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Event Predictions

UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2

Chicago, Illinois
2015-07-25 21:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-9.90
$10 on all underdogs nets: $3.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 4.25. Profit: 2.92
Total Unit Profit: 2.92

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-5.90 (7 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $11.10 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $13.12 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-8.14 (6 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile T.J. Dillashaw vs Renan Barao Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
34%
43 (61)%
 
27 (39)%
64%
 
36%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Low #10
LOST
@1.48 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on T.J. Dillashaw: Returned 0.12 Units   @2.95
$10 Bet Profit: $4.8 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $2.22 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.74

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Miesha Tate vs Jessica Eye Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
60 (87)%
 
9 (13)%
87%
 
13%
80%
 
20%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #3
LOST
@1.53 Suggested Bet: 2 units on Miesha Tate: Returned 1.06 Units   @2.80
$10 Bet Profit: $5.3 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $8.15 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $7.34

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Edson Barboza vs Paul Felder Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
44%
46 (87)%
 
7 (13)%
88%
 
12%
68%
 
32%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #6
LOST
@1.75 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.25
$10 Bet Profit: $7.5 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $8.08 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $6.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Lauzon vs Takanori Gomi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
24%
25 (76)%
 
8 (24)%
79%
 
21%
73%
 
27%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.32 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.10
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.99 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gian Villante vs Tom Lawlor Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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66%
   
33%
9 (56)%
 
7 (44)%
56%
 
44%
73%
 
27%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #9
WON
@1.51 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jim Miller vs Danny Castillo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
48%
39 (76)%
 
12 (24)%
82%
 
18%
64%
 
36%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #4
LOST
@1.87 Suggested Bet: 2 units on Jim Miller: Returned 1.74 Units   @2.10
$10 Bet Profit: $8.7 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $12.05 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $10.71

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ben Saunders vs Kenny Robertson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
52%
27 (77)%
 
8 (23)%
78%
 
22%
69%
 
31%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #1
LOST
@2.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.91
$10 Bet Profit: $11 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $20.31 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $20.31

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Bryan Caraway vs Eddie Wineland Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
53%
6 (35)%
 
11 (65)%
35%
 
65%
37%
 
63%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#7 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.87
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daron Cruickshank vs James Krause Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
38%
27 (79)%
 
7 (21)%
80%
 
20%
85%
 
15%
LOST
Pick Rating Good #2
WON
@1.63 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.65
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Andrew Holbrook vs Ramsey Nijem Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
5 (33)%
 
10 (67)%
38%
 
62%
30%
 
70%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.70
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jessamyn Duke vs Elizabeth Phillips Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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41%
   
59%
8 (53)%
 
7 (47)%
53%
 
47%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#8 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.70
$10 Bet Profit: $7 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $5.38 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $4.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Zak Cummings vs Dominique Steele Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
24%
13 (72)%
 
5 (28)%
68%
 
32%
70%
 
30%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #12 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.36 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.15
$10 Bet Profit: $3.6 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.55 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Miesha Tate vs Jessica Eye (@1.53) 80%   2   1.06   1.06   $0.00   $0.00 53%
Bet on Jim Miller vs Danny Castillo (@1.87) 64%   2   1.74   1.74   $0.00   $0.00 87%
Bet on T.J. Dillashaw vs Renan Barao (@1.48) 70%   0.25   0.12   0.12   $0.00   $0.00 48%
Average Odds: @1.61   4.25 2.92 2.92   $0.00 $0.00 68.71%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Ben Saunders Kenny Robertson $18.46 $20.31
 
$20.31
#2 Daron Cruickshank James Krause $16.92 $10.66
 
-$16.92
#3 Miesha Tate Jessica Eye $15.38 $8.15
 
$8.15
#4 Jim Miller Danny Castillo $13.85 $12.05
 
$12.05
#5 Ramsey Nijem Andrew Holbrook $12.31 $8.62
 
-$12.31
#6 Edson Barboza Paul Felder $10.77 $8.08
 
$8.08
#7 Eddie Wineland Bryan Caraway $9.23 $8.03
 
-$9.23
#8 Elizabeth Phillips Jessamyn Duke $7.69 $5.38
 
$5.38
#9 Gian Villante Tom Lawlor $6.15 $3.14
 
-$6.15
#10 T.J. Dillashaw Renan Barao $4.62 $2.22
 
$2.22
#11 Joe Lauzon Takanori Gomi $3.08 $0.99
 
$0.99
#12 Zak Cummings Dominique Steele $1.54 $0.55
 
$0.55
      $120.00 $88.17 (73%)   $13.12 (11%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Ben Saunders Kenny Robertson $18.46 $20.31
 
$20.31
#2 Daron Cruickshank James Krause $16.92 $10.66
 
-$16.92
#3 Dominique Steele Zak Cummings $15.38 $48.45
 
-$15.38
#4 Miesha Tate Jessica Eye $13.85 $7.34
 
$7.34
#5 Jim Miller Danny Castillo $12.31 $10.71
 
$10.71
#6 Ramsey Nijem Andrew Holbrook $10.77 $7.54
 
-$10.77
#7 Edson Barboza Paul Felder $9.23 $6.92
 
$6.92
#8 Eddie Wineland Bryan Caraway $7.69 $6.69
 
-$7.69
#9 Elizabeth Phillips Jessamyn Duke $6.15 $4.31
 
$4.31
#10 Gian Villante Tom Lawlor $4.62 $2.36
 
-$4.62
#11 Takanori Gomi Joe Lauzon $3.08 $9.55
 
-$3.08
#12 T.J. Dillashaw Renan Barao $1.54 $0.74
 
$0.74
      $120.00 $135.56 (113%)   $-8.14 (-7%)
 
 
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