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Event Predictions

UFC on Fox 13 - Dos Santos vs. Miocic

Phoenix, Arizona
2014-12-13 20:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-4.70
$10 on all underdogs nets: $17.40

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 42.75. Profit: 55.17
Total Unit Profit: 55.17

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-22.60 (7 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $43.40 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $68.49 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $50.57 (8 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Good
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Junior dos Santos vs Stipe Miocic Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
22%
88 (84)%
 
17 (16)%
86%
 
14%
84%
 
16%
WON
Pick Rating Low #4
LOST
@1.28 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Junior dos Santos: Returned 0.21 Units   @4.55
$10 Bet Profit: $2.8 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $3.88 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $3.45

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nate Diaz vs Rafael dos Anjos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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28%
   
71%
42 (44)%
 
54 (56)%
44%
 
56%
40%
 
60%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #12 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.57 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.41
$10 Bet Profit: $4.1 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.63 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alistair Overeem vs Stefan Struve Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
31%
66 (73)%
 
25 (27)%
75%
 
25%
71%
 
29%
WON
Pick Rating Low #6
LOST
@1.47 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Alistair Overeem: Returned 0.24 Units   @3.23
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $5.06 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $3.61

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Matt Mitrione vs Gabriel Gonzaga Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
45%
40 (48)%
 
44 (52)%
47%
 
53%
52%
 
48%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.79 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.22
$10 Bet Profit: $7.9 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $2.43 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Claudia Gadelha vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
33 (65)%
 
18 (35)%
65%
 
35%
8%
 
92%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#1 Fantastic Pick Rating
WON
@1.43 Suggested Bet: 19.5 units on Joanna Jedrzejczyk: Returned 43.48 Units   @3.23
$10 Bet Profit: $22.3 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $41.17 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $41.17

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Willie Gates vs John Moraga Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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18%
   
81%
7 (11)%
 
55 (89)%
11%
 
89%
15%
 
85%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#8 Low Pick Rating
WON
@5.56 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on John Moraga: Returned 0.06 Units   @1.23
$10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $1.77 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $1.06

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ben Saunders vs Joe Riggs Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
42 (68)%
 
20 (32)%
68%
 
32%
72%
 
28%
WON
Pick Rating Low #9
LOST
@1.43 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Ben Saunders: Returned 0.11 Units   @3.23
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $2.64 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $1.32

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jamie Varner vs Drew Dober Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
23%
53 (88)%
 
7 (12)%
90%
 
10%
77%
 
23%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #10 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.28 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $5.16

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Ellenberger vs Bryan Barberena Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
32%
46 (88)%
 
6 (12)%
90%
 
10%
71%
 
29%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #7
WON
@1.47 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Joe Ellenberger: Returned -0.25 Units   @3.13
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile David Michaud vs Garett Whiteley Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
34%
28 (85)%
 
5 (15)%
81%
 
19%
73%
 
27%
WON
Pick Rating Low #5
LOST
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $5.79 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $5.06

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Henry Cejudo vs Dustin Kimura Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
31%
27 (52)%
 
25 (48)%
56%
 
44%
36%
 
64%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#3 Fantastic Pick Rating
LOST
@1.45 Suggested Bet: 10.5 units on Dustin Kimura: Returned -10.50 Units   @3.23
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ian Entwistle vs Anthony Birchak Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
13 (34)%
 
25 (66)%
30%
 
70%
69%
 
31%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #2
LOST
@3.03 Suggested Bet: 10.75 units on Ian Entwistle: Returned 21.82 Units   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $20.3 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $34.35 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $34.35


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Claudia Gadelha (@3.23) 92%   19.5   43.48   43.48   $0.00   $0.00 223%
Bet on Ian Entwistle vs Anthony Birchak (@3.03) 69%   10.75   21.82   21.82   $0.00   $0.00 203%
Bet on Dustin Kimura vs Henry Cejudo (@3.23) 64%   10.5   23.41   -10.50   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Junior dos Santos vs Stipe Miocic (@1.28) 84%   0.75   0.21   0.21   $0.00   $0.00 28%
Bet on Alistair Overeem vs Stefan Struve (@1.47) 71%   0.5   0.24   0.24   $0.00   $0.00 47%
Bet on John Moraga vs Willie Gates (@1.23) 85%   0.25   0.06   0.06   $0.00   $0.00 23%
Bet on Ben Saunders vs Joe Riggs (@1.43) 72%   0.25   0.11   0.11   $0.00   $0.00 43%
Bet on Joe Ellenberger vs Bryan Barberena (@1.47) 71%   0.25   0.12   -0.25   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.74   42.75 89.45 55.17   $0.00 $0.00 129.05%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Claudia Gadelha $18.46 $41.17
 
$41.17
#2 Ian Entwistle Anthony Birchak $16.92 $34.35
 
$34.35
#3 Dustin Kimura Henry Cejudo $15.38 $34.30
 
-$15.38
#4 Junior dos Santos Stipe Miocic $13.85 $3.88
 
$3.88
#5 David Michaud Garett Whiteley $12.31 $5.79
 
$5.79
#6 Alistair Overeem Stefan Struve $10.77 $5.06
 
$5.06
#7 Joe Ellenberger Bryan Barberena $9.23 $4.34
 
-$9.23
#8 John Moraga Willie Gates $7.69 $1.77
 
$1.77
#9 Ben Saunders Joe Riggs $6.15 $2.64
 
$2.64
#10 Jamie Varner Drew Dober $4.62 $1.29
 
-$4.62
#11 Matt Mitrione Gabriel Gonzaga $3.08 $2.43
 
$2.43
#12 Rafael dos Anjos Nate Diaz $1.54 $0.63
 
$0.63
      $120.00 $137.65 (115%)   $68.49 (57%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Claudia Gadelha $18.46 $41.17
 
$41.17
#2 Ian Entwistle Anthony Birchak $16.92 $34.35
 
$34.35
#3 Dustin Kimura Henry Cejudo $15.38 $34.30
 
-$15.38
#4 Nate Diaz Rafael dos Anjos $13.85 $35.59
 
-$13.85
#5 Junior dos Santos Stipe Miocic $12.31 $3.45
 
$3.45
#6 David Michaud Garett Whiteley $10.77 $5.06
 
$5.06
#7 Gabriel Gonzaga Matt Mitrione $9.23 $11.26
 
-$9.23
#8 Alistair Overeem Stefan Struve $7.69 $3.61
 
$3.61
#9 Joe Ellenberger Bryan Barberena $6.15 $2.89
 
-$6.15
#10 John Moraga Willie Gates $4.62 $1.06
 
$1.06
#11 Ben Saunders Joe Riggs $3.08 $1.32
 
$1.32
#12 Drew Dober Jamie Varner $1.54 $5.16
 
$5.16
      $120.00 $179.23 (149%)   $50.57 (42%)
 
 
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