0.7 |
4% |
|
$12.82 |
$1,281.51 |
$1,290.08 |
13th May |
UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos |
20 |
9.7 |
48% |
|
$12.90 |
$1,290.08 |
$1,414.67 |
20th May |
Invicta FC 23 Porto vs. Niedzwiedz |
2.2 |
-1.0 |
-44% |
|
$14.15 |
$1,414.67 |
$1,401.08 |
28th May |
UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira |
11 |
3.7 |
34% |
|
$14.01 |
$1,401.08 |
$1,453.08 |
3rd Jun |
UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway |
14 |
-2.3 |
-17% |
|
$14.53 |
$1,453.08 |
$1,419.14 |
10th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis |
13 |
-4.9 |
-37% |
|
$14.19 |
$1,419.14 |
$1,350.21 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 111 |
11 |
5.3 |
48% |
|
$13.50 |
$1,350.21 |
$1,421.26 |
24th Jun |
Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva |
8 |
-1.0 |
-13% |
|
$14.21 |
$1,421.26 |
$1,406.52 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 112 |
21 |
1.9 |
9% |
|
$14.07 |
$1,406.52 |
$1,432.74 |
7th Jul |
TUF Season 25 Finale |
15 |
5.9 |
39% |
|
$14.33 |
$1,432.74 |
$1,516.66 |
8th Jul |
UFC 213 |
14.4 |
-3.8 |
-26% |
|
$15.17 |
$1,516.66 |
$1,459.68 |
11th Jul |
Dana White's TNCS 1 |
2.4 |
0.2 |
10% |
|
$14.60 |
$1,459.68 |
$1,463.03 |
14th Jul |
Bellator 181 Campos vs. Girtz 3 |
8 |
4.0 |
50% |
|
$14.63 |
$1,463.03 |
$1,522.12 |
15th Jul |
Invicta FC 24 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
110% |
|
$15.22 |
$1,522.12 |
$1,579.20 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 113 |
19 |
-3.5 |
-19% |
|
$15.79 |
$1,579.20 |
$1,523.64 |
18th Jul |
Dana White's TNCS 2 |
11 |
2.7 |
24% |
|
$15.24 |
$1,523.64 |
$1,564.28 |
22nd Jul |
LFA 17 Moises vs. Watley |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.64 |
$1,564.28 |
$1,501.71 |
22nd Jul |
UFC on Fox 25 |
21 |
-6.8 |
-32% |
|
$15.02 |
$1,501.71 |
$1,399.40 |
25th Jul |
DWTNF 3 |
7 |
-4.7 |
-67% |
|
$13.99 |
$1,399.40 |
$1,333.63 |
29th Jul |
UFC 214 |
10 |
2.0 |
20% |
|
$13.34 |
$1,333.63 |
$1,359.67 |
1st Aug |
DWTNCS 4 |
2.5 |
0.6 |
25% |
|
$13.60 |
$1,359.67 |
$1,368.09 |
4th Aug |
LFA 18: Aguilar VS. Rader |
2 |
-0.3 |
-16% |
|
$13.68 |
$1,368.09 |
$1,363.84 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno |
9.5 |
-5.0 |
-53% |
|
$13.64 |
$1,363.84 |
$1,295.65 |
8th Aug |
DWTNCS 5 |
3 |
-1.2 |
-41% |
|
$12.96 |
$1,295.65 |
$1,279.71 |
15th Aug |
DWTNCS 6 |
2 |
-0.3 |
-17% |
|
$12.80 |
$1,279.71 |
$1,275.44 |
22nd Aug |
DWTNCS 7 |
2.8 |
-2.8 |
-100% |
|
$12.75 |
$1,275.44 |
$1,239.73 |
26th Aug |
Bellator 182 |
4.6 |
-2.2 |
-49% |
|
$12.40 |
$1,239.73 |
$1,211.83 |
29th Aug |
DWTNCS 8 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
96% |
|
$12.12 |
$1,211.83 |
$1,260.55 |
1st Sep |
Invicta FC 25 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
105% |
|
$12.61 |
$1,260.55 |
$1,268.49 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov |
4.2 |
-4.2 |
-100% |
|
$12.68 |
$1,268.49 |
$1,215.21 |
9th Sep |
UFC 215 |
12 |
-5.8 |
-48% |
|
$12.15 |
$1,215.21 |
$1,144.87 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.45 |
$1,144.87 |
$1,121.97 |
20th Oct |
Bellator 185 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,121.97 |
$1,093.92 |
21st Oct |
UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk |
7 |
-4.7 |
-67% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,093.92 |
$1,042.62 |
28th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo |
4.5 |
2.1 |
46% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,042.62 |
$1,064.26 |
3rd Nov |
Bellator 186 |
2 |
-0.0 |
-1% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,064.26 |
$1,064.09 |
4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
5 |
-1.9 |
-37% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,064.09 |
$1,044.33 |
11th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia |
4 |
-1.2 |
-31% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,044.33 |
$1,031.27 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney |
7 |
2.2 |
32% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.27 |
$1,054.31 |
25th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
6.3 |
3.3 |
53% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,054.31 |
$1,089.37 |
2nd Dec |
TUF 26 Finale |
5 |
1.9 |
38% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,089.37 |
$1,110.07 |
2nd Dec |
UFC 218 |
2 |
1.2 |
59% |
|
$11.10 |
$1,110.07 |
$1,123.13 |
9th Dec |
Bellator 190 |
4.5 |
-1.8 |
-40% |
|
$11.23 |
$1,123.13 |
$1,103.07 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 123 |
12 |
-2.3 |
-19% |
$5 |
$11.03 |
$1,103.07 |
$1,072.40 |
16th Dec |
UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos |
10.5 |
2.9 |
28% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,072.40 |
$1,103.40 |
31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
10.25 |
2.4 |
23% |
|
$11.03 |
$1,103.40 |
$1,129.58 |
13th Jan |
Invicta FC 27 |
2.4 |
0.3 |
13% |
|
$11.30 |
$1,129.58 |
$1,132.99 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
