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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Philosopher

The Philosopher (Philosopher)


MMA MHandicapper - The Philosopher

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 277 (51%) Right 222 (56%) Right 46 (38%) Right 9 (36%)
Wrong 261 (49%) Wrong 171 (44%) Wrong 74 (62%) Wrong 16 (64%)
Avg Odds 2.18 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 3.00 Avg Odds 2.36
Units Bet 804.1 Units Bet 672.4 Units Bet 98.1 Units Bet 33.6
Avg Bet 1.49 Avg Bet 1.71 Avg Bet 0.82 Avg Bet 1.34
Units Profit 109.48 Units Profit 94.92 Units Profit 23.09 Units Profit -8.53
ROI % 14% ROI % 14% ROI % 24% ROI % -25%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Philosopher: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 3.5 -0.2 -5% 0.3 / 3 (11%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 5.5 0.5 8% 0.5 / 5.5 (8%)
29th Aug '20 KSW 54 1 0.9 86% 0.9 / 1 (86%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 4 3.0 75% 3.0 / 4 (75%)
21st Aug '20 Bellator 244 2 0.6 30% 0.6 / 2 (30%)
19th Aug '20 DWCS 29 1 1.1 105% 1.1 / 1 (105%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 7.5 1.0 13% 1.0 / 7.5 (13%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 7 3.6 51% 2.7 / 6 (44%) 0.9 / 1 (90%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 2 1.1 57% 1.1 / 2 (57%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 3.5 2.9 82% -0.6 / 2.5 (-25%) 3.5 / 1 (350%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 6 0.9 15% 0.9 / 6 (15%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 1 0.6 57% 0.6 / 1 (57%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 3 1.5 50% 1.5 / 3 (50%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 5 3.3 67% 3.3 / 5 (67%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 5 -1.3 -27% -1.3 / 5 (-27%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 5.5 1.2 22% 1.2 / 5.5 (22%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 2 0.9 47% 0.9 / 2 (47%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 2 1.1 53% 1.1 / 2 (53%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
11th Jul '19 PFL 2019: Week 4 0.4 -0.4 -100% -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 3.3 1.2 36% 2.2 / 2.3 (96%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 6.5 -1.9 -29% -1.9 / 6.5 (-29%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 3 3.1 102% 3.1 / 3 (102%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 5 -2.3 -46% -2.3 / 5 (-46%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 2.75 2.2 80% 2.2 / 2.75 (80%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 5.6 1.8 31% 2.4 / 5 (47%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 10.5 2.8 26% 2.8 / 10.5 (26%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 5 -0.5 -11% -0.5 / 5 (-11%)
29th Mar '19 Bellator 219 1.25 2.9 235% 2.9 / 1.25 (235%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 2 0.7 37% 0.7 / 2 (37%)
23rd Mar '19 KSW 47 0.6 0.9 155% 0.9 / 0.6 (155%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 3 2.8 93% 2.8 / 3 (93%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 3 2.4 80% 1.1 / 2 (57%) 1.3 / 1 (127%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 1.5 2.9 194% 2.9 / 1.5 (194%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 3.5 3.8 109% 3.8 / 3.5 (109%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 6 -3.5 -58% -3.5 / 6 (-58%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 4.5 -0.4 -9% -1.2 / 4 (-30%) 0.8 / 0.5 (160%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 7.5 2.8 38% 2.5 / 6.5 (38%) 0.3 / 1 (32%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 7.3 -2.4 -33% -1.9 / 5.4 (-34%) -0.5 / 1.9 (-29%)
