MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2350

MMA Handicapper Stats: Baca Fight Picks

Baca Fight Picks (MMAALLDAY)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	60 (44%)	Right	37 (53%)	Right	15 (48%)	Right	8 (24%)
Wrong	75 (56%)	Wrong	33 (47%)	Wrong	16 (52%)	Wrong	26 (76%)
Avg Odds	2.20	Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	3.73
Units Bet	418.4	Units Bet	255.2	Units Bet	73.1	Units Bet	90.2
Avg Bet	3.10	Avg Bet	3.65	Avg Bet	2.36	Avg Bet	2.65
Units Profit	-12.13	Units Profit	11.78	Units Profit	-9.21	Units Profit	-14.69
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	-16%

Baca Fight Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	18.65	-4.0	-22%	6.0 / 8.65 (69%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	12	-2.7	-23%	-2.8 / 7 (-40%)	1.1 / 4 (28%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	8.75	-8.8	-100%			-8.8 / 8.75 (-100%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	12.75	2.3	18%	3.3 / 9.5 (35%)	0.7 / 1.5 (47%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
29th Jun '18	Bellator 201	8	-3.6	-45%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		1.4 / 3 (46%)
9th Dec '17	UFC Fight Night 123	8.6	2.1	24%	1.8 / 8 (22%)	0.3 / 0.6 (56%)
2nd Dec '17	UFC 218	22	0.1	0%	-2.9 / 10 (-29%)	0.0 / 5 (0%)	3.0 / 7 (43%)
2nd Dec '17	TUF 26 Finale	7	0.2	3%	1.4 / 2.5 (54%)	-1.1 / 4.5 (-25%)
1st Dec '17	Bellator 189	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	19.5	-1.8	-9%	0.3 / 14 (2%)	0.4 / 3 (14%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
9th Sep '17	UFC 215	10.05	-10.1	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		-5.1 / 5.05 (-100%)
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	18	-11.9	-66%	-4.4 / 10.5 (-42%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
22nd Jul '17	UFC on Fox 25	11.5	-6.5	-57%	-6.5 / 11.5 (-57%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	20	-2.5	-12%	-7.4 / 15 (-49%)		4.9 / 5 (98%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	5.5	4.1	74%	1.6 / 2 (81%)		2.5 / 3.5 (71%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	26	14.7	56%	12.2 / 23 (53%)		2.4 / 3 (81%)
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	27	-1.6	-6%	2.4 / 12 (20%)	-2.5 / 13.5 (-19%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	22	7.3	33%	3.7 / 5 (74%)	-2.8 / 14 (-20%)	6.3 / 3 (211%)
11th Mar '17	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	17	6.5	38%	6.5 / 17 (38%)
4th Mar '17	UFC 209	15	4.6	31%	6.6 / 13 (51%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Feb '17	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	37	-13.5	-36%	-1.5 / 25 (-6%)		-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
28th Jan '17	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	21	-2.5	-12%	0.7 / 11 (6%)	-2.2 / 9 (-24%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Jan '17	Bellator 170 Sonnen vs. Ortiz	3.5	3.6	101%		4.6 / 2.5 (182%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Jan '17	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	18	30.0	167%	2.3 / 11 (21%)	2.2 / 2 (110%)	25.5 / 5 (509%)
17th Dec '16	UFC on Fox 22	30	-21.4	-71%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-6.4 / 15 (-43%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
9th Dec '16	UFC Fight Night 102 Albany	21	3.2	15%	3.2 / 21 (15%)

Winning Events: 12 (46%)
Losing Events: 14 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.20 units
Most Staked On One Event: 37.00 units
Best Event: 30.00 units
Worst Event: -21.43 units
Average Event: -0.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 33.55
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -34.28

Baca Fight Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	18.65	-4.0	-22%	6.0 / 8.65 (69%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-4.03
2018	41.5	-12.8	-31%	-4.5 / 21.5 (-21%)	1.8 / 5.5 (33%)	-10.1 / 14.5 (-70%)	1 / 3 (25%)	-3.20
2017	310.15	21.2	7%	10.3 / 197 (5%)	-4.6 / 57.6 (-8%)	15.5 / 55.55 (28%)	10 / 9 (53%)	1.12
2016	51	-18.2	-36%	-1.8 / 26 (-7%)	-6.4 / 15 (-43%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	1 / 1 (50%)	-9.12

Baca Fight Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Baca Fight Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	408.3	-12.3	-3%	16.5 / 246.65 (7%)	-13.8 / 75.6 (-18%)	-15.0 / 86.05 (-17%)
Bellator	13	-1.6	-12%	-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)	4.6 / 2.5 (182%)	0.4 / 4 (10%)

