MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Steve Gonzo

Steve Gonzo (gonzo719)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	22 (38%)	Right	10 (40%)	Right	3 (21%)	Right	9 (47%)
Wrong	36 (62%)	Wrong	15 (60%)	Wrong	11 (79%)	Wrong	10 (53%)
Avg Odds	2.09	Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	2.29
Units Bet	120.3	Units Bet	54.9	Units Bet	26.9	Units Bet	38.6
Avg Bet	2.07	Avg Bet	2.19	Avg Bet	1.92	Avg Bet	2.03
Units Profit	-16.32	Units Profit	-6.98	Units Profit	-14.11	Units Profit	4.78
ROI %	-14%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	-52%	ROI %	12%

Steve Gonzo: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	3	4.5	150%	4.5 / 3 (150%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
18th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 126	4	3.0	74%	3.0 / 4 (74%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	5	1.7	34%	1.7 / 5 (34%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	3.43	-3.4	-100%	-3.4 / 3.43 (-100%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	1	2.6	259%	2.6 / 1 (259%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	10.42	-10.4	-100%	-6.4 / 6.42 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	8.58	0.6	7%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	4.6 / 4.58 (100%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	8	4.9	61%	4.1 / 5 (83%)		0.7 / 3 (24%)
18th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	4	2.3	57%		2.3 / 4 (57%)
11th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	18.38	-3.5	-19%	2.5 / 3.5 (71%)	-6.4 / 6.38 (-100%)	0.4 / 8.5 (4%)
4th Mar '17	UFC 209	9	2.7	30%			2.7 / 9 (30%)
19th Feb '17	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	7	2.9	41%			2.9 / 7 (41%)
11th Feb '17	UFC 208	4.5	0.4	8%	0.9 / 4 (22%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
4th Feb '17	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	6	0.5	8%		2.5 / 4 (63%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Jan '17	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	12	-8.9	-74%	-1.4 / 4.5 (-31%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
21st Jan '17	Bellator 170 Sonnen vs. Ortiz	6	-6.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 11 (58%)
Losing Events: 8 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.33 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.38 units
Best Event: 4.86 units
Worst Event: -10.42 units
Average Event: -0.86 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 7.13
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -14.91

Steve Gonzo: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	19	2.2	11%	2.2 / 19 (11%)			3 / 2 (60%)	0.43
2017	101.31	-18.5	-18%	-9.2 / 35.85 (-26%)	-14.1 / 26.88 (-52%)	4.8 / 38.58 (12%)	8 / 6 (57%)	-1.32

Steve Gonzo: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Steve Gonzo: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	114.31	-10.3	-9%	-4.0 / 51.85 (-8%)	-11.1 / 23.88 (-47%)	4.8 / 38.58 (12%)
Bellator	6	-6.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Steve Gonzo: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (4%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.71	1.71	34%
Slight Favorites	11 (44%)	4	36 %	30.35	-9.43	-0.86	-31%
Slight Underdogs	9 (36%)	3	33 %	15.50	-2.73	-0.30	-18%
Big Underdogs	4 (16%)	2	50 %	4.00	3.47	0.87	87%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (24%)	2	33 %	15.43	-6.29	-1.05	-41%
Co-Main Event	6 (24%)	3	50 %	15.50	1.80	0.30	12%
Position 3-5	5 (20%)	3	60 %	10.21	4.55	0.91	45%
6+ (Undercard)	8 (32%)	2	25 %	13.71	-7.04	-0.88	-51%

Steve Gonzo: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	4 (16%)	3	75 %	12.00	1.76	0.44	15%
Middleweight	2 (8%)		0 %	2.71	-2.71	-1.36	-100%
Welterweight	3 (12%)	2	67 %	6.50	3.55	1.18	55%
Lightweight	5 (20%)	4	80 %	10.50	6.05	1.21	58%
Featherweight	4 (16%)		0 %	11.14	-11.14	-2.79	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	2 (8%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%