15th Dec '18 UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 8.5 6.5 77% 5.8 / 7.75 (75%) 0.7 / 0.75 (90%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 9.15 -0.9 -10% 1.0 / 7.25 (14%) -1.9 / 1.9 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 4.5 1.2 27% 1.2 / 4.5 (27%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 3.5 -0.4 -10% 0.2 / 3 (5%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 4 1.5 37% 1.5 / 4 (37%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 4 2.2 54% 2.2 / 4 (54%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 6.9 -5.8 -84% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 0.2 / 0.9 (22%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 7 2.9 41% 1.9 / 5.7 (33%) 1.0 / 1.3 (77%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 3.45 6.7 196% 6.2 / 3 (207%) 0.6 / 0.45 (122%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 6 3.3 56% 2.9 / 5 (58%) 0.4 / 1 (45%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 1.33 0.9 70% 0.9 / 1.33 (70%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 5 0.8 16% 0.8 / 5 (16%)
6th Oct '18 KSW 45 1 0.4 44% 0.4 / 1 (44%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 2.5 1.1 44% 1.1 / 2.5 (44%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 3.8 -1.0 -26% -1.0 / 3.8 (-26%)
21st Sep '18 Bellator 205 1.5 0.8 53% 0.8 / 1.5 (53%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 5 2.9 58% 2.9 / 5 (58%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 3.7 -0.9 -23% -0.2 / 3 (-5%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
1st Sep '18 Cage Warriors 96 0.5 0.4 83% 0.4 / 0.5 (83%)
30th Aug '18 PFL 7 0.5 0.7 145% 0.7 / 0.5 (145%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 3 2.4 81% 2.4 / 3 (81%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 3.1 1.8 57% 1.8 / 3.1 (57%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 3 1.1 36% 1.1 / 3 (36%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 1.5 -0.7 -46% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.3 / 0.5 (61%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 3 1.8 59% 1.8 / 3 (59%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 1.5 0.9 63% 0.9 / 1.5 (63%)
12th Jun '18 DWTNCS 9 0.6 -0.6 -100% -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 8.45 -5.3 -62% -4.3 / 7.5 (-57%) -1.0 / 0.95 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 KSW 44 2 1.3 65% 1.3 / 2 (65%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 2 2.0 100% 2.0 / 2 (100%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 6.9 -3.1 -45% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) 2.4 / 1.4 (170%)
25th May '18 Bellator 200 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 5.5 2.9 52% 0.2 / 4.5 (5%) 2.6 / 1 (265%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 3 1.3 44% 1.3 / 3 (44%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 10 6.2 62% 1.6 / 8.5 (18%) 4.6 / 1.5 (310%)
4th May '18 Invicta FC 29 3.5 1.2 35% 1.2 / 3.5 (35%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 2 -1.2 -59% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.3 / 0.5 (65%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 4.4 -1.5 -34% -0.1 / 3 (-3%) -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 9.4 0.4 4% 0.8 / 8 (9%) -0.4 / 1.4 (-27%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 2 -2.0 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 3.5 5.1 145% 5.1 / 3.5 (145%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 6.75 0.2 3% 1.2 / 5.75 (21%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 6.1 -2.2 -36% -3.1 / 5.5 (-56%) 0.9 / 0.6 (145%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 4.83 -3.2 -66% -1.1 / 2.75 (-41%) -2.1 / 2.08 (-100%)
17th Feb '18 Bellator 194 1.25 2.7 216% 2.3 / 1 (235%) 0.3 / 0.25 (140%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 9.75 2.3 23% -0.6 / 7 (-9%) 2.9 / 2.75 (105%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 5.5 -1.8 -32% -1.8 / 4 (-45%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.5 / 1 (55%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 6.75 4.1 61% 4.6 / 6.25 (74%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
26th Jan '18 Bellator 193 2 -0.8 -38% -0.8 / 2 (-38%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 9.5 1.9 20% 2.9 / 8.5 (34%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 3.1 -3.1 -100% -3.1 / 3.1 (-100%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 10.9 3.7 34% 2.4 / 8 (30%) 1.3 / 2.9 (44%)
