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Event Predictions

UFC on Fox 15 - Rockhold vs. Machida

Newark, New Jersey
2015-04-18 21:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-2.60
$10 on all underdogs nets: $27.60

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 32.25. Profit: -28.56
Total Unit Profit: -28.56

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-14.30 (6 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-66.10 (3 right, 8 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-81.75 (3 right, 8 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-88.14 (1 right, 10 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Luke Rockhold vs Lyoto Machida Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
64 (38)%
 
105 (62)%
37%
 
63%
34%
 
66%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.64 Suggested Bet: 6.25 units on Lyoto Machida: Returned -6.25 Units   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $-16.67 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $-16.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ronaldo Souza vs Chris Camozzi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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93%
   
8%
127 (98)%
 
3 (2)%
99%
 
1%
91%
 
9%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.08 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @12.50
$10 Bet Profit: $0.8 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $0.27 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $-5

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cub Swanson vs Max Holloway Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
43%
121 (76)%
 
38 (24)%
78%
 
22%
66%
 
34%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #6
WON
@1.69 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Cub Swanson: Returned -1.00 Units   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $-8.33

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Paige VanZant vs Felice Herrig Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
47%
61 (53)%
 
54 (47)%
53%
 
47%
44%
 
56%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@1.82 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Felice Herrig: Returned -1.75 Units   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $-11.67 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $-11.67

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jim Miller vs Beneil Dariush Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
62%
49 (56)%
 
39 (44)%
56%
 
44%
53%
 
47%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good #3
WON
@2.63 Suggested Bet: 3.75 units on Jim Miller: Returned -3.75 Units   @1.61
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $-15 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ovince St Preux vs Patrick Cummins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
54%
100 (73)%
 
37 (27)%
74%
 
26%
39%
 
61%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#7 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.08 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Patrick Cummins: Returned -1.00 Units   @1.85
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $-8.33 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Corey Anderson vs Gian Villante Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
23%
69 (77)%
 
21 (23)%
79%
 
21%
79%
 
21%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9
WON
@1.28 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $-5 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Takeya Mizugaki vs Aljamain Sterling Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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24%
   
78%
38 (42)%
 
52 (58)%
39%
 
61%
62%
 
38%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
WON
@4.17 Suggested Bet: 15.75 units on Takeya Mizugaki: Returned -15.75 Units   @1.28
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Means vs George Sullivan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
39%
46 (85)%
 
8 (15)%
87%
 
13%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #4
LOST
@1.64 Suggested Bet: 2.25 units on Tim Means: Returned 1.44 Units   @2.56
$10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $8.53 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $8.53

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Diego Brandao vs Jim Hettes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
41%
72 (80)%
 
18 (20)%
80%
 
20%
52%
 
48%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.44
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $1.12 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Dempsey vs Eddie Gordon Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
81%
7 (10)%
 
62 (90)%
11%
 
89%
13%
 
87%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#8 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@5.00 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Eddie Gordon: Returned -0.50 Units   @1.23
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $-6.67 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $-3.33


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Takeya Mizugaki vs Aljamain Sterling (@4.17) 62%   15.75   49.93   -15.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Lyoto Machida vs Luke Rockhold (@2.50) 66%   6.25   9.38   -6.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Jim Miller vs Beneil Dariush (@2.63) 53%   3.75   6.11   -3.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Tim Means vs George Sullivan (@1.64) 75%   2.25   1.44   1.44   $0.00   $0.00 64%
Bet on Felice Herrig vs Paige VanZant (@2.13) 56%   1.75   1.98   -1.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Cub Swanson vs Max Holloway (@1.69) 66%   1   0.69   -1.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Patrick Cummins vs Ovince St Preux (@1.85) 61%   1   0.85   -1.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Eddie Gordon vs Chris Dempsey (@1.23) 87%   0.5   0.12   -0.50   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.98   32.25 70.49 -28.56   $0.00 $0.00 -88.56%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Takeya Mizugaki Aljamain Sterling $18.33 $58.11
 
-$18.33
#2 Lyoto Machida Luke Rockhold $16.67 $25.01
 
-$16.67
#3 Jim Miller Beneil Dariush $15.00 $24.45
 
-$15.00
#4 Tim Means George Sullivan $13.33 $8.53
 
$8.53
#5 Felice Herrig Paige VanZant $11.67 $13.19
 
-$11.67
#6 Cub Swanson Max Holloway $10.00 $6.90
 
-$10.00
#7 Patrick Cummins Ovince St Preux $8.33 $7.08
 
-$8.33
#8 Eddie Gordon Chris Dempsey $6.67 $1.53
 
-$6.67
#9 Corey Anderson Gian Villante $5.00 $1.40
 
-$5.00
#10 Ronaldo Souza Chris Camozzi $3.33 $0.27
 
$0.27
#11 Diego Brandao Jim Hettes $1.67 $1.12
 
$1.12
      $110.00 $147.58 (134%)   $-81.75 (-74%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Takeya Mizugaki Aljamain Sterling $18.33 $58.11
 
-$18.33
#2 Lyoto Machida Luke Rockhold $16.67 $25.01
 
-$16.67
#3 Jim Miller Beneil Dariush $15.00 $24.45
 
-$15.00
#4 Tim Means George Sullivan $13.33 $8.53
 
$8.53
#5 Felice Herrig Paige VanZant $11.67 $13.19
 
-$11.67
#6 Jim Hettes Diego Brandao $10.00 $14.40
 
-$10.00
#7 Cub Swanson Max Holloway $8.33 $5.75
 
-$8.33
#8 Patrick Cummins Ovince St Preux $6.67 $5.67
 
-$6.67
#9 Chris Camozzi Ronaldo Souza $5.00 $57.50
 
-$5.00
#10 Eddie Gordon Chris Dempsey $3.33 $0.77
 
-$3.33
#11 Corey Anderson Gian Villante $1.67 $0.47
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $213.83 (194%)   $-88.14 (-80%)
 
 
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