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Event Predictions

UFC 205 - New York City

New York
2016-11-12 23:59:00

Favourite wins: 5
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-23.10
$10 on all underdogs nets: $24.80

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 20.25. Profit: 2.74
Total Unit Profit: 2.74

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-17.20 (5 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $43.10 (7 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $39.93 (7 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $30.02 (5 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Good
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Eddie Alvarez vs Conor McGregor Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
56%
19 (40)%
 
28 (60)%
38%
 
62%
15%
 
85%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@2.30 Suggested Bet: 5.25 units on Conor McGregor: Returned 4.20 Units   @1.80
$10 Bet Profit: $8 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $9.34 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $9.34

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tyron Woodley vs Stephen Thompson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
65%
19 (45)%
 
23 (55)%
44%
 
56%
21%
 
79%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
DRAW
#8 Moderate Pick Rating
DRAW
@2.75 Suggested Bet: 2 units on Stephen Thompson   @1.53
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $0 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $0

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
20%
40 (93)%
 
3 (7)%
94%
 
6%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.29 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.95
$10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $0.97 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $-5

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Weidman vs Yoel Romero Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
39%
22 (71)%
 
9 (29)%
75%
 
25%
40%
 
60%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.62 Suggested Bet: 5.25 units on Yoel Romero: Returned 8.30 Units   @2.58
$10 Bet Profit: $15.8 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $21.06 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $21.06

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Miesha Tate vs Raquel Pennington Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
38%
25 (89)%
 
3 (11)%
92%
 
8%
66%
 
34%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9
WON
@1.62 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Miesha Tate: Returned -0.75 Units   @2.62
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $-5 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Frankie Edgar vs Jeremy Stephens Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
26%
30 (81)%
 
7 (19)%
84%
 
16%
50%
 
50%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Extremely Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.33 Suggested Bet: 9 units on Jeremy Stephens: Returned -9.00 Units   @3.80
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michael Johnson vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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27%
   
74%
9 (23)%
 
31 (78)%
22%
 
78%
34%
 
66%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #11 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.68 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.36
$10 Bet Profit: $3.6 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0.6 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rafael Natal vs Tim Boetsch Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
42%
9 (56)%
 
7 (44)%
50%
 
50%
37%
 
63%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.65 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.38
$10 Bet Profit: $13.8 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $13.8 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $13.8

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Belal Muhammad vs Vicente Luque Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
52%
9 (75)%
 
3 (25)%
80%
 
20%
79%
 
21%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #2
WON
@2.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.91
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $-16.67 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $-16.67

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Thiago Alves vs Jim Miller Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
42%
17 (74)%
 
6 (26)%
77%
 
23%
44%
 
56%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#7 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.40
$10 Bet Profit: $14 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $11.66 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $11.66

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Liz Carmouche vs Katlyn Chookagian Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
62%
13 (68)%
 
6 (32)%
70%
 
30%
62%
 
38%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #3
LOST
@2.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.62
$10 Bet Profit: $15 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $22.5 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $22.5


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Jeremy Stephens vs Frankie Edgar (@3.80) 50%   9   25.20   -9.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Conor McGregor vs Eddie Alvarez (@1.80) 85%   5.25   4.20   4.20   $0.00   $0.00 80%
Bet on Yoel Romero vs Chris Weidman (@2.58) 60%   5.25   8.29   8.30   $0.00   $0.00 158%
Bet on Stephen Thompson vs Tyron Woodley (@1.53) *Draw/NC* 79%   2   1.06   0.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Miesha Tate vs Raquel Pennington (@1.62) 66%   0.75   0.46   -0.75   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @2.02   22.25 39.22 2.74   $0.00 $0.00 12.34%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Jeremy Stephens Frankie Edgar $18.33 $51.32
 
-$18.33
#2 Belal Muhammad Vicente Luque $16.67 $16.67
 
-$16.67
#3 Liz Carmouche Katlyn Chookagian $15.00 $22.50
 
$22.50
#4 Yoel Romero Chris Weidman $13.33 $21.06
 
$21.06
#5 Conor McGregor Eddie Alvarez $11.67 $9.34
 
$9.34
#6 Tim Boetsch Rafael Natal $10.00 $13.80
 
$13.80
#7 Jim Miller Thiago Alves $8.33 $11.66
 
$11.66
#8 Stephen Thompson Tyron Woodley $6.67 $3.54
 
NA
#9 Miesha Tate Raquel Pennington $5.00 $3.10
 
-$5.00
#10 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Karolina Kowalkiewicz $3.33 $0.97
 
$0.97
#11 Khabib Nurmagomedov Michael Johnson $1.67 $0.60
 
$0.60
      $110.00 $154.56 (141%)   $39.93 (36%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Jeremy Stephens Frankie Edgar $18.33 $51.32
 
-$18.33
#2 Belal Muhammad Vicente Luque $16.67 $16.67
 
-$16.67
#3 Liz Carmouche Katlyn Chookagian $15.00 $22.50
 
$22.50
#4 Yoel Romero Chris Weidman $13.33 $21.06
 
$21.06
#5 Conor McGregor Eddie Alvarez $11.67 $9.34
 
$9.34
#6 Tim Boetsch Rafael Natal $10.00 $13.80
 
$13.80
#7 Jim Miller Thiago Alves $8.33 $11.66
 
$11.66
#8 Michael Johnson Khabib Nurmagomedov $6.67 $17.88
 
-$6.67
#9 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Joanna Jedrzejczyk $5.00 $19.75
 
-$5.00
#10 Stephen Thompson Tyron Woodley $3.33 $1.76
 
NA
#11 Miesha Tate Raquel Pennington $1.67 $1.04
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $186.78 (170%)   $30.02 (27%)
 
 
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