MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Mauler

The Mauler (marianbets)

MMA MHandicapper - The Mauler

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	101 (52%)	Right	39 (74%)	Right	50 (49%)	Right	12 (32%)
Wrong	92 (48%)	Wrong	14 (26%)	Wrong	52 (51%)	Wrong	26 (68%)
Avg Odds	2.04	Avg Odds	1.62	Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	3.42
Units Bet	547.1	Units Bet	262.0	Units Bet	236.3	Units Bet	48.8
Avg Bet	2.83	Avg Bet	4.94	Avg Bet	2.32	Avg Bet	1.28
Units Profit	37.02	Units Profit	81.75	Units Profit	-40.28	Units Profit	-4.45
ROI %	7%	ROI %	31%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	-9%

The Mauler: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
12th May '18	UFC 224	1	0.1	13%		0.1 / 1 (13%)
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	19	-8.8	-46%		-8.8 / 19 (-46%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	12.4	9.1	73%	1.0 / 7.4 (13%)	8.1 / 5 (162%)
7th Jul '17	TUF Season 25 Finale	23	4.5	19%	6.6 / 17 (39%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	1.8 / 2 (92%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	20	-9.2	-46%	-6.9 / 14.8 (-47%)	-0.3 / 3.2 (-10%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Jun '17	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	7.15	0.4	5%	0.4 / 7.15 (5%)
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	24	12.0	50%	7.6 / 17 (45%)	4.5 / 7 (64%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	44.9	4.5	10%	6.9 / 16 (43%)	-0.5 / 18 (-3%)	-1.9 / 10.9 (-17%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	44.62	-9.3	-21%	13.3 / 15.22 (87%)	-19.2 / 26 (-74%)	-3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	72.53	9.6	13%	5.5 / 43.33 (13%)	8.1 / 25.2 (32%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
19th May '17	Bellator 179 Daley vs. MacDonald	21	10.8	52%	10.8 / 21 (52%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	51.27	-5.0	-10%	11.8 / 26.06 (45%)	-12.8 / 21.21 (-60%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	40.23	10.9	27%	10.7 / 22.53 (47%)	-2.2 / 14.7 (-15%)	2.5 / 3 (84%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	22.98	4.6	20%	-8.0 / 10.52 (-76%)	8.0 / 8.46 (95%)	4.6 / 4 (116%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	87.99	-0.6	-1%	18.6 / 18.64 (100%)	-20.8 / 61.85 (-34%)	1.5 / 7.5 (20%)
18th Mar '17	WSOF 35 Ivanov vs. Jordan	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	16.53	2.4	14%	3.1 / 9.2 (34%)	-0.5 / 5.85 (-9%)	-0.2 / 1.48 (-14%)
11th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	14.5	1.6	11%	3.2 / 11.1 (29%)	0.4 / 1.4 (31%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Mar '17	UFC 209	4.5	7.1	158%		2.6 / 2 (132%)	4.5 / 2.5 (179%)
19th Feb '17	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	3	3.0	100%	1.1 / 1 (110%)	1.9 / 2 (96%)
4th Feb '17	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
28th Jan '17	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	16	-6.9	-43%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-2.9 / 12 (-24%)

Winning Events: 14 (61%)
Losing Events: 9 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 23.94 units
Most Staked On One Event: 87.99 units
Best Event: 12.03 units
Worst Event: -9.31 units
Average Event: 1.61 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 20.48
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -10.76

The Mauler: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	1	0.1	13%		0.1 / 1 (13%)		1 / (100%)	0.13
2017	549.6	36.9	7%	81.7 / 261.95 (31%)	-40.4 / 238.87 (-17%)	-4.4 / 48.78 (-9%)	13 / 9 (59%)	1.68

The Mauler: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Mauler: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	521.45	26.8	5%	70.6 / 233.8 (30%)	-39.3 / 238.87 (-16%)	-4.4 / 48.78 (-9%)
Bellator	28.15	11.2	40%	11.2 / 28.15 (40%)
PFL	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

