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Event Predictions

UFC 209

Las Vegas, Nevada
2017-03-04 23:59:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-4.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $87.60

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 0.75. Profit: -0.75
Total Unit Profit: -0.75

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-12.80 (5 right, 6 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-70.30 (2 right, 9 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-74.78 (2 right, 9 wrong)
Value betting profit: $75.29 (4 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Good
Average Value Bet Rating: Good+

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tyron Woodley vs Stephen Thompson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
58%
18 (55)%
 
15 (45)%
58%
 
42%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#8 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.71
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $-6.67 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Landon Vannata vs David Teymur Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
23%
21 (84)%
 
4 (16)%
85%
 
15%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #9 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $-5 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $16.75

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rashad Evans vs Daniel Kelly Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
23%
20 (80)%
 
5 (20)%
79%
 
21%
73%
 
27%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Low #7 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.49 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Rashad Evans: Returned -0.75 Units   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $-8.33 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $22.34

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Amanda Cooper vs Cynthia Calvillo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
54%
5 (56)%
 
4 (44)%
54%
 
46%
77%
 
23%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #2
WON
@2.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.85
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $-16.67 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alistair Overeem vs Mark Hunt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
44%
24 (77)%
 
7 (23)%
75%
 
25%
46%
 
54%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#6 Moderate Pick Rating
LOST
@1.77 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.25
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $-8.33

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marcin Tybura vs Luis Henrique Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
41%
7 (64)%
 
4 (36)%
54%
 
46%
-39%
 
139%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Fantastic Pick Rating
LOST
@1.65 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.45
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mirsad Bektic vs Darren Elkins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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86%
   
15%
17 (81)%
 
4 (19)%
82%
 
18%
67%
 
33%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #11 Fantastic Anti-Pick
WON
@1.16 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @6.53
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $-1.67 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $92.19

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Iuri Alcantara vs Luke Sanders Fighter Record on Sherdog
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45%
   
56%
8 (80)%
 
2 (20)%
82%
 
18%
67%
 
33%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #4
LOST
@2.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.80
$10 Bet Profit: $12 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $16 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $14

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog Daniel Spitz vs Mark Godbeer Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
57%
11 (79)%
 
3 (21)%
78%
 
22%
70%
 
30%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #3
WON
@2.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.74
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $-15 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $-13.33

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tyson Pedro vs Paul Craig Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
45%
4 (31)%
 
9 (69)%
27%
 
73%
35%
 
65%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.79 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.23
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $-11.67 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Albert Morales vs Andre Soukhamthath Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
45%
4 (80)%
 
1 (20)%
77%
 
23%
53%
 
47%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.77 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $7.7 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $2.56 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $-3.33


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Rashad Evans vs Daniel Kelly (@1.49) 73%   0.75   0.37   -0.75   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.49   0.75 0.37 -0.75   $0.00 $0.00 -100.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Luis Henrique Marcin Tybura $18.33 $26.58
 
-$18.33
#2 Amanda Cooper Cynthia Calvillo $16.67 $18.34
 
-$16.67
#3 Daniel Spitz Mark Godbeer $15.00 $19.50
 
-$15.00
#4 Iuri Alcantara Luke Sanders $13.33 $16.00
 
$16.00
#5 Paul Craig Tyson Pedro $11.67 $14.35
 
-$11.67
#6 Mark Hunt Alistair Overeem $10.00 $12.50
 
-$10.00
#7 Rashad Evans Daniel Kelly $8.33 $4.08
 
-$8.33
#8 Stephen Thompson Tyron Woodley $6.67 $4.74
 
-$6.67
#9 Landon Vannata David Teymur $5.00 $1.50
 
-$5.00
#10 Albert Morales Andre Soukhamthath $3.33 $2.56
 
$2.56
#11 Mirsad Bektic Darren Elkins $1.67 $0.27
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $120.41 (109%)   $-74.78 (-68%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Luis Henrique Marcin Tybura $18.33 $26.58
 
-$18.33
#2 Darren Elkins Mirsad Bektic $16.67 $92.19
 
$92.19
#3 Amanda Cooper Cynthia Calvillo $15.00 $16.50
 
-$15.00
#4 Daniel Spitz Mark Godbeer $13.33 $17.33
 
-$13.33
#5 Iuri Alcantara Luke Sanders $11.67 $14.00
 
$14.00
#6 Paul Craig Tyson Pedro $10.00 $12.30
 
-$10.00
#7 Mark Hunt Alistair Overeem $8.33 $10.41
 
-$8.33
#8 Daniel Kelly Rashad Evans $6.67 $22.34
 
$22.34
#9 David Teymur Landon Vannata $5.00 $16.75
 
$16.75
#10 Andre Soukhamthath Albert Morales $3.33 $4.00
 
-$3.33
#11 Stephen Thompson Tyron Woodley $1.67 $1.19
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $233.59 (212%)   $75.29 (68%)
 
 
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