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MMA Handicapper Stats: Don Papa |
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Don Papa: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 15 (52%) Losing Events: 14 (48%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.24 units Most Staked On One Event: 22.00 units Best Event: 6.44 units Worst Event: -10.00 units Average Event: -0.32 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 22.69 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -23.00 |
Don Papa: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2019 |
32 |
-8.8 |
-27% |
-4.8 / 28 (-17%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
-4.40 |
2018 |
45 |
-18.5 |
-41% |
-12.5 / 39 (-32%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
|
4 / 7 (36%) |
-1.68 |
2017 |
75 |
18.0 |
24% |
14.7 / 62 (24%) |
2.1 / 12 (17%) |
1.2 / 1 (122%) |
10 / 6 (63%) |
1.12 |
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Don Papa: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Don Papa: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
148 |
-8.6 |
-6% |
-1.8 / 125 (-1%) |
-7.9 / 22 (-36%) |
1.2 / 1 (122%) |
Bellator |
2 |
1.2 |
61% |
1.2 / 2 (61%) |
|
|
Other |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
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Don Papa: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
6 (14%) |
5 |
83 % |
32.00 |
1.75 |
0.29 |
5% |
Slight Favorites |
18 (43%) |
9 |
50 % |
56.00 |
-5.20 |
-0.29 |
-9% |
Slight Underdogs |
10 (24%) |
6 |
60 % |
23.00 |
2.74 |
0.27 |
12% |
Big Underdogs |
8 (19%) |
2 |
25 % |
18.00 |
-1.90 |
-0.24 |
-11% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
12 (29%) |
5 |
42 % |
36.00 |
-5.00 |
-0.42 |
-14% |
Co-Main Event |
11 (26%) |
5 |
45 % |
43.00 |
-9.95 |
-0.90 |
-23% |
Position 3-5 |
10 (24%) |
4 |
40 % |
25.00 |
-6.29 |
-0.63 |
-25% |
6+ (Undercard) |
9 (21%) |
8 |
89 % |
25.00 |
18.63 |
2.07 |
75% |
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Don Papa: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (10%) |
2 |
50 % |
9.00 |
-1.18 |
-0.29 |
-13% |
Light Heavy |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
8.00 |
3.20 |
3.20 |
40% |
Middleweight |
8 (19%) |
4 |
50 % |
24.00 |
1.36 |
0.17 |
6% |
Welterweight |
12 (29%) |
6 |
50 % |
35.00 |
0.61 |
0.05 |
2% |
Lightweight |
3 (7%) |
2 |
67 % |
4.00 |
2.73 |
0.91 |
68% |
Featherweight |
3 (7%) |
1 |
33 % |
11.00 |
-2.00 |
-0.67 |
-18% |
Bantamweight |
3 (7%) |
2 |
67 % |
10.00 |
0.82 |
0.27 |
8% |
Flyweight |
2 (5%) |
1 |
50 % |
10.00 |
-6.76 |
-3.38 |
-68% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
6 (14%) |
3 |
50 % |
18.00 |
-1.39 |
-0.23 |
-8% |
Bantamweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-3.00 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
5 (12%) |
3 |
60 % |
15.00 |
1.61 |
0.32 |
11% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
3 (100%) |
3 |
100 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
3 |
3 |
100 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
1 (10%) |
0 |
0 % |
50-65% |
4 (40%) |
1 |
25 % |
35-50% |
2 (20%) |
1 |
50 % |
<35% chance |
3 (30%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
10 |
2 |
20 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Does not go to Decision |
1 (10%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.47 |
1.47 |
1.47 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
X Wins by KO |
1 (10%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.95 |
1.95 |
1.95 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
X Wins by Decision |
1 (10%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.62 |
1.62 |
1.62 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
X Wins Inside Distance |
1 (10%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.84 |
1.84 |
1.84 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
Others |
6 (60%) |
2 |
33 % |
2.68 |
5.50 |
1.72 |
-1.0 (-16%) |
|
10 |
2 |
20 % |
2.18 |
|
|
-5.0 (-50%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Don Papa's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov |
7 |
6.4 |
92% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,064.36 |
13th May |
UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos |
11 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,064.36 |
$1,064.36 |
28th May |
UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira |
8 |
3.2 |
40% |
|
$10.64 |
$1,064.36 |
$1,098.42 |
3rd Jun |
UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway |
13 |
0.5 |
4% |
|
$10.98 |
$1,098.42 |
$1,104.02 |
10th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis |
4 |
3.8 |
96% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,104.02 |
$1,146.41 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 111 |
3 |
3.9 |
130% |
|
$11.46 |