The Mauler: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	30 (51%)	26	87 %	181.85	44.09	1.47	24%
Slight Favorites	14 (24%)	10	71 %	41.86	12.18	0.87	29%
Slight Underdogs	13 (22%)	7	54 %	35.43	20.30	1.56	57%
Big Underdogs	2 (3%)	1	50 %	2.81	5.17	2.58	184%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (24%)	13	93 %	85.13	53.44	3.82	63%
Co-Main Event	7 (12%)	5	71 %	20.28	2.26	0.32	11%
Position 3-5	20 (34%)	11	55 %	88.11	3.08	0.15	3%
6+ (Undercard)	18 (31%)	15	83 %	68.43	22.97	1.28	34%

The Mauler: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (8%)	4	80 %	25.52	9.54	1.91	37%
Light Heavy	6 (10%)	6	100 %	33.36	24.96	4.16	75%
Middleweight	13 (22%)	9	69 %	34.29	4.45	0.34	13%
Welterweight	15 (25%)	11	73 %	87.69	20.93	1.40	24%
Lightweight	6 (10%)	3	50 %	19.30	-3.10	-0.52	-16%
Featherweight	9 (15%)	6	67 %	34.79	14.37	1.60	41%
Bantamweight	2 (3%)	2	100 %	8.00	2.10	1.05	26%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	4.00	2.48	2.48	62%

Women's Fights	2 (3%)	2	100 %	15.00	6.02	3.01	40%
Strawweight	2 (3%)	2	100 %	15.00	6.02	3.01	40%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	31 (89%)	24	77 %
Slight Favorites	4 (11%)	2	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	35	26	74 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	83 (40%)	69	83 %
50-65%	43 (21%)	21	49 %
35-50%	36 (17%)	21	58 %
<35% chance	46 (22%)	8	17 %
	208	119	57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	72 (35%)	55	76 %	1.46	2.38	1.05	7.8 (11%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (0%)	0	0 %	3.00	3.00	3.00	-1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision	28 (13%)	10	36 %	1.96	3.00	1.30	-5.5 (-20%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (0%)	1	100 %	1.25	1.25	1.25	0.3 (25%)
Fight Starts Round X	3 (1%)	3	100 %	1.23	1.23	1.22	0.7 (23%)
X Wins by KO	14 (7%)	5	36 %	2.44	13.00	1.62	-4.8 (-34%)
X Wins by Decision	34 (16%)	11	32 %	3.25	7.00	1.67	0.1 (0%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision	1 (0%)	1	100 %	1.19	1.19	1.19	0.2 (19%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (3%)	1	17 %	2.11	2.57	1.61	-3.4 (-57%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance	25 (12%)	21	84 %	1.19	1.57	1.08	-0.2 (-1%)
X Wins in Round X	8 (4%)	0	0 %	10.19	23.00	3.75	-8.0 (-100%)
X Doesn't Win in Round X	1 (0%)	1	100 %	1.20	1.20	1.20	0.2 (20%)
Others	14 (7%)	10	71 %	1.99	9.00	1.15	7.7 (55%)
	208	119	57 %	1.78			-6.1 (-3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Mauler's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
28th Jan	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	16	-6.9	-43%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$931.00
4th Feb	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.31	$931.00	$921.69
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	3	3.0	100%		$9.22	$921.69	$949.43
4th Mar	UFC 209	4.5	7.1	158%		$9.49	$949.43	$1,017.00
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	14.5	1.6	11%		$10.17	$1,017.00	$1,033.67
18th Mar	UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson	16.53	2.4	14%		$10.34	$1,033.67	$1,058.42
18th Mar	WSOF 35 Ivanov vs. Jordan	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.58	$1,058.42	$1,047.84
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	87.99	-0.6	-1%		$10.48	$1,047.84	$1,041.11
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	22.98	4.6	20%		$10.41	$1,041.11	$1,089.40
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	40.23	10.9	27%		$10.89	$1,089.40	$1,208.67
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	51.27	-5.0	-10%		$12.09	$1,208.67	$1,148.72
19th May	Bellator 179 Daley vs. MacDonald	21	10.8	52%		$11.49	$1,148.72	$1,273.13
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	72.53	9.6	13%		$12.73	$1,273.13	$1,395.96
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	44.62	-9.3	-21%		$13.96	$1,395.96	$1,265.93
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	44.9	4.5	10%		$12.66	$1,265.93	$1,323.27
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	24	12.0	50%		$13.23	$1,323.27	$1,482.45
24th Jun	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	7.15	0.4	5%		$14.82	$1,482.45	$1,487.84
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	20	-9.2	-46%		$14.88	$1,487.84	$1,350.66
7th Jul	TUF Season 25 Finale	23	4.5	19%		$13.51	$1,350.66	$1,410.81
8th Jul	UFC 213	12.4	9.1	73%		$14.11	$1,410.81	$1,539.06
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	2	-2.0	-100%		$15.39	$1,539.06	$1,508.28
29th Jul	UFC 214	19	-8.8	-46%		$15.08	$1,508.28	$1,376.15
12th May	UFC 224	1	0.1	13%		$13.76	$1,376.15	$1,377.94