13th Jan '18 Invicta FC 27 1 0.6 62% 0.6 / 1 (62%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 8.5 7.9 93% 4.5 / 6 (76%) 2.5 / 1.5 (165%) 0.9 / 1 (90%)
23rd Dec '17 KSW 41 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 10.55 0.5 5% 1.2 / 6.5 (19%) -0.8 / 4.05 (-19%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 5 -0.8 -16% -1.5 / 4.5 (-33%) 0.7 / 0.5 (137%)
9th Dec '17 Bellator 190 2 0.8 40% 0.8 / 2 (40%)
8th Dec '17 Invicta 26 1 1.4 145% 1.4 / 1 (145%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 11.6 3.4 29% 2.4 / 11 (22%) 1.0 / 0.6 (167%)
2nd Dec '17 TUF 26 Finale 2.75 -2.8 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
1st Dec '17 Bellator 189 4 7.1 177% 6.3 / 3 (210%) 0.8 / 1 (76%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 6.5 5.5 85% 2.6 / 4.5 (58%) 1.0 / 1 (100%) 1.9 / 1 (192%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 10 2.6 26% 3.6 / 9 (40%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 6 -1.8 -30% -0.8 / 5 (-16%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 9 5.4 60% 5.4 / 9 (60%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 4 0.4 10% 0.4 / 4 (10%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 5 -1.4 -29% -1.4 / 5 (-29%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 4.1 2.1 51% 2.1 / 4.1 (51%)
6th Oct '17 Bellator 184 Dantas vs. Caldwell 1 1.5 150% 1.5 / 1 (150%)
23rd Sep '17 Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire 1 1.8 180% 1.8 / 1 (180%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 3.5 1.1 30% 1.1 / 3.5 (30%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 4 1.0 25% 1.0 / 4 (25%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 9 -5.3 -59% -3.3 / 7 (-48%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 9 -0.2 -2% 0.8 / 8 (10%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 7 7.7 110% 5.5 / 6 (92%) 2.2 / 1 (220%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 6 -1.8 -31% -1.8 / 6 (-31%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 5 2.4 47% 2.4 / 5 (47%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 4 -4.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 7 0.1 2% 1.0 / 3 (33%) 1.1 / 2 (57%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 7 1.7 25% 3.7 / 5 (75%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 10 3.5 35% 3.5 / 10 (35%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 13 8.0 61% 3.9 / 10 (39%) 4.1 / 3 (136%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 3 -1.1 -37% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.9 / 1 (90%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 16 4.5 28% 1.2 / 4 (30%) 3.3 / 12 (28%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 15 2.2 15% 4.2 / 13 (32%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 9 8.4 93% 5.7 / 6 (95%) 1.2 / 1 (120%) 1.5 / 2 (74%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 11 3.2 29% 0.0 / 6 (0%) 1.9 / 3 (63%) 1.3 / 2 (65%)
8th Apr '17 UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 11.5 8.4 73% 8.9 / 11 (81%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
8th Apr '17 Bellator 176 Carvalho vs. Manhoef 2 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 10 -0.2 -2% -2.6 / 6 (-43%) 2.4 / 4 (59%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 8.3 -1.9 -23% -1.3 / 5.2 (-25%) -0.7 / 3.1 (-21%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 8.5 7.1 84% 7.6 / 8 (96%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Feb '17 UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 9 -0.2 -2% -0.6 / 4 (-15%) 0.4 / 5 (8%)
11th Feb '17 UFC 208 9 -4.3 -47% -3.3 / 8 (-41%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Feb '17 UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 8 0.6 7% 2.6 / 6 (43%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Jan '17 UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 9 0.3 4% 1.6 / 2 (80%) 1.2 / 4.5 (28%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Jan '17 UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 11 2.7 24% 2.7 / 11 (24%)
31st Dec '16 UFC 207 11 9.1 83% 9.1 / 11 (83%)
17th Dec '16 UFC on Fox 22 11 -7.0 -64% -7.0 / 11 (-64%)