Baca Fight Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	14 (20%)	12	86 %	81.00	8.42	0.60	10%
Slight Favorites	25 (36%)	14	56 %	109.65	-4.34	-0.17	-4%
Slight Underdogs	22 (31%)	8	36 %	48.50	-0.70	-0.03	-1%
Big Underdogs	9 (13%)	3	33 %	16.00	8.40	0.93	52%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (20%)	9	64 %	62.50	1.37	0.10	2%
Co-Main Event	9 (13%)	7	78 %	52.65	11.59	1.29	22%
Position 3-5	19 (27%)	10	53 %	59.50	2.93	0.15	5%
6+ (Undercard)	27 (39%)	10	37 %	78.50	-5.94	-0.22	-8%

Baca Fight Picks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (9%)	5	83 %	31.00	3.60	0.60	12%
Light Heavy	8 (11%)	1	13 %	20.00	-15.00	-1.88	-75%
Middleweight	7 (10%)	5	71 %	29.00	5.44	0.78	19%
Welterweight	9 (13%)	4	44 %	37.00	-7.85	-0.87	-21%
Lightweight	10 (14%)	7	70 %	40.00	17.66	1.77	44%
Featherweight	8 (11%)	4	50 %	31.00	3.31	0.41	11%
Bantamweight	9 (13%)	3	33 %	28.65	8.62	0.96	30%

Women's Fights	12 (17%)	7	58 %	36.50	-5.82	-0.49	-16%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.73	0.73	145%
Flyweight	3 (4%)	2	67 %	10.50	-1.83	-0.61	-17%
Strawweight	7 (10%)	4	57 %	24.00	-3.22	-0.46	-13%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	63 (57%)	46	73 %
Slight Favorites	36 (32%)	20	56 %
Slight Underdogs	10 (9%)	4	40 %
Big Underdogs	2 (2%)	2	100 %
	111	72	65 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	16 (27%)	7	44 %
50-65%	23 (38%)	15	65 %
35-50%	11 (18%)	4	36 %
<35% chance	10 (17%)	2	20 %
	60	28	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	27 (45%)	15	56 %	1.59	4.20	1.28	-0.6 (-2%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (5%)	3	100 %	1.83	2.20	1.54	2.6 (87%)
Goes to Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.33	1.33	1.33	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (3%)	1	50 %	1.35	1.35	1.35	-0.6 (-32%)
X Wins by KO	5 (8%)	1	20 %	2.20	4.20	1.60	-3.4 (-68%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (3%)	1	50 %	5.54	14.10	3.45	12.1 (605%)
X Wins by Decision	8 (13%)	3	38 %	2.36	3.95	1.71	-2.2 (-27%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (7%)	3	75 %	1.74	3.45	1.36	0.5 (13%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (5%)	1	33 %	3.10	5.00	2.00	-1.0 (-33%)
Others	5 (8%)	0	0 %	2.03	2.40	1.69	-1.0 (-20%)
	60	28	47 %	1.84			5.4 (9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Baca Fight Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 102 Albany	21	3.2	15%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,031.90
17th Dec	UFC on Fox 22	30	-21.4	-71%		$10.32	$1,031.90	$810.78
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	18	30.0	167%		$8.11	$810.78	$1,054.05
21st Jan	Bellator 170 Sonnen vs. Ortiz	3.5	3.6	101%		$10.54	$1,054.05	$1,091.47
28th Jan	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	21	-2.5	-12%		$10.91	$1,091.47	$1,064.09
4th Feb	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	37	-13.5	-36%		$10.64	$1,064.09	$920.44
4th Mar	UFC 209	15	4.6	31%		$9.20	$920.44	$962.78
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum	17	6.5	38%		$9.63	$962.78	$1,025.36
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	22	7.3	33%		$10.25	$1,025.36	$1,099.94
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	27	-1.6	-6%		$11.00	$1,099.94	$1,082.07
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	26	14.7	56%		$10.82	$1,082.07	$1,240.77
8th Jul	UFC 213	5.5	4.1	74%		$12.41	$1,240.77	$1,291.60
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	20	-2.5	-12%		$12.92	$1,291.60	$1,259.52
22nd Jul	UFC on Fox 25	11.5	-6.5	-57%		$12.60	$1,259.52	$1,177.65
29th Jul	UFC 214	18	-11.9	-66%		$11.78	$1,177.65	$1,037.19
9th Sep	UFC 215	10.05	-10.1	-100%		$10.37	$1,037.19	$932.95
4th Nov	UFC 217	19.5	-1.8	-9%		$9.33	$932.95	$915.96
1st Dec	Bellator 189	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$9.16	$915.96	$902.22
2nd Dec	TUF 26 Finale	7	0.2	3%		$9.02	$902.22	$904.28
2nd Dec	UFC 218	22	0.1	0%		$9.04	$904.28	$905.24
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 123	8.6	2.1	24%		$9.05	$905.24	$924.21
29th Jun	Bellator 201	8	-3.6	-45%		$9.24	$924.21	$890.81
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	12.75	2.3	18%	$30	$8.91	$890.81	$881.24
8th Sep	UFC 228	8.75	-8.8	-100%	$30	$8.81	$881.24	$774.13
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	12	-2.7	-23%	$30	$7.74	$774.13	$723.14
6th Jun	UFC 250	18.65	-4.0	-22%		$7.23	$723.14	$693.97