ROI % from starting bank balance: 37.79% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Mauler: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '17	James Krause	Tom Gallicchio	1.30	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jul '17	Tecia Torres	Juliana Lima	1.35	4	Sub, R2 (0:53)
3.	Jul '17	Angela Hill	Ashley Yoder	1.42	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '17	Curtis Blaydes	Daniel Omielanczuk	1.20	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jun '17	Marvin Vettori	Vitor Miranda	1.31	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '17	Robert Whittaker	Yoel Romero	2.10	1.7	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Jun '17	Matt Mitrione	Fedor Emelianenko	1.90	2	TKO, R1 (1:14)
8.	Jun '17	Chael Sonnen	Wanderlei Silva	1.73	2.15	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '17	Darrell Horcher	Devin Powell	1.33	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jun '17	Colby Covington	Dong Hyun Kim	1.53	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jun '17	Rafael dos Anjos	Tarec Saffiedine	1.40	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jun '17	Zak Ottow	Kiichi Kunimoto	1.34	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jun '17	Derek Brunson	Daniel Kelly	1.34	2	TKO, R1 (1:16)
14.	Jun '17	Alex Volkanovski	Mizuto Hirota	1.40	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jun '17	John Moraga	Ashkan Mokhtarian	1.62	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jun '17	Paulo Costa	Oluwale Bamgbose	1.41	2	TKO, R2 (1:6)
17.	Jun '17	Luan Chagas	Jim Wallhead	1.44	5	Sub, R2 (4:48)
18.	Jun '17	Max Holloway	Jose Aldo	2.25	8.22	TKO, R3 (4:13)
19.	May '17	Omari Akhmedov	Abdul Razak Alhassan	1.17	8.85	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	May '17	Nordine Taleb	Oliver Enkamp	1.43	11	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '17	Yoel Romero	Robert Whittaker	2.10	1.7	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Jun '17	B.J. Penn	Dennis Siver	2.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jun '17	Johny Hendricks	Tim Boetsch	1.50	1.8	TKO, R2 (0:46)	No
4.	Jun '17	Erik Koch	Clay Guida	1.40	6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jun '17	Lorenz Larkin	Douglas Lima	1.57	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	May '17	Abdul Razak Alhassan	Omari Akhmedov	1.48	7	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	May '17	Abdul Razak Alhassan	Omari Akhmedov	7.00	1.48	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '17	Krzysztof Jotko	David Branch	1.67	1.66	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	May '17	Yair Rodriguez	Frankie Edgar	2.30	1.57	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
10.	Apr '17	Joe Lauzon	Stevie Ray	2.62	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '17	Ronaldo Souza	Robert Whittaker	1.61	3	TKO, R2 (3:28)	No
12.	Apr '17	Roy Nelson	Alexander Volkov	2.30	3.52	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
13.	Apr '17	Jeremy Stephens	Renato Moicano	1.53	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '17	Francisco Trinaldo	Kevin Lee	2.70	0.1	Sub, R2 (3:12)	No
15.	Jan '17	Donald Cerrone	Jorge Masvidal	1.75	4	TKO, R2 (1:0)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Mauler: Progress Chart

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