MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
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MMA Handicapper Stats: music74

music74 (music74)

MMA MHandicapper - music74

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	91 (51%)	Right	65 (58%)	Right	21 (38%)	Right	5 (63%)
Wrong	86 (49%)	Wrong	48 (42%)	Wrong	35 (63%)	Wrong	3 (38%)
Avg Odds	1.95	Avg Odds	1.85	Avg Odds	2.17	Avg Odds	2.03
Units Bet	567.1	Units Bet	391.0	Units Bet	156.7	Units Bet	19.4
Avg Bet	3.20	Avg Bet	3.46	Avg Bet	2.80	Avg Bet	2.43
Units Profit	-12.95	Units Profit	10.68	Units Profit	-8.89	Units Profit	-14.75
ROI %	-2%	ROI %	3%	ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-76%

music74 : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	2	-2.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	1	0.4	40%	0.4 / 1 (40%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	9	-1.3	-15%	-1.3 / 9 (-15%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Feb '17	UFC 208	6.5	-6.5	-100%		-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
4th Feb '17	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	3	-3.0	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
28th Jan '17	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	10	-10.0	-100%			-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Jan '17	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	8	5.2	66%	4.1 / 5 (81%)	1.2 / 3 (40%)
31st Dec '16	UFC 207	10	-3.6	-36%	-3.6 / 10 (-36%)
17th Dec '16	UFC on Fox 22	3	1.3	43%	1.3 / 3 (43%)
10th Dec '16	UFC 206	7	0.8	12%	-1.6 / 4 (-39%)	2.4 / 3 (80%)
3rd Dec '16	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale	5	-3.1	-62%		-3.1 / 5 (-62%)
26th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 101	3	-3.0	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2	4	5.0	126%	5.0 / 4 (126%)
19th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall	22	3.8	17%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	9.8 / 16 (61%)
12th Nov '16	UFC 205 - New York City	12	11.0	92%		11.0 / 12 (92%)
5th Nov '16	UFC Mexico City	3	-3.0	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Oct '16	UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2	13	5.6	43%	1.8 / 10 (18%)	3.8 / 3 (125%)
1st Oct '16	UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson	10.1	-10.1	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-7.1 / 7.1 (-100%)
24th Sep '16	UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia	4	-4.0	-100%		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Sep '16	UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson	5	4.4	89%	4.4 / 5 (89%)
10th Sep '16	UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem	13	5.2	40%	5.2 / 13 (40%)
3rd Sep '16	UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett	10	4.8	48%	3.9 / 9 (44%)		0.9 / 1 (86%)
27th Aug '16	UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia	5	3.2	64%	2.0 / 4 (50%)		1.2 / 1 (120%)
20th Aug '16	UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2	21	11.0	52%	11.0 / 21 (52%)
6th Aug '16	UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres	10	4.2	42%	4.2 / 10 (42%)
30th Jul '16	UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley	10	4.8	48%	4.8 / 10 (48%)
13th Jul '16	UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker	17	-7.4	-43%	1.6 / 8 (21%)	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
9th Jul '16	UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes	18	2.6	14%	2.6 / 18 (14%)
7th Jul '16	UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez	10	5.3	53%	5.3 / 10 (53%)
29th May '16	UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt	6	-1.7	-29%	-1.7 / 6 (-29%)
14th May '16	UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic	9	0.7	8%	0.7 / 9 (8%)
8th May '16	UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski	8	-0.2	-2%	-0.2 / 8 (-2%)
23rd Apr '16	UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux	21	-5.5	-26%	-5.5 / 21 (-26%)
16th Apr '16	UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans	15	-8.0	-53%	-8.0 / 15 (-53%)
10th Apr '16	UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb	25	-0.5	-2%	5.5 / 19 (29%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
5th Mar '16	UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz	23	5.3	23%	2.5 / 8 (31%)	2.9 / 15 (19%)
21st Feb '16	UFC Fight Night 82 - Cerrone vs. Oliveira	25	-2.4	-10%	-2.4 / 25 (-10%)
17th Jan '16	UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz	27.15	-4.2	-15%	-6.0 / 13 (-46%)	1.7 / 14.15 (12%)
2nd Jan '16	UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit	17	-2.7	-16%	0.3 / 14 (2%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Dec '15	UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2	31	-4.1	-13%	-0.7 / 21 (-4%)	-3.4 / 10 (-34%)
12th Dec '15	UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor	37.5	-13.5	-36%	-15.0 / 27.5 (-54%)	1.5 / 10 (15%)
12th Dec '15	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale	15	3.8	25%	-3.2 / 8 (-40%)	7.0 / 7 (99%)
10th Dec '15	UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas	28	3.2	11%	4.3 / 9 (48%)	-1.1 / 19 (-6%)
28th Nov '15	UFC Fight Night 79 - Henderson vs. Masvidal	22	0.2	1%	0.2 / 22 (1%)