ROI % from starting bank balance: -30.60% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Baca Fight Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '20	Cody Garbrandt	Raphael Assuncao	1.69	8.65	TKO, R2 (4:59)
2.	Oct '18	Talita Bernardo	Sarah Moras	2.45	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Oct '18	Arjan Bhullar	Marcelo Golm	1.48	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Aug '18	Cortney Casey	Angela Hill	2.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Aug '18	Joanne Wood	Kalindra Faria	1.61	3	Sub, R1 (4:59)
6.	Aug '18	Justin Gaethje	James Vick	2.35	2.5	TKO, R1 (1:27)
7.	Dec '17	Brian Ortega	Cub Swanson	1.95	5	Sub, R2 (3:22)
8.	Dec '17	Francis Ngannou	Alistair Overeem	1.43	5	TKO, R1 (1:42)
9.	Dec '17	Nicco Montano	Roxanne Modafferi	1.54	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Nov '17	Rose Namajunas	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	7.00	1	TKO, R1 (3:3)
11.	Nov '17	Paulo Costa	Johny Hendricks	1.45	5	TKO, R2 (1:23)
12.	Jul '17	Tyron Woodley	Demian Maia	1.52	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
13.	Jul '17	Patrick Cummins	Gian Villante	2.00	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jul '17	Cynthia Calvillo	Joanne Wood	1.53	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jul '17	Robert Whittaker	Yoel Romero	1.81	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Jun '17	Tony Martin	Johnny Case	1.83	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '17	Dennis Siver	B.J. Penn	1.61	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jun '17	Colby Covington	Dong Hyun Kim	1.48	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jun '17	Marcin Tybura	Andrei Arlovski	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jun '17	Tim Boetsch	Johny Hendricks	2.90	3	TKO, R2 (0:46)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '18	Jessin Ayari	Stevie Ray	2.40	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Oct '18	Ed Herman	Gian Villante	3.10	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Oct '18	Jonathan Martinez	Andre Soukhamthath	2.70	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Oct '18	Volkan Oezdemir	Anthony Smith	1.59	2	Sub, R3 (4:26)	No
5.	Aug '18	Luke Sanders	Rani Yahya	2.00	2	Sub, R1 (1:31)	No
6.	Aug '18	Andre Fili	Michael Johnson	2.20	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jun '18	Kristina Williams	Valerie Letourneau	2.60	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '17	Merab Dvalishvili	Frankie Saenz	1.65	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Dec '17	Arlene Blencowe	Julia Budd	4.40	1.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '17	Justin Gaethje	Eddie Alvarez	1.54	5	TKO, R3 (3:59)	No
11.	Nov '17	Corey Anderson	Ovince St Preux	2.30	1	TKO, R3 (1:25)	No
12.	Nov '17	Aiemann Zahabi	Ricardo Ramos	2.80	1	TKO, R3 (1:58)	No
13.	Nov '17	Jorge Masvidal	Stephen Thompson	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Nov '17	Walt Harris	Mark Godbeer	1.30	5		No
15.	Sep '17	Tyson Pedro	Ilir Latifi	1.97	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jul '17	Renan Barao	Aljamain Sterling	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '17	Jason Knight	Ricardo Lamas	1.87	3.5	TKO, R1 (4:34)	No
18.	Jul '17	Daniel Cormier	Jon Jones	3.22	1	TKO, R3 (3:1)	No
19.	Jul '17	Kelvin Gastelum	Chris Weidman	1.74	9	Sub, R3 (3:45)	No
20.	Jul '17	Gunnar Nelson	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.54	10	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Baca Fight Picks: Progress Chart

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