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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Machida vs. Romero

Florida
2015-06-27 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $0.20
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-21.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 5.75. Profit: 3.16
Total Unit Profit: 3.16

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $22.40 (7 right, 2 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $22.40 (7 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $21.66 (7 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $9.06 (6 right, 3 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Lyoto Machida vs Yoel Romero Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
38%
75 (73)%
 
28 (27)%
75%
 
25%
58%
 
42%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #8 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.63
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $4 Bet Profit: $-4 #6 Ranked $8 Value Bet Profit: $13.04

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Lorenz Larkin vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
34%
42 (76)%
 
13 (24)%
79%
 
21%
68%
 
32%
WON
Pick Rating Low #6
LOST
@1.49 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #6 Ranked $8 Bet Profit: $3.92 #8 Ranked $4 Value Bet Profit: $1.96

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Eddie Gordon vs Antonio Carlos Jr. Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
63%
17 (38)%
 
28 (62)%
39%
 
61%
49%
 
51%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #9 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.78 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.59
$10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #9 Ranked $2 Bet Profit: $1.18 #1 Ranked $18 Value Bet Profit: $-18

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Steve Bosse vs Thiago Santos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
65%
7 (21)%
 
26 (79)%
21%
 
79%
17%
 
83%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#3 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.86 Suggested Bet: 2.75 units on Thiago Santos: Returned 1.49 Units   @1.54
$10 Bet Profit: $5.4 #3 Ranked $14 Bet Profit: $7.56 #4 Ranked $12 Value Bet Profit: $6.48

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Hacran Dias vs Levan Makashvili Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
36%
25 (71)%
 
10 (29)%
76%
 
24%
85%
 
15%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #2
LOST
@1.56 Suggested Bet: 3 units on Hacran Dias: Returned 1.68 Units   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $5.6 #2 Ranked $16 Bet Profit: $8.96 #3 Ranked $14 Value Bet Profit: $7.84

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alex Oliveira vs Joe Merritt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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80%
   
22%
25 (81)%
 
6 (19)%
81%
 
19%
78%
 
22%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Poor Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.55
$10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #7 Ranked $6 Bet Profit: $1.5 #9 Ranked $2 Value Bet Profit: $-2

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Leandro Silva vs Lewis Gonzalez Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
35%
14 (78)%
 
4 (22)%
81%
 
19%
69%
 
31%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #5
LOST
@1.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.86
$10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #5 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #7 Ranked $6 Value Bet Profit: $3.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Steve Montgomery vs Tony Sims Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
50%
9 (56)%
 
7 (44)%
53%
 
47%
71%
 
29%
LOST
Pick Rating Good #1
WON
@1.92 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18 Bet Profit: $-18 #2 Ranked $16 Value Bet Profit: $-16

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Danny Martinez vs Sirwan Kakai Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
45%
6 (40)%
 
9 (60)%
47%
 
53%
45%
 
55%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@1.79 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.22
$10 Bet Profit: $12.2 #4 Ranked $12 Bet Profit: $14.64 #5 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $12.2


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Hacran Dias vs Levan Makashvili (@1.56) 85%   3   1.68   1.68   $0.00   $0.00 56%
Bet on Thiago Santos vs Steve Bosse (@1.54) 83%   2.75   1.48   1.49   $0.00   $0.00 54%
Average Odds: @1.55   5.75 3.16 3.17   $0.00 $0.00 55.04%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $90.00 over 9 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Steve Montgomery Tony Sims $18.00 $16.56
 
-$18.00
#2 Hacran Dias Levan Makashvili $16.00 $8.96
 
$8.96
#3 Thiago Santos Steve Bosse $14.00 $7.56
 
$7.56
#4 Sirwan Kakai Danny Martinez $12.00 $14.64
 
$14.64
#5 Leandro Silva Lewis Gonzalez $10.00 $5.90
 
$5.90
#6 Lorenz Larkin Santiago Ponzinibbio $8.00 $3.92
 
$3.92
#7 Alex Oliveira Joe Merritt $6.00 $1.50
 
$1.50
#8 Lyoto Machida Yoel Romero $4.00 $2.24
 
-$4.00
#9 Antonio Carlos Jr. Eddie Gordon $2.00 $1.18
 
$1.18
      $90.00 $62.46 (69%)   $21.66 (24%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Eddie Gordon Antonio Carlos Jr. $18.00 $32.04
 
-$18.00
#2 Steve Montgomery Tony Sims $16.00 $14.72
 
-$16.00
#3 Hacran Dias Levan Makashvili $14.00 $7.84
 
$7.84
#4 Thiago Santos Steve Bosse $12.00 $6.48
 
$6.48
#5 Sirwan Kakai Danny Martinez $10.00 $12.20
 
$12.20
#6 Yoel Romero Lyoto Machida $8.00 $13.04
 
$13.04
#7 Leandro Silva Lewis Gonzalez $6.00 $3.54
 
$3.54
#8 Lorenz Larkin Santiago Ponzinibbio $4.00 $1.96
 
$1.96
#9 Joe Merritt Alex Oliveira $2.00 $7.10
 
-$2.00
      $90.00 $98.92 (110%)   $9.06 (10%)
 
 
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