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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Edgar vs. Faber

Philippines
2015-05-16 09:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $7.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-11.70

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 5.75. Profit: 2.11
Total Unit Profit: 2.11

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $15.00 (8 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $39.40 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $73.18 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $48.66 (8 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Frankie Edgar vs Urijah Faber Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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80%
   
19%
118 (81)%
 
28 (19)%
82%
 
18%
81%
 
19%
WON
Pick Rating Low #10
LOST
@1.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.26
$10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.16 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $0.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gegard Mousasi vs Costas Philippou Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
137 (94)%
 
8 (6)%
96%
 
4%
85%
 
15%
WON
Pick Rating Low #11
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.88
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.55 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.28

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mark Munoz vs Luke Barnatt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
57%
46 (45)%
 
56 (55)%
48%
 
52%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#8 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.38 Suggested Bet: 1.5 units on Luke Barnatt: Returned -1.50 Units   @1.75
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $-7.69 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Neil Magny vs Hyun Gyu Lim Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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54%
   
48%
63 (68)%
 
30 (32)%
69%
 
31%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Good #4
LOST
@1.85 Suggested Bet: 4.25 units on Neil Magny: Returned 3.61 Units   @2.08
$10 Bet Profit: $8.5 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $11.77 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $10.46

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Phillipe Nover vs Yui Chul Nam Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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39%
   
62%
22 (55)%
 
18 (45)%
55%
 
45%
61%
 
39%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #2
LOST
@2.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.61
$10 Bet Profit: $15.6 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $26.4 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $23.99

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mark Eddiva vs Levan Makashvili Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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22%
   
79%
1 (8)%
 
11 (92)%
8%
 
92%
41%
 
59%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Extremely Good #12 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.55 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.27
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.42 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tae Hyun Bang vs Jon Tuck Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
58%
15 (30)%
 
35 (70)%
29%
 
71%
23%
 
77%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.72
$10 Bet Profit: $7.2 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $8.86 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $7.75

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kajan Johnson vs Lipeng Zhang Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
47%
28 (65)%
 
15 (35)%
67%
 
33%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #3
LOST
@2.08 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $10.8 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $16.61 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $14.96

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jingliang Li vs Dhiego Lima Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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41%
   
59%
8 (22)%
 
29 (78)%
21%
 
79%
73%
 
27%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Very Good #1
LOST
@2.44 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $14.4 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $26.58 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $24.36

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Royston Wee vs Guangyou Ning Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
56%
11 (65)%
 
6 (35)%
65%
 
35%
53%
 
47%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #6
WON
@2.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.79
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $-10.77 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jon delos Reyes vs Roldan Sangcha-an Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
38%
26 (70)%
 
11 (30)%
68%
 
32%
77%
 
23%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #7
LOST
@1.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.63
$10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $5.45 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $4.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nolan Ticman vs Zhikui Yao Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
29%
29 (85)%
 
5 (15)%
88%
 
12%
75%
 
25%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9
WON
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.45
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Neil Magny vs Hyun Gyu Lim (@1.85) 78%   4.25   3.61   3.61   $0.00   $0.00 85%
Bet on Luke Barnatt vs Mark Munoz (@1.75) 67%   1.5   1.12   -1.50   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.80   5.75 4.74 2.11   $0.00 $0.00 36.74%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Jingliang Li Dhiego Lima $18.46 $26.58
 
$26.58
#2 Phillipe Nover Yui Chul Nam $16.92 $26.40
 
$26.40
#3 Kajan Johnson Lipeng Zhang $15.38 $16.61
 
$16.61
#4 Neil Magny Hyun Gyu Lim $13.85 $11.77
 
$11.77
#5 Jon Tuck Tae Hyun Bang $12.31 $8.86
 
$8.86
#6 Royston Wee Guangyou Ning $10.77 $14.32
 
-$10.77
#7 Jon delos Reyes Roldan Sangcha-an $9.23 $5.45
 
$5.45
#8 Luke Barnatt Mark Munoz $7.69 $5.77
 
-$7.69
#9 Nolan Ticman Zhikui Yao $6.15 $2.64
 
-$6.15
#10 Frankie Edgar Urijah Faber $4.62 $1.16
 
$1.16
#11 Gegard Mousasi Costas Philippou $3.08 $0.55
 
$0.55
#12 Levan Makashvili Mark Eddiva $1.54 $0.42
 
$0.42
      $120.00 $120.53 (100%)   $73.18 (61%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Mark Eddiva Levan Makashvili $18.46 $65.53
 
-$18.46
#2 Jingliang Li Dhiego Lima $16.92 $24.36
 
$24.36
#3 Phillipe Nover Yui Chul Nam $15.38 $23.99
 
$23.99
#4 Kajan Johnson Lipeng Zhang $13.85 $14.96
 
$14.96
#5 Neil Magny Hyun Gyu Lim $12.31 $10.46
 
$10.46
#6 Jon Tuck Tae Hyun Bang $10.77 $7.75
 
$7.75
#7 Royston Wee Guangyou Ning $9.23 $12.28
 
-$9.23
#8 Jon delos Reyes Roldan Sangcha-an $7.69 $4.54
 
$4.54
#9 Luke Barnatt Mark Munoz $6.15 $4.61
 
-$6.15
#10 Nolan Ticman Zhikui Yao $4.62 $1.99
 
-$4.62
#11 Frankie Edgar Urijah Faber $3.08 $0.77
 
$0.77
#12 Gegard Mousasi Costas Philippou $1.54 $0.28
 
$0.28
      $120.00 $171.53 (143%)   $48.66 (41%)
 
 
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