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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Boetsch vs. Henderson

New Orleans, USA
2015-06-06 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 6
$10 on all favourites nets: $-17.70
$10 on all underdogs nets: $40.70

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 11.75. Profit: 10.75
Total Unit Profit: 10.75

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-32.10 (4 right, 7 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-9.50 (6 right, 6 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $6.65 (6 right, 6 wrong)
Value betting profit: $19.12 (7 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Dan Henderson vs Tim Boetsch Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
65%
41 (55)%
 
34 (45)%
56%
 
44%
63%
 
37%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Very Good #1
LOST
@2.78 Suggested Bet: 7.25 units on Dan Henderson: Returned 12.91 Units   @1.54
$10 Bet Profit: $17.8 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $32.86 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $32.86

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ben Rothwell vs Matt Mitrione Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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37%
   
64%
35 (44)%
 
44 (56)%
46%
 
54%
39%
 
61%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Low #12 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.70 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.56
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $7.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Dustin Poirier vs Yancy Medeiros Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
35%
37 (86)%
 
6 (14)%
91%
 
9%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #6
LOST
@1.56 Suggested Bet: 1.5 units on Dustin Poirier: Returned 0.84 Units   @2.86
$10 Bet Profit: $5.6 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $6.03 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $6.03

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Brian Ortega vs Thiago Tavares Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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39%
   
62%
3 (11)%
 
25 (89)%
11%
 
89%
38%
 
62%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#11 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.61
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $-3.08 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Soto vs Anthony Birchak Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
37%
43 (91)%
 
4 (9)%
91%
 
9%
84%
 
16%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #2
WON
@1.56 Suggested Bet: 3 units on Joe Soto: Returned -3.00 Units   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alex Caceres vs Francisco Rivera Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
55%
25 (52)%
 
23 (48)%
54%
 
46%
38%
 
62%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#7 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.82
$10 Bet Profit: $8.2 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $7.57 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $7.57

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Derrick Lewis vs Shawn Jordan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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49%
   
51%
17 (38)%
 
28 (62)%
37%
 
63%
63%
 
37%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #3
WON
@2.04 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.96
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Brian Ebersole vs Omari Akhmedov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
56%
25 (63)%
 
15 (38)%
64%
 
36%
38%
 
62%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#9 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.79
$10 Bet Profit: $7.9 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $4.86 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $4.86

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Christos Giagos vs Chris Wade Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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39%
   
62%
13 (50)%
 
13 (50)%
45%
 
55%
30%
 
70%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#8 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.61
$10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $4.69 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $4.69

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Proctor vs Justin Edwards Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
35%
29 (85)%
 
5 (15)%
86%
 
14%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@1.49 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.86
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $6.03 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $6.03

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ricardo Abreu vs Jake Collier Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
37%
17 (74)%
 
6 (26)%
73%
 
27%
81%
 
19%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #4
WON
@1.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Leonardo Morales vs Jose Quinonez Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
38%
16 (70)%
 
7 (30)%
73%
 
27%
64%
 
36%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #10
WON
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.63
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Dan Henderson vs Tim Boetsch (@2.78) 63%   7.25   12.91   12.91   $0.00   $0.00 178%
Bet on Joe Soto vs Anthony Birchak (@1.56) 84%   3   1.68   -3.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Dustin Poirier vs Yancy Medeiros (@1.56) 75%   1.5   0.84   0.84   $0.00   $0.00 56%
Average Odds: @1.83   11.75 15.43 10.74   $0.00 $0.00 91.45%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Dan Henderson Tim Boetsch $18.46 $32.86
 
$32.86
#2 Joe Soto Anthony Birchak $16.92 $9.48
 
-$16.92
#3 Derrick Lewis Shawn Jordan $15.38 $16.00
 
-$15.38
#4 Ricardo Abreu Jake Collier $13.85 $7.76
 
-$13.85
#5 Joe Proctor Justin Edwards $12.31 $6.03
 
$6.03
#6 Dustin Poirier Yancy Medeiros $10.77 $6.03
 
$6.03
#7 Francisco Rivera Alex Caceres $9.23 $7.57
 
$7.57
#8 Chris Wade Christos Giagos $7.69 $4.69
 
$4.69
#9 Omari Akhmedov Brian Ebersole $6.15 $4.86
 
$4.86
#10 Leonardo Morales Jose Quinonez $4.62 $2.96
 
-$4.62
#11 Thiago Tavares Brian Ortega $3.08 $1.88
 
-$3.08
#12 Matt Mitrione Ben Rothwell $1.54 $0.86
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $100.96 (84%)   $6.65 (6%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Dan Henderson Tim Boetsch $18.46 $32.86
 
$32.86
#2 Joe Soto Anthony Birchak $16.92 $9.48
 
-$16.92
#3 Derrick Lewis Shawn Jordan $15.38 $16.00
 
-$15.38
#4 Ricardo Abreu Jake Collier $13.85 $7.76
 
-$13.85
#5 Joe Proctor Justin Edwards $12.31 $6.03
 
$6.03
#6 Dustin Poirier Yancy Medeiros $10.77 $6.03
 
$6.03
#7 Francisco Rivera Alex Caceres $9.23 $7.57
 
$7.57
#8 Chris Wade Christos Giagos $7.69 $4.69
 
$4.69
#9 Omari Akhmedov Brian Ebersole $6.15 $4.86
 
$4.86
#10 Ben Rothwell Matt Mitrione $4.62 $7.85
 
$7.85
#11 Leonardo Morales Jose Quinonez $3.08 $1.97
 
-$3.08
#12 Thiago Tavares Brian Ortega $1.54 $0.94
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $106.03 (88%)   $19.12 (16%)
 
 
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