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MMA Handicapper Stats: Richard Hayes

Richard Hayes (richy777)

MMA MHandicapper - Richard Hayes

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	28 (56%)	Right	28 (56%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	22 (44%)	Wrong	22 (44%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.18	Avg Odds	2.18	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	437.0	Units Bet	437.0	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	8.74	Avg Bet	8.74	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	83.95	Units Profit	83.95	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	19%	ROI %	19%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

Richard Hayes: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	20	-5.6	-28%	-5.6 / 20 (-28%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
26th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
23rd Oct '21	UFC FN	20	-20.0	-100%	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)
16th Oct '21	UFC FN	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
25th Sep '21	UFC 266	10	10.8	108%	10.8 / 10 (108%)
21st Aug '21	UFC FN	20	3.0	15%	3.0 / 20 (15%)
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	10	11.1	111%	11.1 / 10 (111%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	20	-0.5	-2%	-0.5 / 20 (-2%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	20	4.5	23%	4.5 / 20 (23%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	10	10.3	103%	10.3 / 10 (103%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	8	-8.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	10	12.5	125%	12.5 / 10 (125%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	10	11.0	110%	11.0 / 10 (110%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	10	9.8	98%	9.8 / 10 (98%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	10	8.0	80%	8.0 / 10 (80%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	10	14.0	140%	14.0 / 10 (140%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	10	8.3	83%	8.3 / 10 (83%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	10	11.5	115%	11.5 / 10 (115%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	10	10.0	100%	10.0 / 10 (100%)
25th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	7	-7.0	-100%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
11th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	7	-7.0	-100%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	5	6.3	125%	6.3 / 5 (125%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	5	7.5	150%	7.5 / 5 (150%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	10	14.7	147%	14.7 / 10 (147%)
31st Dec '16	UFC 207	20	20.2	101%	20.2 / 20 (101%)
17th Dec '16	UFC on Fox 22	20	0.6	3%	0.6 / 20 (3%)
3rd Dec '16	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
26th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 101	10	12.1	121%	12.1 / 10 (121%)
19th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall	10	11.0	110%	11.0 / 10 (110%)
7th Oct '16	WSOF 33 Gaethje vs. Dugulubgov	10	12.3	123%	12.3 / 10 (123%)
1st Oct '16	UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
17th Sep '16	UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson	5	9.3	185%	9.3 / 5 (185%)
10th Sep '16	UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
3rd Sep '16	UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett	5	6.3	125%	6.3 / 5 (125%)
20th Aug '16	UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2	5	7.0	141%	7.0 / 5 (141%)
30th Jul '16	UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 24 (57%)
Losing Events: 18 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.40 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.00 units
Best Event: 20.20 units
Worst Event: -20.00 units
Average Event: 2.00 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 51.80
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -65.60

Richard Hayes: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	20	-5.6	-28%	-5.6 / 20 (-28%)			/ 1 (0%)	-5.60
2022	20	-20.0	-100%	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)			/ 2 (0%)	-10.00
2021	110	-25.6	-23%	-25.6 / 110 (-23%)			3 / 5 (38%)	-3.20
2020	98	52.1	53%	52.1 / 98 (53%)			7 / 2 (78%)	5.79
2019	30	29.8	99%	29.8 / 30 (99%)			3 / (100%)	9.93
2017	44	4.5	10%	4.5 / 44 (10%)			3 / 4 (43%)	0.64
2016	115	48.8	42%	48.8 / 115 (42%)			8 / 4 (67%)	4.06

Richard Hayes: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Richard Hayes: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	427	71.7	17%	71.7 / 427 (17%)
PFL	10	12.3	123%	12.3 / 10 (123%)

Richard Hayes: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (4%)	1	50 %	20.00	-5.60	-2.80	-28%
Slight Favorites	7 (14%)	5	71 %	70.00	23.60	3.37	34%
Slight Underdogs	40 (80%)	22	55 %	337.00	75.95	1.90	23%
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	0	0 %	10.00	-10.00	-10.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (6%)	2	67 %	28.00	14.00	4.67	50%
Co-Main Event	4 (8%)	2	50 %	40.00	0.60	0.15	2%
Position 3-5	15 (30%)	8	53 %	132.00	10.50	0.70	8%
6+ (Undercard)	28 (56%)	16	57 %	237.00	58.85	2.10	25%

