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MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Moneyline |
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MMA Moneyline: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 17 (59%) Losing Events: 12 (41%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.35 units Most Staked On One Event: 17.00 units Best Event: 15.67 units Worst Event: -12.00 units Average Event: 1.86 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 23.28 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.15 |
MMA Moneyline: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2017 |
242.1 |
54.0 |
22% |
48.6 / 145.5 (33%) |
13.2 / 16 (83%) |
-7.9 / 80.6 (-10%) |
17 / 12 (59%) |
1.86 |
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MMA Moneyline: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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MMA Moneyline: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
229.1 |
36.7 |
16% |
34.1 / 135 (25%) |
13.2 / 16 (83%) |
-10.7 / 78.1 (-14%) |
Bellator |
13 |
17.3 |
133% |
14.5 / 10.5 (138%) |
|
2.8 / 2.5 (110%) |
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MMA Moneyline: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Slight Favorites |
10 (19%) |
7 |
70 % |
33.00 |
9.08 |
0.91 |
28% |
Slight Underdogs |
34 (63%) |
20 |
59 % |
92.50 |
25.58 |
0.75 |
28% |
Big Underdogs |
10 (19%) |
5 |
50 % |
20.00 |
13.96 |
1.40 |
70% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
12 (22%) |
9 |
75 % |
31.00 |
17.11 |
1.43 |
55% |
Co-Main Event |
12 (22%) |
6 |
50 % |
32.50 |
7.26 |
0.60 |
22% |
Position 3-5 |
11 (20%) |
8 |
73 % |
30.00 |
20.71 |
1.88 |
69% |
6+ (Undercard) |
19 (35%) |
9 |
47 % |
52.00 |
3.54 |
0.19 |
7% |
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MMA Moneyline: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
7.00 |
6.49 |
3.25 |
93% |
Light Heavy |
7 (13%) |
6 |
86 % |
16.00 |
15.11 |
2.16 |
94% |
Middleweight |
6 (11%) |
4 |
67 % |
16.00 |
10.70 |
1.78 |
67% |
Welterweight |
13 (24%) |
8 |
62 % |
34.00 |
17.79 |
1.37 |
52% |
Lightweight |
6 (11%) |
4 |
67 % |
12.50 |
12.49 |
2.08 |
100% |
Featherweight |
7 (13%) |
4 |
57 % |
19.00 |
2.52 |
0.36 |
13% |
Flyweight |
2 (4%) |
|
0 % |
7.00 |
-7.00 |
-3.50 |
-100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
11 (20%) |
4 |
36 % |
34.00 |
-9.48 |
-0.86 |
-28% |
Featherweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-3.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
3 (6%) |
2 |
67 % |
11.00 |
2.30 |
0.77 |
21% |
Strawweight |
7 (13%) |
2 |
29 % |
20.00 |
-8.78 |
-1.25 |
-44% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
57 (83%) |
43 |
75 % |
Slight Favorites |
12 (17%) |
6 |
50 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
69 |
49 |
71 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
2 (25%) |
2 |
100 % |
50-65% |
1 (13%) |
1 |
100 % |
35-50% |
3 (38%) |
3 |
100 % |
<35% chance |
2 (25%) |
1 |
50 % |
|
8 |
7 |
88 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
3 (38%) |
3 |
100 % |
1.54 |
1.61 |
1.49 |
1.6 (54%) |
X Wins by Decision |
5 (63%) |
4 |
80 % |
2.83 |
3.50 |
2.35 |
6.0 (119%) |
|
8 |
7 |
88 % |
2.15 |
|
|
7.6 (95%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MMA Moneyline's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn |
5 |
5.8 |
117% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,058.45 |
21st Jan |
Bellator 170 Sonnen vs. Ortiz |
2 |
3.5 |
175% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,058.45 |
$1,095.49 |
28th Jan |
UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena |
6.5 |
6.7 |
103% |
|
$10.95 |
$1,095.49 |
$1,168.89 |
4th Feb |
UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez |
12.5 |
-1.7 |
-14% |
|
$11.69 |
$1,168.89 |
$1,148.80 |
11th Feb |
UFC 208 |
9 |
3.2 |
36% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,148.80 |
$1,185.53 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne |
8 |
-1.4 |
-18% |
|
$11.86 |
$1,185.53 |
$1,168.93 |
4th Mar |
UFC 209 |
10.6 |
10.7 |
101% |
|
$11.69 |
$1,168.93 |
$1,294.37 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum |
11 |
0.3 |
3% |
|
$12.94 |
$1,294.37 |
$1,298.81 |
18th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson |
12.5 |
9.4 |
76% |
|
$12.99 |
$1,298.81 |
$1,421.52 |
31st Mar |
Bellator 175 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
110% |
|
$14.22 |
$1,421.52 |
$1,460.70 |
8th Apr |
UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 |
16.5 |
-1.6 |
-10% |
|
$14.61 |
$1,460.70 |
$1,436.70 |
15th Apr |
UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis |
17 |
11.4 |
67% |
$5 |
$14.37 |
$1,436.70 |
$1,596.19 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.96 |
$1,596.19 |
$1,484.46 |
13th May |
UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos |
17 |
-4.8 |
-29% |
|
$14.84 |
$1,484.46 |
$1,412.46 |
19th May |
Bellator 179 Daley vs. MacDonald |
2 |
3.4 |
170% |
|
$14.12 |
$1,412.46 |
$1,460.48 |
28th May |
UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira |
12 |
15.7 |
131% |
|
$14.60 |
$1,460.48 |
$1,689.35 |
3rd Jun |
UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway |
11 |
-2.0 |
-19% |
$5 |
$16.89 |
$1,689.35 |
$1,649.72 |
10th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis |
9.5 |
-3.5 |
-37% |
|
$16.50 |
$1,649.72 |
$1,591.73 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 111 |
3 |
3.5 |
116% |
|
$15.92 |
$1,591.73 |
$1,647.15 |
24th Jun |
Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva |
6.5 |
7.6 |
117% |
|
$16.47 |
$1,647.15 |
$1,772.58 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 112 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$17.73 |
$1,772.58 |
$1,719.40 |
7th Jul |
TUF Season 25 Finale |
6.5 |
4.7 |
72% |
|
$17.19 |
$1,719.40 |
$1,799.79 |
8th Jul |
