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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Maia vs. LaFlare

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
2015-03-21 20:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-5.40
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-14.80

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 1.75. Profit: 1.39
Total Unit Profit: 1.39

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $24.10 (9 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $16.80 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $19.98 (9 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $20.25 (6 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Poor
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Demian Maia vs Ryan LaFlare Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
56%
63 (77)%
 
19 (23)%
78%
 
22%
50%
 
50%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fair #1
LOST
@2.22 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Demian Maia: Returned 1.22 Units   @1.79
$10 Bet Profit: $12.2 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $22.52 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $13.14

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Erick Silva vs Josh Koscheck Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
19%
50 (83)%
 
10 (17)%
85%
 
15%
88%
 
12%
WON
Pick Rating Low #4
LOST
@1.23 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Erick Silva: Returned 0.17 Units   @5.26
$10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $3.19 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $1.41

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tony Martin vs Leonardo Santos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
44%
14 (32)%
 
30 (68)%
30%
 
70%
62%
 
38%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #3
WON
@1.79 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.27
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Amanda Nunes vs Shayna Baszler Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
20%
55 (85)%
 
10 (15)%
85%
 
15%
80%
 
20%
WON
Pick Rating Poor #6
LOST
@1.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.00
$10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $2.48 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.35

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alex Oliveira vs Gilbert Burns Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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16%
   
85%
11 (28)%
 
28 (72)%
28%
 
72%
26%
 
74%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good+ #9 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@6.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.18
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $1.11 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Andre Fili vs Godofredo Pepey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
27%
37 (67)%
 
18 (33)%
68%
 
32%
61%
 
39%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #10 Good Anti-Pick
WON
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.70
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $45.68

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Akbarh Arreola vs Francisco Trinaldo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
66%
16 (36)%
 
28 (64)%
36%
 
64%
47%
 
53%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #11 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.86 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.52
$10 Bet Profit: $5.2 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.6 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Katsunori Kikuno vs Edimilson Souza Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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31%
   
70%
22 (48)%
 
24 (52)%
45%
 
55%
32%
 
68%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #7 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.43
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $3.97 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Drew Dober vs Leandro Silva Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
59%
13 (36)%
 
23 (64)%
38%
 
62%
34%
 
66%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $11.67 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $6.37

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cain Carrizosa vs Leonardo Mafra Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
61%
9 (24)%
 
29 (76)%
28%
 
72%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #8 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.64
$10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $4.92 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Christos Giagos vs Jorge Antonio Cezario de Oliveira Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
16 (48)%
 
17 (52)%
50%
 
50%
52%
 
48%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #12 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.54 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $5.4 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.83 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Bentley Syler vs Freddy Serrano Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
43%
20 (57)%
 
15 (43)%
62%
 
38%
50%
 
50%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Low #5 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@2.08 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $16.37


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Demian Maia vs Ryan LaFlare (@2.22) 50%   1   1.22   1.22   $0.00   $0.00 122%
Bet on Erick Silva vs Josh Koscheck (@1.23) 88%   0.75   0.17   0.17   $0.00   $0.00 23%
Average Odds: @1.58   1.75 1.39 1.39   $0.00 $0.00 79.57%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Demian Maia Ryan LaFlare $18.46 $22.52
 
$22.52
#2 Leandro Silva Drew Dober $16.92 $11.67
 
$11.67
#3 Tony Martin Leonardo Santos $15.38 $12.15
 
-$15.38
#4 Erick Silva Josh Koscheck $13.85 $3.19
 
$3.19
#5 Bentley Syler Freddy Serrano $12.31 $13.29
 
-$12.31
#6 Amanda Nunes Shayna Baszler $10.77 $2.48
 
$2.48
#7 Edimilson Souza Katsunori Kikuno $9.23 $3.97
 
$3.97
#8 Leonardo Mafra Cain Carrizosa $7.69 $4.92
 
$4.92
#9 Gilbert Burns Alex Oliveira $6.15 $1.11
 
$1.11
#10 Andre Fili Godofredo Pepey $4.62 $1.52
 
-$4.62
#11 Francisco Trinaldo Akbarh Arreola $3.08 $1.60
 
$1.60
#12 Christos Giagos Jorge Antonio Cezario de Oliveira $1.54 $0.83
 
$0.83
      $120.00 $79.26 (66%)   $19.98 (17%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Alex Oliveira Gilbert Burns $18.46 $96.92
 
-$18.46
#2 Godofredo Pepey Andre Fili $16.92 $45.68
 
$45.68
#3 Akbarh Arreola Francisco Trinaldo $15.38 $28.61
 
-$15.38
#4 Jorge Antonio Cezario de Oliveira Christos Giagos $13.85 $24.65
 
-$13.85
#5 Freddy Serrano Bentley Syler $12.31 $16.37
 
$16.37
#6 Demian Maia Ryan LaFlare $10.77 $13.14
 
$13.14
#7 Leandro Silva Drew Dober $9.23 $6.37
 
$6.37
#8 Tony Martin Leonardo Santos $7.69 $6.08
 
-$7.69
#9 Erick Silva Josh Koscheck $6.15 $1.41
 
$1.41
#10 Cain Carrizosa Leonardo Mafra $4.62 $6.93
 
-$4.62
#11 Katsunori Kikuno Edimilson Souza $3.08 $6.87
 
-$3.08
#12 Amanda Nunes Shayna Baszler $1.54 $0.35
 
$0.35
      $120.00 $253.38 (211%)   $20.25 (17%)
 
 
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