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MMA Handicapper Stats: Kemps Picks

Kemps Picks (Kempm88)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Kemps Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 77 (52%) Right 32 (48%) Right 11 (41%) Right 34 (62%)
Wrong 72 (48%) Wrong 35 (52%) Wrong 16 (59%) Wrong 21 (38%)
Avg Odds 2.20 Avg Odds 2.07 Avg Odds 2.76 Avg Odds 2.14
Units Bet 192.3 Units Bet 96.4 Units Bet 24.7 Units Bet 71.3
Avg Bet 1.29 Avg Bet 1.44 Avg Bet 0.91 Avg Bet 1.30
Units Profit 17.01 Units Profit -4.54 Units Profit 2.96 Units Profit 18.59
ROI % 9% ROI % -5% ROI % 12% ROI % 26%
View Handicapper's Profile

Kemps Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 4.55 -0.2 -4% -0.3 / 3.55 (-7%) 0.1 / 1 (7%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 4 -0.1 -2% -0.1 / 4 (-2%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 4.1 -4.1 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 3.5 4.0 115% 1.9 / 2 (94%) 2.1 / 1.5 (143%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 6.95 2.7 38% 0.6 / 4.15 (15%) 2.0 / 2.8 (72%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 6 1.1 19% 2.1 / 5 (42%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 1 0.2 15% 0.2 / 1 (15%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Aug '17 DWTNCS 8 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 6.8 -6.8 -100% -5.3 / 5.3 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 8.15 -3.4 -41% -1.8 / 6.6 (-27%) -1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)
18th Jul '17 Dana White's TNCS 2 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 2.5 0.3 12% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.8 / 2 (40%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 2 -0.1 -6% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.9 / 1 (88%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 6.1 -6.1 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -4.1 / 4.1 (-100%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 6.45 1.9 29% -1.1 / 3.45 (-32%) 3.0 / 3 (100%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 1 1.1 105% 1.1 / 1 (105%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 5.5 -1.5 -27% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 1.0 / 3 (34%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 5.6 1.3 23% 0.3 / 2.5 (14%) 1.0 / 1 (95%) -0.0 / 2.1 (-0%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 9.8 -3.2 -33% -4.3 / 4.3 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 3.6 / 3 (120%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 8.4 2.0 24% 1.6 / 2 (80%) -1.2 / 2.8 (-41%) 1.6 / 3.6 (44%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 9.6 0.0 0% 2.0 / 2.3 (87%) -0.2 / 2 (-12%) -1.7 / 5.3 (-33%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 6.85 1.8 26% 1.0 / 3.15 (32%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.3 / 2.2 (104%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 6.5 4.2 64% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 5.1 / 1.5 (341%) 1.1 / 3 (36%)
14th Apr '17 Bellator 177 Dantas vs. Higo 1 1.3 130% 1.3 / 1 (130%)
8th Apr '17 UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 5.5 5.5 101% 1.0 / 2 (48%) 1.2 / 0.5 (240%) 3.4 / 3 (113%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 1.15 1.0 87% 1.0 / 1.15 (87%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 5.6 -1.0 -18% 1.0 / 3.6 (28%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 4.55 1.2 25% 2.2 / 3.55 (61%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Feb '17 UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 4.75 4.9 103% 2.6 / 2.75 (96%) 2.2 / 2 (111%)
11th Feb '17 UFC 208 2.27 -0.8 -35% -1.3 / 1.27 (-100%) 0.5 / 1 (48%)
4th Feb '17 UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 12.1 1.3 11% -2.5 / 6.8 (-37%) 2.0 / 3.3 (61%) 1.8 / 2 (92%)
28th Jan '17 UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 9.85 5.5 56% 3.0 / 4.65 (65%) -0.7 / 0.7 (-100%) 3.2 / 4.5 (71%)
27th Jan '17 Bellator 171 Guillard vs. Njokuani 2.3 0.7 30% 0.7 / 2.3 (30%)
15th Jan '17 UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 5 4.6 92% 1.0 / 1.5 (63%) 1.2 / 1 (119%) 2.5 / 2.5 (99%)
14th Jan '17 Invicta FC 21 Anderson vs. Tweet 2 1.6 82% 1.6 / 2 (82%)
10th Dec '16 UFC 206 11 1.2 11% 4.8 / 4.5 (106%) -3.6 / 6.5 (-55%)
9th Dec '16 UFC Fight Night 102 Albany 2 2.5 123% 2.5 / 2 (123%)


Winning Events: 24 (60%)
Losing Events: 16 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.80 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.10 units
Best Event: 5.53 units
Worst Event: -6.80 units
Average Event: 0.42 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 17.48
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -17.40

Kemps Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 29.1 3.4 12% -0.6 / 19.7 (-3%) 0.9 / 4.1 (21%) 3.2 / 5.3 (60%) 3 / 3 (50%) 0.57
2017 150.07 9.8 7% -8.7 / 72.17 (-12%) 2.1 / 20.55 (10%) 16.4 / 57.35 (29%) 19 / 13 (59%) 0.31
2016 13 3.7 28% 4.8 / 4.5 (106%) -1.1 / 8.5 (-13%) 2 / 0 (100%) 1.84

