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Event Predictions

UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2

Orlando, Florida
2015-12-19 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 5
Underdog wins: 7
$10 on all favourites nets: $-35.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $117.60

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 22.5. Profit: 44.96
Total Unit Profit: 44.96

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-23.10 (5 right, 7 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $46.90 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $101.65 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $151.77 (8 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Good
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rafael dos Anjos vs Donald Cerrone Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
37%
34 (47)%
 
38 (53)%
49%
 
51%
42%
 
58%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.56 Suggested Bet: 5.5 units on Donald Cerrone: Returned -5.50 Units   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $17.14 Bet Profit: $-17.14 #2 Ranked $17.14 Value Bet Profit: $-17.14

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Junior dos Santos vs Alistair Overeem Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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72%
   
29%
57 (84)%
 
11 (16)%
88%
 
12%
78%
 
22%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #12
WON
@1.38 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Junior dos Santos: Returned -0.75 Units   @3.40
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $2.86 Bet Profit: $-2.86 #13 Ranked $1.43 Value Bet Profit: $-1.43

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nate Diaz vs Michael Johnson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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19%
   
81%
17 (29)%
 
41 (71)%
30%
 
70%
25%
 
75%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Moderate #13 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@5.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.24
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #13 Ranked $1.43 Bet Profit: $-1.43 #6 Ranked $11.43 Value Bet Profit: $48.58

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Randa Markos vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
11 (46)%
 
13 (54)%
46%
 
54%
49%
 
51%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.53 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $17.8 #5 Ranked $12.86 Bet Profit: $22.89 #5 Ranked $12.86 Value Bet Profit: $22.89

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Myles Jury vs Charles Oliveira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
39%
24 (71)%
 
10 (29)%
73%
 
27%
74%
 
26%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #9
WON
@1.63 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.55
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $7.14 Bet Profit: $-7.14 #10 Ranked $5.71 Value Bet Profit: $-5.71

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nate Marquardt vs C.B. Dollaway Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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22%
   
79%
16 (32)%
 
34 (68)%
33%
 
67%
52%
 
48%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
LOST
@4.65 Suggested Bet: 13.75 units on Nate Marquardt: Returned 50.19 Units   @1.26
$10 Bet Profit: $36.5 #1 Ranked $18.57 Bet Profit: $67.78 #1 Ranked $18.57 Value Bet Profit: $67.78

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sarah Kaufman vs Valentina Shevchenko Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
43%
13 (68)%
 
6 (32)%
70%
 
30%
35%
 
65%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#3 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.71 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.35
$10 Bet Profit: $13.5 #3 Ranked $15.71 Bet Profit: $21.21 #3 Ranked $15.71 Value Bet Profit: $21.21

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Josh Samman vs Tamdan McCrory Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
36%
17 (77)%
 
5 (23)%
78%
 
22%
75%
 
25%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #10
WON
@1.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $5.71 Bet Profit: $-5.71 #11 Ranked $4.29 Value Bet Profit: $-4.29

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nik Lentz vs Danny Castillo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
49%
14 (61)%
 
9 (39)%
60%
 
40%
60%
 
40%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #11
LOST
@1.90 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.05
$10 Bet Profit: $9 #11 Ranked $4.29 Bet Profit: $3.86 #12 Ranked $2.86 Value Bet Profit: $2.57

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jim Alers vs Cole Miller Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
49%
2 (12)%
 
15 (88)%
15%
 
85%
29%
 
71%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
CANCELLED / NC
#4 Good Pick Rating
CANCELLED / NC
@1.91 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.04
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #4 Ranked $14.29 Bet Profit: $0 #4 Ranked $14.29 Value Bet Profit: $0

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kamaru Usman vs Leon Edwards Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
30%
19 (70)%
 
8 (30)%
70%
 
30%
89%
 
11%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #7
LOST
@1.41 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Kamaru Usman: Returned 1.03 Units   @3.35
$10 Bet Profit: $4.1 #7 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $4.1 #8 Ranked $8.57 Value Bet Profit: $3.51

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Vicente Luque vs Hayder Hassan Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
45%
10 (63)%
 
6 (38)%
64%
 
36%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #8
LOST
@1.77 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.22
$10 Bet Profit: $7.7 #8 Ranked $8.57 Bet Profit: $6.6 #9 Ranked $7.14 Value Bet Profit: $5.5

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Luis Henrique vs Francis Ngannou Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
55%
6 (35)%
 
11 (65)%
35%
 
65%
30%
 
70%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.21 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.83
$10 Bet Profit: $8.3 #6 Ranked $11.43 Bet Profit: $9.49 #7 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $8.3


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Nate Marquardt vs C.B. Dollaway (@4.65) 52%   13.75   50.19   50.19   $0.00   $0.00 365%
Bet on Donald Cerrone vs Rafael dos Anjos (@2.70) 58%   5.5   9.35   -5.50   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Kamaru Usman vs Leon Edwards (@1.41) 89%   2.5   1.02   1.03   $0.00   $0.00 41%
Bet on Junior dos Santos vs Alistair Overeem (@1.38) 78%   0.75   0.28   -0.75   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.98   22.5 60.85 44.96   $0.00 $0.00 199.83%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $130.00 over 13 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Nate Marquardt C.B. Dollaway $18.57 $67.78
 
$67.78
#2 Donald Cerrone Rafael dos Anjos $17.14 $29.14
 
-$17.14
#3 Valentina Shevchenko Sarah Kaufman $15.71 $21.21
 
$21.21
#4 Cole Miller Jim Alers $14.29 $14.86
 
NA
#5 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Randa Markos $12.86 $22.89
 
$22.89
#6 Francis Ngannou Luis Henrique $11.43 $9.49
 
$9.49
#7 Kamaru Usman Leon Edwards $10.00 $4.10
 
$4.10
#8 Vicente Luque Hayder Hassan $8.57 $6.60
 
$6.60
#9 Myles Jury Charles Oliveira $7.14 $4.50
 
-$7.14
#10 Josh Samman Tamdan McCrory $5.71 $3.20
 
-$5.71
#11 Nik Lentz Danny Castillo $4.29 $3.86
 
$3.86
#12 Junior dos Santos Alistair Overeem $2.86 $1.09
 
-$2.86
#13 Michael Johnson Nate Diaz $1.43 $0.34
 
-$1.43
      $130.00 $189.05 (145%)   $101.65 (78%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Nate Marquardt C.B. Dollaway $18.57 $67.78
 
$67.78
#2 Donald Cerrone Rafael dos Anjos $17.14 $29.14
 
-$17.14
#3 Valentina Shevchenko Sarah Kaufman $15.71 $21.21
 
$21.21
#4 Cole Miller Jim Alers $14.29 $14.86
 
NA
#5 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Randa Markos $12.86 $22.89
 
$22.89
#6 Nate Diaz Michael Johnson $11.43 $48.58
 
$48.58
#7 Francis Ngannou Luis Henrique $10.00 $8.30
 
$8.30
#8 Kamaru Usman Leon Edwards $8.57 $3.51
 
$3.51
#9 Vicente Luque Hayder Hassan $7.14 $5.50
 
$5.50
#10 Myles Jury Charles Oliveira $5.71 $3.60
 
-$5.71
#11 Josh Samman Tamdan McCrory $4.29 $2.40
 
-$4.29
#12 Nik Lentz Danny Castillo $2.86 $2.57
 
$2.57
#13 Junior dos Santos Alistair Overeem $1.43 $0.54
 
-$1.43
      $130.00 $230.89 (178%)   $151.77 (117%)
 
 
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