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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - St. Preux vs. Teixeira

Nashville, Tennessee
2015-08-08 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $7.90
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-42.10

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 5. Profit: -1.10
Total Unit Profit: -1.10

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-22.70 (7 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-13.20 (8 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-31.87 (8 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-46.10 (7 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Good
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Glover Teixeira vs Ovince St Preux Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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51%
   
51%
28 (50)%
 
28 (50)%
47%
 
53%
62%
 
38%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@1.95 Suggested Bet: 2 units on Glover Teixeira: Returned 1.90 Units   @1.95
$10 Bet Profit: $9.5 #5 Ranked $12.86 Bet Profit: $12.22 #6 Ranked $11.43 Value Bet Profit: $10.86

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michael Johnson vs Beneil Dariush Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
41%
41 (77)%
 
12 (23)%
79%
 
21%
76%
 
24%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #4
WON
@1.65 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Michael Johnson: Returned -2.50 Units   @2.45
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $14.29 Bet Profit: $-14.29 #5 Ranked $12.86 Value Bet Profit: $-12.86

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sam Alvey vs Derek Brunson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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22%
   
79%
18 (56)%
 
14 (44)%
57%
 
43%
71%
 
29%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
WON
@4.55 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.26
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.57 Bet Profit: $-18.57 #1 Ranked $18.57 Value Bet Profit: $-18.57

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jared Rosholt vs Timothy Johnson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
30%
25 (81)%
 
6 (19)%
80%
 
20%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Low #10
LOST
@1.42 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.36
$10 Bet Profit: $4.2 #10 Ranked $5.71 Bet Profit: $2.4 #11 Ranked $4.29 Value Bet Profit: $1.8

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sara McMann vs Amanda Nunes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
30%
28 (74)%
 
10 (26)%
76%
 
24%
76%
 
24%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9
WON
@1.40 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Sara McMann: Returned -0.50 Units   @3.34
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $7.14 Bet Profit: $-7.14 #10 Ranked $5.71 Value Bet Profit: $-5.71

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ray Borg vs Geane Herrera Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
20%
16 (84)%
 
3 (16)%
89%
 
11%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Low #12
LOST
@1.24 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.95
$10 Bet Profit: $2.4 #12 Ranked $2.86 Bet Profit: $0.69 #13 Ranked $1.43 Value Bet Profit: $0.34

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Uriah Hall vs Oluwale Bamgbose Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
23%
33 (89)%
 
4 (11)%
92%
 
8%
83%
 
17%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.29 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.26
$10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #7 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #8 Ranked $8.57 Value Bet Profit: $2.49

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Camozzi vs Tom Watson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
43%
22 (85)%
 
4 (15)%
88%
 
12%
93%
 
7%
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #3
LOST
@1.72 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.30
$10 Bet Profit: $7.2 #3 Ranked $15.71 Bet Profit: $11.31 #3 Ranked $15.71 Value Bet Profit: $11.31

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Willie Gates vs Dustin Ortiz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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21%
   
79%
4 (31)%
 
9 (69)%
31%
 
69%
18%
 
82%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#11 Low Pick Rating
WON
@4.81 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.26
$10 Bet Profit: $2.6 #11 Ranked $4.29 Bet Profit: $1.12 #12 Ranked $2.86 Value Bet Profit: $0.74

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Frankie Saenz vs Sirwan Kakai Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
51%
4 (40)%
 
6 (60)%
42%
 
58%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#6 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.95
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $11.43 Bet Profit: $-11.43 #7 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Dempsey vs Jonathan Wilson Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
2 (29)%
 
5 (71)%
34%
 
66%
37%
 
63%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#8 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #8 Ranked $8.57 Bet Profit: $5.91 #9 Ranked $7.14 Value Bet Profit: $4.93

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marlon Vera vs Roman Salazar Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
47%
5 (38)%
 
8 (62)%
36%
 
64%
8%
 
92%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Extremely Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.80 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.15
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $17.14 Bet Profit: $-17.14 #2 Ranked $17.14 Value Bet Profit: $-17.14

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Christodoulou vs Scott Holtzman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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13%
   
90%
2 (17)%
 
10 (83)%
15%
 
85%
19%
 
81%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #13 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@8.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.11
$10 Bet Profit: $1.1 #13 Ranked $1.43 Bet Profit: $0.16 #4 Ranked $14.29 Value Bet Profit: $-14.29


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Michael Johnson vs Beneil Dariush (@1.65) 76%   2.5   1.62   -2.50   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Glover Teixeira vs Ovince St Preux (@1.95) 62%   2   1.90   1.90   $0.00   $0.00 95%
Bet on Sara McMann vs Amanda Nunes (@1.40) 76%   0.5   0.20   -0.50   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.64   5 3.72 -1.10   $0.00 $0.00 -22.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $130.00 over 13 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Sam Alvey Derek Brunson $18.57 $65.92
 
-$18.57
#2 Roman Salazar Marlon Vera $17.14 $19.71
 
-$17.14
#3 Chris Camozzi Tom Watson $15.71 $11.31
 
$11.31
#4 Michael Johnson Beneil Dariush $14.29 $9.29
 
-$14.29
#5 Glover Teixeira Ovince St Preux $12.86 $12.22
 
$12.22
#6 Sirwan Kakai Frankie Saenz $11.43 $10.86
 
-$11.43
#7 Uriah Hall Oluwale Bamgbose $10.00 $2.90
 
$2.90
#8 Jonathan Wilson Chris Dempsey $8.57 $5.91
 
$5.91
#9 Sara McMann Amanda Nunes $7.14 $2.86
 
-$7.14
#10 Jared Rosholt Timothy Johnson $5.71 $2.40
 
$2.40
#11 Dustin Ortiz Willie Gates $4.29 $1.12
 
$1.12
#12 Ray Borg Geane Herrera $2.86 $0.69
 
$0.69
#13 Scott Holtzman Anthony Christodoulou $1.43 $0.16
 
$0.16
      $130.00 $145.34 (112%)   $-31.87 (-25%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Sam Alvey Derek Brunson $18.57 $65.92
 
-$18.57
#2 Roman Salazar Marlon Vera $17.14 $19.71
 
-$17.14
#3 Chris Camozzi Tom Watson $15.71 $11.31
 
$11.31
#4 Anthony Christodoulou Scott Holtzman $14.29 $100.03
 
-$14.29
#5 Michael Johnson Beneil Dariush $12.86 $8.36
 
-$12.86
#6 Glover Teixeira Ovince St Preux $11.43 $10.86
 
$10.86
#7 Sirwan Kakai Frankie Saenz $10.00 $9.50
 
-$10.00
#8 Uriah Hall Oluwale Bamgbose $8.57 $2.49
 
$2.49
#9 Jonathan Wilson Chris Dempsey $7.14 $4.93
 
$4.93
#10 Sara McMann Amanda Nunes $5.71 $2.28
 
-$5.71
#11 Jared Rosholt Timothy Johnson $4.29 $1.80
 
$1.80
#12 Dustin Ortiz Willie Gates $2.86 $0.74
 
$0.74
#13 Ray Borg Geane Herrera $1.43 $0.34
 
$0.34
      $130.00 $238.28 (183%)   $-46.10 (-35%)
 
 
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