10th Dec '16 UFC 206 11 10.8 98% 10.8 / 11 (98%)
26th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 101 10 -2.1 -21% -2.1 / 10 (-21%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 13 -5.2 -40% -0.2 / 8 (-2%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Nov '16 UFC 205 - New York City 8 -8.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 96 (62%)
Losing Events: 58 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.22 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.00 units
Best Event: 10.75 units
Worst Event: -8.00 units
Average Event: 0.71 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 10, Units: 19.93
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.28

The Philosopher: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 83.5 2.5 3% -1.4 / 81 (-2%) 3.9 / 2.5 (156%) 15 / 8 (65%) 0.11
2019 95.9 3.3 3% 2.5 / 91.8 (3%) 0.8 / 4.1 (19%) 14 / 10 (58%) 0.14
2018 237.91 36.7 15% 28.9 / 205.78 (14%) 7.6 / 27.63 (28%) 0.1 / 4.5 (3%) 35 / 20 (64%) 0.67
2017 322.8 69.4 22% 60.3 / 236.8 (25%) 12.8 / 61.9 (21%) -3.7 / 24.1 (-15%) 30 / 16 (65%) 1.51
2016 64 -2.4 -4% 4.6 / 57 (8%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 2 / 4 (33%) -0.41

The Philosopher: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Philosopher: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 751.33 86.3 11% 73.8 / 622.35 (12%) 21.7 / 96.38 (22%) -9.1 / 32.6 (-28%)
Bellator 34.68 14.7 42% 13.3 / 32.93 (40%) 1.4 / 1.75 (82%)
PFL 0.9 0.3 36% 0.3 / 0.9 (36%)
Other 17.2 8.2 47% 7.5 / 16.2 (47%) 0.6 / 1 (62%)

The Philosopher: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 77 (18%) 58 75 % 176.95 11.47 0.15 6%
Slight Favorites 117 (28%) 69 59 % 214.90 22.28 0.19 10%
Slight Underdogs 162 (38%) 86 53 % 223.93 47.62 0.29 21%
Big Underdogs 66 (16%) 25 38 % 56.60 13.55 0.21 24%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 75 (18%) 47 63 % 117.10 30.15 0.40 26%
Co-Main Event 49 (12%) 31 63 % 75.05 20.49 0.42 27%
Position 3-5 128 (30%) 61 48 % 197.68 -2.17 -0.02 -1%
6+ (Undercard) 169 (40%) 99 59 % 281.55 47.44 0.28 17%

The Philosopher: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 38 (9%) 25 66 % 63.60 22.64 0.60 36%
Light Heavy 32 (8%) 21 66 % 71.35 25.78 0.81 36%
Middleweight 56 (13%) 39 70 % 88.50 43.27 0.77 49%
Welterweight 71 (17%) 35 49 % 106.60 -3.91 -0.06 -4%
Lightweight 69 (16%) 37 54 % 104.58 8.76 0.13 8%
Featherweight 40 (9%) 17 43 % 61.40 -12.50 -0.31 -20%
Bantamweight 36 (9%) 18 50 % 49.60 3.15 0.09 6%
Flyweight 25 (6%) 14 56 % 35.00 4.30 0.17 12%
               
Women's Fights 55 (13%) 32 58 % 91.75 3.42 0.06 4%
Featherweight 3 (1%) 2 67 % 2.80 -0.82 -0.27 -29%
Bantamweight 14 (3%) 9 64 % 29.70 3.91 0.28 13%
Flyweight 11 (3%) 6 55 % 14.75 -0.67 -0.06 -5%
Strawweight 27 (6%) 15 56 % 44.50 0.99 0.04 2%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 38 (81%) 31 82 %
Slight Favorites 9 (19%) 5 56 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
47 36 77 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (5%) 5 83 %
50-65% 24 (18%) 16 67 %
35-50% 32 (24%) 15 47 %
<35% chance 70 (53%) 13 19 %
132 49 37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 20 (15%) 16 80 % 1.74 2.45Pick was incorrect 1.45Pick was correct 8.1 (41%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (6%) 3 38 % 2.03 2.83Pick was incorrect 1.55Pick was correct -2.1 (-26%)
Goes to Decision 8 (6%) 3 38 % 2.10 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.34Pick was incorrect -2.2 (-28%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (2%) 3 100 % 2.27 2.36Pick was correct 2.20Pick was correct 3.8 (128%)
X Wins by KO 8 (6%) 1 13 % 3.14 8.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -4.4 (-55%)
X Wins by Sub 8 (6%) 4 50 % 4.96 9.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect 17.6 (221%)
X Wins by Decision 34 (26%) 6 18 % 3.51 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -11.8 (-35%)
X Wins Inside Distance 20 (15%) 11 55 % 2.54 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was correct 5.7 (28%)
X Wins in Round X 20 (15%) 2 10 % 9.63 29.00Pick was incorrect 3.25Pick was incorrect -8.0 (-40%)
