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Event Predictions

UFC 207

Las Vegas, Nevada
2016-12-31 00:30:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $10.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-11.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 9.5. Profit: 13.00
Total Unit Profit: 13.00

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-28.90 (2 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $2.50 (5 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $1.06 (5 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-14.52 (3 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Amanda Nunes vs Ronda Rousey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
60%
18 (50)%
 
18 (50)%
46%
 
54%
76%
 
24%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #1
LOST
@2.50 Suggested Bet: 9 units on Amanda Nunes: Returned 13.50 Units   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $15 #1 Ranked $18.18 Bet Profit: $27.27 #1 Ranked $18.18 Value Bet Profit: $27.27

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Dominick Cruz vs Cody Garbrandt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
34%
30 (88)%
 
4 (12)%
89%
 
11%
72%
 
28%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #7
WON
@1.47 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Dominick Cruz: Returned -0.50 Units   @2.95
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $7.27 Bet Profit: $-7.27 #8 Ranked $5.45 Value Bet Profit: $-5.45

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile T.J. Dillashaw vs John Lineker Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
35%
20 (80)%
 
5 (20)%
85%
 
15%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #5
LOST
@1.54 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.85
$10 Bet Profit: $5.4 #5 Ranked $10.91 Bet Profit: $5.89 #6 Ranked $9.09 Value Bet Profit: $4.91

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tarec Saffiedine vs Dong Hyun Kim Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
58%
11 (52)%
 
10 (48)%
55%
 
45%
64%
 
36%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #3
WON
@2.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.71
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $14.55 Bet Profit: $-14.55 #3 Ranked $14.55 Value Bet Profit: $-14.55

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Louis Smolka vs Ray Borg Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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47%
   
55%
8 (50)%
 
8 (50)%
47%
 
53%
49%
 
51%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #9 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.15 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.81
$10 Bet Profit: $8.1 #9 Ranked $3.64 Bet Profit: $2.95 #9 Ranked $3.64 Value Bet Profit: $-3.64

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Neil Magny vs Johny Hendricks Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
38%
10 (45)%
 
12 (55)%
46%
 
54%
41%
 
59%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.57 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.65
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.36 Bet Profit: $-16.36 #2 Ranked $16.36 Value Bet Profit: $-16.36

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Antonio Carlos Jr. vs Marvin Vettori Fighter Record on Sherdog
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55%
   
48%
6 (50)%
 
6 (50)%
52%
 
48%
61%
 
39%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #6
LOST
@1.83 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.10
$10 Bet Profit: $8.3 #6 Ranked $9.09 Bet Profit: $7.54 #7 Ranked $7.27 Value Bet Profit: $6.03

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alex Garcia vs Mike Pyle Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
38%
9 (60)%
 
6 (40)%
56%
 
44%
55%
 
45%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.57 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.65
$10 Bet Profit: $5.7 #10 Ranked $1.82 Bet Profit: $1.04 #5 Ranked $10.91 Value Bet Profit: $-10.91

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Brandon Thatch vs Niko Price Fighter Record on Sherdog
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60%
   
42%
9 (69)%
 
4 (31)%
63%
 
37%
59%
 
41%
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #8
WON
@1.68 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.40
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $5.45 Bet Profit: $-5.45 #10 Ranked $1.82 Value Bet Profit: $-1.82

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alex Oliveira vs Tim Means Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
42%
9 (64)%
 
5 (36)%
67%
 
33%
78%
 
22%
CANCELLED / NC
Pick Rating Moderate #4
CANCELLED / NC
@1.71 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.40
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #4 Ranked $12.73 Bet Profit: $0 #4 Ranked $12.73 Value Bet Profit: $0


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Amanda Nunes vs Ronda Rousey (@2.50) 76%   9   13.50   13.50   $0.00   $0.00 150%
Bet on Dominick Cruz vs Cody Garbrandt (@1.47) 72%   0.5   0.24   -0.50   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.85   9.5 13.74 13.00   $0.00 $0.00 136.84%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $100.00 over 10 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Amanda Nunes Ronda Rousey $18.18 $27.27
 
$27.27
#2 Johny Hendricks Neil Magny $16.36 $26.99
 
-$16.36
#3 Tarec Saffiedine Dong Hyun Kim $14.55 $19.64
 
-$14.55
#4 Alex Oliveira Tim Means $12.73 $9.04
 
NA
#5 T.J. Dillashaw John Lineker $10.91 $5.89
 
$5.89
#6 Antonio Carlos Jr. Marvin Vettori $9.09 $7.54
 
$7.54
#7 Dominick Cruz Cody Garbrandt $7.27 $3.42
 
-$7.27
#8 Brandon Thatch Niko Price $5.45 $3.71
 
-$5.45
#9 Ray Borg Louis Smolka $3.64 $2.95
 
$2.95
#10 Alex Garcia Mike Pyle $1.82 $1.04
 
$1.04
      $100.00 $107.49 (107%)   $1.06 (1%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Amanda Nunes Ronda Rousey $18.18 $27.27
 
$27.27
#2 Johny Hendricks Neil Magny $16.36 $26.99
 
-$16.36
#3 Tarec Saffiedine Dong Hyun Kim $14.55 $19.64
 
-$14.55
#4 Alex Oliveira Tim Means $12.73 $9.04
 
NA
#5 Mike Pyle Alex Garcia $10.91 $18.00
 
-$10.91
#6 T.J. Dillashaw John Lineker $9.09 $4.91
 
$4.91
#7 Antonio Carlos Jr. Marvin Vettori $7.27 $6.03
 
$6.03
#8 Dominick Cruz Cody Garbrandt $5.45 $2.56
 
-$5.45
#9 Louis Smolka Ray Borg $3.64 $4.19
 
-$3.64
#10 Brandon Thatch Niko Price $1.82 $1.24
 
-$1.82
      $100.00 $119.87 (120%)   $-14.52 (-15%)
 
 
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