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MMA Handicapper Stats: Jonathan Conrad

Jonathan Conrad (Jonny_Conrad)

MMA MHandicapper - Jonathan Conrad

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	81 (44%)	Right	48 (42%)	Right	33 (55%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	102 (56%)	Wrong	65 (58%)	Wrong	27 (45%)	Wrong	10 (100%)
Avg Odds	2.10	Avg Odds	1.97	Avg Odds	2.07	Avg Odds	8.92
Units Bet	828.8	Units Bet	545.0	Units Bet	265.3	Units Bet	18.5
Avg Bet	4.53	Avg Bet	4.82	Avg Bet	4.42	Avg Bet	1.85
Units Profit	-82.83	Units Profit	-89.56	Units Profit	25.24	Units Profit	-18.50
ROI %	-10%	ROI %	-16%	ROI %	10%	ROI %	-100%

Jonathan Conrad: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	21.5	-4.9	-23%	-8.7 / 17 (-51%)	3.8 / 4.5 (83%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	16.5	-9.3	-56%	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)	-1.8 / 9 (-20%)
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	16.5	7.1	43%	3.7 / 3.5 (105%)	3.4 / 13 (27%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	21	13.7	65%	8.3 / 7.75 (108%)	5.3 / 13.25 (40%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	23.5	3.6	16%	3.6 / 23.5 (16%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	37.25	-37.3	-100%	-21.3 / 21.25 (-100%)	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	35	8.2	24%	5.2 / 20.5 (25%)	3.0 / 14.5 (21%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	52.75	-10.1	-19%	-0.3 / 32.5 (-1%)	-5.8 / 16.25 (-36%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
11th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	4	2.7	67%	2.7 / 4 (67%)
4th Mar '17	UFC 209	53.5	4.3	8%	7.3 / 43 (17%)	-1.0 / 8.5 (-12%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Feb '17	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	47.75	-23.3	-49%	-11.3 / 35.75 (-32%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Feb '17	UFC 208	38	-21.3	-56%	-10.4 / 19 (-55%)	-10.9 / 19 (-57%)
4th Feb '17	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	43	-14.2	-33%	-0.4 / 19.5 (-2%)	-7.7 / 17.5 (-44%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
28th Jan '17	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	26	-6.9	-27%	-3.9 / 23 (-17%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
15th Jan '17	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	40.75	19.2	47%	11.6 / 33.25 (35%)	7.6 / 7.5 (101%)
31st Dec '16	UFC 207	14.25	-3.2	-23%	-3.2 / 14.25 (-23%)
17th Dec '16	UFC on Fox 22	44	-16.4	-37%	-22.9 / 33 (-69%)	6.5 / 11 (59%)
10th Dec '16	UFC 206	21.25	-11.7	-55%	-15.8 / 15.75 (-100%)	4.1 / 5.5 (74%)
9th Dec '16	UFC Fight Night 102 Albany	47	6.3	13%	-1.5 / 17.25 (-9%)	11.3 / 26.25 (43%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
3rd Dec '16	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale	28	10.3	37%	13.8 / 24.5 (56%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
26th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 101	47	-0.1	-0%	-9.6 / 37 (-26%)	9.5 / 10 (95%)
19th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2	50.5	7.7	15%	-4.4 / 38 (-12%)	12.1 / 12.5 (97%)
19th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall	12.5	-3.1	-25%	-3.1 / 12.5 (-25%)
12th Nov '16	UFC 205 - New York City	52.25	5.2	10%	-9.6 / 22.75 (-42%)	14.7 / 29.5 (50%)
5th Nov '16	UFC Mexico City	6	-6.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
8th Oct '16	UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2	25	-6.4	-26%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)	3.6 / 15 (24%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 11 (42%)
Losing Events: 15 (58%)

Average Staked Per Event: 31.72 units
Most Staked On One Event: 53.50 units
Best Event: 19.19 units
Worst Event: -37.25 units
Average Event: -3.30 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 24.45
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -65.71

Jonathan Conrad: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	477	-68.4	-14%	-21.4 / 311 (-7%)	-33.0 / 152 (-22%)	-14.0 / 14 (-100%)	7 / 8 (47%)	-4.56
2016	347.75	-17.5	-5%	-71.2 / 230 (-31%)	58.3 / 113.25 (51%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	4 / 7 (36%)	-1.59

Jonathan Conrad: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Jonathan Conrad: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	824.75	-85.9	-10%	-92.6 / 541 (-17%)	25.2 / 265.25 (10%)	-18.5 / 18.5 (-100%)

