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Event Predictions

UFC 181 - Hendricks vs. Lawler 2

Las Vegas
2014-12-06 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-16.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-7.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 17.5. Profit: 8.15
Total Unit Profit: 8.15

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $10.70 (8 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $5.40 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-6.42 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-40.02 (4 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Robbie Lawler vs Johny Hendricks Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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34%
   
67%
80 (35)%
 
148 (65)%
34%
 
66%
31%
 
69%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#6 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@2.94 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Johny Hendricks: Returned -0.25 Units   @1.49
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Pettis vs Gilbert Melendez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
32%
177 (77)%
 
52 (23)%
80%
 
20%
54%
 
46%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #11 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.41 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.13
$10 Bet Profit: $4.1 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0.68 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $-11.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Travis Browne vs Brendan Schaub Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
26%
199 (90)%
 
23 (10)%
91%
 
9%
73%
 
27%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.32 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.85
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $1.6 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $-5

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Todd Duffee vs Anthony Hamilton Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
27%
145 (87)%
 
22 (13)%
89%
 
11%
58%
 
42%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #10 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.70
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $1.1 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $-13.33

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tony Ferguson vs Abel Trujillo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
32%
92 (61)%
 
59 (39)%
65%
 
35%
49%
 
51%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#3 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.43 Suggested Bet: 6 units on Abel Trujillo: Returned -6.00 Units   @3.13
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $-15 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Urijah Faber vs Francisco Rivera Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
20%
210 (93)%
 
15 (7)%
94%
 
6%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Low #8
LOST
@1.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.00
$10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $1.53 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $0.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Eddie Gordon vs Josh Samman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
41%
74 (62)%
 
46 (38)%
64%
 
36%
73%
 
27%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #4
WON
@1.64 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Eddie Gordon: Returned -1.75 Units   @2.44
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $-13.33 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Justin Jones vs Corey Anderson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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26%
   
76%
15 (25)%
 
46 (75)%
24%
 
76%
63%
 
37%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
WON
@3.85 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.32
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Raquel Pennington Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
37%
22 (29)%
 
55 (71)%
30%
 
70%
27%
 
73%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Extremely Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.54 Suggested Bet: 9.5 units on Raquel Pennington: Returned 16.15 Units   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $17 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $28.34 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $28.34

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sergio Pettis vs Matt Hobar Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
27%
142 (89)%
 
18 (11)%
89%
 
11%
77%
 
23%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.70
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $2.75 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $1.1

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Clay Collard vs Alex White Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
57%
41 (47)%
 
47 (53)%
48%
 
52%
52%
 
48%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fair #5
LOST
@2.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.75
$10 Bet Profit: $12.2 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $14.24 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $10.16


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Raquel Pennington vs Ashlee Evans-Smith (@2.70) 73%   9.5   16.15   16.15   $0.00   $0.00 170%
Bet on Abel Trujillo vs Tony Ferguson (@3.13) 51%   6   12.78   -6.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Eddie Gordon vs Josh Samman (@1.64) 73%   1.75   1.12   -1.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Johny Hendricks vs Robbie Lawler (@1.49) 69%   0.25   0.12   -0.25   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @2.03   17.5 30.17 8.15   $0.00 $0.00 46.57%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Justin Jones Corey Anderson $18.33 $52.24
 
-$18.33
#2 Raquel Pennington Ashlee Evans-Smith $16.67 $28.34
 
$28.34
#3 Abel Trujillo Tony Ferguson $15.00 $31.95
 
-$15.00
#4 Eddie Gordon Josh Samman $13.33 $8.53
 
-$13.33
#5 Clay Collard Alex White $11.67 $14.24
 
$14.24
#6 Johny Hendricks Robbie Lawler $10.00 $4.90
 
-$10.00
#7 Sergio Pettis Matt Hobar $8.33 $2.75
 
$2.75
#8 Urijah Faber Francisco Rivera $6.67 $1.53
 
$1.53
#9 Travis Browne Brendan Schaub $5.00 $1.60
 
$1.60
#10 Todd Duffee Anthony Hamilton $3.33 $1.10
 
$1.10
#11 Anthony Pettis Gilbert Melendez $1.67 $0.68
 
$0.68
      $110.00 $147.86 (134%)   $-6.42 (-6%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Justin Jones Corey Anderson $18.33 $52.24
 
-$18.33
#2 Raquel Pennington Ashlee Evans-Smith $16.67 $28.34
 
$28.34
#3 Abel Trujillo Tony Ferguson $15.00 $31.95
 
-$15.00
#4 Anthony Hamilton Todd Duffee $13.33 $35.99
 
-$13.33
#5 Gilbert Melendez Anthony Pettis $11.67 $24.86
 
-$11.67
#6 Eddie Gordon Josh Samman $10.00 $6.40
 
-$10.00
#7 Clay Collard Alex White $8.33 $10.16
 
$10.16
#8 Johny Hendricks Robbie Lawler $6.67 $3.27
 
-$6.67
#9 Brendan Schaub Travis Browne $5.00 $14.25
 
-$5.00
#10 Sergio Pettis Matt Hobar $3.33 $1.10
 
$1.10
#11 Urijah Faber Francisco Rivera $1.67 $0.38
 
$0.38
      $110.00 $208.94 (190%)   $-40.02 (-36%)
 
 
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