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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia

Brasilia, Brazil
2016-09-24 22:30:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-8.90
$10 on all underdogs nets: $33.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $41.50 (9 right, 2 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $49.70 (10 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $70.92 (10 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $77.03 (8 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good+
Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cristiane Justino vs Lina Lansberg Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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91%
   
11%
33 (97)%
 
1 (3)%
97%
 
3%
86%
 
14%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @9.50
$10 Bet Profit: $1 #8 Ranked $8.57 Bet Profit: $0.86 #7 Ranked $7.14 Value Bet Profit: $-7.14

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Renan Barao vs Phillipe Nover Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
20%
27 (93)%
 
2 (7)%
95%
 
5%
69%
 
31%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.24 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.10
$10 Bet Profit: $2.4 #11 Ranked $2.86 Bet Profit: $0.69 #4 Ranked $12.86 Value Bet Profit: $-12.86

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Antonio Silva vs Roy Nelson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
81%
6 (29)%
 
15 (71)%
25%
 
75%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #12
WON
@4.90 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.24
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $18.57 Bet Profit: $-18.57 #5 Ranked $18.57 Value Bet Profit: $-18.57

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Francisco Trinaldo vs Paul Felder Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
48%
11 (61)%
 
7 (39)%
66%
 
34%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Good #7
LOST
@1.89 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.10
$10 Bet Profit: $8.9 #7 Ranked $14.29 Bet Profit: $12.72 #13 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $8.9

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Thiago Santos vs Eric Spicely Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
19 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
74%
 
26%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #10 Good+ Anti-Pick
WON
@1.17 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @6.05
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $4.29 Bet Profit: $-4.29 #6 Ranked $11.43 Value Bet Profit: $57.72

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Godofredo Pepey vs Mike de la Torre Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
44%
6 (86)%
 
1 (14)%
88%
 
12%
85%
 
15%
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #3
LOST
@1.93 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.25
$10 Bet Profit: $9.3 #3 Ranked $15.71 Bet Profit: $14.61 #9 Ranked $14.29 Value Bet Profit: $13.29

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gilbert Burns vs Michel Prazeres Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
32%
11 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
61%
 
39%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #9 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.48 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.15
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $5.71 Bet Profit: $-5.71 #8 Ranked $4.29 Value Bet Profit: $9.22

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michinori Tanaka vs Rani Yahya Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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47%
   
52%
1 (20)%
 
4 (80)%
21%
 
79%
45%
 
55%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.15 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.93
$10 Bet Profit: $9.3 #5 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $9.3 #11 Ranked $1.43 Value Bet Profit: $1.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jussier Formiga vs Dustin Ortiz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
37%
5 (56)%
 
4 (44)%
56%
 
44%
59%
 
41%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #4 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.68
$10 Bet Profit: $5.6 #4 Ranked $7.14 Bet Profit: $4 #10 Ranked $2.86 Value Bet Profit: $-2.86

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Erick Silva vs Luan Chagas Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
52%
4 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
77%
 
23%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #1
LOST
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.93
$10 Bet Profit: $14 #1 Ranked $17.14 Bet Profit: $24 #1 Ranked $17.14 Value Bet Profit: $24

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alan Patrick vs Stevie Ray Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
61%
5 (56)%
 
4 (44)%
54%
 
46%
56%
 
44%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #6
LOST
@2.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.65
$10 Bet Profit: $15 #6 Ranked $12.86 Bet Profit: $19.29 #12 Ranked $8.57 Value Bet Profit: $12.86

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Vicente Luque vs Hector Urbina Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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82%
   
19%
10 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
68%
 
32%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #13 Very Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.35
$10 Bet Profit: $2.2 #13 Ranked $1.43 Bet Profit: $0.31 #2 Ranked $15.71 Value Bet Profit: $-15.71

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Glaico Franca vs Gregor Gillespie Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
45%
1 (25)%
 
3 (75)%
23%
 
77%
41%
 
59%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@1.81 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $12 #2 Ranked $11.43 Bet Profit: $13.72 #3 Ranked $5.71 Value Bet Profit: $6.85


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet 		Potential
Win 		Units
Profit 		Cash
Bet 		Cash
Profit 		ROI
Average Odds: @nan   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 nan%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator
Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $130.00 over 13 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Antonio Silva Roy Nelson $18.57 $72.42
 
-$18.57
#2 Erick Silva Luan Chagas $17.14 $24.00
 
$24.00
#3 Godofredo Pepey Mike de la Torre $15.71 $14.61
 
$14.61
#4 Francisco Trinaldo Paul Felder $14.29 $12.72
 
$12.72
#5 Alan Patrick Stevie Ray $12.86 $19.29
 
$19.29
#6 Gregor Gillespie Glaico Franca $11.43 $13.72
 
$13.72
#7 Rani Yahya Michinori Tanaka $10.00 $9.30
 
$9.30
#8 Cristiane Justino Lina Lansberg $8.57 $0.86
 
$0.86
#9 Jussier Formiga Dustin Ortiz $7.14 $4.00
 
$4.00
#10 Gilbert Burns Michel Prazeres $5.71 $2.74
 
-$5.71
#11 Thiago Santos Eric Spicely $4.29 $0.73
 
-$4.29
#12 Renan Barao Phillipe Nover $2.86 $0.69
 
$0.69
#13 Vicente Luque Hector Urbina $1.43 $0.31
 
$0.31
      $130.00 $175.38 (135%)   $70.92 (55%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Antonio Silva Roy Nelson $18.57 $72.42
 
-$18.57
#2 Erick Silva Luan Chagas $17.14 $24.00
 
$24.00
#3 Hector Urbina Vicente Luque $15.71 $68.34
 
-$15.71
#4 Godofredo Pepey Mike de la Torre $14.29 $13.29
 
$13.29
#5 Phillipe Nover Renan Barao $12.86 $52.73
 
-$12.86
#6 Eric Spicely Thiago Santos $11.43 $57.72
 
$57.72
#7 Francisco Trinaldo Paul Felder $10.00 $8.90
 
$8.90
#8 Alan Patrick Stevie Ray $8.57 $12.86
 
$12.86
#9 Lina Lansberg Cristiane Justino $7.14 $60.69
 
-$7.14
#10 Gregor Gillespie Glaico Franca $5.71 $6.85
 
$6.85
#11 Michel Prazeres Gilbert Burns $4.29 $9.22
 
$9.22
#12 Dustin Ortiz Jussier Formiga $2.86 $4.80
 
-$2.86
#13 Rani Yahya Michinori Tanaka $1.43 $1.33
 
$1.33
      $130.00 $393.15 (302%)   $77.03 (59%)
 
 
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