MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: BIG PAPI

BIG PAPI (Kieffer)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	14 (37%)	Right	7 (70%)	Right	4 (17%)	Right	3 (60%)
Wrong	24 (63%)	Wrong	3 (30%)	Wrong	19 (83%)	Wrong	2 (40%)
Avg Odds	3.09	Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	4.42	Avg Odds	2.92
Units Bet	82.5	Units Bet	52.0	Units Bet	26.0	Units Bet	4.5
Avg Bet	2.17	Avg Bet	5.20	Avg Bet	1.13	Avg Bet	0.90
Units Profit	-1.20	Units Profit	7.75	Units Profit	-11.27	Units Profit	2.33
ROI %	-1%	ROI %	15%	ROI %	-43%	ROI %	52%

BIG PAPI: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
18th Feb '17	Bellator 172	5	1.6	32%	1.6 / 5 (32%)
11th Feb '17	UFC 208	23.5	-14.3	-61%	-1.8 / 11 (-16%)	-10.5 / 10.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Jan '17	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	22.25	10.7	48%	8.9 / 11 (81%)	-0.6 / 9.25 (-6%)	2.4 / 2 (119%)
15th Jan '17	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	20.75	11.8	57%	10.1 / 14 (72%)	-0.2 / 6.25 (-3%)	2.0 / 0.5 (391%)

Winning Events: 3 (60%)
Losing Events: 2 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.50 units
Best Event: 11.83 units
Worst Event: -14.30 units
Average Event: -0.24 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 22.49
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -14.30

BIG PAPI: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	82.5	-1.2	-1%	7.7 / 52 (15%)	-11.3 / 26 (-43%)	2.3 / 4.5 (52%)	3 / 2 (60%)	-0.24

BIG PAPI: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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BIG PAPI: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	77.5	-2.8	-4%	6.1 / 47 (13%)	-11.3 / 26 (-43%)	2.3 / 4.5 (52%)
Bellator	5	1.6	32%	1.6 / 5 (32%)

BIG PAPI: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (10%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.61	1.61	32%
Slight Favorites	5 (50%)	5	100 %	25.00	18.93	3.79	76%
Slight Underdogs	3 (30%)	1	33 %	18.00	-8.80	-2.93	-49%
Big Underdogs	1 (10%)	0	0 %	4.00	-4.00	-4.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (30%)	1	33 %	15.00	-13.33	-4.44	-89%
Co-Main Event	1 (10%)	1	100 %	4.00	5.20	5.20	130%
Position 3-5	4 (40%)	3	75 %	22.00	7.88	1.97	36%
6+ (Undercard)	2 (20%)	2	100 %	11.00	8.00	4.00	73%

BIG PAPI: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (20%)	2	100 %	10.00	5.61	2.81	56%
Light Heavy	1 (10%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-4.00	-100%
Middleweight	2 (20%)	1	50 %	15.00	-5.80	-2.90	-39%
Welterweight	1 (10%)	1	100 %	10.00	8.20	8.20	82%
Flyweight	1 (10%)	1	100 %	3.00	2.07	2.07	69%

Women's Fights	3 (30%)	2	67 %	10.00	1.67	0.56	17%
Featherweight	1 (10%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (10%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.67	0.67	67%
Strawweight	1 (10%)	1	100 %	6.00	4.00	4.00	67%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	3 (100%)	3	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	3	3	100 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (16%)	4	80 %
50-65%	2 (6%)	2	100 %
35-50%	5 (16%)	2	40 %
<35% chance	20 (63%)	2	10 %
	32	10	31 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (6%)	2	100 %	1.45	1.54	1.36	0.9 (45%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.37	2.37	2.37	1.4 (137%)
Goes to Decision	2 (6%)	2	100 %	1.50	1.63	1.40	1.0 (51%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (3%)	0	0 %	2.35	2.35	2.35	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	6 (19%)	0	0 %	4.37	8.75	3.25	-6.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (3%)	0	0 %	4.00	4.00	4.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (3%)	0	0 %	2.65	2.65	2.65	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	9 (28%)	4	44 %	2.35	8.25	1.25	1.3 (15%)
X Wins in Round X	8 (25%)	0	0 %	6.48	14.50	3.25	-8.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	1.2 (120%)
	32	10	31 %	2.89			-11.2 (-35%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail BIG PAPI's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	20.75	11.8	57%	$5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,113.33
28th Jan	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	22.25	10.7	48%	$5	$11.13	$1,113.33	$1,227.00
11th Feb	UFC 208	23.5	-14.3	-61%	$5	$12.27	$1,227.00	$1,046.54
18th Feb	Bellator 172	5	1.6	32%		$10.47	$1,046.54	$1,063.42
8th Jul	UFC 213	11	-11.0	-100%		$10.63	$1,063.42	$946.44

ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.36% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

BIG PAPI: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '17	Cheick Kongo	Oli Thompson	1.32	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Feb '17	Anderson Silva	Derek Brunson	2.30	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jan '17	Li Jingliang	Bobby Nash	1.82	10	TKO, R2 (4:45)
4.	Jan '17	Valentina Shevchenko	Julianna Pena	1.67	1	Sub, R2 (4:29)
5.	Jan '17	Sergio Pettis	John Moraga	1.69	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jan '17	Cyril Asker	Dmitry Smoliakov	1.80	5	TKO, R1 (2:41)
7.	Jan '17	Nina Nunes	Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger	1.67	6	Sub, R3 (3:39)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '17	Yoel Romero	Robert Whittaker	2.10	11	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '17	Jared Cannonier	Glover Teixeira	3.05	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '17	Holly Holm	Germaine de Randamie	2.10	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

BIG PAPI: Progress Chart

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