$1,146.41 |
$1,191.13 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 113 |
3 |
4.8 |
160% |
|
$11.91 |
$1,191.13 |
$1,248.30 |
25th Jul |
DWTNF 3 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.48 |
$1,248.30 |
$1,223.33 |
29th Jul |
UFC 214 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.23 |
$1,223.33 |
$1,186.63 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno |
1 |
1.5 |
155% |
|
$11.87 |
$1,186.63 |
$1,205.02 |
9th Sep |
UFC 215 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.05 |
$1,205.02 |
$1,168.87 |
7th Oct |
UFC 216 |
3 |
2.2 |
72% |
|
$11.69 |
$1,168.87 |
$1,194.12 |
4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.94 |
$1,194.12 |
$1,146.36 |
11th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia |
5 |
5.5 |
109% |
|
$11.46 |
$1,146.36 |
$1,208.92 |
2nd Dec |
UFC 218 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.09 |
$1,208.92 |
$1,172.65 |
31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
2 |
1.1 |
55% |
|
$11.73 |
$1,172.65 |
$1,185.55 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.86 |
$1,185.55 |
$1,138.13 |
7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.38 |
$1,138.13 |
$1,092.61 |
14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
4 |
2.1 |
53% |
|
$10.93 |
$1,092.61 |
$1,115.77 |
12th May |
UFC 224 |
5 |
-0.4 |
-7% |
|
$11.16 |
$1,115.77 |
$1,111.75 |
12th May |
Bellator 199 |
2 |
1.2 |
61% |
|
$11.12 |
$1,111.75 |
$1,125.32 |
27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,125.32 |
$1,091.56 |
9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,091.56 |
$1,069.73 |
7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
5 |
4.3 |
86% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.73 |
$1,115.83 |
14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
2 |
1.2 |
61% |
|
$11.16 |
$1,115.83 |
$1,129.44 |
4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.29 |
$1,129.44 |
$1,016.50 |
15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,016.50 |
$975.84 |
2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
22 |
-9.0 |
-41% |
|
$9.76 |
$975.84 |
$888.01 |
13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
10 |
0.2 |
2% |
|
$8.88 |
$888.01 |
$889.79 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Don Papa: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '19 |
Israel Adesanya |
Kelvin Gastelum |
1.70 |
6 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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|
2. |
Mar '19 |
Diego Sanchez |
Mickey Gall |
3.25 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:13) |
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|
3. |
Jul '18 |
Junior dos Santos |
Blagoy Ivanov |
1.61 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Jul '18 |
Drakkar Klose |
Lando Vannata |
2.55 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Jul '18 |
Raphael Assuncao |
Rob Font |
1.69 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
May '18 |
Jon Fitch |
Paul Daley |
1.61 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
May '18 |
Jack Hermansson |
Thales Leites |
1.72 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:10) |
|
|
8. |
May '18 |
Warlley Alves |
Sultan Aliev |
1.46 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
9. |
Apr '18 |
Alex Oliveira |
Carlos Condit |
1.53 |
4 |
Sub, R2 (3:17) |
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|
10. |
Dec '17 |
Carla Esparza |
Cynthia Calvillo |
3.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Nov '17 |
Marlon Moraes |
John Dodson |
2.03 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Nov '17 |
Dustin Poirier |
Anthony Pettis |
2.09 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (2:8) |
|
|
13. |
Aug '17 |
Niko Price |
Alan Jouban |
2.55 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:44) |
|
|
14. |
Jul '17 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio |
Gunnar Nelson |
2.60 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:22) |
|
|
15. |
Jun '17 |
Mark Hunt |
Derrick Lewis |
2.30 |
2 |
TKO, R4 (3:51) |
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16. |
Jun '17 |
John Moraga |
Ashkan Mokhtarian |
1.62 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jun '17 |
Claudia Gadelha |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
1.40 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:3) |
|
|
18. |
Jun '17 |
Claudia Gadelha |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
1.33 |
7 |
Sub, R1 (3:3) |
|
|
19. |
May '17 |
Alexander Gustafsson |
Glover Teixeira |
1.40 |
8 |
TKO, R5 (1:7) |
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20. |
May '17 |
Frankie Edgar |
Yair Rodriguez |
1.80 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Don Papa: Progress Chart |
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