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Event Predictions

Belator 131 - Tito vs Bonnar

San Diego
2014-11-15 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 3
Underdog wins: 2
$10 on all favourites nets: $-9.20
$10 on all underdogs nets: $5.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 7.5. Profit: 15.40
Total Unit Profit: 15.40

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-38.80 (1 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $24.10 (4 right, 1 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $34.11 (4 right, 1 wrong)
Value betting profit: $20.51 (3 right, 2 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog Tito Ortiz vs Stephan Bonnar Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
43%
26 (48)%
 
28 (52)%
48%
 
52%
62%
 
38%
WON
Pick Rating Low #3
LOST
@1.69 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Tito Ortiz: Returned 0.17 Units   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #3 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #4 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $4.6

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Will Brooks vs Michael Chandler Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog
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30%
   
70%
17 (40)%
 
25 (60)%
40%
 
60%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Very Good #1
LOST
@3.33 Suggested Bet: 6.75 units on Will Brooks: Returned 15.73 Units   @1.43
$10 Bet Profit: $23.3 #1 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $38.84 #1 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $38.84

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog Joe Schilling vs Melvin Manhoef Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog
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46%
   
56%
9 (21)%
 
33 (79)%
20%
 
80%
40%
 
60%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@2.17 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Melvin Manhoef: Returned -0.50 Units   @1.79
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $-13.33 #3 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog Mike Richman vs Nam Phan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
22%
15 (41)%
 
22 (59)%
42%
 
58%
70%
 
30%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #5 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.55
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #5 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $0.9 #2 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $-13.33

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Vedepo vs Muhammed Lawal Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog
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12%
   
89%
6 (13)%
 
40 (87)%
16%
 
84%
9%
 
91%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Low Pick Rating
WON
@8.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.12
$10 Bet Profit: $1.2 #4 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $0.8 #5 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $0.4


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Will Brooks vs Michael Chandler (@3.33) 51%   6.75   15.73   15.73   $0.00   $0.00 233%
Bet on Melvin Manhoef vs Joe Schilling (@1.79) 60%   0.5   0.40   -0.50   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Tito Ortiz vs Stephan Bonnar (@1.69) 62%   0.25   0.17   0.17   $0.00   $0.00 69%
Average Odds: @2.07   7.5 16.30 15.40   $0.00 $0.00 205.33%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $50.00 over 5 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Will Brooks Michael Chandler $16.67 $38.84
 
$38.84
#2 Melvin Manhoef Joe Schilling $13.33 $10.53
 
-$13.33
#3 Tito Ortiz Stephan Bonnar $10.00 $6.90
 
$6.90
#4 Muhammed Lawal Joe Vedepo $6.67 $0.80
 
$0.80
#5 Mike Richman Nam Phan $3.33 $0.90
 
$0.90
      $50.00 $57.97 (116%)   $34.11 (68%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Will Brooks Michael Chandler $16.67 $38.84
 
$38.84
#2 Nam Phan Mike Richman $13.33 $47.32
 
-$13.33
#3 Melvin Manhoef Joe Schilling $10.00 $7.90
 
-$10.00
#4 Tito Ortiz Stephan Bonnar $6.67 $4.60
 
$4.60
#5 Muhammed Lawal Joe Vedepo $3.33 $0.40
 
$0.40
      $50.00 $99.06 (198%)   $20.51 (41%)
 
 
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