Others 3 (2%) 0 0 % 2.25 4.15Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
132 49 37 % 2.89     3.8 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Philosopher's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th Nov UFC 205 - New York City 8 -8.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $920.00
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 13 -5.2 -40% $5 $9.20 $920.00 $867.34
26th Nov UFC Fight Night 101 10 -2.1 -21% $8.67 $867.34 $849.13
10th Dec UFC 206 11 10.8 98% $8.49 $849.13 $940.41
17th Dec UFC on Fox 22 11 -7.0 -64% $9.40 $940.41 $874.58
31st Dec UFC 207 11 9.1 83% $8.75 $874.58 $954.08
15th Jan UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 11 2.7 24% $9.54 $954.08 $979.46
28th Jan UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 9 0.3 4% $9.79 $979.46 $982.79
4th Feb UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 8 0.6 7% $9.83 $982.79 $988.69
11th Feb UFC 208 9 -4.3 -47% $9.89 $988.69 $946.57
19th Feb UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 9 -0.2 -2% $9.47 $946.57 $944.68
4th Mar UFC 209 8.5 7.1 84% $9.45 $944.68 $1,012.22
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 8.3 -1.9 -23% $10.12 $1,012.22 $992.68
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 10 -0.2 -2% $9.93 $992.68 $990.44
8th Apr Bellator 176 Carvalho vs. Manhoef 2 1 -1.0 -100% $9.90 $990.44 $980.54
8th Apr UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 11.5 8.4 73% $9.81 $980.54 $1,062.71
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 11 3.2 29% $10.63 $1,062.71 $1,096.45
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 9 8.4 93% $10.96 $1,096.45 $1,188.28
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 6 -6.0 -100% $11.88 $1,188.28 $1,116.98
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 15 2.2 15% $11.17 $1,116.98 $1,141.67
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 16 4.5 28% $11.42 $1,141.67 $1,193.04
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 3 -1.1 -37% $11.93 $1,193.04 $1,179.92
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 13 8.0 61% $11.80 $1,179.92 $1,274.07
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 10 3.5 35% $12.74 $1,274.07 $1,319.18
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 7 1.7 25% $13.19 $1,319.18 $1,342.00
8th Jul UFC 213 7 0.1 2% $13.42 $1,342.00 $1,343.88
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 4 -4.0 -100% $13.44 $1,343.88 $1,290.12
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 5 2.4 47% $12.90 $1,290.12 $1,320.44
29th Jul UFC 214 6 -1.8 -31% $13.20 $1,320.44 $1,296.14
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 7 7.7 110% $12.96 $1,296.14 $1,395.95
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 9 -0.2 -2% $13.96 $1,395.95 $1,393.01
9th Sep UFC 215 9 -5.3 -59% $13.93 $1,393.01 $1,318.63
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 4 1.0 25% $13.19 $1,318.63 $1,331.81
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 3.5 1.1 30% $13.32 $1,331.81 $1,345.80
23rd Sep Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire 1 1.8 180% $13.46 $1,345.80 $1,370.02
6th Oct Bellator 184 Dantas vs. Caldwell 1 1.5 150% $13.70 $1,370.02 $1,390.57
7th Oct UFC 216 4.1 2.1 51% $13.91 $1,390.57 $1,419.90
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 5 -1.4 -29% $14.20 $1,419.90 $1,399.45
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 4 0.4 10% $13.99 $1,399.45 $1,405.05
4th Nov UFC 217 9 5.4 60% $14.05 $1,405.05 $1,480.43
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 6 -1.8 -30% $14.80 $1,480.43 $1,453.78
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 10 2.6 26% $14.54 $1,453.78 $1,491.87
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 6.5 5.5 85% $14.92 $1,491.87 $1,574.43
1st Dec Bellator 189 4 7.1 177% $15.74 $1,574.43 $1,685.59
2nd Dec TUF 26 Finale 2.75 -2.8 -100% $16.86 $1,685.59 $1,639.23
2nd Dec UFC 218 11.6 3.4 29% $16.39 $1,639.23 $1,695.29
8th Dec Invicta 26 1 1.4 145% $16.95 $1,695.29 $1,719.88
9th Dec Bellator 190 2 0.8 40% $17.20 $1,719.88 $1,733.46
