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Event Predictions

UFC 180 - Werdum vs. Hunt

Mexico City
2014-11-15 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-11.70
$10 on all underdogs nets: $18.40

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 6.75. Profit: 7.67
Total Unit Profit: 7.67

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $18.60 (7 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $15.30 (7 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $45.25 (7 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $74.21 (8 right, 2 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Fabricio Werdum vs Mark Hunt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
22%
123 (75)%
 
42 (25)%
78%
 
22%
70%
 
30%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.55
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #9 Ranked $3.64 Bet Profit: $0.98 #4 Ranked $12.73 Value Bet Profit: $-12.73

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jake Ellenberger vs Kelvin Gastelum Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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34%
   
68%
73 (49)%
 
76 (51)%
51%
 
49%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#7 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.94 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #7 Ranked $7.27 Bet Profit: $3.42 #10 Ranked $1.82 Value Bet Profit: $0.86

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ricardo Lamas vs Dennis Bermudez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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37%
   
63%
46 (35)%
 
86 (65)%
34%
 
66%
52%
 
48%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #2
LOST
@2.70 Suggested Bet: 3.75 units on Ricardo Lamas: Returned 6.38 Units   @1.59
$10 Bet Profit: $17 #2 Ranked $16.36 Bet Profit: $27.81 #2 Ranked $16.36 Value Bet Profit: $27.81

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Augusto Montano vs Chris Heatherly Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
34%
33 (53)%
 
29 (47)%
54%
 
46%
90%
 
10%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #3
LOST
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #3 Ranked $14.55 Bet Profit: $6.84 #5 Ranked $10.91 Value Bet Profit: $5.13

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Edgar Garcia vs Hector Urbina Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
40 (63)%
 
24 (38)%
64%
 
36%
60%
 
40%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #8 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.54 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $5.45 Bet Profit: $-5.45 #8 Ranked $5.45 Value Bet Profit: $9.7

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alejandro Perez vs Jose Quinonez Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
35 (63)%
 
21 (38)%
63%
 
37%
46%
 
54%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Good #10 Very Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@3.03 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $1.82 Bet Profit: $-1.82 #3 Ranked $14.55 Value Bet Profit: $29.54

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Leslie Smith vs Jessica Eye Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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32%
   
70%
9 (9)%
 
87 (91)%
8%
 
92%
9%
 
91%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@3.13 Suggested Bet: 3 units on Jessica Eye: Returned 1.29 Units   @1.43
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #4 Ranked $12.73 Bet Profit: $5.47 #6 Ranked $9.09 Value Bet Profit: $3.91

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gabriel Benitez vs Humberto Brown Morrison Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
24%
37 (65)%
 
20 (35)%
65%
 
35%
81%
 
19%
WON
Pick Rating Low #6
LOST
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.17
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #6 Ranked $9.09 Bet Profit: $2.73 #9 Ranked $3.64 Value Bet Profit: $1.09

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Enrique Briones vs Guido Cannetti Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
49%
28 (53)%
 
25 (47)%
50%
 
50%
74%
 
26%
WON
Pick Rating Good #1
LOST
@1.89 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.04
$10 Bet Profit: $8.9 #1 Ranked $18.18 Bet Profit: $16.18 #1 Ranked $18.18 Value Bet Profit: $16.18

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marco Beltran vs Marlon Vera Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
72%
24 (40)%
 
36 (60)%
41%
 
59%
19%
 
81%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@3.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.39
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $10.91 Bet Profit: $-10.91 #7 Ranked $7.27 Value Bet Profit: $-7.27


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Ricardo Lamas vs Dennis Bermudez (@2.70) 52%   3.75   6.38   6.38   $0.00   $0.00 170%
Bet on Jessica Eye vs Leslie Smith (@1.43) 91%   3   1.29   1.29   $0.00   $0.00 43%
Average Odds: @1.87   6.75 7.67 7.67   $0.00 $0.00 113.56%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $100.00 over 10 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Enrique Briones Guido Cannetti $18.18 $16.18
 
$16.18
#2 Ricardo Lamas Dennis Bermudez $16.36 $27.81
 
$27.81
#3 Augusto Montano Chris Heatherly $14.55 $6.84
 
$6.84
#4 Jessica Eye Leslie Smith $12.73 $5.47
 
$5.47
#5 Marlon Vera Marco Beltran $10.91 $4.25
 
-$10.91
#6 Gabriel Benitez Humberto Brown Morrison $9.09 $2.73
 
$2.73
#7 Kelvin Gastelum Jake Ellenberger $7.27 $3.42
 
$3.42
#8 Edgar Garcia Hector Urbina $5.45 $2.94
 
-$5.45
#9 Fabricio Werdum Mark Hunt $3.64 $0.98
 
$0.98
#10 Jose Quinonez Alejandro Perez $1.82 $0.86
 
-$1.82
      $100.00 $71.48 (71%)   $45.25 (45%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Enrique Briones Guido Cannetti $18.18 $16.18
 
$16.18
#2 Ricardo Lamas Dennis Bermudez $16.36 $27.81
 
$27.81
#3 Alejandro Perez Jose Quinonez $14.55 $29.54
 
$29.54
#4 Mark Hunt Fabricio Werdum $12.73 $45.19
 
-$12.73
#5 Augusto Montano Chris Heatherly $10.91 $5.13
 
$5.13
#6 Jessica Eye Leslie Smith $9.09 $3.91
 
$3.91
#7 Marlon Vera Marco Beltran $7.27 $2.84
 
-$7.27
#8 Hector Urbina Edgar Garcia $5.45 $9.70
 
$9.70
#9 Gabriel Benitez Humberto Brown Morrison $3.64 $1.09
 
$1.09
#10 Kelvin Gastelum Jake Ellenberger $1.82 $0.86
 
$0.86
      $100.00 $142.24 (142%)   $74.21 (74%)
 
 
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