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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson

Saitama, Japan
2015-09-26 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 2
$10 on all favourites nets: $10.80
$10 on all underdogs nets: $0.70

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 1.25. Profit: 0.57
Total Unit Profit: 0.57

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-8.50 (6 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-8.50 (6 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-8.92 (6 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $48.56 (6 right, 3 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Josh Barnett vs Roy Nelson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
26%
92 (76)%
 
29 (24)%
77%
 
23%
65%
 
35%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.34 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.80
$10 Bet Profit: $3.4 #9 Ranked $3.64 Bet Profit: $1.24 #3 Ranked $14.55 Value Bet Profit: $-14.55

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gegard Mousasi vs Uriah Hall Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
18%
93 (85)%
 
16 (15)%
86%
 
14%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #6 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.49
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $9.09 Bet Profit: $-9.09 #5 Ranked $10.91 Value Bet Profit: $48.99

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kyoji Horiguchi vs Chico Camus Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
22%
48 (89)%
 
6 (11)%
91%
 
9%
84%
 
16%
WON
Pick Rating Low #3
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.48
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #3 Ranked $14.55 Bet Profit: $3.93 #8 Ranked $5.45 Value Bet Profit: $1.47

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Takeya Mizugaki vs George Roop Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
33%
36 (77)%
 
11 (23)%
73%
 
27%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Low #5
LOST
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.06
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #5 Ranked $10.91 Bet Profit: $4.69 #10 Ranked $1.82 Value Bet Profit: $0.78

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mizuto Hirota vs Teruto Ishihara Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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73%
   
28%
9 (69)%
 
4 (31)%
74%
 
26%
55%
 
45%
Value Pick
DRAW
Pick Rating Very Poor #10 Good+ Anti-Pick
DRAW
@1.37 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.55
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #10 Ranked $1.82 Bet Profit: $0 #1 Ranked $18.18 Value Bet Profit: $0

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Diego Brandao vs Katsunori Kikuno Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
32%
56 (92)%
 
5 (8)%
95%
 
5%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #2
LOST
@1.46 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on Diego Brandao: Returned 0.57 Units   @3.10
$10 Bet Profit: $4.6 #2 Ranked $16.36 Bet Profit: $7.53 #7 Ranked $7.27 Value Bet Profit: $3.34

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Keita Nakamura vs Jingliang Li Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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28%
   
71%
8 (38)%
 
13 (62)%
44%
 
56%
37%
 
63%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Moderate #8 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@3.58 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.40
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $5.45 Bet Profit: $-5.45 #4 Ranked $12.73 Value Bet Profit: $32.84

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nick Hein vs Yusuke Kasuya Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
24%
20 (77)%
 
6 (23)%
77%
 
23%
81%
 
19%
WON
Pick Rating Low #4
LOST
@1.31 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.20
$10 Bet Profit: $3.1 #4 Ranked $12.73 Bet Profit: $3.95 #9 Ranked $3.64 Value Bet Profit: $1.13

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Naoyuki Kotani vs Kajan Johnson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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27%
   
75%
6 (20)%
 
24 (80)%
16%
 
84%
34%
 
66%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #7 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.34
$10 Bet Profit: $3.4 #7 Ranked $7.27 Bet Profit: $2.47 #6 Ranked $9.09 Value Bet Profit: $-9.09

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Shinsho Anzai vs Roger Zapata Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
49%
7 (35)%
 
13 (65)%
34%
 
66%
26%
 
74%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.93 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.04
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.18 Bet Profit: $-18.18 #2 Ranked $16.36 Value Bet Profit: $-16.36


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Diego Brandao vs Katsunori Kikuno (@1.46) 78%   1.25   0.57   0.57   $0.00   $0.00 46%
Average Odds: @1.46   1.25 0.57 0.57   $0.00 $0.00 46.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $100.00 over 10 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Roger Zapata Shinsho Anzai $18.18 $18.91
 
-$18.18
#2 Diego Brandao Katsunori Kikuno $16.36 $7.53
 
$7.53
#3 Kyoji Horiguchi Chico Camus $14.55 $3.93
 
$3.93
#4 Nick Hein Yusuke Kasuya $12.73 $3.95
 
$3.95
#5 Takeya Mizugaki George Roop $10.91 $4.69
 
$4.69
#6 Gegard Mousasi Uriah Hall $9.09 $1.82
 
-$9.09
#7 Kajan Johnson Naoyuki Kotani $7.27 $2.47
 
$2.47
#8 Jingliang Li Keita Nakamura $5.45 $2.18
 
-$5.45
#9 Josh Barnett Roy Nelson $3.64 $1.24
 
$1.24
#10 Mizuto Hirota Teruto Ishihara $1.82 $0.67
 
NA
      $100.00 $47.38 (47%)   $-8.92 (-9%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Teruto Ishihara Mizuto Hirota $18.18 $46.36
 
NA
#2 Roger Zapata Shinsho Anzai $16.36 $17.01
 
-$16.36
#3 Roy Nelson Josh Barnett $14.55 $40.74
 
-$14.55
#4 Keita Nakamura Jingliang Li $12.73 $32.84
 
$32.84
#5 Uriah Hall Gegard Mousasi $10.91 $48.99
 
$48.99
#6 Naoyuki Kotani Kajan Johnson $9.09 $24.45
 
-$9.09
#7 Diego Brandao Katsunori Kikuno $7.27 $3.34
 
$3.34
#8 Kyoji Horiguchi Chico Camus $5.45 $1.47
 
$1.47
#9 Nick Hein Yusuke Kasuya $3.64 $1.13
 
$1.13
#10 Takeya Mizugaki George Roop $1.82 $0.78
 
$0.78
      $100.00 $217.12 (217%)   $48.56 (49%)
 
 
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