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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Hunt vs. Miocic

Adelaide, Australia
2015-05-09 18:00:00

Favourite wins: 4
Underdog wins: 8
$10 on all favourites nets: $-58.00
$10 on all underdogs nets: $89.20

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 11.75. Profit: 17.67
Total Unit Profit: 17.67

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-26.70 (5 right, 7 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $12.30 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $42.75 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $26.90 (6 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mark Hunt vs Stipe Miocic Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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32%
   
69%
63 (44)%
 
81 (56)%
45%
 
55%
45%
 
55%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #12 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.13 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.45
$10 Bet Profit: $4.5 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.69 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Brad Tavares vs Robert Whittaker Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
43%
79 (68)%
 
37 (32)%
70%
 
30%
56%
 
44%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Low #10 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.79 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $4.1

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Perosh vs Sean O'Connell Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
43%
44 (55)%
 
36 (45)%
53%
 
47%
38%
 
62%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.72 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $13.3 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $22.5 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $22.5

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jake Matthews vs James Vick Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
37%
49 (64)%
 
28 (36)%
68%
 
32%
28%
 
72%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#1 Extremely Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.59 Suggested Bet: 9.25 units on James Vick: Returned 15.73 Units   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $17 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $31.38 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $31.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Hatsu Hioki vs Daniel Hooker Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
28%
62 (78)%
 
18 (23)%
79%
 
21%
91%
 
9%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #3
WON
@1.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.57
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kyle Noke vs Jonavin Webb Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
49%
26 (55)%
 
21 (45)%
53%
 
47%
60%
 
40%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #4
LOST
@1.92 Suggested Bet: 1.5 units on Kyle Noke: Returned 1.38 Units   @2.04
$10 Bet Profit: $9.2 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $12.74 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $9.91

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sam Alvey vs Daniel Kelly Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
23%
50 (86)%
 
8 (14)%
85%
 
15%
74%
 
26%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.83 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Lisa Ellis vs Bec Rawlings Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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37%
   
64%
20 (34)%
 
39 (66)%
39%
 
61%
29%
 
71%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.70 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Bec Rawlings: Returned 0.56 Units   @1.56
$10 Bet Profit: $5.6 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $6.89 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $5.17

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Dylan Andrews vs Brad Scott Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
50%
42 (60)%
 
28 (40)%
61%
 
39%
44%
 
56%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@1.92 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $10 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $10.77 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $7.69

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alex Chambers vs Kailin Curran Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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32%
   
69%
31 (51)%
 
30 (49)%
51%
 
49%
26%
 
74%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#7 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@3.13 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.45
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Vik Grujic vs Brendan O'Reilly Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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54%
   
48%
30 (57)%
 
23 (43)%
55%
 
45%
57%
 
43%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #8
WON
@1.85 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.08
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $-7.69 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alptekin Ozkilic vs Ben Nguyen Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
26 (74)%
 
9 (26)%
71%
 
29%
66%
 
34%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9
WON
@1.54 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on James Vick vs Jake Matthews (@2.70) 72%   9.25   15.73   15.73   $0.00   $0.00 170%
Bet on Kyle Noke vs Jonavin Webb (@1.92) 60%   1.5   1.38   1.38   $0.00   $0.00 92%
Bet on Bec Rawlings vs Lisa Ellis (@1.56) 71%   1   0.56   0.56   $0.00   $0.00 56%
Average Odds: @1.96   11.75 17.67 17.66   $0.00 $0.00 150.34%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 James Vick Jake Matthews $18.46 $31.38
 
$31.38
#2 Sean O'Connell Anthony Perosh $16.92 $22.50
 
$22.50
#3 Hatsu Hioki Daniel Hooker $15.38 $5.38
 
-$15.38
#4 Kyle Noke Jonavin Webb $13.85 $12.74
 
$12.74
#5 Bec Rawlings Lisa Ellis $12.31 $6.89
 
$6.89
#6 Brad Scott Dylan Andrews $10.77 $10.77
 
$10.77
#7 Kailin Curran Alex Chambers $9.23 $4.15
 
-$9.23
#8 Vik Grujic Brendan O'Reilly $7.69 $6.54
 
-$7.69
#9 Alptekin Ozkilic Ben Nguyen $6.15 $3.32
 
-$6.15
#10 Brad Tavares Robert Whittaker $4.62 $3.65
 
-$4.62
#11 Sam Alvey Daniel Kelly $3.08 $0.83
 
$0.83
#12 Stipe Miocic Mark Hunt $1.54 $0.69
 
$0.69
      $120.00 $108.86 (91%)   $42.75 (36%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 James Vick Jake Matthews $18.46 $31.38
 
$31.38
#2 Sean O'Connell Anthony Perosh $16.92 $22.50
 
$22.50
#3 Mark Hunt Stipe Miocic $15.38 $32.76
 
-$15.38
#4 Hatsu Hioki Daniel Hooker $13.85 $4.85
 
-$13.85
#5 Daniel Kelly Sam Alvey $12.31 $41.24
 
-$12.31
#6 Kyle Noke Jonavin Webb $10.77 $9.91
 
$9.91
#7 Bec Rawlings Lisa Ellis $9.23 $5.17
 
$5.17
#8 Brad Scott Dylan Andrews $7.69 $7.69
 
$7.69
#9 Kailin Curran Alex Chambers $6.15 $2.77
 
-$6.15
#10 Vik Grujic Brendan O'Reilly $4.62 $3.93
 
-$4.62
#11 Robert Whittaker Brad Tavares $3.08 $4.10
 
$4.10
#12 Alptekin Ozkilic Ben Nguyen $1.54 $0.83
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $167.12 (139%)   $26.90 (22%)
 
 
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