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Total MMA Handicappers: 450
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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Duffee

San Diego
2015-07-15 19:00:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 2
$10 on all favourites nets: $19.20
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-62.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 0.75. Profit: 0.40
Total Unit Profit: 0.40

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $38.70 (10 right, 1 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $9.20 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-4.75 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-65.36 (3 right, 9 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Poor
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Frank Mir vs Todd Duffee Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
65%
24 (41)%
 
35 (59)%
43%
 
57%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Fair #9 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.80 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.53
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $22.16

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Josh Thomson vs Tony Ferguson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
65%
17 (31)%
 
37 (69)%
34%
 
66%
30%
 
70%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#3 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.85 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Tony Ferguson: Returned 0.40 Units   @1.53
$10 Bet Profit: $5.3 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $8.15 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $3.26

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Holly Holm vs Marion Reneau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
35%
53 (96)%
 
2 (4)%
97%
 
3%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #6 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.85
$10 Bet Profit: $5 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $5.38 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Scott Jorgensen vs Manny Gamburyan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
9 (35)%
 
17 (65)%
39%
 
61%
48%
 
52%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fair #10 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $3.1 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kevin Lee vs James Moontasri Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
30%
16 (89)%
 
2 (11)%
90%
 
10%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Low #2
LOST
@1.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.34
$10 Bet Profit: $4 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $6.77 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alan Jouban vs Matt Dwyer Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
21%
24 (89)%
 
3 (11)%
88%
 
12%
78%
 
22%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #5 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.85
$10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $2.83 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sam Sicilia vs Yaotzin Meza Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
36%
18 (82)%
 
4 (18)%
83%
 
17%
53%
 
47%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.80
$10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.88 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jessica Andrade vs Sarah Moras Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
25%
25 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.00
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $2.77 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rani Yahya vs Masanori Kanehara Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
52%
8 (50)%
 
8 (50)%
49%
 
51%
43%
 
57%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@2.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.92
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sean Strickland vs Igor Araujo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
24%
9 (64)%
 
5 (36)%
70%
 
30%
70%
 
30%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.29 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.15
$10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $2.23 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kevin Casey vs Ildemar Alcantara Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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51%
   
51%
9 (69)%
 
4 (31)%
73%
 
27%
49%
 
51%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#4 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@1.95 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.95
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Andrew Craig vs Lyman Good Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
72%
4 (24)%
 
13 (76)%
23%
 
77%
45%
 
55%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #12 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.02 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.39
$10 Bet Profit: $3.9 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.6 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Tony Ferguson vs Josh Thomson (@1.53) 70%   0.75   0.40   0.40   $0.00   $0.00 53%
Average Odds: @1.53   0.75 0.40 0.40   $0.00 $0.00 53.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Masanori Kanehara Rani Yahya $18.46 $16.98
 
-$18.46
#2 Kevin Lee James Moontasri $16.92 $6.77
 
$6.77
#3 Tony Ferguson Josh Thomson $15.38 $8.15
 
$8.15
#4 Ildemar Alcantara Kevin Casey $13.85 $13.16
 
-$13.85
#5 Alan Jouban Matt Dwyer $12.31 $2.83
 
$2.83
#6 Holly Holm Marion Reneau $10.77 $5.38
 
$5.38
#7 Jessica Andrade Sarah Moras $9.23 $2.77
 
$2.77
#8 Sean Strickland Igor Araujo $7.69 $2.23
 
$2.23
#9 Todd Duffee Frank Mir $6.15 $3.26
 
-$6.15
#10 Manny Gamburyan Scott Jorgensen $4.62 $3.10
 
$3.10
#11 Sam Sicilia Yaotzin Meza $3.08 $1.88
 
$1.88
#12 Lyman Good Andrew Craig $1.54 $0.60
 
$0.60
      $120.00 $67.11 (56%)   $-4.75 (-4%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Andrew Craig Lyman Good $18.46 $37.29
 
-$18.46
#2 Yaotzin Meza Sam Sicilia $16.92 $30.46
 
-$16.92
#3 Igor Araujo Sean Strickland $15.38 $48.45
 
-$15.38
#4 Sarah Moras Jessica Andrade $13.85 $41.55
 
-$13.85
#5 Frank Mir Todd Duffee $12.31 $22.16
 
$22.16
#6 Scott Jorgensen Manny Gamburyan $10.77 $15.08
 
-$10.77
#7 Masanori Kanehara Rani Yahya $9.23 $8.49
 
-$9.23
#8 Kevin Lee James Moontasri $7.69 $3.08
 
$3.08
#9 Tony Ferguson Josh Thomson $6.15 $3.26
 
$3.26
#10 Matt Dwyer Alan Jouban $4.62 $17.79
 
-$4.62
#11 Marion Reneau Holly Holm $3.08 $5.70
 
-$3.08
#12 Ildemar Alcantara Kevin Casey $1.54 $1.46
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $234.75 (196%)   $-65.36 (-54%)
 
 
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