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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3

Sao Paulo, Brazil
2015-11-07 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 10
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $14.10
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-59.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 9. Profit: -9.00
Total Unit Profit: -9.00

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $49.60 (11 right, 1 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $47.50 (11 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $47.18 (11 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-11.26 (6 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Vitor Belfort vs Dan Henderson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
27%
57 (81)%
 
13 (19)%
84%
 
16%
49%
 
51%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Extremely Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.36 Suggested Bet: 9 units on Dan Henderson: Returned -9.00 Units   @3.75
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.57 Bet Profit: $-18.57 #1 Ranked $18.57 Value Bet Profit: $-18.57

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Glover Teixeira vs Patrick Cummins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
21%
69 (91)%
 
7 (9)%
92%
 
8%
79%
 
21%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.85
$10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #9 Ranked $7.14 Bet Profit: $1.64 #12 Ranked $2.86 Value Bet Profit: $-2.86

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Thomas Almeida vs Anthony Birchak Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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80%
   
22%
31 (94)%
 
2 (6)%
96%
 
4%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.65
$10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #10 Ranked $5.71 Bet Profit: $1.43 #9 Ranked $7.14 Value Bet Profit: $-7.14

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alex Oliveira vs Piotr Hallmann Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
33%
11 (79)%
 
3 (21)%
80%
 
20%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #6
LOST
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.00
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #6 Ranked $11.43 Bet Profit: $5.37 #8 Ranked $8.57 Value Bet Profit: $4.03

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gilbert Burns vs Rashid Magomedov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
65%
7 (19)%
 
29 (81)%
20%
 
80%
40%
 
60%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fair #11 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.84 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.53
$10 Bet Profit: $5.3 #11 Ranked $4.29 Bet Profit: $2.27 #10 Ranked $5.71 Value Bet Profit: $-5.71

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Fabio Maldonado vs Corey Anderson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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17%
   
83%
2 (10)%
 
19 (90)%
9%
 
91%
25%
 
75%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #12 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@5.81 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.20
$10 Bet Profit: $2 #12 Ranked $2.86 Bet Profit: $0.57 #4 Ranked $14.29 Value Bet Profit: $-14.29

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gleison Tibau vs Abel Trujillo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
47%
18 (55)%
 
15 (45)%
56%
 
44%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Good #3
LOST
@1.83 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.14
$10 Bet Profit: $8.3 #3 Ranked $15.71 Bet Profit: $13.04 #3 Ranked $15.71 Value Bet Profit: $13.04

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Johnny Case vs Yan Cabral Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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72%
   
29%
15 (65)%
 
8 (35)%
67%
 
33%
60%
 
40%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #13 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.39 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.50
$10 Bet Profit: $3.9 #13 Ranked $1.43 Bet Profit: $0.56 #5 Ranked $12.86 Value Bet Profit: $-12.86

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Clay Guida vs Thiago Tavares Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
42%
16 (76)%
 
5 (24)%
78%
 
22%
73%
 
27%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #5
WON
@1.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.40
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $12.86 Bet Profit: $-12.86 #7 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Edimilson Souza vs Chas Skelly Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
62%
3 (33)%
 
6 (67)%
36%
 
64%
32%
 
68%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#7 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.60 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.61
$10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #7 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #11 Ranked $4.29 Value Bet Profit: $2.62

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Viscardi Andrade vs Gasan Umalatov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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47%
   
55%
3 (50)%
 
3 (50)%
53%
 
47%
64%
 
36%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #4
LOST
@2.15 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.83
$10 Bet Profit: $11.5 #4 Ranked $14.29 Bet Profit: $16.43 #6 Ranked $11.43 Value Bet Profit: $13.14

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Pedro Munhoz vs Jimmie Rivera Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
39%
3 (43)%
 
4 (57)%
45%
 
55%
31%
 
69%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Very Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.55
$10 Bet Profit: $15.5 #2 Ranked $17.14 Bet Profit: $26.57 #2 Ranked $17.14 Value Bet Profit: $26.57

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Bruno Korea vs Matheus Nicolau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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37%
   
65%
2 (29)%
 
5 (71)%
30%
 
70%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#8 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.70 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.54
$10 Bet Profit: $5.4 #8 Ranked $8.57 Bet Profit: $4.63 #13 Ranked $1.43 Value Bet Profit: $0.77


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Dan Henderson vs Vitor Belfort (@3.75) 51%   9   24.75   -9.00   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @3.75   9 24.75 -9.00   $0.00 $0.00 -100.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $130.00 over 13 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Dan Henderson Vitor Belfort $18.57 $51.07
 
-$18.57
#2 Jimmie Rivera Pedro Munhoz $17.14 $26.57
 
$26.57
#3 Gleison Tibau Abel Trujillo $15.71 $13.04
 
$13.04
#4 Viscardi Andrade Gasan Umalatov $14.29 $16.43
 
$16.43
#5 Clay Guida Thiago Tavares $12.86 $8.87
 
-$12.86
#6 Alex Oliveira Piotr Hallmann $11.43 $5.37
 
$5.37
#7 Chas Skelly Edimilson Souza $10.00 $6.10
 
$6.10
#8 Matheus Nicolau Bruno Korea $8.57 $4.63
 
$4.63
#9 Glover Teixeira Patrick Cummins $7.14 $1.64
 
$1.64
#10 Thomas Almeida Anthony Birchak $5.71 $1.43
 
$1.43
#11 Rashid Magomedov Gilbert Burns $4.29 $2.27
 
$2.27
#12 Corey Anderson Fabio Maldonado $2.86 $0.57
 
$0.57
#13 Johnny Case Yan Cabral $1.43 $0.56
 
$0.56
      $130.00 $138.55 (107%)   $47.18 (36%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Dan Henderson Vitor Belfort $18.57 $51.07
 
-$18.57
#2 Jimmie Rivera Pedro Munhoz $17.14 $26.57
 
$26.57
#3 Gleison Tibau Abel Trujillo $15.71 $13.04
 
$13.04
#4 Fabio Maldonado Corey Anderson $14.29 $68.73
 
-$14.29
#5 Yan Cabral Johnny Case $12.86 $32.15
 
-$12.86
#6 Viscardi Andrade Gasan Umalatov $11.43 $13.14
 
$13.14
#7 Clay Guida Thiago Tavares $10.00 $6.90
 
-$10.00
#8 Alex Oliveira Piotr Hallmann $8.57 $4.03
 
$4.03
#9 Anthony Birchak Thomas Almeida $7.14 $26.06
 
-$7.14
#10 Gilbert Burns Rashid Magomedov $5.71 $10.51
 
-$5.71
#11 Chas Skelly Edimilson Souza $4.29 $2.62
 
$2.62
#12 Patrick Cummins Glover Teixeira $2.86 $11.01
 
-$2.86
#13 Matheus Nicolau Bruno Korea $1.43 $0.77
 
$0.77
      $130.00 $266.60 (205%)   $-11.26 (-9%)
 
 
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