MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2350

MMA Handicapper Stats: Hedge That Bet

Hedge That Bet (HedgeThatBet)

MMA MHandicapper - Hedge That Bet

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	23 (45%)	Right	16 (57%)	Right	6 (32%)	Right	1 (25%)
Wrong	28 (55%)	Wrong	12 (43%)	Wrong	13 (68%)	Wrong	3 (75%)
Avg Odds	1.97	Avg Odds	1.82	Avg Odds	1.96	Avg Odds	5.48
Units Bet	194.3	Units Bet	137.0	Units Bet	54.8	Units Bet	2.5
Avg Bet	3.81	Avg Bet	4.89	Avg Bet	2.88	Avg Bet	0.63
Units Profit	-6.25	Units Profit	26.86	Units Profit	-31.96	Units Profit	-1.15
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	20%	ROI %	-58%	ROI %	-46%

Hedge That Bet: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
9th Sep '17	UFC 215	10	0.0	0%	0.0 / 10 (0%)
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	8	7.2	91%	7.2 / 8 (91%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	2	1.3	67%	1.3 / 2 (67%)
7th Jul '17	TUF Season 25 Finale	4	-0.9	-22%		-0.9 / 4 (-22%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	9	-5.8	-64%	-0.8 / 4 (-19%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	67	-9.9	-15%	12.1 / 45 (27%)	-22.0 / 22 (-100%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	45	3.7	8%	8.7 / 32 (27%)	-5.0 / 13 (-38%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	11.25	0.9	8%	-0.0 / 5 (-0%)	2.1 / 3.75 (56%)	-1.1 / 2.5 (-46%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	15	-9.2	-61%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	1.8 / 4 (45%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	18	11.2	62%	14.2 / 15 (95%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 5 (45%)
Losing Events: 6 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.66 units
Most Staked On One Event: 67.00 units
Best Event: 11.25 units
Worst Event: -9.90 units
Average Event: -0.57 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 11.25
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.54

Hedge That Bet: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	194.25	-6.2	-3%	26.9 / 137 (20%)	-32.0 / 54.75 (-58%)	-1.1 / 2.5 (-46%)	5 / 6 (45%)	-0.57

Hedge That Bet: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Hedge That Bet: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	194.25	-6.2	-3%	26.9 / 137 (20%)	-32.0 / 54.75 (-58%)	-1.1 / 2.5 (-46%)

Hedge That Bet: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (21%)	5	83 %	35.00	3.96	0.66	11%
Slight Favorites	13 (46%)	6	46 %	67.00	-7.10	-0.55	-11%
Slight Underdogs	7 (25%)	5	71 %	34.00	31.00	4.43	91%
Big Underdogs	2 (7%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-0.50	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (32%)	4	44 %	36.50	-3.01	-0.33	-8%
Co-Main Event	3 (11%)	2	67 %	19.00	6.00	2.00	32%
Position 3-5	9 (32%)	5	56 %	46.50	19.94	2.22	43%
6+ (Undercard)	7 (25%)	5	71 %	35.00	3.93	0.56	11%

Hedge That Bet: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (4%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Light Heavy	4 (14%)	4	100 %	25.00	15.15	3.79	61%
Middleweight	7 (25%)	3	43 %	35.00	-9.42	-1.35	-27%
Welterweight	5 (18%)	3	60 %	26.00	13.56	2.71	52%
Lightweight	2 (7%)	2	100 %	18.00	7.70	3.85	43%
Featherweight	4 (14%)	2	50 %	15.50	9.45	2.36	61%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%