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 5 -0.8 -16% $17.33 $1,733.46 $1,719.34
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 10.55 0.5 5% $17.19 $1,719.34 $1,727.67
23rd Dec KSW 41 1 -1.0 -100% $17.28 $1,727.67 $1,710.40
31st Dec UFC 219 8.5 7.9 93% $17.10 $1,710.40 $1,845.98
13th Jan Invicta FC 27 1 0.6 62% $18.46 $1,845.98 $1,857.47
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 10.9 3.7 34% $18.57 $1,857.47 $1,925.55
20th Jan UFC 220 9.5 1.9 20% $19.26 $1,925.55 $1,961.65
20th Jan Bellator 192 3.1 -3.1 -100% $19.62 $1,961.65 $1,900.84
26th Jan Bellator 193 2 -0.8 -38% $19.01 $1,900.84 $1,886.58
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 6.75 4.1 61% $18.87 $1,886.58 $1,964.69
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 5.5 -1.8 -32% $19.65 $1,964.69 $1,930.22
10th Feb UFC 221 9.75 2.3 23% $19.30 $1,930.22 $1,974.23
17th Feb Bellator 194 1.25 2.7 216% $19.74 $1,974.23 $2,027.53
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 4.83 -3.2 -66% $20.28 $2,027.53 $1,962.55
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 6.1 -2.2 -36% $19.63 $1,962.55 $1,919.08
3rd Mar UFC 222 6.75 0.2 3% $19.19 $1,919.08 $1,922.92
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 3.5 5.1 145% $19.23 $1,922.92 $2,020.61
7th Apr UFC 223 2 -2.0 -100% $20.21 $2,020.61 $1,980.19
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 9.4 0.4 4% $19.80 $1,980.19 $1,987.52
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 4.4 -1.5 -34% $19.88 $1,987.52 $1,958.20
28th Apr Bellator 198 2 -1.2 -59% $19.58 $1,958.20 $1,935.20
4th May Invicta FC 29 3.5 1.2 35% $19.35 $1,935.20 $1,958.80
12th May UFC 224 10 6.2 62% $19.59 $1,958.80 $2,080.54
12th May Bellator 199 3 1.3 44% $20.81 $2,080.54 $2,108.01
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 5.5 2.9 52% $21.08 $2,108.01 $2,168.30
25th May Bellator 200 1 -1.0 -100% $21.68 $2,168.30 $2,146.61
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 6.9 -3.1 -45% $21.47 $2,146.61 $2,079.53
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 2 2.0 100% $20.80 $2,079.53 $2,121.12
9th Jun KSW 44 2 1.3 65% $21.21 $2,121.12 $2,148.70
9th Jun UFC 225 8.45 -5.3 -62% $21.49 $2,148.70 $2,035.78
12th Jun DWTNCS 9 0.6 -0.6 -100% $20.36 $2,035.78 $2,023.57
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 1.5 0.9 63% $20.24 $2,023.57 $2,042.69
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 3 1.8 59% $20.43 $2,042.69 $2,078.85
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 1.5 -0.7 -46% $20.79 $2,078.85 $2,064.40
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 3 1.1 36% $20.64 $2,064.40 $2,086.69
4th Aug UFC 227 3.1 1.8 57% $20.87 $2,086.69 $2,123.54
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 3 2.4 81% $21.24 $2,123.54 $2,175.15
30th Aug PFL 7 0.5 0.7 145% $21.75 $2,175.15 $2,190.92
1st Sep Cage Warriors 96 0.5 0.4 83% $21.91 $2,190.92 $2,200.01
8th Sep UFC 228 3.7 -0.9 -23% $22.00 $2,200.01 $2,181.31
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 5 2.9 58% $21.81 $2,181.31 $2,244.57
21st Sep Bellator 205 1.5 0.8 53% $22.45 $2,244.57 $2,262.41
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 3.8 -1.0 -26% $22.62 $2,262.41 $2,239.92
29th Sep Bellator 206 2.5 1.1 44% $22.40 $2,239.92 $2,264.56
6th Oct KSW 45 1 0.4 44% $22.65 $2,264.56 $2,274.53
6th Oct UFC 229 5 0.8 16% $22.75 $2,274.53 $2,292.49
12th Oct Bellator 207 1.33 0.9 70% $22.92 $2,292.49 $2,313.93
13th Oct Bellator 208 2 -2.0 -100% $23.14 $2,313.93 $2,267.65
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 6 3.3 56% $22.68 $2,267.65 $2,343.62
3rd Nov UFC 230 3.45 6.7 196% $23.44 $2,343.62 $2,501.81
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 7 2.9 41% $25.02 $2,501.81 $2,574.34
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 6.9 -5.8 -84% $25.74 $2,574.34 $2,425.02
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 4 2.2 54% $24.25 $2,425.02 $2,477.53
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 4 1.5 37% $24.78 $2,477.53 $2,514.19
30th Nov TUF Finale 3.5 -0.4 -10% $25.14 $2,514.19 $2,505.39
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 4.5 1.2 27% $25.05 $2,505.39 $2,535.83