UFC 213 |
3 |
3.0 |
100% |
|
$18.00 |
$1,799.79 |
$1,853.78 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 113 |
5 |
-1.1 |
-21% |
|
$18.54 |
$1,853.78 |
$1,834.27 |
22nd Jul |
UFC on Fox 25 |
5.5 |
1.3 |
23% |
|
$18.34 |
$1,834.27 |
$1,857.20 |
29th Jul |
UFC 214 |
12 |
-12.0 |
-100% |
|
$18.57 |
$1,857.20 |
$1,634.33 |
9th Sep |
UFC 215 |
13 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
|
$16.34 |
$1,634.33 |
$1,631.88 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.32 |
$1,631.88 |
$1,566.61 |
22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 |
9 |
3.3 |
36% |
|
$15.67 |
$1,566.61 |
$1,617.83 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 61.78% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MMA Moneyline: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Sep '17 |
Keita Nakamura |
Alex Morono |
2.15 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Sep '17 |
Syuri Kondo |
Chan-Mi Jeon |
1.94 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
3. |
Sep '17 |
Ilir Latifi |
Tyson Pedro |
2.25 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Sep '17 |
Ketlen Vieira |
Sara McMann |
3.05 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:16) |
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|
5. |
Jul '17 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
Lyman Good |
2.70 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Jul '17 |
Justin Gaethje |
Michael Johnson |
2.35 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:48) |
|
|
7. |
Jul '17 |
Robert Whittaker |
Yoel Romero |
2.00 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Jun '17 |
Douglas Lima |
Lorenz Larkin |
2.59 |
2.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Jun '17 |
Matt Mitrione |
Fedor Emelianenko |
1.91 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (1:14) |
|
|
10. |
Jun '17 |
Max Holloway |
Jose Aldo |
2.20 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:13) |
|
|
11. |
May '17 |
Omari Akhmedov |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
3.21 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
May '17 |
Damir Hadzovic |
Marcin Held |
3.75 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (0:7) |
|
|
13. |
May '17 |
Peter Sobotta |
Ben Saunders |
2.06 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (2:29) |
|
|
14. |
May '17 |
Jack Hermansson |
Alex Nicholson |
1.80 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:0) |
|
|
15. |
May '17 |
Linton Vassell |
Liam McGeary |
2.70 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (2:28) |
|
|
16. |
May '17 |
Chase Sherman |
Rashad Coulter |
1.95 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:36) |
|
|
17. |
May '17 |
Jason Knight |
Chas Skelly |
2.10 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (0:39) |
|
|
18. |
Jun '17 |
Max Holloway |
Jose Aldo |
2.25 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (4:13) |
|
|
19. |
Apr '17 |
Rose Namajunas |
Michelle Waterson |
1.80 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (2:47) |
|
|
20. |
Apr '17 |
Robert Whittaker |
Ronaldo Souza |
2.90 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:28) |
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Sep '17 |
Gilbert Melendez |
Jeremy Stephens |
1.95 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Sep '17 |
Valentina Shevchenko |
Amanda Nunes |
1.88 |
5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Jul '17 |
Eric Shelton |
Jarred Brooks |
2.33 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Jul '17 |
Kailin Curran |
Alexandra Albu |
2.40 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Jul '17 |
Jason Knight |
Ricardo Lamas |
2.00 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:34) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jul '17 |
Joanne Wood |
Cynthia Calvillo |
2.70 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jul '17 |
Dhiego Lima |
Jesse Taylor |
2.60 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (0:43) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jun '17 |
Ross Pearson |
Daniel Hooker |
2.60 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
9. |
May '17 |
Marco Polo Reyes |
James Vick |
4.10 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:39) |
No |
|
|
10. |
May '17 |
Jessica Andrade |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
2.45 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '17 |
Matt Schnell |
Hector Sandoval |
2.05 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (4:24) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Apr '17 |
Jake Ellenberger |
Mike Perry |
2.65 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:5) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jun '17 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
Claudia Gadelha |
3.50 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:3) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '17 |
Chris Weidman |
Gegard Mousasi |
2.05 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:13) |
No |
|
|
15. |
May '17 |
Yair Rodriguez |
Frankie Edgar |
2.50 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
16. |
May '17 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Demian Maia |
2.11 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '17 |
Alan Jouban |
Gunnar Nelson |
3.85 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (0:46) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '17 |
Vitor Belfort |
Kelvin Gastelum |
4.40 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:52) |
Yes |
|
|
19. |
Mar '17 |
Paul Craig |
Tyson Pedro |
2.00 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Feb '17 |
Holly Holm |
Germaine de Randamie |
2.05 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MMA Moneyline: Progress Chart |
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