Kemps Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Kemps Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 182.87 15.2 8% -5.3 / 92.07 (-6%) 3.0 / 24.65 (12%) 17.5 / 66.15 (26%)
Bellator 4.3 3.1 71% 1.7 / 3.3 (53%) 1.3 / 1 (130%)
Other 5 -1.4 -27% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.4 / 4 (-9%)

Kemps Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (4%) 3 100 % 9.60 3.82 1.27 40%
Slight Favorites 28 (42%) 15 54 % 54.75 -7.23 -0.26 -13%
Slight Underdogs 28 (42%) 10 36 % 28.00 -5.05 -0.18 -18%
Big Underdogs 8 (12%) 4 50 % 4.02 3.93 0.49 98%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (13%) 3 33 % 18.95 -8.30 -0.92 -44%
Co-Main Event 4 (6%) 1 25 % 5.50 -4.35 -1.09 -79%
Position 3-5 22 (33%) 12 55 % 27.87 5.13 0.23 18%
6+ (Undercard) 32 (48%) 16 50 % 44.05 2.98 0.09 7%

Kemps Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (6%) 1 25 % 6.25 -4.00 -1.00 -64%
Light Heavy 8 (12%) 3 38 % 9.20 -1.42 -0.18 -15%
Middleweight 11 (16%) 6 55 % 16.00 0.35 0.03 2%
Welterweight 4 (6%) 3 75 % 7.75 4.22 1.05 54%
Lightweight 12 (18%) 6 50 % 13.37 2.28 0.19 17%
Featherweight 12 (18%) 6 50 % 20.45 -6.55 -0.55 -32%
Bantamweight 4 (6%) 2 50 % 5.05 1.70 0.43 34%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 3.45 1.40 0.47 41%
               
Women's Fights 9 (13%) 3 33 % 14.85 -2.52 -0.28 -17%
Featherweight 2 (3%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.75 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 9.10 1.08 0.36 12%
Strawweight 4 (6%) 1 25 % 4.25 -2.10 -0.52 -49%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 58 (75%) 50 86 %
Slight Favorites 18 (23%) 14 78 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
77 64 83 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 34 (52%) 27 79 %
50-65% 12 (18%) 7 58 %
35-50% 9 (14%) 3 33 %
<35% chance 11 (17%) 3 27 %
66 40 61 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 43 (65%) 33 77 % 1.45 1.95Pick was correct 1.27Pick was correct 5.1 (12%)
X Wins by KO 2 (3%) 1 50 % 2.94 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.94Pick was correct -0.1 (-3%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (3%) 2 100 % 4.77 8.00Pick was correct 3.40Pick was correct 9.4 (470%)
X Wins by Decision 13 (20%) 3 23 % 2.75 5.36Pick was incorrect 1.90Pick was incorrect -5.4 (-41%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (5%) 1 33 % 2.19 2.62Pick was correct 1.77Pick was incorrect -0.4 (-13%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (5%) 0 0 % 15.69 18.50Pick was incorrect 12.50Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
66 40 61 % 1.78     5.7 (9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Kemps Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 102 Albany 2 2.5 123% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,024.52
10th Dec UFC 206 11 1.2 11% $10.25 $1,024.52 $1,037.09
14th Jan Invicta FC 21 Anderson vs. Tweet 2 1.6 82% $10.37 $1,037.09 $1,054.20
15th Jan UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 5 4.6 92% $10.54 $1,054.20 $1,102.74
27th Jan Bellator 171 Guillard vs. Njokuani 2.3 0.7 30% $11.03 $1,102.74 $1,110.42
28th Jan UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 9.85 5.5 56% $11.10 $1,110.42 $1,171.68
4th Feb UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 12.1 1.3 11% $11.72 $1,171.68 $1,187.31
11th Feb UFC 208 2.27 -0.8 -35% $11.87 $1,187.31 $1,177.88
19th Feb UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 4.75 4.9 103% $11.78 $1,177.88 $1,235.24
4th Mar UFC 209 4.55 1.2 25% $12.35 $1,235.24 $1,249.44
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 5.6 -1.0 -18% $12.49 $1,249.44 $1,236.95
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 1.15 1.0 87% $12.37 $1,236.95 $1,249.32
8th Apr UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 5.5 5.5 101% $12.49 $1,249.32 $1,318.44
14th Apr Bellator 177 Dantas vs. Higo 1 1.3 130% $13.18 $1,318.44 $1,335.64
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 6.5 4.2 64% $13.36 $1,335.64 $1,391.56
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 6.85 1.8 26% $13.92 $1,391.56 $1,416.33
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 9.6 0.0 0% $14.16 $1,416.33 $1,416.74
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 8.4 2.0 24% $14.17 $1,416.74 $1,445.76
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 9.8 -3.2 -33% $14.46 $1,445.76 $1,399.42
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 5.6 1.3 23% $13.99 $1,399.42 $1,417.50
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 5.5 -1.5 -27% $14.18 $1,417.50 $1,396.45
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 1 1.1 105% $13.96 $1,396.45 $1,411.12
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 6.45 1.9 29% $14.11 $1,411.12 $1,437.88
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 6.1 -6.1 -100% $14.38 $1,437.88 $1,350.17
8th Jul UFC 213 2 -0.1 -6% $13.50 $1,350.17 $1,348.56
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 2.5 0.3 12% $13.49 $1,348.56 $1,352.74
18th Jul Dana White's TNCS 2 1 -1.0 -100% $13.53 $1,352.74 $1,339.21
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 8.15 -3.4 -41% $13.39 $1,339.21 $1,294.35
29th Jul UFC 214 6.8 -6.8 -100% $12.94 $1,294.35 $1,206.33
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 1.25 -1.3 -100% $12.06 $1,206.33 $1,191.25
29th Aug DWTNCS 8 2 -2.0 -100% $11.91 $1,191.25 $1,167.43
9th Sep UFC 215 3 -3.0 -100% $11.67 $1,167.43 $1,132.41
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 1 0.2 15% $11.32 $1,132.41 $1,134.10
31st Dec UFC 219 0.5 -0.5 -100% $11.34 $1,134.10 $1,128.43
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 6 1.1 19% $11.28 $1,128.43 $1,141.06
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 6.95 2.7 38% $11.41 $1,141.06 $1,171.30
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 3.5 4.0 115% $11.71 $1,171.30 $1,218.52
3rd Mar UFC 222 4.1 -4.1 -100% $12.19 $1,218.52 $1,168.56
7th Apr UFC 223 4 -0.1 -2% $11.69 $1,168.56 $1,167.44
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 4.55 -0.2 -4% $11.67 $1,167.44 $1,165.28