Richard Hayes: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (12%)	3	50 %	54.00	6.80	1.13	13%
Light Heavy	3 (6%)	2	67 %	30.00	12.00	4.00	40%
Middleweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	25.00	6.55	2.18	26%
Welterweight	5 (10%)	2	40 %	45.00	-15.75	-3.15	-35%
Lightweight	9 (18%)	5	56 %	73.00	21.75	2.42	30%
Featherweight	9 (18%)	4	44 %	80.00	-2.15	-0.24	-3%
Bantamweight	4 (8%)	2	50 %	40.00	3.10	0.78	8%
Flyweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	15.00	17.00	8.50	113%

Women's Fights	9 (18%)	6	67 %	75.00	34.65	3.85	46%
Bantamweight	5 (10%)	3	60 %	45.00	13.70	2.74	30%
Strawweight	4 (8%)	3	75 %	30.00	20.95	5.24	70%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Richard Hayes's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
30th Jul	UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$950.00
20th Aug	UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2	5	7.0	141%		$9.50	$950.00	$1,016.97
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett	5	6.3	125%		$10.17	$1,016.97	$1,080.54
10th Sep	UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.81	$1,080.54	$1,026.51
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson	5	9.3	185%		$10.27	$1,026.51	$1,121.46
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson	10	-10.0	-100%		$11.21	$1,121.46	$1,009.32
7th Oct	WSOF 33 Gaethje vs. Dugulubgov	10	12.3	123%		$10.09	$1,009.32	$1,133.46
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall	10	11.0	110%		$11.33	$1,133.46	$1,258.14
26th Nov	UFC Fight Night 101	10	12.1	121%		$12.58	$1,258.14	$1,410.38
3rd Dec	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale	10	-10.0	-100%		$14.10	$1,410.38	$1,269.34
17th Dec	UFC on Fox 22	20	0.6	3%		$12.69	$1,269.34	$1,276.96
31st Dec	UFC 207	20	20.2	101%		$12.77	$1,276.96	$1,534.90
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	10	14.7	147%		$15.35	$1,534.90	$1,761.29
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	5	7.5	150%	$10	$17.61	$1,761.29	$1,883.39
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	5	-5.0	-100%	$10	$18.83	$1,883.39	$1,779.22
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	5	6.3	125%		$17.79	$1,779.22	$1,890.43
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	5	-5.0	-100%		$18.90	$1,890.43	$1,795.90
11th Nov	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	7	-7.0	-100%		$17.96	$1,795.90	$1,670.19
25th Nov	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	7	-7.0	-100%		$16.70	$1,670.19	$1,553.28
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	10	10.0	100%		$15.53	$1,553.28	$1,708.61
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	10	11.5	115%		$17.09	$1,708.61	$1,905.09
17th Aug	UFC 241	10	8.3	83%		$19.05	$1,905.09	$2,063.21
11th Jul	UFC 251	10	14.0	140%		$20.63	$2,063.21	$2,352.06
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	10	8.0	80%		$23.52	$2,352.06	$2,540.22
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	10	-10.0	-100%		$25.40	$2,540.22	$2,286.20
15th Aug	UFC 252	10	9.8	98%		$22.86	$2,286.20	$2,510.25
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	10	11.0	110%		$25.10	$2,510.25	$2,786.37
26th Sep	UFC 253	10	12.5	125%		$27.86	$2,786.37	$3,134.68
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	8	-8.0	-100%	$10	$31.35	$3,134.68	$2,873.90
13th Dec	UFC 256	10	10.3	103%	$10	$28.74	$2,873.90	$3,159.91
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	20	4.5	23%	$10	$31.60	$3,159.91	$3,292.12
24th Jan	UFC 257	20	-0.5	-2%	$10	$32.92	$3,292.12	$3,265.66
12th Jun	UFC 263	10	-10.0	-100%	$10	$32.66	$3,265.66	$2,929.09
19th Jun	UFC FN	10	11.1	111%	$10	$29.29	$2,929.09	$3,244.22
21st Aug	UFC FN	20	3.0	15%		$32.44	$3,244.22	$3,341.55
25th Sep	UFC 266	10	10.8	108%		$33.42	$3,341.55	$3,702.44
16th Oct	UFC FN	10	-10.0	-100%	$10	$37.02	$3,702.44	$3,322.20
23rd Oct	UFC FN	20	-20.0	-100%	$10	$33.22	$3,322.20	$2,647.76
30th Oct	UFC 267	10	-10.0	-100%		$26.48	$2,647.76	$2,382.98
26th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	10	-10.0	-100%		$23.83	$2,382.98	$2,144.68
7th May	UFC 274	10	-10.0	-100%		$21.45	$2,144.68	$1,930.22
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	20	-5.6	-28%		$19.30	$1,930.22	$1,822.13