Jonathan Conrad: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	10 (9%)	9	90 %	59.00	14.80	1.48	25%
Slight Favorites	54 (48%)	24	44 %	285.00	-49.25	-0.91	-17%
Slight Underdogs	38 (34%)	11	29 %	165.75	-65.71	-1.73	-40%
Big Underdogs	11 (10%)	4	36 %	35.25	10.60	0.96	30%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (10%)	4	36 %	54.00	-13.65	-1.24	-25%
Co-Main Event	8 (7%)	3	38 %	41.50	-9.16	-1.15	-22%
Position 3-5	27 (24%)	12	44 %	130.00	-12.25	-0.45	-9%
6+ (Undercard)	66 (58%)	28	42 %	315.50	-57.57	-0.87	-18%

Jonathan Conrad: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	11 (10%)	5	45 %	54.00	-5.85	-0.53	-11%
Light Heavy	12 (11%)	5	42 %	60.50	-15.83	-1.32	-26%
Middleweight	16 (14%)	8	50 %	79.50	-0.77	-0.05	-1%
Welterweight	22 (19%)	11	50 %	109.50	3.18	0.14	3%
Lightweight	15 (13%)	6	40 %	66.00	-9.05	-0.60	-14%
Featherweight	10 (9%)	2	20 %	41.00	-20.30	-2.03	-50%
Bantamweight	15 (13%)	6	40 %	69.50	-20.26	-1.35	-29%
Flyweight	5 (4%)	2	40 %	30.00	-10.32	-2.06	-34%

Women's Fights	6 (5%)	2	33 %	31.00	-13.44	-2.24	-43%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	12.00	-2.47	-1.24	-21%
Strawweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	14.00	-5.97	-1.99	-43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	13 (34%)	7	54 %
Slight Favorites	15 (39%)	7	47 %
Slight Underdogs	7 (18%)	2	29 %
Big Underdogs	3 (8%)	1	33 %
	38	17	45 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (1%)	1	100 %
50-65%	39 (57%)	25	64 %
35-50%	20 (29%)	9	45 %
<35% chance	8 (12%)	1	13 %
	68	36	53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	24 (35%)	18	75 %	1.79	2.50	1.49	8.7 (36%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	27 (40%)	13	48 %	2.04	3.30	1.63	-1.0 (-4%)
Goes to Decision	3 (4%)	2	67 %	1.99	2.50	1.56	0.7 (24%)
X Wins by KO	2 (3%)	0	0 %	3.44	3.66	3.25	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (1%)	0	0 %	4.17	4.17	4.17	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	8 (12%)	2	25 %	2.75	4.50	1.95	-3.2 (-40%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (4%)	1	33 %	2.38	2.60	2.18	-0.8 (-27%)
	68	36	53 %	2.05			1.4 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Jonathan Conrad's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
8th Oct	UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2	25	-6.4	-26%	$30	$10.00	$1,000.00	$905.94
5th Nov	UFC Mexico City	6	-6.0	-100%	$30	$9.06	$905.94	$821.59
12th Nov	UFC 205 - New York City	52.25	5.2	10%	$30	$8.22	$821.59	$834.14
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall	12.5	-3.1	-25%	$30	$8.34	$834.14	$778.52
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2	50.5	7.7	15%	$30	$7.79	$778.52	$808.77
26th Nov	UFC Fight Night 101	47	-0.1	-0%	$30	$8.09	$808.77	$778.28
3rd Dec	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale	28	10.3	37%	$30	$7.78	$778.28	$828.22
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 102 Albany	47	6.3	13%	$30	$8.28	$828.22	$850.01
10th Dec	UFC 206	21.25	-11.7	-55%	$30	$8.50	$850.01	$720.76
17th Dec	UFC on Fox 22	44	-16.4	-37%	$30	$7.21	$720.76	$572.24
31st Dec	UFC 207	14.25	-3.2	-23%	$30	$5.72	$572.24	$523.64
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	40.75	19.2	47%	$30	$5.24	$523.64	$594.11
28th Jan	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	26	-6.9	-27%	$30	$5.94	$594.11	$522.97
4th Feb	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	43	-14.2	-33%	$30	$5.23	$522.97	$418.95
11th Feb	UFC 208	38	-21.3	-56%	$30	$4.19	$418.95	$299.62
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	47.75	-23.3	-49%	$30	$3.00	$299.62	$199.79
4th Mar	UFC 209	53.5	4.3	8%	$30	$2.00	$199.79	$178.44
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	4	2.7	67%	$30	$1.78	$178.44	$153.20
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	52.75	-10.1	-19%	$30	$1.53	$153.20	$107.73
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	35	8.2	24%	$30	$1.08	$107.73	$86.60
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	37.25	-37.3	-100%	$30	$0.87	$86.60	$24.34
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	23.5	3.6	16%	$30	$0.24	$24.34	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	21	13.7	65%	$30	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,106.78
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	16.5	7.1	43%	$30	$11.07	$1,106.78	$1,155.63
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	16.5	-9.3	-56%	$30	$11.56	$1,155.63	$1,018.16
29th Jul	UFC 214	21.5	-4.9	-23%	$30	$10.18	$1,018.16	$937.76

