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Event Predictions

UFC on Fox 18 - Johnson vs. Bader

Newark, New Jersey
2016-01-30 21:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $9.70
$10 on all underdogs nets: $0.80

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 1.5. Profit: 0.60
Total Unit Profit: 0.60

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-23.50 (6 right, 6 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-56.50 (4 right, 8 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-49.59 (4 right, 8 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-36.54 (6 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Johnson vs Ryan Bader Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
30%
71 (84)%
 
14 (16)%
86%
 
14%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #9
LOST
@1.40 Suggested Bet: 1.5 units on Anthony Johnson: Returned 0.60 Units   @3.30
$10 Bet Profit: $4 #9 Ranked $7.14 Bet Profit: $2.86 #9 Ranked $7.14 Value Bet Profit: $2.86

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ben Rothwell vs Josh Barnett Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
57%
27 (39)%
 
42 (61)%
38%
 
62%
45%
 
55%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Poor #13 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.76
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #13 Ranked $1.43 Bet Profit: $-1.43 #13 Ranked $1.43 Value Bet Profit: $1.76

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Iuri Alcantara vs Jimmie Rivera Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
61%
15 (58)%
 
11 (42)%
61%
 
39%
80%
 
20%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Extremely Good #1
WON
@2.48 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.64
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.57 Bet Profit: $-18.57 #1 Ranked $18.57 Value Bet Profit: $-18.57

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sage Northcutt vs Bryan Barberena Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
29%
49 (91)%
 
5 (9)%
92%
 
8%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #12 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.41 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.45
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $2.86 Bet Profit: $-2.86 #12 Ranked $2.86 Value Bet Profit: $7.01

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tarec Saffiedine vs Jake Ellenberger Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
38 (70)%
 
16 (30)%
71%
 
29%
49%
 
51%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Very Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.25
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $17.14 Bet Profit: $-17.14 #2 Ranked $17.14 Value Bet Profit: $-17.14

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Carlos Diego Ferreira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
30%
23 (72)%
 
9 (28)%
77%
 
23%
80%
 
20%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #10
WON
@1.41 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.30
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $5.71 Bet Profit: $-5.71 #10 Ranked $5.71 Value Bet Profit: $-5.71

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
39%
25 (78)%
 
7 (22)%
80%
 
20%
76%
 
24%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #7
LOST
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.55
$10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #7 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #7 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $6.1

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Dustin Ortiz vs Wilson Reis Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
32%
15 (79)%
 
4 (21)%
81%
 
19%
84%
 
16%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #6
WON
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.10
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $11.43 Bet Profit: $-11.43 #6 Ranked $11.43 Value Bet Profit: $-11.43

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile George Sullivan vs Alexander Yakovlev Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
53%
9 (47)%
 
10 (53)%
47%
 
53%
53%
 
47%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #11
WON
@2.08 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.87
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $4.29 Bet Profit: $-4.29 #11 Ranked $4.29 Value Bet Profit: $-4.29

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alex Caceres vs Masio Fullen Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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72%
   
30%
19 (73)%
 
7 (27)%
75%
 
25%
93%
 
7%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@1.39 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.30
$10 Bet Profit: $3.9 #5 Ranked $12.86 Bet Profit: $5.02 #5 Ranked $12.86 Value Bet Profit: $5.02

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Matt Dwyer vs Randy Brown Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
51%
7 (35)%
 
13 (65)%
34%
 
66%
31%
 
69%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.95
$10 Bet Profit: $9.5 #4 Ranked $14.29 Bet Profit: $13.58 #4 Ranked $14.29 Value Bet Profit: $13.58

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Levan Makashvili vs Damon Jackson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
27%
13 (59)%
 
9 (41)%
63%
 
37%
88%
 
12%
DRAW
Pick Rating Fair #8
DRAW
@1.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.65
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #8 Ranked $8.57 Bet Profit: $0 #8 Ranked $8.57 Value Bet Profit: $0

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tony Martin vs Felipe Olivieri Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
38%
8 (42)%
 
11 (58)%
44%
 
56%
43%
 
57%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#3 Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.68 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.61
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.71 Bet Profit: $-15.71 #3 Ranked $15.71 Value Bet Profit: $-15.71


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Anthony Johnson vs Ryan Bader (@1.40) 82%   1.5   0.60   0.60   $0.00   $0.00 40%
Average Odds: @1.40   1.5 0.60 0.60   $0.00 $0.00 40.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $130.00 over 13 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Iuri Alcantara Jimmie Rivera $18.57 $27.48
 
-$18.57
#2 Jake Ellenberger Tarec Saffiedine $17.14 $38.57
 
-$17.14
#3 Felipe Olivieri Tony Martin $15.71 $25.29
 
-$15.71
#4 Randy Brown Matt Dwyer $14.29 $13.58
 
$13.58
#5 Alex Caceres Masio Fullen $12.86 $5.02
 
$5.02
#6 Dustin Ortiz Wilson Reis $11.43 $5.37
 
-$11.43
#7 Rafael Natal Kevin Casey $10.00 $6.10
 
$6.10
#8 Levan Makashvili Damon Jackson $8.57 $3.00
 
NA
#9 Anthony Johnson Ryan Bader $7.14 $2.86
 
$2.86
#10 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Carlos Diego Ferreira $5.71 $2.34
 
-$5.71
#11 George Sullivan Alexander Yakovlev $4.29 $4.63
 
-$4.29
#12 Sage Northcutt Bryan Barberena $2.86 $1.17
 
-$2.86
#13 Josh Barnett Ben Rothwell $1.43 $1.09
 
-$1.43
      $130.00 $136.49 (105%)   $-49.59 (-38%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Iuri Alcantara Jimmie Rivera $18.57 $27.48
 
-$18.57
#2 Jake Ellenberger Tarec Saffiedine $17.14 $38.57
 
-$17.14
#3 Felipe Olivieri Tony Martin $15.71 $25.29
 
-$15.71
#4 Randy Brown Matt Dwyer $14.29 $13.58
 
$13.58
#5 Alex Caceres Masio Fullen $12.86 $5.02
 
$5.02
#6 Dustin Ortiz Wilson Reis $11.43 $5.37
 
-$11.43
#7 Rafael Natal Kevin Casey $10.00 $6.10
 
$6.10
#8 Levan Makashvili Damon Jackson $8.57 $3.00
 
NA
#9 Anthony Johnson Ryan Bader $7.14 $2.86
 
$2.86
#10 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Carlos Diego Ferreira $5.71 $2.34
 
-$5.71
#11 George Sullivan Alexander Yakovlev $4.29 $4.63
 
-$4.29
#12 Bryan Barberena Sage Northcutt $2.86 $7.01
 
$7.01
#13 Ben Rothwell Josh Barnett $1.43 $1.76
 
$1.76
      $130.00 $143.00 (110%)   $-36.54 (-28%)
 
 
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