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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson

Hidalgo, Texas
2016-09-17 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-7.70
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-17.70

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 10. Profit: -8.68
Total Unit Profit: -8.68

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $4.80 (7 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-20.50 (6 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-49.55 (6 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-64.86 (5 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Dustin Poirier vs Michael Johnson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
22 (65)%
 
12 (35)%
68%
 
32%
80%
 
20%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #5
WON
@1.63 Suggested Bet: 3 units on Dustin Poirier: Returned -3.00 Units   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Uriah Hall vs Derek Brunson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
65%
15 (45)%
 
18 (55)%
49%
 
51%
57%
 
43%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #2
WON
@2.85 Suggested Bet: 6 units on Uriah Hall: Returned -6.00 Units   @1.53
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Evan Dunham vs Rick Glenn Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
25%
21 (84)%
 
4 (16)%
86%
 
14%
84%
 
16%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #9
LOST
@1.32 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Evan Dunham: Returned 0.32 Units   @4.00
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $1.97 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $1.48

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Roan Carneiro vs Kenny Robertson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
51%
6 (55)%
 
5 (45)%
46%
 
54%
57%
 
43%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #7
LOST
@2.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.95
$10 Bet Profit: $11 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $10.15 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $8.46

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Wade vs Islam Makhachev Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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47%
   
54%
4 (57)%
 
3 (43)%
64%
 
36%
97%
 
3%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
WON
@2.15 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.85
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chas Skelly vs Maximo Blanco Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
36%
6 (60)%
 
4 (40)%
67%
 
33%
72%
 
28%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #8
LOST
@1.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.75
$10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $4.54 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $3.63

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sam Sicilia vs Gabriel Benitez Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
44%
6 (55)%
 
5 (45)%
60%
 
40%
86%
 
14%
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #3
WON
@1.81 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.25
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Augusto Montano vs Belal Muhammad Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
80%
3 (20)%
 
12 (80)%
18%
 
82%
17%
 
83%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#10 Low Pick Rating
WON
@4.90 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.25
$10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.16 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $0.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Antonio Carlos Jr. vs Leonardo Guimaraes Fighter Record on Sherdog
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69%
   
30%
5 (83)%
 
1 (17)%
85%
 
15%
97%
 
3%
WON
Pick Rating Good #4
LOST
@1.44 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.35
$10 Bet Profit: $4.4 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $6.09 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $5.42

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joey Gomez vs Jose Quinonez Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
42%
5 (50)%
 
5 (50)%
46%
 
54%
71%
 
29%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #6
WON
@1.75 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.38
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $-10.77 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Erick Montano vs Randy Brown Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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21%
   
80%
3 (21)%
 
11 (79)%
18%
 
82%
30%
 
70%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #12 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.80 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.25
$10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.39 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Albert Morales vs Alejandro Perez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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49%
   
53%
2 (22)%
 
7 (78)%
20%
 
80%
46%
 
54%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
DRAW
#11 Low Pick Rating
DRAW
@2.05 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.87
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Uriah Hall vs Derek Brunson (@2.85) 57%   6   11.10   -6.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Dustin Poirier vs Michael Johnson (@1.63) 80%   3   1.89   -3.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Evan Dunham vs Rick Glenn (@1.32) 84%   1   0.32   0.32   $0.00   $0.00 32%
Average Odds: @1.74   10 13.31 -8.68   $0.00 $0.00 -86.80%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Chris Wade Islam Makhachev $18.46 $21.23
 
-$18.46
#2 Uriah Hall Derek Brunson $16.92 $31.30
 
-$16.92
#3 Sam Sicilia Gabriel Benitez $15.38 $12.46
 
-$15.38
#4 Antonio Carlos Jr. Leonardo Guimaraes $13.85 $6.09
 
$6.09
#5 Dustin Poirier Michael Johnson $12.31 $7.76
 
-$12.31
#6 Joey Gomez Jose Quinonez $10.77 $8.08
 
-$10.77
#7 Roan Carneiro Kenny Robertson $9.23 $10.15
 
$10.15
#8 Chas Skelly Maximo Blanco $7.69 $4.54
 
$4.54
#9 Evan Dunham Rick Glenn $6.15 $1.97
 
$1.97
#10 Belal Muhammad Augusto Montano $4.62 $1.16
 
$1.16
#11 Alejandro Perez Albert Morales $3.08 $2.68
 
NA
#12 Randy Brown Erick Montano $1.54 $0.39
 
$0.39
      $120.00 $107.79 (90%)   $-49.55 (-41%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Chris Wade Islam Makhachev $18.46 $21.23
 
-$18.46
#2 Uriah Hall Derek Brunson $16.92 $31.30
 
-$16.92
#3 Sam Sicilia Gabriel Benitez $15.38 $12.46
 
-$15.38
#4 Erick Montano Randy Brown $13.85 $52.63
 
-$13.85
#5 Antonio Carlos Jr. Leonardo Guimaraes $12.31 $5.42
 
$5.42
#6 Dustin Poirier Michael Johnson $10.77 $6.79
 
-$10.77
#7 Joey Gomez Jose Quinonez $9.23 $6.92
 
-$9.23
#8 Roan Carneiro Kenny Robertson $7.69 $8.46
 
$8.46
#9 Chas Skelly Maximo Blanco $6.15 $3.63
 
$3.63
#10 Evan Dunham Rick Glenn $4.62 $1.48
 
$1.48
#11 Belal Muhammad Augusto Montano $3.08 $0.77
 
$0.77
#12 Alejandro Perez Albert Morales $1.54 $1.34
 
NA
      $120.00 $152.42 (127%)   $-64.86 (-54%)
 
 
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