ROI % from starting bank balance: 82.21% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Richard Hayes: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '23	Daniel Zellhuber	Christos Giagos	1.44	10	Sub, R2 (3:26)
2.	Sep '21	Jalin Turner	Uros Medic	2.08	10	Sub, R1 (4:1)
3.	Aug '21	Ignacio Bahamondes	Roosevelt Roberts	2.30	10	TKO, R3 (4:55)
4.	Jun '21	Rick Glenn	Joaquim Silva	2.11	10	TKO, R1 (0:37)
5.	Jan '21	Amir Albazi	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	1.95	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Dec '20	Pannie Kianzad	Sijara Eubanks	2.45	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '20	Kevin Holland	Ronaldo Souza	2.03	10	TKO, R1 (1:45)
8.	Sep '20	Hakeem Dawodu	Zubaira Tukhugov	2.25	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Sep '20	Randy Costa	Journey Newson	2.10	10	TKO, R1 (0:41)
10.	Aug '20	Stipe Miocic	Daniel Cormier	1.98	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Jul '20	Paul Craig	Gadzhimurad Antigulov	1.80	10	Sub, R1 (2:6)
12.	Jul '20	Jiri Prochazka	Volkan Oezdemir	2.40	10	TKO, R2 (0:49)
13.	Aug '19	Sabina Mazo	Shana Dobson	1.83	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '19	Kevin Aguilar	Enrique Barzola	2.15	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Feb '19	Stefan Struve	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	2.00	10	Sub, R2 (2:21)
16.	May '17	Bojan Velickovic	Nico Musoke	2.25	5	TKO, R3 (4:37)
17.	Apr '17	Brandon Moreno	Dustin Ortiz	2.50	5	Sub, R2 (4:6)
18.	Apr '17	Ketlen Vieira	Ashlee Evans-Smith	2.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Apr '17	Renato Moicano	Jeremy Stephens	2.55	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Dec '16	Neil Magny	Johny Hendricks	1.80	10	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '23	Fernando Padilla	Kyle Nelson	1.40	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '22	Danny Roberts	Francisco Trinaldo	1.98	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '22	Joel Alvarez	Arman Tsarukyan	3.16	10	TKO, R2 (1:57)	No
4.	Oct '21	Ricardo Ramos	Zubaira Tukhugov	2.42	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Oct '21	Dwight Grant	Francisco Trinaldo	2.25	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Oct '21	Joselyne Edwards	Jessica-Rose Clark	2.40	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Oct '21	Brandon Davis	Danaa Batgerel	2.41	10	TKO, R1 (2:1)	No
8.	Aug '21	Fabio Cherant	William Knight	2.57	10	TKO, R1 (3:58)	No
9.	Jun '21	Chase Hooper	Steven Peterson	2.00	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jan '21	Antonio Carlos Junior	Brad Tavares	2.10	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '20	Marlon Vera	Jose Aldo	2.32	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Nov '20	Paul Felder	Rafael dos Anjos	2.71	8	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Aug '20	Justin Jaynes	Gavin Tucker	2.12	10	Sub, R3 (1:43)	No
14.	Nov '17	Chase Sherman	Shamil Abdurakhimov	2.15	7	TKO, R1 (1:24)	No
15.	Nov '17	Joe Lauzon	Clay Guida	2.11	7	TKO, R1 (1:7)	No
16.	Jun '17	Chan-Mi Jeon	J.J. Aldrich	2.65	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	May '17	Yair Rodriguez	Frankie Edgar	2.38	5	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
18.	Dec '16	Sage Northcutt	Mickey Gall	2.26	10	Sub, R2 (1:40)	No
19.	Dec '16	Alexis Davis	Sara McMann	2.67	10	Sub, R2 (2:52)	No
20.	Oct '16	Walt Harris	Shamil Abdurakhimov	1.94	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Richard Hayes: Progress Chart

Chart

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