8th Dec UFC 231 9.15 -0.9 -10% $25.36 $2,535.83 $2,513.27
15th Dec UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 8.5 6.5 77% $25.13 $2,513.27 $2,676.88
29th Dec UFC 232 7.3 -2.4 -33% $26.77 $2,676.88 $2,612.63
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 7 -7.0 -100% $26.13 $2,612.63 $2,429.75
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 7.5 2.8 38% $24.30 $2,429.75 $2,498.39
9th Feb UFC 234 4.5 -0.4 -9% $24.98 $2,498.39 $2,488.39
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 6 -3.5 -58% $24.88 $2,488.39 $2,401.30
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 3.5 3.8 109% $24.01 $2,401.30 $2,492.55
2nd Mar UFC 235 1.5 2.9 194% $24.93 $2,492.55 $2,564.96
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 3 2.4 80% $25.65 $2,564.96 $2,626.77
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 3 2.8 93% $26.27 $2,626.77 $2,700.32
23rd Mar KSW 47 0.6 0.9 155% $27.00 $2,700.32 $2,725.43
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 2 0.7 37% $27.25 $2,725.43 $2,745.60
29th Mar Bellator 219 1.25 2.9 235% $27.46 $2,745.60 $2,826.26
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 5 -0.5 -11% $28.26 $2,826.26 $2,810.71
13th Apr UFC 236 10.5 2.8 26% $28.11 $2,810.71 $2,888.29
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 2.5 -2.5 -100% $28.88 $2,888.29 $2,816.08
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 6 -6.0 -100% $28.16 $2,816.08 $2,647.12
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 5.6 1.8 31% $26.47 $2,647.12 $2,693.44
11th May Bellator 221 2.75 2.2 80% $26.93 $2,693.44 $2,753.03
11th May UFC 237 5 -2.3 -46% $27.53 $2,753.03 $2,689.71
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 3 3.1 102% $26.90 $2,689.71 $2,771.75
8th Jun UFC 238 6.5 -1.9 -29% $27.72 $2,771.75 $2,719.08
6th Jul UFC 239 3.3 1.2 36% $27.19 $2,719.08 $2,751.71
11th Jul PFL 2019: Week 4 0.4 -0.4 -100% $27.52 $2,751.71 $2,740.71
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 3.5 -3.5 -100% $27.41 $2,740.71 $2,644.78
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 2 1.1 53% $26.45 $2,644.78 $2,672.82
10th May UFC 249 2 0.9 47% $26.73 $2,672.82 $2,697.94
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 5.5 1.2 22% $26.98 $2,697.94 $2,730.59
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 4 -4.0 -100% $27.31 $2,730.59 $2,621.36
6th Jun UFC 250 5 -1.3 -27% $26.21 $2,621.36 $2,586.24
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 5 3.3 67% $25.86 $2,586.24 $2,672.62
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 3 -3.0 -100% $26.73 $2,672.62 $2,592.44
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 3 1.5 50% $25.92 $2,592.44 $2,631.32
11th Jul UFC 251 1 0.6 57% $26.31 $2,631.32 $2,646.32
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 2 -2.0 -100% $26.46 $2,646.32 $2,593.40
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 6 0.9 15% $25.93 $2,593.40 $2,616.74
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 3.5 2.9 82% $26.17 $2,616.74 $2,691.97
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 2 1.1 57% $26.92 $2,691.97 $2,722.66
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 7 3.6 51% $27.23 $2,722.66 $2,819.86
15th Aug UFC 252 7.5 1.0 13% $28.20 $2,819.86 $2,847.49
19th Aug DWCS 29 1 1.1 105% $28.47 $2,847.49 $2,877.39
21st Aug Bellator 244 2 0.6 30% $28.77 $2,877.39 $2,894.65
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 4 3.0 75% $28.95 $2,894.65 $2,981.49
29th Aug KSW 54 1 0.9 86% $29.81 $2,981.49 $3,007.13
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 5.5 0.5 8% $30.07 $3,007.13 $3,020.82
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 3.5 -0.2 -5% $30.21 $3,020.82 $3,015.98
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 4 -4.0 -100% $30.16 $3,015.98 $2,895.34
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 2 -2.0 -100% $28.95 $2,895.34 $2,837.44
26th Sep UFC 253 4 -4.0 -100% $28.37 $2,837.44 $2,723.94