11.1 |
-3.5 |
-31% |
|
$11.33 |
$1,132.99 |
$1,093.43 |
20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.93 |
$1,093.43 |
$1,044.22 |
20th Jan |
Bellator 192 |
2.2 |
-2.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,044.22 |
$1,021.25 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 125 |
10.5 |
5.2 |
49% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,021.25 |
$1,074.10 |
10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
9 |
-4.7 |
-52% |
|
$10.74 |
$1,074.10 |
$1,023.66 |
17th Feb |
Bellator 194 |
2 |
1.1 |
54% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.66 |
$1,034.73 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
15.5 |
2.4 |
15% |
|
$10.35 |
$1,034.73 |
$1,059.32 |
24th Feb |
UFC on Fox 28 |
8.5 |
-1.8 |
-21% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,059.32 |
$1,040.06 |
3rd Mar |
KSW 42 |
4 |
6.2 |
155% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,040.06 |
$1,104.54 |
3rd Mar |
UFC 222 |
8 |
-0.8 |
-10% |
|
$11.05 |
$1,104.54 |
$1,095.70 |
17th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
4 |
3.2 |
80% |
|
$10.96 |
$1,095.70 |
$1,130.76 |
7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.31 |
$1,130.76 |
$1,040.30 |
14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
12 |
-3.5 |
-29% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,040.30 |
$1,003.68 |
21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
8 |
0.4 |
5% |
|
$10.04 |
$1,003.68 |
$1,007.70 |
12th May |
UFC 224 |
8 |
8.4 |
105% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,007.70 |
$1,092.35 |
19th May |
UFC Fight Night 129 |
4 |
3.8 |
95% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,092.35 |
$1,133.96 |
27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.34 |
$1,133.96 |
$1,088.60 |
1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,088.60 |
$1,045.06 |
9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
4 |
3.2 |
80% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,045.06 |
$1,078.50 |
23rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
8 |
0.2 |
3% |
|
$10.78 |
$1,078.50 |
$1,080.66 |
7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
8 |
-0.4 |
-5% |
|
$10.81 |
$1,080.66 |
$1,076.73 |
14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
12 |
-4.5 |
-38% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.73 |
$1,028.04 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Evolved MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jul '18 |
Chad Mendes |
Myles Jury |
1.87 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (2:52) |
|
|
2. |
Jul '18 |
Israel Adesanya |
Brad Tavares |
1.91 |
4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Jun '18 |
Yadong Song |
Felipe Arantes |
2.05 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:59) |
|
|
4. |
Jun '18 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Alistair Overeem |
1.80 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (2:56) |
|
|
5. |
May '18 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Brandon Moreno |
1.95 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
May '18 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
Sean Strickland |
2.05 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (3:12) |
|
|
7. |
May '18 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Ronaldo Souza |
2.05 |
4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Apr '18 |
Siyar Bahadurzada |
Luan Chagas |
2.10 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (2:40) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '18 |
Tomasz Narkun |
Mamed Khalidov |
2.55 |
4 |
Sub, R3 (1:18) |
|
|
10. |
Feb '18 |
Alex Morono |
Josh Burkman |
1.43 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (2:12) |
|
|
11. |
Feb '18 |
Curtis Millender |
Thiago Alves |
2.45 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:17) |
|
|
12. |
Feb '18 |
Patricky Freire |
Derek Campos |
1.54 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:23) |
|
|
13. |
Feb '18 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
Joseph Morales |
2.05 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:34) |
|
|
14. |
Feb '18 |
Sergio Moraes |
Tim Means |
2.65 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Feb '18 |
Yuri Alcantara |
Joe Soto |
1.91 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:6) |
|
|
16. |
Jan '18 |
James Krause |
Alex White |
1.63 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jan '18 |
Jessica-Rose Clark |
Paige VanZant |
1.91 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Jan '18 |
Sarah Kaufman |
Pannie Kianzad |
1.35 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Dec '17 |
Matheus Nicolau |
Louis Smolka |
1.43 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Dec '17 |
Myles Jury |
Rick Glenn |
1.54 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Evolved MMA: Progress Chart |
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