Winning Events: 22 (48%)
Losing Events: 24 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.39 units
Most Staked On One Event: 37.50 units
Best Event: 11.00 units
Worst Event: -13.45 units
Average Event: -0.29 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 37.62
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -26.91

music74 : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	2	-2.0	-100%				/ 1 (0%)	-2.00
2019	1	0.4	40%	0.4 / 1 (40%)			1 / (100%)	0.40
2017	42	-21.1	-50%	-2.8 / 19.5 (-14%)	-8.3 / 12.5 (-66%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	1 / 6 (14%)	-3.01
2016	391.25	19.9	5%	27.5 / 283 (10%)	-2.5 / 99.15 (-3%)	-5.0 / 9.1 (-55%)	17 / 15 (53%)	0.62
2015	133.5	-10.4	-8%	-14.4 / 87.5 (-16%)	3.9 / 46 (9%)		3 / 2 (60%)	-2.09

music74 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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music74 : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	569.75	-13.2	-2%	10.7 / 391 (3%)	-8.9 / 159.65 (-6%)	-15.0 / 19.1 (-79%)

music74 : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	30 (27%)	27	90 %	148.00	35.38	1.18	24%
Slight Favorites	41 (36%)	20	49 %	153.00	-12.92	-0.32	-8%
Slight Underdogs	31 (27%)	17	55 %	71.00	4.26	0.14	6%
Big Underdogs	11 (10%)	1	9 %	19.00	-16.04	-1.46	-84%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (8%)	3	33 %	36.00	-10.33	-1.15	-29%
Co-Main Event	11 (10%)	7	64 %	35.00	-1.67	-0.15	-5%
Position 3-5	32 (28%)	21	66 %	109.50	25.42	0.79	23%
6+ (Undercard)	61 (54%)	34	56 %	210.50	-2.74	-0.04	-1%

music74 : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	12 (11%)	8	67 %	41.00	7.69	0.64	19%
Light Heavy	8 (7%)	3	38 %	24.00	-3.51	-0.44	-15%
Middleweight	13 (12%)	6	46 %	44.50	-3.64	-0.28	-8%
Welterweight	22 (19%)	11	50 %	75.00	-7.43	-0.34	-10%
Lightweight	19 (17%)	13	68 %	58.00	14.98	0.79	26%
Featherweight	15 (13%)	12	80 %	58.00	9.40	0.63	16%
Bantamweight	10 (9%)	6	60 %	35.50	1.79	0.18	5%
Flyweight	5 (4%)	2	40 %	17.00	-1.23	-0.25	-7%