ROI % from starting bank balance: 172.39% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Philosopher: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '20 Alistair Overeem Augusto Sakai 1.67 2 TKO, R5 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '20 Zak Cummings Alessio Di Chirico 2.03 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '20 Kacper Koziorzebski Adam Niedzwiedz 1.86 1 TKO, R2 (2:27) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '20 Zak Cummings Alessio Di Chirico 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '20 Neil Magny Robbie Lawler 1.47 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '20 Matt Semelsberger Carlton Minus 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '20 Mike Rodriguez Marcin Prachnio 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (2:17) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '20 John Salter Andrew Kapel 1.30 2 Sub, R3 (3:11) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '20 Kenny Cross Kevin Syler 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '20 Kai Kamaka Tony Kelley 1.44 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '20 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Junior dos Santos 1.80 1 TKO, R2 (3:47) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '20 Vinc Pichel Jim Miller 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '20 Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier 2.00 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '20 Gavin Tucker Justin Jaynes 1.93 1 Sub, R3 (1:43) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '20 Chris Weidman Omari Akhmedov 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '20 Beneil Dariush Scott Holtzman 1.57 2 TKO, R1 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '20 Vicente Luque Randy Brown 1.57 2 TKO, R2 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '20 Fabricio Werdum Alexander Gustafsson 3.75 0.5 Sub, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '20 Deiveson Figueiredo Joseph Benavidez 1.45 2 Sub, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '20 Jack Hermansson Kelvin Gastelum 2.00 2 Sub, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '20 Kai Kara-France Brandon Royval 1.44 2 Sub, R2 (0:48) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '20 Journey Newson Randy Costa 1.82 2 TKO, R1 (0:41) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '20 Paulo Costa Israel Adesanya 2.45 2 TKO, R2 (3:59) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '20 Angela Hill Michelle Waterson 1.70 2 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '20 Khama Worthy Ottman Azaitar 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (1:33) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '20 Zelim Imadaev Michel Pereira 2.35 1 Sub, R3 (4:39) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '20 Maki Pitolo Impa Kasanganay 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '20 John Dodson Merab Dvalishvili 3.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '20 Ashley Yoder Livia Renata Souza 2.37 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '20 Aleksei Oleinik Derrick Lewis 3.00 1 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '20 Gadzhimurad Antigulov Paul Craig 2.10 1 Sub, R1 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '20 Bethe Correia Pannie Kianzad 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '20 Alexandre Pantoja Askar Askarov 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '20 Molly McCann Taila Santos 1.87 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '20 Lyman Good Belal Muhammad 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '20 Cortney Casey Gillian Robertson 2.05 1 Sub, R3 (4:36) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '20 Tony Martin Neil Magny 2.26 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '20 Cory Sandhagen Aljamain Sterling 2.00 2 Sub, R1 (1:28) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '20 Edson Barboza Dan Ige 1.73 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '20 Darren Elkins Nate Landwehr 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Philosopher: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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