Women's Fights	4 (16%)	1	25 %	8.00	-0.50	-0.13	-6%
Featherweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Strawweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	4.00	3.50	1.75	88%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	19 (66%)	15	79 %
Slight Favorites	7 (24%)	4	57 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (10%)	2	67 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	29	21	72 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	8 (30%)	7	88 %
50-65%	13 (48%)	5	38 %
35-50%	3 (11%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	3 (11%)	0	0 %
	27	12	44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	12 (44%)	6	50 %	1.53	1.74	1.27	-3.2 (-27%)
Goes to Decision	3 (11%)	1	33 %	1.50	1.54	1.43	-1.6 (-52%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (7%)	2	100 %	1.46	1.53	1.41	0.9 (47%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (4%)	0	0 %	1.84	1.84	1.84	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (26%)	2	29 %	2.29	3.50	1.63	-3.5 (-51%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.36	1.36	1.36	0.4 (36%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (4%)	0	0 %	6.95	6.95	6.95	-1.0 (-100%)
	27	12	44 %	1.72			-9.0 (-33%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Steve Gonzo's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
21st Jan	Bellator 170 Sonnen vs. Ortiz	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$940.00
28th Jan	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	12	-8.9	-74%		$9.40	$940.00	$856.25
4th Feb	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	6	0.5	8%		$8.56	$856.25	$860.53
11th Feb	UFC 208	4.5	0.4	8%		$8.61	$860.53	$863.75
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	7	2.9	41%		$8.64	$863.75	$888.63
4th Mar	UFC 209	9	2.7	30%		$8.89	$888.63	$912.80
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	18.38	-3.5	-19%		$9.13	$912.80	$880.76
18th Mar	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	4	2.3	57%		$8.81	$880.76	$900.76
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	8	4.9	61%		$9.01	$900.76	$944.52
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.45	$944.52	$916.19
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	8.58	0.6	7%		$9.16	$916.19	$921.60
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	10.42	-10.4	-100%		$9.22	$921.60	$825.57
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	1	2.6	259%		$8.26	$825.57	$846.95
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	3.43	-3.4	-100%		$8.47	$846.95	$817.90
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	3	-3.0	-100%		$8.18	$817.90	$793.37
20th Jan	UFC 220	5	1.7	34%		$7.93	$793.37	$806.90
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night 126	4	3.0	74%		$8.07	$806.90	$830.81
3rd Mar	UFC 222	4	-4.0	-100%		$8.31	$830.81	$797.58
7th Apr	UFC 223	3	4.5	150%		$7.98	$797.58	$833.47

ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.65% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Steve Gonzo: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '18	Rose Namajunas	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	2.50	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Feb '18	Donald Cerrone	Yancy Medeiros	1.74	4	TKO, R1 (4:58)
3.	Jan '18	Daniel Cormier	Volkan Oezdemir	1.34	5	TKO, R2 (2:0)
4.	May '17	Damir Hadzovic	Marcin Held	3.59	1	TKO, R3 (0:7)
5.	Apr '17	Daniel Cormier	Anthony Johnson	2.18	1	Sub, R2 (3:37)
6.	Apr '17	Gregor Gillespie	Andrew Holbrook	1.54	2	TKO, R1 (0:21)
7.	Apr '17	Charles Oliveira	Will Brooks	3.88	1	Sub, R1 (2:30)
8.	Mar '17	Edson Barboza	Beneil Dariush	1.71	3.5	TKO, R2 (3:35)
9.	Feb '17	Glover Teixeira	Jared Cannonier	1.63	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jan '17	Jorge Masvidal	Donald Cerrone	2.06	1.5	TKO, R2 (1:0)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '18	Frankie Edgar	Brian Ortega	1.61	4	TKO, R1 (4:44)	No
2.	Jan '18	Alex White	James Krause	2.53	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jun '17	Jose Aldo	Max Holloway	1.93	3.43	TKO, R3 (4:13)	No
4.	May '17	Gabriel Benitez	Enrique Barzola	1.63	2.57	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '17	Krzysztof Jotko	David Branch	1.65	1.71	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	May '17	Chas Skelly	Jason Knight	1.88	1.14	TKO, R3 (0:39)	No
7.	Apr '17	Dustin Ortiz	Brandon Moreno	1.85	2	Sub, R2 (4:6)	No
8.	May '17	Jorge Masvidal	Demian Maia	2.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '17	Louis Smolka	Tim Elliott	3.39	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '17	Augusto Mendes	Aljamain Sterling	3.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '17	Michelle Waterson	Rose Namajunas	2.33	1	Sub, R2 (2:47)	No
12.	Apr '17	Chris Weidman	Gegard Mousasi	2.13	1	TKO, R2 (3:13)	No
13.	Feb '17	Holly Holm	Germaine de Randamie	2.15	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Jan '17	Julianna Pena	Valentina Shevchenko	2.06	3	Sub, R2 (4:29)	No
15.	Jan '17	Chael Sonnen	Tito Ortiz	1.67	3	Sub, R1 (2:3)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Steve Gonzo: Progress Chart

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