ROI % from starting bank balance: 16.53% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Kemps Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '18 Antonio Carlos Junior Tim Boetsch 1.43 2.3 Sub, R1 (4:28) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '18 Renato Moicano Calvin Kattar 1.95 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '18 Lucie Pudilova Sarah Moras 1.77 2.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '18 Niko Price George Sullivan 1.42 5 Sub, R2 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '17 Glover Teixeira Misha Cirkunov 2.30 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:45) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '17 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Lyman Good 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '17 Eryk Anders Rafael Natal 1.83 1.2 TKO, R1 (2:54) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '17 Ryan Bader Phil Davis 2.05 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '17 Tony Martin Johnny Case 1.74 1.35 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '17 Ben Nguyen Tim Elliott 2.85 1 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '17 Damir Hadzovic Marcin Held 3.60 1 TKO, R3 (0:7) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '17 Jason Knight Chas Skelly 2.00 1 TKO, R3 (0:39) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '17 Frankie Edgar Yair Rodriguez 1.77 1.3 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '17 Danielle Taylor Jessica Penne 1.87 1.15 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '17 Brandon Moreno Dustin Ortiz 2.00 1 Sub, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '17 Charles Oliveira Will Brooks 3.00 0.5 Sub, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '17 Desmond Green Josh Emmett 2.90 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '17 Arnold Allen Makwan Amirkhani 1.87 1.15 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '17 Jeremy Kennedy Rony Jason 1.87 1.15 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '17 Kevin Lee Francisco Trinaldo 1.69 1.45 Sub, R2 (3:12) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '18 Matthew Lopez Alejandro Perez 1.80 1.25 TKO, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '18 Evan Dunham Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (0:53) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '18 Frankie Edgar Brian Ortega 1.67 3 TKO, R1 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '18 Joby Sanchez Roberto Sanchez 1.69 1.45 Sub, R1 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '17 Holly Holm Cristiane Justino 3.80 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '17 Danny Roberts Nordine Taleb 2.05 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:59) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '17 Valentina Shevchenko Amanda Nunes 1.87 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '17 Andre Soukhamthath Alejandro Perez 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '17 Renato Moicano Brian Ortega 1.67 3 Sub, R3 (2:59) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '17 Jason Knight Ricardo Lamas 1.87 2.3 TKO, R1 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '17 Kelvin Gastelum Chris Weidman 1.63 3.2 Sub, R3 (3:45) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '17 Gian Villante Patrick Cummins 1.83 1.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '17 Lazar Stojadinovic Thanh Le 2.20 1 TKO, R2 (1:35) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '17 Albert Morales Brett Johns 3.95 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '17 Elias Theodorou Brad Tavares 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '17 Ed Herman C.B. Dollaway 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '17 Gerald Meerschaert Thiago Santos 2.25 1 TKO, R2 (2:4) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '17 Michael Chiesa Kevin Lee 2.10 1 Sub, R1 (4:37) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '17 Justine Kish Felice Herrig 1.91 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '17 Damien Brown Vinc Pichel 1.95 1 TKO, R1 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Kemps Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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