ROI % from starting bank balance: -106.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Jonathan Conrad: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '17	Calvin Kattar	Andre Fili	4.15	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jun '17	Russell Doane	Kwan Ho Kwak	2.05	3.5	TKO, R1 (4:9)
3.	May '17	Trevor Smith	Chris Camozzi	2.30	2.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	May '17	Peter Sobotta	Ben Saunders	1.95	5	TKO, R2 (2:29)
5.	May '17	David Branch	Krzysztof Jotko	2.45	3.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	May '17	Demian Maia	Jorge Masvidal	2.00	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	May '17	Stipe Miocic	Junior dos Santos	1.71	5	TKO, R1 (2:22)
8.	Apr '17	Tim Elliott	Louis Smolka	1.53	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '17	Robert Whittaker	Ronaldo Souza	3.00	5	TKO, R2 (3:28)
10.	Apr '17	Patrick Cummins	Jan Blachowicz	2.00	4.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Apr '17	Charles Oliveira	Will Brooks	2.90	3.5	Sub, R1 (2:30)
12.	Apr '17	Gegard Mousasi	Chris Weidman	1.87	7	TKO, R2 (3:13)
13.	Jan '70			1.77	4
14.	Mar '17	Edson Barboza	Beneil Dariush	1.67	4	TKO, R2 (3:35)
15.	Mar '17	Darren Elkins	Mirsad Bektic	6.20	2	TKO, R3 (3:19)
16.	Mar '17	Tyson Pedro	Paul Craig	1.74	6.5	TKO, R1 (4:10)
17.	Mar '17	Alistair Overeem	Mark Hunt	1.71	8	TKO, R3 (1:44)
18.	Mar '17	Tyron Woodley	Stephen Thompson	2.15	6	Split Decision (5 rounds)
19.	Feb '17	Aiemann Zahabi	Reginaldo Vieira	1.38	4.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Feb '17	Paul Felder	Alex Ricci	1.27	7	TKO, R1 (4:44)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '17	Josh Burkman	Drew Dober	3.50	2.5	TKO, R1 (3:4)	No
2.	Jul '17	Renan Barao	Aljamain Sterling	2.05	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '17	Jason Knight	Ricardo Lamas	1.87	3.5	TKO, R1 (4:34)	No
4.	Jul '17	Donald Cerrone	Robbie Lawler	2.30	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jun '17	B.J. Penn	Dennis Siver	2.75	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jun '17	Michael Chiesa	Kevin Lee	2.20	4	Sub, R1 (4:37)	No
7.	May '17	Rashad Coulter	Chase Sherman	1.87	3	TKO, R2 (3:36)	No
8.	May '17	Yair Rodriguez	Frankie Edgar	2.20	7	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
9.	Apr '17	Joe Lauzon	Stevie Ray	2.60	3.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '17	Dustin Ortiz	Brandon Moreno	1.77	6	Sub, R2 (4:6)	No
11.	Apr '17	Joe Proctor	Bryan Barberena	3.70	3.5	TKO, R1 (3:30)	No
12.	Apr '17	Matt Schnell	Hector Sandoval	2.00	8	TKO, R1 (4:24)	No
13.	Apr '17	Michelle Waterson	Rose Namajunas	1.95	4.5	Sub, R2 (2:47)	No
14.	Apr '17	Roy Nelson	Alexander Volkov	2.35	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Apr '17	Charles Rosa	Shane Burgos	2.95	4.5	TKO, R3 (1:59)	No
16.	Apr '17	Irene Aldana	Katlyn Chookagian	2.35	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Apr '17	Anthony Johnson	Daniel Cormier	1.77	7	Sub, R2 (3:37)	No
18.	Mar '17	Luke Sanders	Yuri Alcantara	1.71	4	Sub, R2 (3:13)	No
19.	Mar '17	Luis Henrique	Marcin Tybura	2.40	6	TKO, R3 (3:46)	No
20.	Mar '17	Daniel Spitz	Mark Godbeer	2.25	4.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Jonathan Conrad: Progress Chart

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