Women's Fights	9 (8%)	4	44 %	38.00	-7.37	-0.82	-19%
Bantamweight	4 (4%)	1	25 %	18.00	-7.92	-1.98	-44%
Strawweight	5 (4%)	3	60 %	20.00	0.55	0.11	3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	10 (77%)	10	100 %
Slight Favorites	3 (23%)	1	33 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	13	11	85 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (8%)	4	80 %
50-65%	19 (32%)	7	37 %
35-50%	29 (48%)	11	38 %
<35% chance	7 (12%)	1	14 %
	60	23	38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (7%)	1	25 %	2.05	2.60	1.59	-1.4 (-35%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	32 (53%)	13	41 %	2.24	3.08	1.58	-1.6 (-5%)
Does not go to Decision	12 (20%)	6	50 %	1.67	2.62	1.25	-2.2 (-18%)
X Wins by KO	1 (2%)	0	0 %	8.00	8.00	8.00	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	11 (18%)	3	27 %	2.17	4.00	1.33	-3.4 (-31%)
	60	23	38 %	2.10			-9.6 (-16%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail music74 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
28th Nov	UFC Fight Night 79 - Henderson vs. Masvidal	22	0.2	1%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,001.60
10th Dec	UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas	28	3.2	11%		$10.02	$1,001.60	$1,033.65
12th Dec	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale	15	3.8	25%		$10.34	$1,033.65	$1,072.72
12th Dec	UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor	37.5	-13.5	-36%		$10.73	$1,072.72	$928.44
19th Dec	UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2	31	-4.1	-13%		$9.28	$928.44	$890.01
2nd Jan	UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit	17	-2.7	-16%		$8.90	$890.01	$865.87
17th Jan	UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz	27.15	-4.2	-15%		$8.66	$865.87	$829.44
21st Feb	UFC Fight Night 82 - Cerrone vs. Oliveira	25	-2.4	-10%		$8.29	$829.44	$809.53
5th Mar	UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz	23	5.3	23%		$8.10	$809.53	$852.72
10th Apr	UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb	25	-0.5	-2%		$8.53	$852.72	$848.46
16th Apr	UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans	15	-8.0	-53%		$8.48	$848.46	$780.58
23rd Apr	UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux	21	-5.5	-26%		$7.81	$780.58	$737.96
8th May	UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski	8	-0.2	-2%		$7.38	$737.96	$736.85
14th May	UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic	9	0.7	8%		$7.37	$736.85	$742.38
29th May	UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt	6	-1.7	-29%		$7.42	$742.38	$729.69
7th Jul	UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez	10	5.3	53%		$7.30	$729.69	$768.36
9th Jul	UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes	18	2.6	14%		$7.68	$768.36	$788.34
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker	17	-7.4	-43%		$7.88	$788.34	$730.39
30th Jul	UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley	10	4.8	48%		$7.30	$730.39	$765.45
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres	10	4.2	42%		$7.65	$765.45	$797.60
20th Aug	UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2	21	11.0	52%		$7.98	$797.60	$885.10
27th Aug	UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia	5	3.2	64%		$8.85	$885.10	$913.40
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett	10	4.8	48%		$9.13	$913.40	$957.27
10th Sep	UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem	13	5.2	40%		$9.57	$957.27	$1,007.04
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson	5	4.4	89%		$10.07	$1,007.04	$1,051.86
24th Sep	UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.52	$1,051.86	$1,009.78
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson	10.1	-10.1	-100%		$10.10	$1,009.78	$907.80
8th Oct	UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2	13	5.6	43%		$9.08	$907.80	$958.18
5th Nov	UFC Mexico City	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.58	$958.18	$929.43
12th Nov	UFC 205 - New York City	12	11.0	92%		$9.29	$929.43	$1,031.67
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall	22	3.8	17%		$10.32	$1,031.67	$1,070.87
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2	4	5.0	126%		$10.71	$1,070.87	$1,124.84
26th Nov	UFC Fight Night 101	3	-3.0	-100%		$11.25	$1,124.84	$1,091.10
3rd Dec	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale	5	-3.1	-62%		$10.91	$1,091.10	$1,057.28
10th Dec	UFC 206	7	0.8	12%		$10.57	$1,057.28	$1,066.05
17th Dec	UFC on Fox 22	3	1.3	43%		$10.66	$1,066.05	$1,079.80
31st Dec	UFC 207	10	-3.6	-36%		$10.80	$1,079.80	$1,041.47
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn	8	5.2	66%		$10.41	$1,041.47	$1,096.15
28th Jan	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	10	-10.0	-100%		$10.96	$1,096.15	$986.53
4th Feb	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.87	$986.53	$956.94
11th Feb	UFC 208	6.5	-6.5	-100%		$9.57	$956.94	$894.73
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	5	-5.0	-100%		$8.95	$894.73	$850.00
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	9	-1.3	-15%		$8.50	$850.00	$838.78
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$8.39	$838.78	$834.58
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	1	0.4	40%		$8.35	$834.58	$837.92
6th Nov	UFC 268	2	-2.0	-100%		$8.38	$837.92	$821.16

ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.88% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

music74 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '19	Curtis Blaydes	Justin Willis	1.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '17	Renato Moicano	Jeremy Stephens	2.56	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jan '17	Nina Nunes	Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger	1.81	5	Sub, R3 (3:39)
4.	Dec '16	Neil Magny	Johny Hendricks	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '16	Cody Garbrandt	Dominick Cruz	2.85	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Dec '16	Eddie Wineland	Takeya Mizugaki	1.43	3	TKO, R1 (3:4)
7.	Dec '16	Kelvin Gastelum	Tim Kennedy	2.43	1	TKO, R3 (2:45)
8.	Nov '16	Krzysztof Jotko	Thales Leites	2.26	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Oct '16	Mirsad Bektic	Russell Doane	1.18	10	Sub, R1 (4:22)
10.	Sep '16	Islam Makhachev	Chris Wade	1.89	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Sep '16	Mickey Gall	Phil Brooks	1.37	10	Sub, R1 (2:14)
12.	Sep '16	Fabricio Werdum	Travis Browne	1.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Sep '16	Nick Hein	Tae Hyun Bang	1.43	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Sep '16	Ashlee Evans-Smith	Veronica Macedo	1.44	7	TKO, R3 (3:14)
15.	Aug '16	Alessio Di Chirico	Garreth McLellan	1.48	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Aug '16	Kyle Bochniak	Enrique Barzola	1.56	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Aug '16	Colby Covington	Max Griffin	1.39	10	TKO, R3 (2:18)
18.	Aug '16	Artem Lobov	Chris Avila	1.72	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Aug '16	Anthony Johnson	Glover Teixeira	1.55	5	TKO, R1 (0:13)
20.	Aug '16	Dennis Bermudez	Rony Jason	1.44	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '17	Oluwale Bamgbose	Paulo Costa	3.25	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:6)	No
2.	Apr '17	Jake Collier	Devin Clark	2.20	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '17	Michelle Waterson	Rose Namajunas	2.21	3	Sub, R2 (2:47)	No
4.	Apr '17	Anthony Johnson	Daniel Cormier	1.87	5	Sub, R2 (3:37)	No
5.	Dec '16	Brandon Thatch	Niko Price	1.53	7	Sub, R1 (4:30)	No
6.	Dec '16	Nikita Krylov	Misha Cirkunov	1.88	3	Sub, R1 (4:38)	No
7.	Nov '16	Teruto Ishihara	Artem Lobov	1.40	6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '16	Eric Spicely	Sam Alvey	3.07	3	Sub, R1 (2:43)	No
9.	Jul '16	Miesha Tate	Amanda Nunes	1.41	5	Sub, R1 (3:16)	No
10.	May '16	Vitor Miranda	Chris Camozzi	1.59	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	May '16	Rob Font	John Lineker	2.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	May '16	Willie Gates	Yuta Sasaki	1.77	3	Sub, R2 (3:30)	No
13.	Apr '16	Ovince St Preux	Jon Jones	6.18	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '16	Henry Cejudo	Demetrious Johnson	4.55	2	TKO, R1 (2:49)	No
15.	Apr '16	Anthony Pettis	Edson Barboza	1.63	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Apr '16	Rafael Natal	Robert Whittaker	3.75	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Apr '16	Chris Kelades	Sergio Pettis	2.95	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Apr '16	Omari Akhmedov	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1.66	3	TKO, R3 (3:3)	No
19.	Apr '16	Court McGee	Santiago Ponzinibbio	2.29	1	TKO, R1 (4:15)	No
20.	Apr '16	Randy Brown	Michael Graves	1.99	2	Sub, R2 (2:31)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

music74 : Progress Chart

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