Women's Fights	4 (14%)	2	50 %	15.00	-7.08	-1.77	-47%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Strawweight	3 (11%)	2	67 %	10.00	-2.08	-0.69	-21%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	1 (33%)	1	100 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	1 (33%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	1 (33%)	0	0 %
	3	2	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	9 (31%)	7	78 %
50-65%	11 (38%)	4	36 %
35-50%	2 (7%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	7 (24%)	2	29 %
	29	13	45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (31%)	6	67 %	1.55	1.95	1.25	-0.3 (-3%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (14%)	2	50 %	2.00	3.30	1.56	0.9 (21%)
Goes to Decision	2 (7%)	1	50 %	1.30	1.31	1.30	-0.7 (-35%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (14%)	2	50 %	2.07	3.00	1.45	0.5 (11%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (14%)	0	0 %	2.77	8.00	1.62	-4.0 (-100%)
Others	6 (21%)	2	33 %	2.52	10.00	1.53	-2.8 (-46%)
	29	13	45 %	1.92			-6.4 (-22%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Hedge That Bet's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	18	11.2	62%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,112.50
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	15	-9.2	-61%		$11.12	$1,112.50	$1,010.15
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	11.25	0.9	8%		$10.10	$1,010.15	$1,019.59
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	45	3.7	8%		$10.20	$1,019.59	$1,057.52
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	67	-9.9	-15%		$10.58	$1,057.52	$952.82
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	9	-5.8	-64%		$9.53	$952.82	$897.94
7th Jul	TUF Season 25 Finale	4	-0.9	-22%		$8.98	$897.94	$890.04
8th Jul	UFC 213	2	1.3	67%		$8.90	$890.04	$901.97
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.02	$901.97	$856.87
29th Jul	UFC 214	8	7.2	91%		$8.57	$856.87	$918.99
9th Sep	UFC 215	10	0.0	0%		$9.19	$918.99	$918.99

ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.10% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Hedge That Bet: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '17	Ilir Latifi	Tyson Pedro	2.00	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jul '17	Jon Jones	Daniel Cormier	1.40	5	TKO, R3 (3:1)
3.	Jul '17	Brian Ortega	Renato Moicano	2.75	3	Sub, R3 (2:59)
4.	Jul '17	Robert Whittaker	Yoel Romero	1.67	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Jun '17	Vitor Belfort	Nate Marquardt	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	May '17	Omari Akhmedov	Abdul Razak Alhassan	2.85	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	May '17	Joaquim Silva	Reza Madadi	1.57	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	May '17	Alexander Gustafsson	Glover Teixeira	1.29	10	TKO, R5 (1:7)
9.	May '17	Demian Maia	Jorge Masvidal	2.00	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	May '17	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Jessica Andrade	1.50	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	May '17	Frankie Edgar	Yair Rodriguez	1.67	10	TKO, R2 (5:0)
12.	May '17	James Vick	Marco Polo Reyes	1.25	8	TKO, R1 (2:39)
13.	Apr '17	Danielle Taylor	Jessica Penne	1.92	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Apr '17	Mike Perry	Jake Ellenberger	1.53	2	TKO, R2 (1:5)
15.	Apr '17	Gegard Mousasi	Chris Weidman	1.90	10	TKO, R2 (3:13)
16.	Apr '17	Daniel Cormier	Anthony Johnson	2.05	5	Sub, R2 (3:37)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '17	Valentina Shevchenko	Amanda Nunes	1.77	5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '17	Gunnar Nelson	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.56	5	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
3.	Jun '17	Jose Aldo	Max Holloway	1.62	2	TKO, R3 (4:13)	No
4.	May '17	Ben Saunders	Peter Sobotta	1.85	5	TKO, R2 (2:29)	No
5.	May '17	Nico Musoke	Bojan Velickovic	1.73	10	TKO, R3 (4:37)	No
6.	May '17	Junior dos Santos	Stipe Miocic	2.25	2	TKO, R1 (2:22)	No
7.	May '17	Krzysztof Jotko	David Branch	1.57	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '17	Eddie Wineland	John Dodson	4.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '17	Sam Alvey	Thales Leites	1.92	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '17	Artem Lobov	Cub Swanson	6.00	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '17	Ronaldo Souza	Robert Whittaker	1.45	6	TKO, R2 (3:28)	No
12.	Apr '17	Michelle Waterson	Rose Namajunas	2.15	5	Sub, R2 (2:47)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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