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Event Predictions

UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2

Las Vegas
2015-09-05 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 5
Underdog wins: 6
$10 on all favourites nets: $-40.80
$10 on all underdogs nets: $62.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 3. Profit: 1.89
Total Unit Profit: 1.89

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-18.80 (6 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-18.80 (6 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-3.97 (6 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $40.07 (6 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Demetrious Johnson vs John Dodson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
17%
108 (86)%
 
17 (14)%
90%
 
10%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.75
$10 Bet Profit: $2 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $1 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Andrei Arlovski vs Frank Mir Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
42%
67 (74)%
 
24 (26)%
75%
 
25%
77%
 
23%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #2
LOST
@1.67 Suggested Bet: 2.75 units on Andrei Arlovski: Returned 1.84 Units   @2.40
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $11.17 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $7.82

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Johnson vs Jimi Manuwa Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
16%
121 (94)%
 
8 (6)%
96%
 
4%
86%
 
14%
WON
Pick Rating Low #6
LOST
@1.20 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Anthony Johnson: Returned 0.05 Units   @6.10
$10 Bet Profit: $2 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $2 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $1

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Corey Anderson vs Jan Blachowicz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
56%
10 (30)%
 
23 (70)%
32%
 
68%
45%
 
55%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Low #8 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.77
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $-6.67 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $4.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Paige VanZant vs Alex Chambers Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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93%
   
9%
96 (91)%
 
10 (9)%
91%
 
9%
80%
 
20%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fantastic Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.08 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @11.49
$10 Bet Profit: $0.8 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $0.27 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Paul Felder vs Ross Pearson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
21%
42 (65)%
 
23 (35)%
64%
 
36%
64%
 
36%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #11 Very Good Anti-Pick
WON
@1.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.81
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $-1.67 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $63.51

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Francisco Rivera vs John Lineker Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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46%
   
56%
16 (36)%
 
29 (64)%
38%
 
62%
31%
 
69%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.77
$10 Bet Profit: $7.7 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $10.26 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $6.41

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jessica Andrade vs Raquel Pennington Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
33%
34 (79)%
 
9 (21)%
81%
 
19%
86%
 
14%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #1
WON
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $-13.33

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tiago Trator vs Clay Collard Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
56%
14 (54)%
 
12 (46)%
53%
 
47%
56%
 
44%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #3
LOST
@2.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.80
$10 Bet Profit: $12 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $18 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $12

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Riggs vs Ron Stallings Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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39%
   
61%
17 (39)%
 
27 (61)%
43%
 
57%
26%
 
74%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Moderate Pick Rating
LOST
@2.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.63
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $-11.67 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog Nazareno Malegarie vs Joaquim Silva Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
43%
13 (68)%
 
6 (32)%
63%
 
37%
59%
 
41%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #7
WON
@1.75 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $-8.33 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Andrei Arlovski vs Frank Mir (@1.67) 77%   2.75   1.84   1.84   $0.00   $0.00 67%
Bet on Anthony Johnson vs Jimi Manuwa (@1.20) 86%   0.25   0.05   0.05   $0.00   $0.00 20%
Average Odds: @1.40   3 1.89 1.89   $0.00 $0.00 63.08%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Jessica Andrade Raquel Pennington $18.33 $9.16
 
-$18.33
#2 Andrei Arlovski Frank Mir $16.67 $11.17
 
$11.17
#3 Tiago Trator Clay Collard $15.00 $18.00
 
$18.00
#4 John Lineker Francisco Rivera $13.33 $10.26
 
$10.26
#5 Ron Stallings Joe Riggs $11.67 $7.35
 
-$11.67
#6 Anthony Johnson Jimi Manuwa $10.00 $2.00
 
$2.00
#7 Nazareno Malegarie Joaquim Silva $8.33 $6.25
 
-$8.33
#8 Jan Blachowicz Corey Anderson $6.67 $5.14
 
-$6.67
#9 Demetrious Johnson John Dodson $5.00 $1.00
 
$1.00
#10 Paige VanZant Alex Chambers $3.33 $0.27
 
$0.27
#11 Paul Felder Ross Pearson $1.67 $0.38
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $70.98 (65%)   $-3.97 (-4%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Alex Chambers Paige VanZant $18.33 $192.28
 
-$18.33
#2 Ross Pearson Paul Felder $16.67 $63.51
 
$63.51
#3 John Dodson Demetrious Johnson $15.00 $71.25
 
-$15.00
#4 Jessica Andrade Raquel Pennington $13.33 $6.66
 
-$13.33
#5 Andrei Arlovski Frank Mir $11.67 $7.82
 
$7.82
#6 Tiago Trator Clay Collard $10.00 $12.00
 
$12.00
#7 John Lineker Francisco Rivera $8.33 $6.41
 
$6.41
#8 Ron Stallings Joe Riggs $6.67 $4.20
 
-$6.67
#9 Anthony Johnson Jimi Manuwa $5.00 $1.00
 
$1.00
#10 Corey Anderson Jan Blachowicz $3.33 $4.33
 
$4.33
#11 Nazareno Malegarie Joaquim Silva $1.67 $1.25
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $370.73 (337%)   $40.07 (36%)
 
 
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