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Event Predictions

UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2

Manchester, England
2016-10-08 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-23.40
$10 on all underdogs nets: $20.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 9.75. Profit: -9.75
Total Unit Profit: -9.75

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $25.10 (8 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $10.80 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $13.39 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-11.42 (4 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michael Bisping vs Dan Henderson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
26 (62)%
 
16 (38)%
63%
 
37%
38%
 
62%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Extremely Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.43 Suggested Bet: 9.75 units on Dan Henderson: Returned -9.75 Units   @3.20
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gegard Mousasi vs Vitor Belfort Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
25%
24 (71)%
 
10 (29)%
74%
 
26%
72%
 
28%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.32 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.95
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $1.07 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $-5

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ovince St Preux vs Jimi Manuwa Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
41%
17 (94)%
 
1 (6)%
95%
 
5%
79%
 
21%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #4
WON
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.45
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $-13.33 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $-11.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Stefan Struve vs Daniel Omielanczuk Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
38%
18 (82)%
 
4 (18)%
85%
 
15%
74%
 
26%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #6
LOST
@1.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.60
$10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $4.91

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Russell Doane vs Mirsad Bektic Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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17%
   
85%
0 (0)%
 
10 (100)%
0%
 
100%
26%
 
74%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good+ #11 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@6.05 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.18
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0.3 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Brad Pickett vs Iuri Alcantara Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
57%
5 (33)%
 
10 (67)%
33%
 
67%
44%
 
56%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #9 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.74
$10 Bet Profit: $7.4 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $3.7 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Davey Grant vs Damian Stasiak Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
37%
8 (62)%
 
5 (38)%
68%
 
32%
67%
 
33%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #8
WON
@1.57 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $-6.67 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $-3.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Albert Tumenov vs Leon Edwards Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
33%
16 (89)%
 
2 (11)%
85%
 
15%
80%
 
20%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #7
WON
@1.46 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.05
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $-8.33 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marc Diakiese vs Lukasz Sajewski Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
28%
6 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
91%
 
9%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@1.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.55
$10 Bet Profit: $4 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $4.67 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $4

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Danny Roberts vs Mike Perry Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
50%
0 (0)%
 
13 (100)%
0%
 
100%
15%
 
85%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Very Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.94 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $10 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $16.67 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $16.67

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Leonardo Santos vs Adriano Martins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
65%
8 (57)%
 
6 (43)%
64%
 
36%
50%
 
50%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #3
LOST
@2.85 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.53
$10 Bet Profit: $18.5 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $27.75 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $24.66


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Dan Henderson vs Michael Bisping (@3.20) 62%   9.75   21.45   -9.75   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @3.20   9.75 21.45 -9.75   $0.00 $0.00 -100.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Dan Henderson Michael Bisping $18.33 $40.33
 
-$18.33
#2 Mike Perry Danny Roberts $16.67 $16.67
 
$16.67
#3 Leonardo Santos Adriano Martins $15.00 $27.75
 
$27.75
#4 Ovince St Preux Jimi Manuwa $13.33 $8.93
 
-$13.33
#5 Marc Diakiese Lukasz Sajewski $11.67 $4.67
 
$4.67
#6 Stefan Struve Daniel Omielanczuk $10.00 $5.90
 
$5.90
#7 Albert Tumenov Leon Edwards $8.33 $3.83
 
-$8.33
#8 Davey Grant Damian Stasiak $6.67 $3.80
 
-$6.67
#9 Iuri Alcantara Brad Pickett $5.00 $3.70
 
$3.70
#10 Gegard Mousasi Vitor Belfort $3.33 $1.07
 
$1.07
#11 Mirsad Bektic Russell Doane $1.67 $0.30
 
$0.30
      $110.00 $116.95 (106%)   $13.39 (12%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Dan Henderson Michael Bisping $18.33 $40.33
 
-$18.33
#2 Mike Perry Danny Roberts $16.67 $16.67
 
$16.67
#3 Russell Doane Mirsad Bektic $15.00 $75.75
 
-$15.00
#4 Leonardo Santos Adriano Martins $13.33 $24.66
 
$24.66
#5 Ovince St Preux Jimi Manuwa $11.67 $7.82
 
-$11.67
#6 Marc Diakiese Lukasz Sajewski $10.00 $4.00
 
$4.00
#7 Stefan Struve Daniel Omielanczuk $8.33 $4.91
 
$4.91
#8 Albert Tumenov Leon Edwards $6.67 $3.07
 
-$6.67
#9 Vitor Belfort Gegard Mousasi $5.00 $14.75
 
-$5.00
#10 Davey Grant Damian Stasiak $3.33 $1.90
 
-$3.33
#11 Brad Pickett Iuri Alcantara $1.67 $2.30
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $196.16 (178%)   $-11.42 (-10%)
 
 
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