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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Gonzaga vs. Cro Cop 2

Krakow, Poland
2015-04-11 11:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-6.00
$10 on all underdogs nets: $54.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 24.75. Profit: -12.78
Total Unit Profit: -12.78

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-9.10 (6 right, 6 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-37.40 (5 right, 7 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-21.96 (5 right, 7 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-18.37 (6 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gabriel Gonzaga vs Mirko Filipovic Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
34%
103 (61)%
 
65 (39)%
63%
 
37%
72%
 
28%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #10
WON
@1.49 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Gabriel Gonzaga: Returned -0.75 Units   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jan Blachowicz vs Jimi Manuwa Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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44%
   
57%
37 (28)%
 
94 (72)%
27%
 
73%
27%
 
73%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.27 Suggested Bet: 2.75 units on Jimi Manuwa: Returned 2.06 Units   @1.75
$10 Bet Profit: $7.5 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $8.08 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $8.08

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Pawel Pawlak vs Sheldon Westcott Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
66%
43 (52)%
 
39 (48)%
55%
 
45%
27%
 
73%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#9 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.86 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Sheldon Westcott: Returned -1.00 Units   @1.52
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joanne Calderwood vs Maryna Moroz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
14%
101 (83)%
 
21 (17)%
84%
 
16%
87%
 
13%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #11
WON
@1.18 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Joanne Calderwood: Returned -0.25 Units   @7.14
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $-3.08 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Seth Baczynski vs Leon Edwards Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
53%
49 (61)%
 
31 (39)%
60%
 
40%
90%
 
10%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Extremely Good #1
WON
@2.22 Suggested Bet: 9.75 units on Seth Baczynski: Returned -9.75 Units   @1.89
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Bartosz Fabinski vs Garreth McLellan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
47%
17 (45)%
 
21 (55)%
44%
 
56%
22%
 
78%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#3 Very Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.82 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mickael Lebout vs Sergio Moraes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
79%
12 (25)%
 
36 (75)%
25%
 
75%
7%
 
93%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#8 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@5.00 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Sergio Moraes: Returned 0.47 Units   @1.27
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $2.08 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $2.08

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Damian Stasiak vs Yaotzin Meza Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
47%
15 (42)%
 
21 (58)%
42%
 
58%
20%
 
80%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Very Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.79 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $11.3 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $19.12 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $19.12

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daniel Omielanczuk vs Anthony Hamilton Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
43%
56 (68)%
 
26 (32)%
70%
 
30%
56%
 
44%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #12 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $2.05

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Izabela Badurek vs Aleksandra Albu Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
64%
37 (49)%
 
39 (51)%
45%
 
55%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #4
WON
@3.03 Suggested Bet: 5.25 units on Izabela Badurek: Returned -5.25 Units   @1.56
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marcin Bandel vs Stevie Ray Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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37%
   
63%
20 (59)%
 
14 (41)%
56%
 
44%
25%
 
75%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#7 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.70 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.59
$10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $5.45 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $5.45

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Taylor Lapilus vs Rocky Lee Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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66%
   
35%
56 (81)%
 
13 (19)%
80%
 
20%
88%
 
12%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@1.52 Suggested Bet: 3.25 units on Taylor Lapilus: Returned 1.69 Units   @2.86
$10 Bet Profit: $5.2 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $6.4 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $6.4


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Seth Baczynski vs Leon Edwards (@2.22) 90%   9.75   11.90   -9.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Izabela Badurek vs Aleksandra Albu (@3.03) 51%   5.25   10.66   -5.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Taylor Lapilus vs Rocky Lee (@1.52) 88%   3.25   1.69   1.69   $0.00   $0.00 52%
Bet on Jimi Manuwa vs Jan Blachowicz (@1.75) 73%   2.75   2.06   2.06   $0.00   $0.00 75%
Bet on Sergio Moraes vs Mickael Lebout (@1.27) 93%   1.75   0.47   0.47   $0.00   $0.00 27%
Bet on Sheldon Westcott vs Pawel Pawlak (@1.52) 73%   1   0.52   -1.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Gabriel Gonzaga vs Mirko Filipovic (@1.49) 72%   0.75   0.37   -0.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Joanne Calderwood vs Maryna Moroz (@1.18) 87%   0.25   0.04   -0.25   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.61   24.75 27.71 -12.78   $0.00 $0.00 -51.62%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Seth Baczynski Leon Edwards $18.46 $22.52
 
-$18.46
#2 Yaotzin Meza Damian Stasiak $16.92 $19.12
 
$19.12
#3 Garreth McLellan Bartosz Fabinski $15.38 $17.38
 
-$15.38
#4 Izabela Badurek Aleksandra Albu $13.85 $28.12
 
-$13.85
#5 Taylor Lapilus Rocky Lee $12.31 $6.40
 
$6.40
#6 Jimi Manuwa Jan Blachowicz $10.77 $8.08
 
$8.08
#7 Stevie Ray Marcin Bandel $9.23 $5.45
 
$5.45
#8 Sergio Moraes Mickael Lebout $7.69 $2.08
 
$2.08
#9 Sheldon Westcott Pawel Pawlak $6.15 $3.20
 
-$6.15
#10 Gabriel Gonzaga Mirko Filipovic $4.62 $2.26
 
-$4.62
#11 Joanne Calderwood Maryna Moroz $3.08 $0.55
 
-$3.08
#12 Daniel Omielanczuk Anthony Hamilton $1.54 $1.06
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $116.22 (97%)   $-21.96 (-18%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Seth Baczynski Leon Edwards $18.46 $22.52
 
-$18.46
#2 Yaotzin Meza Damian Stasiak $16.92 $19.12
 
$19.12
#3 Garreth McLellan Bartosz Fabinski $15.38 $17.38
 
-$15.38
#4 Izabela Badurek Aleksandra Albu $13.85 $28.12
 
-$13.85
#5 Taylor Lapilus Rocky Lee $12.31 $6.40
 
$6.40
#6 Jimi Manuwa Jan Blachowicz $10.77 $8.08
 
$8.08
#7 Stevie Ray Marcin Bandel $9.23 $5.45
 
$5.45
#8 Sergio Moraes Mickael Lebout $7.69 $2.08
 
$2.08
#9 Sheldon Westcott Pawel Pawlak $6.15 $3.20
 
-$6.15
#10 Gabriel Gonzaga Mirko Filipovic $4.62 $2.26
 
-$4.62
#11 Joanne Calderwood Maryna Moroz $3.08 $0.55
 
-$3.08
#12 Anthony Hamilton Daniel Omielanczuk $1.54 $2.05
 
$2.05
      $120.00 $117.20 (98%)   $-18.37 (-15%)
 
 
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